| Election Name: | 2011 Murcian regional election |
| Country: | Region of Murcia |
| Type: | parliamentary |
| Ongoing: | no |
| Previous Election: | 2007 Murcian regional election |
| Previous Year: | 2007 |
| Next Election: | 2015 Murcian regional election |
| Next Year: | 2015 |
| Seats For Election: | All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia |
| Majority Seats: | 23 |
| Opinion Polls: |
|
| Registered: | 974,998 |
| Turnout: | 662,086 (67.9%) 0.1 pp |
| Election Date: | 22 May 2011 |
| Leader1: | Ramón Luis Valcárcel |
| Party1: | People's Party of the Region of Murcia |
| Leader Since1: | 5 October 1991 |
| Leaders Seat1: | Three |
| Last Election1: | 29 seats, 58.3% |
| Seats1: | 33 |
| Seat Change1: | 4 |
| Popular Vote1: | 382,871 |
| Percentage1: | 58.8% |
| Swing1: | 0.5 pp |
| Leader2: | Begoña García Retegui |
| Party2: | Socialist Party of the Region of Murcia |
| Leader Since2: | 3 October 2010 |
| Leaders Seat2: | Three |
| Last Election2: | 15 seats, 32.0% |
| Seats2: | 11 |
| Seat Change2: | 4 |
| Popular Vote2: | 155,506 |
| Percentage2: | 23.9% |
| Swing2: | 8.1 pp |
| Leader3: | José Antonio Pujante |
| Party3: | United Left–Greens of the Region of Murcia |
| Leader Since3: | April 2005 |
| Leaders Seat3: | Three |
| Last Election3: | 1 seat, 6.3% |
| Seats3: | 1 |
| Seat Change3: | 0 |
| Popular Vote3: | 50,988 |
| Percentage3: | 7.8% |
| Swing3: | 1.5 pp |
| Map Size: | 350px |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Ramón Luis Valcárcel |
| Before Party: | People's Party of the Region of Murcia |
| After Election: | Ramón Luis Valcárcel |
| After Party: | People's Party of the Region of Murcia |
The 2011 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which obtained its best result ever in the Region. With over 70% of the seats (33), it obtained thrice the number of seats of the second most voted party, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which plummeted to just below 24% and 11 seats. The PP had won its first election in 1995, and under Ramón Luis Valcárcel it had achieved an absolute majority of seats and votes in all elections held ever since.
All in all, the PP gained four seats from the PSOE, with United Left (IU) holding its solitary seat but gaining ground, increasing its % of the share from 6.3% to 7.8%. The 5% regional threshold prevented Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) from winning a seat as, although it polled 5.3% in District Three, its vote in the entire Murcian region was 4.5%.
The Regional Assembly of Murcia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Murcia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Murcian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]
Voting for the Regional Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Region of Murcia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Murcians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[2] The 45 members of the Regional Assembly of Murcia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:
Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of one seat, with the remaining 40 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[3]
The term of the Regional Assembly of Murcia expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Regional Assembly on Sunday, 22 May 2011.[1] [3] [4]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Regional Assembly of Murcia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the Region of Murcia, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3] [4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||||||
| PP | Ramón Luis Valcárcel | Conservatism Christian democracy | 58.30% | [5] | ||||||
| PSOE | Begoña García Retegui | Social democracy | 32.00% | [6] | ||||||
| IU–V–RM | José Antonio Pujante | Socialism Communism Eco-socialism | 6.25% | [7] [8] | ||||||
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 regional election | 22 May 2011 | 67.9 | 58.8 | 23.9 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 34.9 | ||
| CEMOP[9] [10] | 5–10 May 2011 | 1,201 | ? | 59.8 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 33.9 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[11] | 3–10 May 2011 | ? | ? | 59.9 | 27.8 | ? | – | 32.1 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[12] | 7 May 2011 | ? | ? | 59.1 | 26.2 | 8.3 | – | 32.9 | |
| NC Report/La Razón[13] | 25 Apr 2011 | ? | ? | 59.6 | 28.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 31.6 | |
| Celeste-Tel/Terra[14] | 13–20 Apr 2011 | 400 | ? | 59.6 | 26.0 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 33.6 | |
| CIS[15] [16] | 17 Mar–17 Apr 2011 | 1,491 | ? | 61.8 | 26.0 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 35.8 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[17] [18] | 11–14 Apr 2011 | 500 | ? | 61.7 | 24.8 | 7.1 | – | 36.9 | |
| Ikerfel/Vocento[19] [20] | 4–14 Apr 2011 | 2,300 | ? | 59.6 | 26.9 | 6.6 | – | 32.7 | |
| IMAES/CEMOP[21] | 25 Mar–1 Apr 2011 | 900 | ? | 59.2 | 25.5 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 33.7 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[22] | 27–29 Dec 2010 | 500 | ? | 61.8 | 25.4 | 7.3 | – | 36.4 | |
| IMAES/CEMOP[23] | 21–26 Oct 2010 | 600 | ? | 63.4 | 21.9 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 41.5 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[24] | 2–4 May 2010 | 700 | ? | 62.7 | 26.8 | 4.6 | – | 35.9 | |
| TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP[25] | 22–28 Apr 2010 | 603 | ? | 61.7 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 37.2 | |
| Consultores CSA/La Verdad[26] | 29 Nov 2009 | 1,111 | ? | 60.0 | 31.3 | 5.2 | – | 28.7 | |
| Synovate/CEMOP[27] | 26 Oct–6 Nov 2009 | 1,094 | 68.3 | 61.5 | 28.5 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 33.0 | |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | 48.0 | 61.5 | 29.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 31.7 | ||
| Synovate/CEMOP[28] | 21–26 Apr 2009 | 608 | 58.3 | 61.1 | 29.0 | 4.4 | 3.4 | 32.1 | |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | 79.6 | 61.2 | 32.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 28.3 | ||
| 2007 regional election | 27 May 2007 | 68.0 | 58.3 | 32.0 | 6.3 | – | 26.3 | ||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | |||
| People's Party (PP) | 382,871 | 58.79 | +0.49 | 33 | +4 | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 155,506 | 23.88 | –8.12 | 11 | –4 | ||
| United Left–Greens of the Region of Murcia (IU–V–RM) | 50,988 | 7.83 | +1.58 | 1 | ±0 | ||
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 29,279 | 4.50 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| The Greens of the Region of Murcia–Ecolo (LV–Ecolo) | 7,659 | 1.18 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) | 3,930 | 0.60 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Party for the Regeneration of Democracy in Spain (PRDE) | 1,177 | 0.18 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Employment Business Party (PEE) | 1,057 | 0.16 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| National Democracy (DN) | 856 | 0.13 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Renewed United Democratic Centre (CDUR) | 834 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) | 824 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Communist Unification of Spain (UCE) | 719 | 0.11 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| State Reform of Nostradamus (REN) | 621 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| The Phalanx (FE) | 488 | 0.07 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Republican Platform–Republican Coalition of the Region of Murcia (PRCR) | 220 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Citizens' Convergence of the South-East (CCSE) | 182 | 0.03 | New | 0 | ±0 | ||
| Blank ballots | 14,050 | 2.16 | +0.83 | ||||
| Total | 651,261 | 45 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | 651,261 | 98.37 | –0.87 | ||||
| Invalid votes | 10,825 | 1.63 | +0.87 | ||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 662,086 | 67.91 | –0.10 | ||||
| Abstentions | 312,912 | 32.09 | +0.10 | ||||
| Registered voters | 974,998 | ||||||
| Sources[29] [30] [31] | |||||||
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | IU–V–RM | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S | data-sort-type="number" | % | data-sort-type="number" | S |
| One | 57.2 | 5 | 26.7 | 2 | 9.6 | − | |||||
| Two | 60.8 | 8 | 21.4 | 2 | 6.9 | − | |||||
| Three | 59.9 | 15 | 22.0 | 5 | 7.5 | 1 | |||||
| Four | 53.2 | 3 | 33.9 | 1 | 7.9 | − | |||||
| Five | 52.3 | 2 | 29.0 | 1 | 10.2 | − | |||||
| Total | 58.8 | 33 | 23.9 | 11 | 7.8 | 1 | |||||
| Sources | |||||||||||
| Investiture Ramón Luis Valcárcel (PP) | |||
| Ballot → | 22 June 2011 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 23 out of 45 | ||
| Abstentions | |||
| Absentees | |||
| Sources | |||
| Investiture Alberto Garre (PP) | |||
| Ballot → | 8 April 2014 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 23 out of 45 | ||
| Abstentions | |||
| Sources | |||