2012 Basque regional election explained

Election Name:2012 Basque regional election
Country:Basque Country
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2009 Basque regional election
Previous Year:2009
Next Election:2016 Basque regional election
Next Year:2016
Seats For Election:All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
Majority Seats:38
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:1,775,351 0.0%
Turnout:1,135,568 (64.0%)
0.7 pp
Election Date:21 October 2012
Leader1:Iñigo Urkullu
Party1:Basque Nationalist Party
Leader Since1:2 December 2007
Leaders Seat1:Biscay
Last Election1:30 seats, 38.1%
Seats1:27
Seat Change1:3
Popular Vote1:384,766
Percentage1:34.2%
Swing1:3.9 pp
Leader2:Laura Mintegi
Party2:EH Bildu
Leader Since2:2 July 2012
Leaders Seat2:Biscay
Last Election2:5 seats, 9.6%
Seats2:21
Seat Change2:16
Popular Vote2:277,923
Percentage2:24.7%
Swing2:15.1 pp
Leader3:Patxi López
Party3:PSE–EE (PSOE)
Leader Since3:23 March 2002
Leaders Seat3:Álava
Last Election3:25 seats, 30.4%
Seats3:16
Seat Change3:9
Popular Vote3:212,809
Percentage3:18.9%
Swing3:11.5 pp
Leader4:Antonio Basagoiti
Party4:People's Party of the Basque Country
Leader Since4:12 July 2008
Leaders Seat4:Biscay
Last Election4:13 seats, 13.9%
Seats4:10
Seat Change4:3
Popular Vote4:130,584
Percentage4:11.6%
Swing4:2.3 pp
Leader5:Gorka Maneiro
Party5:Union, Progress and Democracy
Leader Since5:2008
Leaders Seat5:Álava
Last Election5:1 seat, 2.1%
Seats5:1
Seat Change5:0
Popular Vote5:21,539
Percentage5:1.9%
Swing5:0.2 pp
Lehendakari
Before Election:Patxi López
Before Party:PSE–EE (PSOE)
After Election:Iñigo Urkullu
After Party:Basque Nationalist Party

The 2012 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 21 October 2012, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia. Lehendakari Patxi López announced the parliament's dissolution half a year ahead of schedule as a result of the People's Party (PP) withdrawing their support from his government,[1] prompting Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who had been scheduling a snap election in Galicia to be held at some point throughout late 2012, to make his decision to have a simultaneous vote.[2]

The election saw a heavy defeat for the ruling Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), with the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) retaining first place with a slightly diminished support. In the first electoral campaign without ETA—the band had announced a "definitive cessation of its armed activity" in October 2011[3] —the abertzale left experienced a major breakthrough under the EH Bildu label nine years after the illegalization of Batasuna, obtaining a record result with 21 seats and 24.7% of the share.[4] The PP deepened on its long-term decline and, with 11.6% and 10 seats, scored its worst result since 1990,[5] while Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) retained its single seat in parliament. Altogether, the bloc formed by the PSE–EE, PP and UPyD which had supported López in 2009 was reduced from 39 to 27 seats.[6] [7]

Iñigo Urkullu of the PNV became the new lehendakari, forming a minority government with the sole support of his party after over three years in opposition.[8] Under Urkullu, the PNV would see an ideological realignment from former lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe's sovereigntist stance and confrontational style towards more moderate, pragmatic and big tent positions.[9] [10]

Overview

Electoral system

The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[11] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Basques abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[12]

The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[11] [13]

Election date

The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 1 March 2009, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 1 March 2013. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 5 February 2013, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 31 March 2013.[11] [13]

The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[14]

The People's Party (PP), on whose confidence and supply the López's government relied, withdrew their support in May 2012 claiming "difficulties in finding meeting points" with the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), leaving López in a clear minority.[15] While initially intending to reach the end of the legislature,[16] mounting pressure from both the PP and the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) led López to announce on 21 August that he would be dissolving parliament and call a snap election for 21 October 2012 over an impossibility to keep carrying out the government's legislative agenda.[17] [18]

The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 28 August 2012 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOPV, setting the election date for 21 October.[19]

Background

Following the 2009 regional election, Patxi López of the PSE–EE became lehendakari through a confidence and supply agreement with the PP,[20] [21] bringing an end to 30 years of uninterrupted rule by the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) and sending the party to opposition in the regional parliament for the first time since the Spanish transition to democracy.[22] The local PSE–PP alliance endured the historical rivalry at the national level between the two parties,[23] [24] despite suffering from frequent clashes as the PP set out a series of conditions for maintaining their support,[25] [24] as well as a steady opposition from the PNV.[26] In May 2012, some months after winning the 2011 Spanish general election and forming the new Spanish government, the PP terminated the alliance in retaliation to the PSOE's opposition to Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's reform agenda,[27] [28] prompting Patxi López to announce a snap regional election for October 2012.[1]

On 5 September 2010, ETA declared a ceasefire at a time when it found itself militarily weakened by police action—the group had been unable to stage any attack in Spanish territory since 9 August 2009—and beleaguered by infighting, distrust in the operational capacities and reliability of its members and pressures from abertzale left groups (which were being kept politically outlawed by Spanish courts) for the band to stop the killings.[29] [30] [31] On 10 January 2011, ETA proclaimed its will for the September 2010 ceasefire to be "permanent, general and verifiable" by international observers.[32] [33] Three days after the Donostia-San Sebastián International Peace Conference held on 17 October 2011, ETA would announce a "definitive cessation of its armed activity".[34]

In April 2011, following the illegalization of Sortu in March—perceived as a continuation of Batasuna, the banned political branch of the ETA terrorist group—Eusko Alkartasuna (EA), Alternatiba and groups and independent individuals from the abertzale left formed a coalition named Bildu to contest the incoming 2011 local elections.[35] [36] [37] Despite an early ruling by the Supreme Court on 2 May which barred Bildu from contesting,[38] the Constitutional Court overturned the ban and allowed the coalition to run in the elections,[39] in which it secured a major breakthrough by obtaining 25.6% and a majority of town councillors in the Basque Country.[40] [41] Aralar would join the coalition in late 2011 ahead of the 20 November general election under the Amaiur umbrella,[42] which came second in the Basque Country with 24.1% of the vote, behind the PNV with 27.4%; in seats, however, Amaiur came out in top with six against the PNV's five.[43] Subsequently, the four main groups that constituted Amaiur, namely Sortu—which would be legalized by the Constitutional Court in June 2012[44] —EA, Alternatiba and Aralar, announced the establishment of EH Bildu as a joint electoral list ahead of the next Basque regional election,[45] with Laura Mintegi being nominated as the alliance's candidate for lehendakari.[46]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[47]

Parliamentary composition in August 2012[48]
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
Basque Nationalists Parliamentary GroupEAJ/PNV3030
Basque Socialists Parliamentary GroupPSE–EE (PSOE)2525
Basque People's Parliamentary GroupPP1313
Aralar Parliamentary GroupAralar44
Mixed GroupEA13
EzAn–IU1
UPyD1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[13] [49]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious result
Votes (%)Seats
EAJ/PNVIñigo UrkulluBasque nationalism
Christian democracy
Conservative liberalism
38.14%[50]
PSE–EE
(PSOE)
Patxi LópezSocial democracy30.36%[51]
PPAntonio BasagoitiConservatism
Christian democracy
13.95%[52]
EH BilduLaura MintegiBasque independence
Abertzale left
Socialism
9.62%
EB–BRaquel ModubarSocialism
Social democracy
Democratic socialism
3.47%[53]
UPyDGorka ManeiroSocial liberalism
Radical centrism
2.12%[54]
IU–LVMikel AranaSocialism
Communism
[55]
[56]
[57]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred Lehendakari

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 21 October 2012 Basque Parliament election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)384,766 34.16 –3.9827 –3
Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu)1277,923 24.67 +15.0521 +16
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE))212,809 18.89 –11.4716 –9
People's Party (PP)130,584 11.59 –2.3610 –3
United Left–The Greens: Plural Left (IU–LV)30,318 2.69 New0 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)21,539 1.91 –0.211 ±0
United Left–Greens (EB–B)17,345 1.54 –1.930 –1
Equo Greens–Basque Ecologists (Equo)211,625 1.03 +0.490 ±0
Blank Seats (EB/AZ)11,480 1.02 New0 ±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ATTKAA)4,066 0.36 +0.220 ±0
Hartos.org (Hartos.org)2,831 0.25 New0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J)2,476 0.22 –0.070 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)1,113 0.10 +0.060 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV)821 0.07 –0.030 ±0
Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI)778 0.07 –0.040 ±0
Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)684 0.06 New0 ±0
Basque Communists–Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (EK–PCPE)442 0.04 New0 ±0
Welcome (Ongi Etorri)101 0.01 New0 ±0
Community Integration Party (PYC)59 0.01 New0 ±0
Blank ballots14,640 1.30 +0.20
Total1,126,400 75 ±0
Valid votes1,126,400 99.18 +7.98
Invalid votes9,168 0.81 –7.98
Votes cast / turnout1,135,568 63.96 –0.72
Abstentions639,783 36.04 +0.72
Registered voters1,775,351
Sources[98]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPNVEH BilduPSE–EEPPUPyD
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Álava25.5721.7619.3618.753.51
Biscay37.91121.2618.7511.731.8
Gipuzkoa31.6931.8919.058.421.4
Total34.22724.72118.91611.6101.91
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →12 December 201213 December 2012
Required majority →38 out of 75Simple
Absentees
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. News: 21 August 2012 . Patxi López convoca elecciones para que los vascos elijan un "modelo" anticrisis . es . . 21 August 2012.
  2. News: 27 August 2012 . Feijóo justifica el adelanto electoral para "no crear más inestabilidad" . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  3. News: 20 October 2011 . Basque group Eta says armed campaign is over . . 20 October 2011.
  4. News: 21 October 2012 . El PNV gana las elecciones sin mayoría y Bildu desplaza al PSE como segunda fuerza política . es . . 9 February 2020.
  5. News: 21 October 2012 . El PP obtiene su peor resultado en unas autonómicas desde 1990 . es . . 9 February 2020.
  6. News: 21 October 2012 . El desplome del PSOE y Feijóo rescatan a Rajoy ante el reto soberanista en Euskadi . es . El País . 21 October 2012.
  7. News: 22 October 2012 . Elecciones vascas 2012: El PNV gana las elecciones con 27 escaños . es . . 9 February 2020.
  8. News: 13 December 2012 . Urkullu, elegido lehendakari . es . . 9 February 2020.
  9. News: 24 September 2012 . La moderación de Urkullu inquieta . es . El País . 15 February 2020.
  10. News: 9 September 2016 . Íñigo Urkullu, la calma que llegó tras Ibarretxe . es . ABC . 15 February 2020.
  11. Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco] ]. Organic Law . 3 . es . 18 December 1979 . 17 July 2017.
  12. Web site: Reig Pellicer . Naiara . 16 December 2015 . Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote . cafebabel.co.uk . 17 July 2017.
  13. Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco . Law . 5 . es . 15 June 1990 . 17 July 2017.
  14. Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno . Law . 7 . es . 30 June 1981 . 17 July 2017.
  15. News: 7 May 2012 . Crisis de Gobierno en Euskadi, el PP retira su apoyo a Patxi López . es . . 9 February 2020.
  16. News: 20 June 2012 . Patxi López afirma que las elecciones vascas serán "cuando tocan" . es . RTVE . 9 February 2020.
  17. News: 7 May 2012 . El PNV pide al lehendakari que se someta a una cuestión de confianza . es . . 9 February 2020.
  18. News: 21 August 2012 . Patxi López adelanta las elecciones vascas al 21 de octubre y critica el "torpedeo" de PP y PNV . es . RTVE . 9 February 2020.
  19. Boletín Oficial del País Vasco . 167 . 28 August 2012 . 2483-5366 . Decreto 12/2012, de 27 de agosto, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones . es.
  20. News: 12 March 2009 . El PP entrega a Patxi López su apoyo para que presida el Gobierno vasco . es . . 9 February 2020.
  21. News: 30 March 2009 . El pacto del PSE-PP garantiza cuatro años de gobierno de Patxi López . es . El País . 9 February 2020.
  22. News: 9 March 2009 . Más de 650 altos cargos temen por su puesto si el PNV sale del Gobierno vasco . es . El Correo . 9 February 2020.
  23. News: 14 August 2009 . Patxi López dice que el pacto con el PP está 'blindado y aislado' de disputas . es . La Vanguardia . 9 February 2020.
  24. News: 18 April 2011 . Patxi López: El pacto de Gobierno PSE-PP goza de 'estupenda' salud . es . El Mundo . 9 February 2020.
  25. News: 17 May 2010 . El pacto PSE-PP estaría en peligro si el Gobierno negocia con ETA . es . . 9 February 2020.
  26. News: 31 May 2010 . El PNV busca reventar el pacto PSE-PP en el Ejecutivo vasco . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 9 February 2020.
  27. News: 20 May 2012 . Los desencuentros de un pacto . es . El País . 9 February 2020.
  28. News: 7 May 2012 . Basagoiti da por terminado el pacto con Patxi López y pide un adelanto electoral en Euskadi . es . RTVE . 9 February 2020.
  29. News: 6 September 2010 . ETA proclama otro alto el fuego . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  30. News: 6 September 2010 . ETA decreta el alto el fuego presionada, acorralada y dividida . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  31. News: 6 September 2010 . Gobierno y partidos ven "insuficiente" el anuncio de alto el fuego de ETA . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  32. News: 10 January 2011 . ETA anuncia un alto el fuego "permanente, general y verificable" . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  33. News: 27 March 2011 . ETA se muestra dispuesta a una verificación "informal" de su tregua . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  34. News: 20 October 2011 . ETA pone fin a 43 años de terror . es . El País . 14 February 2020.
  35. News: 8 March 2011 . Cronología del proceso de la ilegalización de Sortu . es . El País . 12 February 2020.
  36. News: 23 March 2011 . El Supremo acuerda ilegalizar Sortu por solo dos votos de diferencia . es . El País . 12 February 2020.
  37. News: 26 March 2011 . Sortu intenta burlar la ilegalización con una coalición llamada Bildu . es . El País . 12 February 2020.
  38. News: 2 May 2011 . El Tribunal Supremo deja a Bildu fuera de las elecciones . es . . 12 February 2020.
  39. News: 5 May 2011 . El Constitucional da vía libre a Bildu para acudir a las elecciones . es . El País . 12 February 2020.
  40. News: 23 May 2011 . Bildu, segunda fuerza política del País Vasco . es . El Mundo . 12 February 2020.
  41. News: 22 May 2011 . Bildu, primera fuerza política del País Vasco en número de concejales . es . Cadena SER . 12 February 2020.
  42. News: 2 October 2011 . La izquierda abertzale presenta su nueva marca, Amaiur, para las elecciones generales . es . RTVE . 12 February 2020.
  43. News: 21 November 2011 . Amaiur logra siete escaños y el PNV pierde uno pero se mantiene como fuerza vasca más votada . es . RTVE . 12 February 2020.
  44. News: 20 June 2012 . El Tribunal Constitucional legaliza Sortu y le impone límites frente a las víctimas . es . El País . 12 February 2020.
  45. News: 10 June 2012 . La nueva marca electoral de los soberanistas vascos es EHBildu . es . El País . 21 October 2012.
  46. News: 2 July 2012 . Laura Mintegi será la candidata a lehendakari de la coalición Euskal Herria Bildu . es . La Vanguardia . 2 July 2012.
  47. Web site: Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 24 December 2023.
  48. Web site: Parliamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - IX Legislatura . es . . 24 December 2023.
  49. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  50. News: 5 July 2012 . Urkullu tras ser elegido candidato a lehendakari: 'Euskadi pide cambio' . es . El Mundo . 9 February 2020.
  51. News: 2 September 2012 . Patxi López afirma que se presenta 'para ganar' . es . EiTB . 9 February 2020.
  52. News: 12 May 2012 . Basagoiti es reelegido presidente del PP vasco con un 92,5% de los votos . es . La Vanguardia . 9 February 2020.
  53. News: 7 September 2012 . La abogada santurtziarra Raquel Modubar será la candidata a lehendakari de EB . es . El Mundo . 9 February 2020.
  54. News: 1 July 2012 . UPyD elige a Gorka Maneiro como candidato a lehendakari . es . El Correo . 30 January 2020.
  55. News: 31 March 2012 . Izquierda Unida acuerda que Ezker Anitza sea su 'único referente' en Euskadi . es . El Mundo . 9 February 2020.
  56. News: 7 September 2012 . Lara (IU) respalda a Mikel Arana (Ezker Anitza) como candidato a lehendakari . es . eldiario.es . 9 February 2020.
  57. News: 2 October 2012 . Mikel Arana, líder de Ezker Anitza-IU, impulsa una nueva etapa más allá de la escisión de EB . es . RTVE . 9 February 2020.
  58. Web site: EAJ/PNV gana las Elecciones en la CAV / Euskadi - 2012 parlamentaria . es . El Otro Lado . 21 October 2012.
  59. Web site: Spanish exit polls: Sampling error or nonresponse bias? . Revista Internacional de Sociología . 23 August 2016.
  60. Web site: Ganaría el PNV e intentaría gobernar solo sin mayoría . https://web.archive.org/web/20121018000346/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/2356-ganaria-el-pnv-e-intentaria-gobernar-solo-sin-mayoria . dead . 18 October 2012 . es . La Razón . 15 October 2012 . 24 October 2012 .
  61. Web site: Encuesta de intención de voto (reparto de escaños y % de voto) . es . Naiz . 14 October 2012.
  62. Web site: El PNV cosecha un tercio de los votos y Bildu, casi la cuarta parte . es . El Mundo . 13 October 2012.
  63. Web site: El PNV ganará las elecciones en Euskadi, según el ObSERvatorio . es . Cadena SER . 15 October 2012.
  64. Web site: Estudio preelectoral del País Vasco (15/10/2012) . es . MyWord . 15 October 2012.
  65. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 13 October 2012.
  66. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 12 October 2012.
  67. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 11 October 2012.
  68. Web site: El PNV gana sin mayoría suficiente y en Gipuzkoa acorta distancias con EH Bildu . es . Diario Vasco . 13 October 2012.
  69. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 10 October 2012.
  70. Web site: Estudio preelectoral. Elecciones Autonómicas 2012 (Octubre 2012) . es . Basque Government . 13 October 2012.
  71. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 8 October 2012.
  72. Web site: PNV y Bildu se mantienen en cabeza . https://web.archive.org/web/20121013235353/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/3298-pnv-y-bildu-se-mantienen-en-cabeza . dead . 13 October 2012 . es . La Razón . 8 October 2012 . 24 October 2012 .
  73. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 7 October 2012.
  74. Web site: El PNV ganaría las elecciones sin un margen suficiente que le asegure acceder a Ajuria Enea . https://web.archive.org/web/20121015163703/http://www.noticiasdegipuzkoa.com/2012/10/13/politica/euskadi/el-pnv-ganaria-las-elecciones-sin-un-margen-suficiente-que-le-asegure-acceder-a-ajuria-enea . dead . 15 October 2012 . es . Noticias de Gipuzkoa . 13 October 2012.
  75. Web site: El PNV ganaría las elecciones sin un margen suficiente que le asegure acceder a Ajuria Enea . es . Deia . 13 October 2012.
  76. Web site: Intención de voto . es . Naiz . 5 October 2012.
  77. Web site: Encuesta de intención de voto (reparto de escaños y % de voto) . es . Naiz . 4 October 2012.
  78. Web site: Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas, 2012 (Estudio nº 2959. Septiembre 2012) . es . CIS . 5 October 2012.
  79. Web site: El PP revalidaría su mayoría en Galicia y el PNV volvería a ganar en Euskadi . es . La Vanguardia . 6 October 2012.
  80. Web site: EHBildu gana hasta dos escaños en perjuicio de PNV y PSOE . https://web.archive.org/web/20120926233941/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7935-ehbildu-gana-hasta-dos-escanos-en-perjuicio-de-pnv-y-psoe . dead . 26 September 2012 . es . La Razón . 24 September 2012 . 24 October 2012 .
  81. Web site: El PNV se mantiene como el partido más votado . https://web.archive.org/web/20120920185233/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/6988-el-pnv-se-mantiene-como-el-partido-mas-votado . dead . 20 September 2012 . es . La Razón . 17 September 2012 . 24 October 2012 .
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