2014 Belgian federal election explained

Country:Belgium
Previous Election:2010
Next Election:2019
Next Year:2019
Seats For Election:All 150 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
Majority Seats:76
Turnout:89.37%
Leader1:Bart De Wever
Party1:New Flemish Alliance
Last Election1:27
Seats1:33
Percentage1:20.26%
Leader2:Elio Di Rupo
Party2:Parti Socialiste (Belgium)
Last Election2:26
Seats2:23
Percentage2:11.67%
Leader3:Wouter Beke
Party3:Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
Last Election3:17
Seats3:18
Percentage3:11.61%
Leader4:Gwendolyn Rutten
Party4:Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats
Last Election4:13
Seats4:14
Percentage4:9.78%
Leader5:Charles Michel
Party5:Mouvement Réformateur
Last Election5:18
Seats5:20
Percentage5:9.64%
Leader6:Bruno Tobback
Party6:Socialistische Partij Anders
Last Election6:13
Seats6:13
Percentage6:8.83%
Leader7:Wouter Van Besien
Party7:Groen (political party)
Last Election7:5
Seats7:6
Percentage7:5.32%
Leader8:Benoît Lutgen
Party8:Centre démocrate humaniste
Last Election8:9
Seats8:9
Percentage8:4.98%
Leader9:Peter Mertens
Party9:Workers' Party of Belgium
Last Election9:0
Seats9:2
Percentage9:3.72%
Leader10:Gerolf Annemans
Party10:Vlaams Belang
Last Election10:12
Seats10:3
Percentage10:3.67%
Leader11:Olivier Deleuze
& Emily Hoyos
Party11:Ecolo
Last Election11:8
Seats11:6
Percentage11:3.30%
Leader12:Olivier Maingain
Party12:FDF
Last Election12:new
Seats12:2
Percentage12:1.80%
Leader13:Mischaël Modrikamen
Party13:People's Party (Belgium)
Last Election13:1
Seats13:1
Percentage13:1.50%
Map:2014 Belgium Chamber of Representatives election.svg
Federal Government
Before Election:Di Rupo Government
Before Image:Di Rupo cropped.jpg
After Election:Michel I Government
After Image:Charles Michel (2018-01-31) (cropped).jpg

Federal elections were held in Belgium on 25 May 2014.[1] All 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives were elected, whereas the Senate was no longer directly elected following the 2011–2012 state reform. These were the first elections held under King Philippe's reign.

Date

As part of the state reform adopted 19 December 2013,[2] the date of election will from now on coincide with the European elections,[3] which the Council of the EU has scheduled for 22–25 May 2014.[4] The regional elections in Belgium already constitutionally coincide with the European elections, consequently Belgians will vote for three elections on the same day.

On 25 April 2014, a declaration to amend the Constitution was adopted, formally dissolving parliament and triggering new elections within 40 days.[5]

Electoral system

The 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives are elected in 11 multi-member constituencies, being the ten provinces and Brussels, with between 4 and 24 seats. Seats are allocated using the d'Hondt method, with an electoral threshold of 5% per constituency.[6] Apportionment of seats is done every ten years, last by royal order of 31 January 2013, based on the population figures of 28 May 2012.

Representatives elected from the five Flemish Region provinces, Antwerp (24), East Flanders (20), Flemish Brabant (15), Limburg (12) and West Flanders (16), automatically belong to the Dutch-speaking language group in parliament, whereas those elected from the five provinces of Wallonia, Hainaut (18), Liège (15), Luxembourg (4), Namur (6) and Walloon Brabant (5), form the French-speaking language group. The 15 members elected in Brussels may choose to join either group, though de facto only French-speaking parties reach the threshold.

The 60-member Senate is composed of 50 representatives from the regional and community parliaments, plus 10 co-opted senators proportionally divided among parties based on the result of the federal election.

Voters

All Belgian citizens aged 18 or over are obligated to participate in the election. Foreigners residing in Belgium (regardless of EU citizenship) cannot vote, whereas Belgian citizens living abroad may register to vote. Following the sixth state reform, they can no longer freely choose in which constituency their vote counts; instead the municipality is objectively defined by statutory criteria. Since the previous elections were snap elections, there was more preparation time now, allowing for significantly increased use of the option compared to 2010.

The electoral roll was fixed per 1 March 2014.

2014 2010 difference
Eligible Belgians residing in Belgium 7,879,874 7,725,463 +154,411 (+2.00%)
Eligible Belgians residing abroad 128,902 42,089 +86,813 (+206.26%)
 - voted in-person or by proxy in a municipality in Belgium 20,241 9,741 +10,500 (+107.79%)
 - voted in-person or by proxy in the Belgian diplomatic or consular post where they registered 19,080 13,089 +5,991 (+45.77%)
 - voted by mail 89,581 19,259 +70,322 (+365.14%)
Total 8,008,776 7,767,552 +241,224 (+3.11%)

151 Flemish municipalities and 2 Brussels municipalities voted electronically; the remaining 157 Flemish and 17 Brussels and all 262 Walloon municipalities voted by paper ballot.

Timetable

25 February Start of the "waiting period" (sperperiode) running until the day of the election, during which political propaganda and expenses are strictly regulated
1 March The electoral roll is fixed by municipal authorities
25 April The Parliament adopts a declaration to amend the Constitution, formally dissolving parliament and triggering elections within 40 days
10 May Final day for the official announcement of the election and the convocation letter to voters
21 May Polling day for Belgians residing abroad in the embassies and consular posts
25 May Polling day (from 8am until 2pm, or until 4pm where voting is done electronically)
19 June Constitutive session of the newly elected Chamber of Representatives

Background and reforms since last election

See main article: 2010–2011 Belgian government formation, 2007–2011 Belgian political crisis and Sixth Belgian state reform. The previous 2010 election resulted in a victory for Flemish nationalist N-VA. The coalition formation stalemate went on for a record-breaking 541 days. Eventually, the negotiating parties agreed upon a sixth Belgian state reform and the Di Rupo Government was finally formed on 6 December 2011 and comprised PS, MR, CD&V, Open VLD, sp.a and cdH.

The state reform has the following consequences for the election in 2014:

Election campaign

The campaign topics largely focused on socio-economic reforms: job creation and unemployment, tax reform, pensions, ... This campaign also featured an unprecedented level of quantified programmes by political parties. For example, the N-VA released its "V plan" and CD&V its "3D plan".

One week before the election day, former CD&V Prime Minister Jean-Luc Dehaene suddenly died while in France. Several debates were cancelled, and CD&V as well as all other Flemish parties suspended their campaign for a few days.[7]

Jewish Museum shooting

On 24 May, the day before the elections, a shooting occurred at the Belgian Jewish Museum in Brussels, with three people reported dead.[8] Self-described anti-Zionist MP Laurent Louis suggested that the attack could be a false flag operation seeking to discredit him and his political party (Debout les Belges, or "Stand Up, Belgians") on the eve of the elections.[9]

Political parties

Current situation

In 2010, ten parties won seats in the Belgian Senate: Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams (CD&V), Centre Démocrate Humaniste (cdH), Socialistische Partij Anders (sp.a), Parti Socialiste (PS), Open Vld, Mouvement Réformateur (MR), Groen, Ecolo, New Flemish Alliance (N-VA) and Vlaams Belang. In the Chamber of Representatives, the People's Party (PP) and Libertarian, Direct, Democratic (LDD) each also won one seat.

During the legislation, the Francophone Democratic Federalists (FDF) separated from the MR party and are now represented in the Chamber with 3 representatives, but have no Senators. The PP Member of Parliament left the party and became an independent. One Vlaams Belang member of the Chamber and one Vlaams Belang member of the Senate left their party and decided to become independents.

Thus, currently the ten major parties are represented in both the Chamber and the Senate; in addition, LDD and FDF are represented in the Chamber of Representatives.

However, most of the major parties only operate in the Dutch-speaking or in the French-speaking constituencies. Voters who live in the provinces of Antwerp, East Flanders, Flemish Brabant, Limburg or West Flanders can only vote for CD&V, Groen, N-VA, Open VLD, sp.a and Vlaams Belang, apart from the minor parties – except when a French-speaking party would present a list in one of these provinces, which has not happened except for a FDF and a PP list in Flemish Brabant. In the provinces of Hainaut, Liège, Luxembourg, Namur and Walloon Brabant, voters can only vote for cdH, Ecolo, MR and PS, apart from the minor parties – except when a Dutch-speaking party would present a list in one of these provinces, which has not happened in this elections.

In the constituency of Liège, the German-speaking parties CSP, Ecolo, PFF and SP all form one list with their French-speaking counterparts; the name of these lists only mention the French-speaking party. Therefore, the CSP politicians are on the cdH list, the Ecolo ones on the Ecolo list, PFF on the MR list and SP on the PS list. The other German-speaking parties (ProDG and Vivant) do not present a list due to their marginal chance of getting a seat in Parliament.

In the constituency of Brussels-Capital, Ecolo and Groen formed one list under the name Ecolo.[10] CD&V, N-VA, Open Vld, sp.a and Vlaams Belang will each present a single list.

LDD only presented a list in West Flanders. FDF presented a list in all Walloon constituencies, in Brussels-Capital and in Flemish Brabant. PVDA-PTB presented a list in all eleven constituencies of Belgium, making it one of the few parties which are represented in the whole of Belgium.

Main candidates

The following candidates are the first on the respective party list (lijsttrekker / tête de liste) per constituency.

Dutch-speaking constituencies

Party
Major parties
CD&VServais VerherstraetenPieter De CremKoen GeensWouter BekeHendrik BogaertBenjamin Dalle
GroenMeyrem AlmaciStefaan Van HeckeAnne DedryKatrijn ConjaertsWouter De VriendtAnnalisa Gadaleta
(3rd on ECOLO list)
N-VABart De WeverSiegfried BrackeTheo FranckenSteven VandeputBrecht VermeulenLuc Demullier
Open VldAnnemie TurtelboomAlexander De CrooMaggie De BlockPatrick DewaelVincent Van QuickenborneThomas Ryckalts
sp.aMonica De ConinckKarin TemmermanHans BontePeter Van VelthovenJohan Vande LanotteMaité Morren
Vlaams BelangFilip DewinterBarbara PasPhilip ClaeysBert SchoofsPeter LoggheHilde Roossens
Minor parties
LDDJean-Marie Dedecker
PVDA+Peter MertensTom De MeesterSander VandecapelleKim De WitteFilip DesmetBenjamin Pestieau
BUBVincent MassautBic VerbiestMarie-Luce LovinfosseTonnie BrichardMileen VerpoortenHans Van de Cauter
Pirate PartyChristophe CopJonas De KoningJo Vols

French-speaking constituencies

Party
Major parties
cdHCatherine FonckMelchior WatheletBenoît LutgenBenoît DispaCédric du MonceauFrancis Delpérée
EcoloJean-Marc NolletMuriel GerkensCécile ThibautGeorges GilkinetMarcel CheronZakia Khattabi
FDFChristophe VerbistHugues LannoySerge SaintesMonique FelixAmaury AlexandreOlivier Maingain
MROlivier ChastelDaniel BacquelaineDominique TilmansSabine LaruelleCharles MichelDidier Reynders
PSElio Di RupoWilly DemeyerPhilippe CourardJean-Marc DelizéeAndré FlahautLaurette Onkelinx
Minor parties
PTBMarco Van HeesRaoul HedebouwJonathan TaffarelThierry WarmoesLiza LebrunBenjamin Pestieau
PPMischaël ModrikamenAldo CarcaciMichel RenquinNathalie StrubbeMichaël DebastTatiana Hachimi
BUBRomuald JolyNicolas JacqueminJo ConterAdrien MertensDimitri ParéeHans van de Cauter
Pirate PartyPaul BossuPaul Thunissen

Opinion polling

The results of the opinion polls are usually split into separate numbers for the three Belgian regions. Below, they are transposed to national figures.

Date(s)
conducted
NewspaperN-VAPSCD&V<MRsp.aOpen VldVBCDHEcoloGroenOthersLead
15 April 2014 20.6% 10.2% 10.7% 8.4% 8.5% 8.7% 6.4% 3.7% 3.9% 4.9% 14.0% 9.9% over CD&V
11 October 2013 17.6% 12.0% 8.4% 8.7% 6.7% 6.3% 40.4% 5.6% over CD&V
6 September 2013 La Libre Belgique[11] 22.3% 10.8% 10.9% 8.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.2% 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 11.2% 11.4% over CD&V
1 September 2013 19.3% 11.3% 10.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.9% 7.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.0% 12.5% 8.0% over PS
16 June 2013 Le Soir[12] 22.0% 10.5% 9.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.3% 5.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.8% 12.1% 11.5% over PS
25 May 2013 La Libre Belgique[13] 20.6% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 8.1% 4.7% 5.4% 4.1% 11.0% 10.4% over PS
25 May 2013 De Standaard[14] 20.2% 10.9% 9.3% 6.4% 6.7% 6.0% 40.5% 9.3% over CD&V
24 March 2013 Le Soir[15] 21.2% 11.8% 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.6% 5.0% 4.4% 4.9% 10.7% 9.4% over PS
16 March 2013 Het Laatste Nieuws[16] 21.0% 9.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 5.2% 41.4% 11.6% over CD&V
22 February 2013 La Libre Belgique[17] 24.3% 10.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 6.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.7% 5.4% 12.7% 13.5% over PS
14 October 2012 Provincial election 2012[18] [19] 18.0% 11.7% 13.5% 10.2% 8.6% 9.2% 5.6% 6.2% 4.8% 5.3% 6.7% 4.5% over CD&V
14 September 2012 De Standaard[20] 22.6% 11.5% 9.0% 6.7% 5.9% 4.9% 39.4% 11.1% over CD&V
10 June 2010 Federal election 2010[21] 17.4% 13.7% 10.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.5% 4.8% 4.4% 8.4% 3.7% over PS

Results

At the Flemish side, Vlaams Belang and LDD suffered major losses; their votes went to N-VA, which increased its position as largest party. CD&V, Open Vld and Groen gained slightly as well, while sp.a lost slightly.

At the French-speaking side, PS, cdH and Ecolo suffer losses while MR gained as well as newcomers PTB-GO! and FDF.

In detail

Dutch-speaking constituencies Bilingual constituency
Party Brussels
Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats
N-VA449,53139.3811306,309 31.036192,69828.375174,03031.395230,26528.50613,2402.650
CD&V183,63616.094177,17817.954112,25116.533125,962 22.723175,66921.7448,1931.640
OPEN VLD116,89210.242178,91118.124170,128 25.05468,71312.392111,38813.79213,2942.660
SP.A132,096 11.573131,60713.33 381,25411.96298,19417.712142,40617.6339,633 1.930
GROEN112,4779.85290,1449.13259,0968.70133,2446.00063,6577.881ECOLO
VL. BELANG79,8527.00261,5236.23128,8574.25034,0206.140 38,2324.7305,1651.030
PTB/PVDA+51,6384.52026,2942.66012,6641.86014,2532.57013,3971.660PTB/PVDA–GO
Total1,141,541100.0024987,205100.0020679,125100.0015554,454100.0012807,929100.0016
French-speaking constituencies Bilingual constituency
Party Brussels
Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats Votes Perc. Seats
PS303,08541.049187,93430.00537,37322.02183,361 27.83251,359 21.411124,05324.865
MR153,30420.765158,06225.23541,34624.36184,78828.31297,74140.753115,04923.054
CDH76,81210.40281,78913.05256,70233.41248,13516.07126,33510.98046,5089.322
ECOLO43,4895.89156,9029.08113,471 7.94029,186 9.74127,35611.40152,14710.452
PTB/PVDA–GO38,1945.17150,6098.0814,0032.36014,559 4.8606,449 2.69019,1423.840
FDF14,3821.95013,9172.2202,8111.6608,3672.79011,1984.67055,32311.082
PP32,1584.35032,2375.1516,9804.11013,0294.3509,5443.9808,651 1.730
Total738,496100.0018601,826100.0015169,719100.004299,512100.006239,869100.005499,082100.0015

Senate

2014 marked the first year when the Senate was no longer directly elected, since the sixth state reform of 2011. Now, the regional parliaments elect 50 senators based on the results of the concurrent regional elections (the Flemish Parliament elects 29, the Parliament of the French Community elects ten, the Walloon Parliament elects eight, the Parliament of the Brussels-Capital Region elects two Francophone senators and the Parliament of the German-speaking Community elects one). The elected senators in turn co-opt 10 senators (six Dutch-speaking and four Francophone), making a total of 60 senators.

The distributiuon of seats among parties resulted as following:[22]

Government formation

See main article: 2014 Belgian government formation. On 27 May, King Philippe nominated Bart De Wever (N-VA) as informateur, meaning he is tasked with finding enough points of agreement for a possible coalition.[23]

After five months of discussions, a centre-right coalition of four parties (CD&V, Open Vld, MR and N-VA) came to agreement on 7 October with Walloon Charles Michel as prime minister. Yet it is a Flanders-focused coalition that excludes Socialists from the government for the first time in 26 years.[24] Michel would be Belgium's youngest prime minister after the 28 hours of discussions over achieving a balanced budget by 2018. The announcement was made by party colleague and Budget Minister Olivier Chastel on Twitter: "Charles Michel becomes prime minister."[25]

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Europa bekrachtigt 25 mei als Belgische verkiezingsdatum. HLN. 11 October 2014.
  2. http://www.deredactie.be/cm/vrtnieuws.english/Politics/131220_State_reform_ok
  3. http://www.senate.be/www/?MIval=/dossier&LEG=5&NR=1750&LANG=nl Proposal for a revision of the Belgian Constitution
  4. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2013:169:0069:0069:EN:PDF COUNCIL DECISION 2013/299/EU, Euratom of 14 June 2013 fixing the period for the eighth election of representatives to the European Parliament by direct universal suffrage
  5. http://www.ejustice.just.fgov.be/cgi_loi/change_lg.pl?language=fr&la=F&cn=2014042502&table_name=loi 25 AVRIL 2014. - Déclaration de révision de la Constitution
  6. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2029_B.htm Electoral system
  7. News: CD&V schort campagne op na overlijden van Dehaene. deredactie.be. 15 May 2014.
  8. News: Three die in Brussels shooting at Jewish Museum. deredactie.be. 24 May 2014.
  9. Web site: Facebook post by Laurent LOUIS. Laurent Louis. 24 May 2014.
  10. Web site: Groen en Ecolo op één federale lijst in Brussel. deredactie.be. 11 October 2014.
  11. Web site: Baromètre: La N-VA gagne 2.7% en Flandre!. Lalibre.be. 11 October 2014.
  12. Web site: Le PS en net recul en Wallonie, la N-VA toujours loin devant en Flandre. les documents du Soir. 11 October 2014.
  13. Web site: La N-VA perd du poids, le PS en petite forme. 11 October 2014.
  14. Web site: N-VA krijgt een tik. De Standaard. 11 October 2014.
  15. Web site: Grand baromètre: la N-VA recule de trois points. lesoir.be. 11 October 2014.
  16. Web site: CD&V beperkt de schade. HLN. 11 October 2014.
  17. Web site: Baromètre politique RTBF-La Libre: indécrottable N-VA. RTBF Info. 11 October 2014.
  18. Web site: 2012 Vlaanderenkiest. Vlaanderenkiest.be. 11 October 2014.
  19. http://elections2012.wallonie.be
  20. Web site: Open VLD op dieptepunt. De Standaard. 11 October 2014.
  21. http://verkiezingen2010.belgium.be/nl/
  22. News: N-VA goed voor één vijfde van de senatoren . 23 January 2024 . De Standaard . 26 May 2014 . nl.
  23. News: Bart De Wever nommé informateur par le Roi . LaLibre.be . 27 May 2014 .
  24. Web site: Belgium agrees to form coalition government. Deutsche Welle. 11 October 2014.
  25. Web site: Belgium on course for government led by youngest PM. Uk.reuters.com. 11 October 2014.