2013 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election explained

Election Name:2013 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
Country:Ontario
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Year:1996
Next Year:2020
Election Date:January 26, 2013
Candidate1:Kathleen Wynne
3Data1:1,150
(57.04%)
4Data1:597
(28.65%)
Candidate2:Sandra Pupatello
3Data2:866
(42.96%)
4Data2:599
(28.74%)
Candidate3:Gerard Kennedy
3Data3:Withdrew
4Data3:281
(13.48%)
Candidate4:Harinder Takhar
3Data4:Eliminated
4Data4:235
(11.28%)
Candidate5:Charles Sousa
3Data5:Withdrew
4Data5:222
(10.65%)
3Data6:Eliminated
4Data6:150
(7.20%)
Leader
Before Election:Dalton McGuinty
After Election:Kathleen Wynne
Party:Ontario Liberal Party
Year:2013
Date:January 26, 2013
Location:Maple Leaf Gardens, Toronto
(Mattamy Athletic Centre,
Ryerson University)
Numcands:7
Ballots:3
Entryfee:$50,000
Spendcap:$500,000

The 2013 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, held on January 26, 2013, at Maple Leaf Gardens in Toronto,[1] elected Kathleen Wynne as the new leader[2] of the Ontario Liberal Party, replacing Dalton McGuinty, who announced his resignation on October 15, 2012. With the Liberals forming the Ontario government, Wynne consequently became Premier of Ontario. After leading a minority government for 18 months, she called an election after the defeat of her government's budget and she led her party to a renewed majority government in June 2014.

Background

Premier Dalton McGuinty announced his pending resignation as leader of the Liberal Party on October 15, 2012, citing a desire to bring new blood to the party leadership.[3] McGuinty also, citing the political "logjam" in Ontario, prorogued the Legislative Assembly.[4]

Rules and procedures

Under the procedure outlined by the party's constitution, the leader was to be chosen in a traditional delegated leadership convention in which up to 2,283 delegates were eligible to vote, made up of 1,712 elected delegates (16 elected by proportional representation in each of the 107 provincial riding associations), 419 ex officio delegates (current and former Liberal MPPs, defeated candidates from the last election, riding association presidents, party executive officers and other party officials, and federal Liberal MPs for Ontario) 144 youth delegates from 18 campus clubs and eight delegates representing the Women's Commission. Riding delegates ran on the slate of a leadership candidate or as independents, in the case of the former they were required to vote for that candidate on the first ballot but were free to change their support subsequently.[5] [6] Balloting at convention continued until one candidate received a majority of ballots cast.

There was a $50,000 entry fee and $500,000 spending limit not including the 25% of all money raised by candidates which had to be turned over to the party in order to pay for the convention. Candidates were not permitted to accumulate more than $100,000 in debt.[1] Nomination papers had to be signed by at least 250 party members. The registration fee for delegates was between $249 and $599.[7]

44,421 party members were eligible to vote in the selection of delegates.[5] Of these, less than 15,000 had been members when McGuinty announced his departure; 27,206 were recruited by the leadership campaigns before November 24.[8]

Timeline

Candidates

Eric Hoskins

Eric Hoskins is the MPP for St. Paul's (2009–2018); Minister of Citizenship and Immigration (2010–2011); Minister of Children and Youth Services (2011–2012); Former President of War Child Canada

Date campaign launched: November 13, 2012[12]

Campaign website:

Members signed up: Not disclosed[8]

Elected delegates: 104[13]

Gerard Kennedy

Gerard Kennedy is a former candidate for the Ontario Liberal leadership in 1996; MPP for Parkdale—High Park (1996–2006); Minister of Education (2003–2006); Candidate for the federal Liberal leadership in 2006; MP for Parkdale—High Park (2008–2011)

Date campaign launched: November 12, 2012[14]

Campaign website:

Members signed up: 5,000[8]

Elected delegates: 257[13]

Sandra Pupatello

Sandra Pupatello is the former MPP for Windsor West (1995–2011); Minister of Community and Social Services (2003–2006); Minister of Education (2006); Minister of Economic Development and Innovation (2006–2008; 2009–2011); Minister of International Trade and Investment (2008–2009); Director of business and global markets at PricewaterhouseCoopers (2011–2012)

Date campaign launched: November 8, 2012[15]

Campaign website:

Members signed up: 4,000[8]

Elected delegates: 504[13]

Charles Sousa

Charles Sousa is the MPP for Mississauga South (2007–2018); Minister of Labour (2010–2011); Minister of Citizenship and Immigration (2011–2012)

Date campaign launched: November 10, 2012[16]

Campaign website:

Members signed up: 6,000[8]

Elected delegates: 198[13]

Harinder Takhar

Harinder Takhar is the MPP for Mississauga—Erindale (2003–2018); Minister of Transportation (2003–2006; Minister of Consumer Services (2006–2009); Minister of Government Services (2009–2012)

Date campaign announced: November 22, 2012[17]

Campaign website:

Members signed up: 4,000[8]

Elected delegates: 244[13]

Kathleen Wynne

Kathleen Wynne is the MPP for Don Valley West (2003–present), Minister of Education (2006–2010); Minister of Transportation (2010–2011); Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing and Aboriginal Affairs (2011–2012); Toronto District School Board Trustee Ward 8 (2000–2003)

Date campaign launched: November 5, 2012

Campaign website:

Members signed up: 8,000[8]

Elected delegates: 463[13]

Withdrew prior to convention

Glen Murray

Background: MPP for Toronto Centre (2010–present), Minister of Research and Innovation (2010–2011); Minister of Training, Colleges and Universities (2011–2012); CEO of the Canadian Urban Institute (2007–2010); Mayor of Winnipeg (1998–2004)

Date campaign launched: November 4, 2012[18]

Date of withdrawal: January 10, 2013

Endorsed: Kathleen Wynne

Campaign website:

Supporters

Members signed up: 3,000[8]

Declined to run

Opinion polling

All Ontarians

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Forum Research
Sample size: 644
January 23–24, 2013Gerard Kennedy
33%
Sandra Pupatello
26%
Kathleen Wynne
25%
Eric Hoskins 11%, Charles Sousa 3%, Harinder Takhar 1%
Forum Research
Sample size: 425
December 17, 2012Gerard Kennedy
36%
Kathleen Wynne
23%
Sandra Pupatello
20%
Glen Murray 9%, Eric Hoskins 7%, Charles Sousa 3%, Harinder Takhar 1%
Forum Research
Sample size: 1,127
November 27–28, 2012Gerard Kennedy
16%
Sandra Pupatello
10%
Kathleen Wynne
8%
Eric Hoskins 3%, Glen Murray 2%, Charles Sousa 2%, Harinder Takhar 2%, None of these 30%, Don't know 27%
Innovative Research Group
Sample size: 600
October 17–22, 2012Dwight Duncan
5%
Kathleen Wynne
5%
Deb Matthews
3%
David McGuinty 3%, Jim Watson 2%, Eric Hoskins 1%, Glen Murray 1%, Yasir Naqvi 1%, Charles Sousa 1%, John Wilkinson 0%, Someone else / other 10%, Don't know 42%, None / no one / refused 26%

Liberal supporters only

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Forum Research
Sample size: 215
January 23–24, 2013Gerard Kennedy
33%
Sandra Pupatello
28%
Kathleen Wynne
27%
Eric Hoskins 6%, Charles Sousa 4%, Harinder Takhar 3%
Forum Research
Sample size: 149
December 17, 2012Gerard Kennedy
29%
Sandra Pupatello
26%
Kathleen Wynne
22%
Glen Murray 11%, Eric Hoskins 9%, Charles Sousa 3%, Harinder Takhar 0%
Forum Research
Sample size: 313
November 27–28, 2012Gerard Kennedy
25%
Sandra Pupatello
16%
Kathleen Wynne
13%
Eric Hoskins 3%, Charles Sousa 3%, Harinder Takhar 3%, Glen Murray 2%, None of these 6%, Don't know 29%

Results

Delegate selection meetings

A total of 1,857 delegates were elected from Ontario's 107 electoral districts (1,712), and from the Ontario Liberal Party's 18 youth and 8 women's clubs (141). The delegates were selected over the weekend of January 12–13, with 896 elected on January 12 from the 905 region and northern and eastern Ontario and 957 elected on January 13 from Toronto and southwestern Ontario. Most of these delegates elected were pledged to support one of the leadership candidates on the first ballot at the January 25 convention, while some were independents who could vote for whomever they chose at the convention. An additional 419 ex-officio delegates were eligible to vote at the convention by virtue of party and elected offices they have held.[33]

Convention results

= Eliminated from next round

= Withdrew nomination

= Winner

Delegate support by ballot
CandidateCommitted[34] Ballot 1Ballot 2Ballot 3
NameVotesVotesVotes+/- (pp)Votes+/- (pp)
Sandra Pupatello 509
27.4%
599
28.74%
817
39.4%
+10.7 866
43.0%
+5.8%
Kathleen Wynne 468
25.2%
597
28.65%
750
36.2%
+7.6 1,150
57.0%
+20.8
Gerard Kennedy 260
14.0%
281
13.5%
285
13.7%
+0.2 Endorsed Wynne
Harinder Takhar 244
13.1%
235
11.3%
18
0.9%
-10.4 Endorsed Pupatello
Charles Sousa 204
11.0%
222
10.7%
203
9.8%
-0.9 Endorsed Wynne
Eric Hoskins 105
5.7%
150
7.2%
Endorsed Wynne
Independent 67
3.6%
Glen Murray Endorsed Wynne
Votes cast and net change by ballot
Total 1,857 2,084 2,073 -11 2,016 -57

Takhar endorsed Pupatello before the second ballot voting took place, but after the deadline to drop off the ballot.

Notes and References

  1. News: Ferguson. Rob. Ontario Liberal leadership convention coming to Maple Leaf Gardens. October 29, 2012. Toronto Star. October 29, 2012.
  2. http://www.macleans.ca/2013/01/28/ontarios-incoming-premier-vows-to-work-with-opposition-avoid-elections-2/ Maclean's
  3. News: Dalton McGuinty resigns and prorogues legislature . CBC News . October 15, 2012 . October 15, 2012.
  4. News: Karen Howlett . Adrian Morrow . Paul Waldie . Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty resigns . October 15, 2021 . The Globe and Mail . October 15, 2012.
  5. News: Weekend delegate vote will define the leadership race. Toronto Star. January 11, 2013.
  6. News: Benzie. Robert. Dalton McGuinty: Premier wants new leader picked 'sooner rather than later'. October 17, 2012. Toronto Star. October 17, 2012.
  7. News: Benzie. Robert. Ontario Liberal leadership: 2,500 delegates will determine the next premier of Ontario. November 17, 2012. Toronto Star. November 15, 2012.
  8. News: Benzie. Robert. Ontario Liberal leadership: Race to replace McGuinty has tripled Grit ranks. December 20, 2012. Toronto Star. November 24, 2012.
  9. News: Ontario Liberals to hold leadership convention in January. October 21, 2012. CBC News. October 21, 2012.
  10. News: Benzie. Robert. Liberals to choose new premier Jan. 25. October 21, 2012. Toronto Star. October 21, 2012.
  11. http://www.ontarioliberal.ca/leadership Ontario Liberal News
  12. News: Hoskins to enter Ontario Liberal leadership race today. November 13, 2012. CBC News. November 13, 2012.
  13. News: Sandra Pupatello leads Kathleen Wynne after weekend delegate voting. January 16, 2013. Toronto Star. January 14, 2012.
  14. News: Benzie. Robert. Gerard Kennedy promises to be 'different' if he takes Grit helm. November 12, 2012. Toronto Star. November 12, 2012.
  15. News: Babbage. Maria. Outspoken former cabinet minister Pupatello launches Ontario Liberal leadership bid. November 8, 2012. Globe and Mail. November 8, 2012.
  16. News: Former immigration minister Charles Sousa joins Liberal leader race. April 3, 2021. Hamilton Spectator. November 10, 2012.
  17. News: Harinder Takhar becomes 7th contender in race for McGuinty's job. November 22, 2012. Toronto Star. November 22, 2012.
  18. News: Glen Murray seeks leadership of Ontario Liberal Party. November 4, 2012. CBC News. November 4, 2012.
  19. News: Murray. Glen. Kevin Flynn MPP Supports Glen Murray for Ontario Premier. https://archive.today/20130115124318/http://www.renewliberal.ca/news/releases/kevinflynnmppsupportsglenmurrayforontariopremier. January 15, 2013. December 10, 2012. www.renewliberal.ca. December 10, 2012. dead.
  20. News: Canadian Press. Chris Bentley to quit politics. October 26, 2012. CBC News. October 26, 2012.
  21. News: Canadian Press. MPPs reluctant to declare leadership ambitions to replace McGuinty. https://archive.today/20130119173531/http://www.citytv.com/toronto/citynews/news/local/article/231397. dead. January 19, 2013. October 16, 2012. City News. October 16, 2012.
  22. News: Would-be Ontario Liberal leadership candidates dropping out fast. November 1, 2012. Toronto Star. November 1, 2012.
  23. http://www.newstalk1010.com/News/localnews/blogentry.aspx?BlogEntryID=10460823 Report: Glen Murray to promise tax cuts, tuition breaks in Liberal leadership bid
  24. News: Franzios . Katie . Caplan Eyeing Liberal Leadership: Sources . November 4, 2012 . Newstalk 1010 . October 26, 2012.
  25. News: Chiarelli endorses Pupatello for Liberal leadership race, blasts Hudak. October 26, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20130308100127/http://metronews.ca/news/ottawa/417988/chiarelli-endorses-pupatello-for-liberal-leadership-race-blasts-hudak/. March 8, 2013. dead.
  26. News: Jenkins. Jonathan. Brad Duguid won't run for Ontario Liberal party leadership. October 31, 2012. Toronto Sun. October 31, 2012.
  27. News: Finance Minister Dwight Duncan won't seek Ontario Liberal leadership job – retiring from politics. October 24, 2012. Toronto Star. October 24, 2012.
  28. News: Ferguson. Rob. Deb Matthews bows out of race to replace Dalton McGuinty. November 7, 2012. Toronto Star. November 7, 2012.
  29. https://ottawacitizen.com/touch/story.html?id=7423492 Naqvi won't run for Liberal leader
  30. News: Purvis. Michael. Orazietti decides against run for Liberal leadershi. October 26, 2012. Sault Star. October 26, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20140326013318/http://www.saultstar.com/2012/10/26/orazietti-decides-against-run-for-liberal-leadership. March 26, 2014. dead.
  31. News: Scarpitti not ruling out run at Liberal leadership, York chair. April 3, 2021. yorkregion.com. November 2, 2012.
  32. News: Chubb. Christine. Smitherman bows out of Liberal leadership race. October 31, 2012. CityNews. October 31, 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20121101043206/http://www.citytv.com/toronto/citynews/news/local/article/233765--smitherman-bows-out-of-liberal-leadership-race. November 1, 2012. dead.
  33. https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1314312--ontario-liberals-voting-begins-in-pursuit-of-mcguinty-s-successor Ontario Liberals: Voting begins in pursuit of McGuinty’s successor
  34. http://pantone201.ca/olp/2013LeadershipElectionMeetingsResults.pdf Leadership Election Meeting Results 2013