2012 Vermont gubernatorial election explained
| Election Name: | 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| Country: | Vermont |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2010 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| Previous Year: | 2010 |
| Next Election: | 2014 Vermont gubernatorial election |
| Next Year: | 2014 |
| Image1: | File:Peter Shumlin (cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Peter Shumlin |
| Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote1: | 170,749 |
| Percentage1: | 57.80% |
| Nominee2: | Randy Brock |
| Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Popular Vote2: | 110,940 |
| Percentage2: | 37.55% |
| Governor |
| Before Election: | Peter Shumlin |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| After Election: | Peter Shumlin |
| After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.
Democratic nomination
Candidates
Republican nomination
Candidates
Declined
Progressive nomination
Candidates
- Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)
General election
Candidates
- Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
- Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
- Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
- Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
- Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent
Debates
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|
| align=left | The Cook Political Report[10] | | November 1, 2012 |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | | November 5, 2012 |
| align=left | Rothenberg Political Report[12] | | November 2, 2012 |
| align=left | Real Clear Politics[13] | | November 5, 2012 | |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Randy
Brock (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Castleton Polling[14] | August 11–21, 2012 | 477 | ± 4.5% | align=center | 60% | 26% | 13% |
| Vermont Business Magazine[15] | May 7–16, 2012 | 607 | ± 4.0% | align=center | 60% | 27% | 11% |
| Public Policy Polling[16] | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 51% | 29% | 20% | |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Brian
Dubie (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 48% | 40% | 12% | |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Thom
Lauzon (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 52% | 25% | 23% | |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Tom
Salmon (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 50% | 31% | 18% | |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Phil
Scott (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 50% | 33% | 17% | |
| Poll source | Date(s)
administered | class=small | Sample
size | Margin of
error | Peter
Shumlin (D) | Mark
Snelling (R) | Undecided |
|---|
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | 1,233 | ± 2.8% | align=center | 50% | 29% | 21% | |
Results
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
See also
External links
Campaign sites (Archived)
Notes and References
- Web site: Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid. June 12, 2012. June 12, 2012. Vermont Public Radio.
- Web site: Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid. December 7, 2011. December 11, 2011. VTDigger.org. Anne. Galloway.
- Web site: Brock to run for governor. December 7, 2011. December 11, 2011. WCAX. Susie. Steimle. https://web.archive.org/web/20120406101612/http://www.wcax.com/story/16207108/brock-to-announce-political-plans-today. April 6, 2012. dead.
- Web site: Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre. December 21, 2011. February 15, 2012. Vermont Today. Darren. Marcy. Cristina. Kumka.
- Web site: Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor. April 25, 2012. April 27, 2012. The Burlington Free Press. Terri. Hallenbeck.
- Web site: Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor. September 23, 2011. September 24, 2011. The Burlington Free Press. Nancy. Remsen.
- Web site: Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now. May 21, 2012. May 23, 2012. Seven Days. Paul. Heintz.
- News: A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012. November 13, 2011. February 15, 2012. USA Today. Alicia. McCarty.
- Web site: Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor. June 13, 2012. June 23, 2012. VTDigger.org. Taylor. Dobbs.
- Web site: 2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012 . The Cook Political Report . November 30, 2018.
- Web site: PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 30, 2018 . December 1, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181201094552/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/ . dead .
- Web site: 2012 Gubernatorial Ratings . Gubernatorial Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . November 30, 2018.
- Web site: 2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races . Real Clear Politics . November 30, 2018.
- https://web.archive.org/web/20130723103611/http://www.castleton.edu/polling/aug12/8-22-12results.htm Castleton Polling
- https://web.archive.org/web/20120522161611/http://www.wcax.com/story/18579959/poll-shumlin-would-win-gubernatorial-race Vermont Business Magazine
- http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VT_0803513.pdf Public Policy Polling
