| Election Name: | 2012 Colorado Republican caucuses |
| Country: | Colorado |
| Type: | presidential |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2008 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses |
| Previous Year: | 2008 |
| Next Election: | 2016 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses |
| Next Year: | 2016 |
| Outgoing Members: | NV |
| Elected Members: | MN |
| Image1: | Rick Santorum by Gage Skidmore.jpg |
| Candidate1: | Rick Santorum |
| Home State1: | Pennsylvania |
| Delegate Count1: | 6 |
| Popular Vote1: | 26,614 |
| Percentage1: | 40.3% |
| Map Size: | 250px |
| Candidate2: | Mitt Romney |
| Home State2: | Massachusetts |
| Delegate Count2: | 14 |
| Popular Vote2: | 23,012 |
| Percentage2: | 34.9% |
| Image5: | Ron Paul by Gage Skidmore 3 (crop 2).jpg |
| Candidate5: | Ron Paul |
| Home State5: | Texas |
| Delegate Count5: | 4 |
| Popular Vote5: | 7,759 |
| Percentage5: | 11.8% |
| Image4: | Newt Gingrich by Gage Skidmore 3 (cropped).jpg |
| Candidate4: | Newt Gingrich |
| Home State4: | Georgia |
| Delegate Count4: | 0 |
| Popular Vote4: | 8,445 |
| Percentage4: | 12.8% |
| Color1: | 008000 |
| Color2: | ff6600 |
| Color5: | ffcc00 |
| Color4: | 800080 |
The 2012 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses took place on 7 February 2012. It was part of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.
The Republican caucuses were held on "Republican Party Precinct Caucus Day" (February 7, 2012).[1] Caucus locations opened on 9 PM, February 7, 2012,[2] with 36 delegates at stake; 33 of which are tied to the caucuses while 3 are unpledged RNC delegates.[3] The event occurred alongside the Minnesota Republican caucuses as well the Missouri Republican primary. The race was widely expected to be won by Mitt Romney even on the day of the caucus, but a strong surge by Rick Santorum across all three races that day carried him to a close victory. However, the delegates were not legally bound to follow voter preferences, and most voted for Romney.
See also: Colorado Caucus. The Colorado legislature adopted the caucus system in a special session called by Governor John F. Shafroth in August 1910 as part of a package of progressive reforms. It was seen as a way to limit the power of party bosses and to attract more grassroots involvement. The caucus system was abolished in favor of presidential primaries in 1992 but restored in 2002 with the defeat of Amendment 29[4] and cost considerations. The fully restored Colorado Caucus was in 2004.[5]
Of the candidates in the 2008 Colorado Republican presidential caucuses, two candidates - Mitt Romney and Ron Paul - would return to contest the state in once again 2012. In 2008, these candidates had won 60.11% and 8.42% of the vote respectively.[6]
Polling in 2010 and 2011 showed mixed results, with Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich being the favoured candidate depending on the poll. Polls leading up to election day showed Romney as the frontrunner.
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucus resultsTurnout: 66,091 | Feb. 7, 2012 | Rick Santorum 40.3% | Mitt Romney34.9% | Newt Gingrich12.8% | Ron Paul 11.8%, Rick Perry 0.1%, Jon Huntsman 0.1%, Michele Bachmann 0.0%, Others 0.1% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±3.2%Sample size: 938 | Feb. 4–6, 2012 | Mitt Romney 37% | Rick Santorum27% | Newt Gingrich21% | Ron Paul 13%, Someone else/Not sure 2% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±4.3%Sample size: 527 | Feb. 4, 2012 | Mitt Romney 40% | Rick Santorum26% | Newt Gingrich18% | Ron Paul 12%, Someone else/Not sure 3% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±4.4%Sample size: 500 | Dec. 1–4, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 37% | Mitt Romney18% | Michele Bachmann9% | Ron Paul 6%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Gary Johnson 1%, Undecided 16% | |||
| Project New West/Keating ResearchMargin of error: ±7.2%Sample size: – | Sep. 19–22, 2011 | Mitt Romney 24% | Rick Perry 20% | Michele Bachmann7% | Newt Gingrich 7%, Herman Cain 5%, undecided 19% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±5.5%Sample size: 314 | Aug. 4–7, 2011 | Rick Perry 20% | Mitt Romney 20% | Michele Bachmann12% | Sarah Palin 11%, Ron Paul 8%, Herman Cain 7%, Newt Gingrich 6%, Tim Pawlenty 3%, Jon Huntsman 2%, someone else/undecided 11% | |||
| Mitt Romney 22% | Rick Perry 21% | Michele Bachmann15% | Newt Gingrich 9%, Ron Paul 7%, Tim Pawlenty 6%, Herman Cain 5%, Jon Huntsman 2%, someone else/undecided 13% | |||||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±4.9%Sample size: 400 | Feb. 4–6, 2011 | Mitt Romney 19% | Mike Huckabee 16% | Sarah Palin 16% | Newt Gingrich 12%, Ron Paul 9%, Tim Pawlenty 7%, John Thune 4%, Mitch Daniels 3%, someone else/undecided 16% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±5.3%Sample size: 341 | Oct. 30–31, 2010 | Mitt Romney 22% | Newt Gingrich 17% | Sarah Palin 17% | Mike Huckabee 14%, Tim Pawlenty 6%, Mike Pence 3%, John Thune 2%, Mitch Daniels 1%, someone else/undecided 18% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±4.6%Sample size: 448 | May 14–16, 2010 | Sarah Palin 29% | Mitt Romney 25% | Mike Huckabee18% | Newt Gingrich 16%, Ron Paul 9%, undecided 3% | |||
| Public Policy PollingMargin of error: ±4.4%Sample size: 497 | Mar. 5–8, 2010 | Mitt Romney 44% | Sarah Palin25% | Mike Huckabee17% | Undecided 14% |
| Colorado Republican caucus, February 7, 2012[7] | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Projected delegate count | Convention Results [8] [9] | ||||
| MSNBC[10] | GP[11] | |||||||
| Rick Santorum | 26,614 | 40.31% | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||
| Mitt Romney | 23,012 | 34.85% | 13 | 14 | 13 | |||
| Newt Gingrich | 8,445 | 12.79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Ron Paul | 7,759 | 11.75% | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Rick Perry | 52 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Jon Huntsman | 46 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Michele Bachmann | 28 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Others | 71 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Unprojected delegates: | 14 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Unpledged delegates: | 0 | 16 | 17 | |||||
| Totals: | 66,027 | 100.00% | 36 | 36 | 36 | |||
| Key: | align:"center" bgcolor=DDDDDD | Withdrew prior to contest |
There is no formal system of allocating delegates to candidates in any step of the election process. At each meeting the participants decides what the best course of action is.
None of the 36 delegates are legally bound to vote for a candidate.[12]
| Convention Results[13] | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | State | Party leaders | Total | |
| Uncommitted | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Mitt Romney | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Rick Santorum | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 21 | 12 | 3 | 36 | |||||||
The Colorado caucuses were held on the same day as elections in Minnesota and Missouri. All three contests broke for Santorum. This was seen as undermining Romney's status as frontrunner.[14]