2014 Arizona Attorney General election explained

Election Name:2014 Arizona Attorney General election
Popular Vote2:696,054
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Arizona elections#Attorney General
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Arizona Attorney General election
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Mark Brnovich by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Nominee1:Mark Brnovich
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Country:Arizona
Percentage2:47.07%
Nominee2:Felecia Rotellini
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:782,361
Percentage1:52.91%
Map Size:210px
Attorney General
Before Election:Tom Horne
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Mark Brnovich
After Party:Republican Party (US)

The 2014 Arizona Attorney General election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the attorney general of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Tom Horne ran for re-election to a second term in office. Horne, who was under investigation for multiple violations of election laws, was considered vulnerable in both the primary and general elections.[1] Various Arizona Republicans called for him to resign or endorsed his opponent.[2] Horne lost the Republican primary to Mark Brnovich. Brnovich won the election by a 5.84% margin, defeating Democratic opponent Felecia Rotellini.

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Tom
Horne
Mark
Brnovich
Undecided
Magellan Strategies[5] August 17–21, 20141,281± 2.74%40% align=center47%13%
Harper Polling[6] August 19–20, 2014812± 3.44%37% align=center40%24%
Magellan Strategies[7] August 15–18, 20141,322± ?38% align=center48%14%
Magellan Strategies[8] August 12–15, 20141,300± ?34% align=center47%19%
Magellan Strategies[9] August 5–7, 20141,289± 2.73%37% align=center43%20%
Magellan Strategies[10] July 28–31, 20141,644± ?35% align=center42%23%
Harper Polling[11] July 16–17, 2014885± 3.29%26% align=center37% align=center37%
Gravis Marketing[12] July 14, 2014691± 4%29% align=center44%27%
Magellan Strategies[13] July 9–10, 2014593± 4.02%25% align=center39%36%
Harper Polling[14] June 25–26, 2014791± 3.48%28% align=center33% align=center39%
Magellan Strategies[15] June 3–4, 2014630± 3.9%26% align=center43%31%
Magellan Strategies[16] May 13–14, 2014760± 3.6%32% align=center33% align=center35%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Mark
Brnovich (R)
Felicia
Rotellini (D)
Undecided
The Polling Company[18] October 20–22, 2014601± 4% align=center41%38%21%
Tarrance Group[19] October 13–16, 2014500± 4.5% align=center48%39%13%
McLaughlin & Associates[20] October 12–14, 2014500± 4.5% align=center39%33%28%
Moore Information[21] October 7–8, 2014400± ≈4.9%39% align=center42%19%
The Polling Company[22] October 6–8, 2014600± 4%41% align=center43%16%
Tarrance Group[23] September 15–17, 2014505± 4.5% align=center43%40%16%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
Tom
Horne (R)
Felicia
Rotellini (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[24] February 28–March 2, 2014870± 3.3%36% align=center42%22%

By congressional district

Despite losing the election, Rotellini won 5 of 9 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican.[25]

DistrictBrnovichRotelliniRepresentative
48.4%51.6%Ann Kirkpatrick
47.3%52.8%Martha McSally
38.3%61.7%Raúl Grijalva
67.0%33.0%Paul Gosar
62.8%37.2%Matt Salmon
57.3%42.7%David Schweikert
29.5%70.5%Ruben Gallego
60.6%39.4%Trent Franks
45.7%54.3%Kyrsten Sinema

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Horne will be focus of inquiry by Clean Elections . AZ Central . June 19, 2014 . October 19, 2014.
  2. Web site: Governor endorses Horne's opponent in GOP primary . AZ Central . July 10, 2014 . October 19, 2014.
  3. Web site: Stephen Lemons . Arizona AG Tom Horne's Sex Scandal Scuttles Gubernatorial Bid - - News - Phoenix . Phoenix New Times . December 6, 2012 . November 3, 2013.
  4. Web site: Fischer . Howard . Richardson: AG Horne's checkered past might just be enough for reelection - East Valley Tribune: East Valley Voices . 29 October 2013 . East Valley Tribune . November 3, 2013.
  5. http://www.azcentral.com/story/brahm-resnik/2014/08/22/arizona-governor-doug-ducey-leads-in-new-poll/14466987/ Magellan Strategies
  6. https://www.scribd.com/doc/237430431/DCL-AZ-GOP-Primary-5-8-19-8-20-Toplines Harper Polling
  7. http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2014/08/21/poll-shows-ducey-ahead-of-smith-jones-in.html Magellan Strategies
  8. http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/blog/business/2014/08/ducey-grabs-31-percent-8-point-lead-in-new.html?page=all Magellan Strategies
  9. http://azcapitoltimes.com/news/2014/08/08/poll-shows-doug-ducey-increasing-lead-in-az-gov-race/ Magellan Strategies
  10. http://www.azcentral.com/story/brahm-resnik/2014/08/06/arizona-republican-governor-primary-poll-ducey-smith-jones/13665521/ Magellan Strategies
  11. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Harper_AZ_0714.pdf Harper Polling
  12. http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-arizona-polling-republican-primary/ Gravis Marketing
  13. http://archive.azcentral.com/ic/pdf/republican-primary-survey.pdf Magellan Strategies
  14. http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/14-07-az-gop-primary-toplines.pdf Harper Polling
  15. http://www.slideshare.net/MagellanStrat/magellan-strategies-arizona-republican-primary-survey-memorandum-060514 Magellan Strategies
  16. https://www.scribd.com/doc/224595828/AZ-Republican-Primary-Survey-Crosstabs-Full Magellan Strategies
  17. Web site: Felecia Rotellini Making Another Run at Attorney General. February 26, 2013. March 3, 2013. Phoenix New Times. Matthew. Hendley.
  18. https://www.scribd.com/doc/244158795/American-Encore-Statewide-Dual-Frame-Survey-Among-600-Arizona-LVs-ToPLINE-DATA-4 The Polling Company
  19. http://www.azfree.org/latest-poll-shows-ducey-up-7-over-duval-brnovich-expands-lead-over-rotellini/ Tarrance Group
  20. https://www.scribd.com/doc/243747779/AZ-Gov-McLaughlin-Associates-for-RAGA-Oct-2014 McLaughlin & Associates
  21. http://azcapitoltimes.com/news/2014/10/10/az-governors-race-poll-shows-democrat-fred-duval-ahead-while-republican-doug-ducey-leads-most-others/-4 Moore Information
  22. https://www.scribd.com/doc/242522808/October-9-2014-American-Encore-Statewide-Dual-Frame-Survey-Among-600-Arizona-LVs-ToPLINE-DATA-for-Release-4 The Polling Company
  23. http://archive.azcentral.com/ic/pdf/memo-election-poll.pdf Tarrance Group
  24. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_AZ_304.pdf Public Policy Polling
  25. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts. The Daily Kos. 20 March 2024.