| Election Name: | 2013 Bavarian state election |
| Country: | Bavaria |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 Bavarian state election |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2018 Bavarian state election |
| Next Year: | 2018 |
| Seats For Election: | All 180 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria |
| Majority Seats: | 91 |
| Turnout: | 11,812,965 (63.6%)[1] 5.7% |
| Election Date: | 15 September 2013 |
| Leader1: | Horst Seehofer |
| Party1: | Christian Social Union in Bavaria |
| Last Election1: | 92 seats, 43.4% |
| Seats1: | 101 |
| Popular Vote1: | 5,632,272 |
| Seat Change1: | 9 |
| Percentage1: | 47.7% |
| Swing1: | 4.3% |
| Leader2: | Christian Ude |
| Party2: | Social Democratic Party of Germany |
| Last Election2: | 39 seats, 18.6% |
| Seats2: | 42 |
| Popular Vote2: | 2,436,515 |
| Seat Change2: | 3 |
| Percentage2: | 20.6% |
| Swing2: | 2.0% |
| Leader4: | Hubert Aiwanger |
| Party4: | Free Voters of Bavaria |
| Last Election4: | 21 seats, 10.2% |
| Seats4: | 19 |
| Popular Vote4: | 1,062,244 |
| Seat Change4: | 2 |
| Percentage4: | 9.0% |
| Swing4: | 1.2% |
| Leader5: | Margarete Bause |
| Party5: | Alliance 90/The Greens |
| Last Election5: | 19 seats, 9.4% |
| Seats5: | 18 |
| Popular Vote5: | 1,018,652 |
| Seat Change5: | 1 |
| Percentage5: | 8.6% |
| Swing5: | 0.8% |
| Map Size: | 300px |
| Minister-President | |
| Posttitle: | Minister-President designate |
| Before Election: | Horst Seehofer |
| Before Party: | Christian Social Union in Bavaria |
| After Election: | Horst Seehofer |
| After Party: | Christian Social Union in Bavaria |
The 2013 Bavarian state election was held on 15 September 2013 to elect the 180 members of the 17th Landtag of Bavaria. It was held one week before the 2013 German federal election. The CSU regained the absolute majority it had lost in 2008, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP), a member of the outgoing governing coalition, fell below the 5% electoral threshold and lost all its seats.[2] Minister-President Horst Seehofer continued in office.
This election was the last election in which a single party got an absolute majority in a state parliament until the 2022 Saarland state election. The CSU previously held an absolute majority, and therefore governed alone, from 1966 to 2008 and again from 2013 to 2018. Previously, even in the late 1990s, it was common that either the CDU/CSU or the SPD got an absolute majority in a state election. For example, this happened in Brandenburg in 1994, 1998 in Lower Saxony and 1999 in Saxony.
The table below lists parties represented in the 16th Landtag of Bavaria.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2008 result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| CSU | Christian Social Union in Bavaria | Christian democracy | Horst Seehofer | 43.4% | |||
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany | Social democracy | Christian Ude | 18.6% | |||
| FW | Free Voters of Bavaria | Regionalism | Hubert Aiwanger | 10.2% | |||
| Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens | Green politics | Margarete Bause | 9.4% | |||
| FDP | Free Democratic Party | Classical liberalism | Martin Zeil | 8.0% | |||
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CSU | SPD | FW | Grüne | FDP | Linke | Piraten | Others | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 state election | data-sort-value="2013-09-15" | 15 Sep 2013 | – | 47.7 | 20.6 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 27.1 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2013-09-12" | 4–5 Sep 2013 | ~1,000 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | data-sort-value="2013-09-06" | 3–5 Sep 2013 | 1,010 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 4 | – | – | 10 | 28 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2013-09-05" | 3–5 Sep 2013 | 1,006 | 47 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | – | 8 | 26 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2013-09-03" | 30 Aug – 2 Sep 2013 | 1,009 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 29 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2013-08-28" | 23–24 Aug 2013 | 1,000 | 48 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 30 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2013-07-17" | 11–15 Jul 2013 | 1,004 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 3 | – | 6 | 29 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2013-07-11" | 8–10 Jul 2013 | 1,007 | 47 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 28 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2013-07-10" | 4–6 Jul 2013 | 1,000 | 47 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 28 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | data-sort-value="2013-06-14" | 10–12 Jun 2013 | 1,009 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 13 | 4 | – | – | 7 | 26 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2013-06-11" | 3–10 Jun 2013 | 1,309 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 26 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2013-05-28" | 8–25 May 2013 | 1,102 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 26 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2013-05-02" | 28–30 Apr 2013 | 1,008 | 47 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | ||
| INSA | data-sort-value="2013-04-22" | 15–17 Apr 2013 | 1,005 | 49 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | 31 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2013-03-06" | 4–15 Feb 2013 | 1,004 | 48 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ? | 27 | ||
| TNS Infratest | data-sort-value="2013-02-12" | 28 Jan – 6 Feb 2013 | 1,001 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 27 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2013-02-10" | 5–7 Feb 2013 | 1,001 | 48 | 20 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | ? | 28 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2013-01-15" | ? | ? | 48 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ? | 28 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2013-01-10" | 17 Dec 2012–8 Jan 2013 | 1,119 | 46 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 28 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2013-01-09" | 3–7 Jan 2013 | 1,000 | 47 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 28 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2012-12-15" | 4–7 Dec 2012 | 1,100 | 49 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | ? | 4 | ? | 27 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2012-11-20" | 22–30 Oct 2012 | ? | 48 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | ? | 28 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2012-10-19" | 16–18 Oct 2012 | 1,007 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 28 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-10-14" | 26 Sep – 10 Oct 2012 | 1,001 | 48 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 27 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-09-18" | ? | ? | 47 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 26 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-08-13" | 27–30 Jul 2012 | 1,000 | 46 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 26 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2012-07-17" | June 2012 | 1,000 | 46 | 19 | 6/8 | 10 | 4 | ? | 9/7 | ? | 27 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2012-07-04" | 21–29 Jun 2012 | 1,150 | 43 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 20 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-06-24" | 20–21 Jun 2012 | 1,000 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 22 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-04-20" | 16–18 Apr 2012 | 1,000 | 46 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 26 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2012-03-24" | 15–20 Mar 2012 | 1,001 | 46 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 26 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2012-01-04" | 2–3 Jan 2012 | 1,000 | 44 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 23 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2012-01-04" | 30 Dec 2011–3 Jan 2012 | 1,002 | 42 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-12-21" | December 2012 | 1,000 | 44 | 21 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | ? | 23 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2011-12-11" | 26 Oct – 25 Nov 2011 | 1,002 | 41 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-09-25" | September 2011 | ? | 43 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 3 | – | 6 | 23 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-09-06" | 31 Aug – 1 Sep 2011 | 1,000 | 44 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 4 | ? | – | ? | 26 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2011-08-31" | 15–26 Aug 2011 | 1,007 | 41 | 21 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 4 | – | 5 | 20 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2011-06-10" | 6–8 Jun 2011 | 1,002 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 4 | – | 7 | 23 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-06-10" | 6–8 Jun 2011 | 1,000 | 45 | 15 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 4 | – | 4 | 25 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-03-20" | 11–17 Mar 2011 | 1,000 | 46 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 4 | – | 5 | 29 | ||
| Forsa | data-sort-value="2011-01-19" | 4–14 Jan 2011 | 1,048 | 40 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 4 | – | 6 | 20 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2011-01-12" | 6–10 Jan 2011 | 1,000 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 29 | ||
| Emnid | data-sort-value="2011-01-04" | 10–12 Dec 2010 | 1,001 | 45 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 5 | – | 5 | 27 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2010-01-13" | 7–12 Jan 2010 | 1,001 | 41 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 3 | – | 5 | 24 | ||
| 2009 federal election | data-sort-value="2009-09-27" | 27 Sep 2009 | – | 42.6 | 16.8 | ? | 10.8 | 14.7 | 6.5 | ? | 8.6 | 25.8 | ||
| Infratest dimap | data-sort-value="2009-01-14" | 8–11 Jan 2009 | 1,000 | 45 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 3 | – | 4 | 28 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2009-01-07" | 4–5 Jan 2009 | 1,002 | 45 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 4 | – | 6 | 26 | ||
| GMS | data-sort-value="2008-12-17" | 12–17 Dec 2008 | 1,002 | 45 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 4 | – | 6 | 26 | ||
| 2008 state election | data-sort-value="2008-09-28" | 28 Sep 2008 | – | 43.4 | 18.6 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 4.3 | – | 6.1 | 24.8 |
The CSU regained an absolute majority of the seats, which they had lost in the 2008 election after 50 years of single-party government. The FDP, which had governed with the CSU since 2008, fell below the 5% threshold and lost all its seats. SPD, the Greens and Free Voters remained in opposition. A record number of 14.1% of the votes cast went unrepresented in the Landtag because of the 5% threshold.