2011 Madrilenian regional election explained

Election Name:2011 Madrilenian regional election
Country:Madrid
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2007 Madrilenian regional election
Previous Year:2007
Next Election:2015 Madrilenian regional election
Next Year:2015
Seats For Election:All 129 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
Majority Seats:65
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:4,622,750
Turnout:2,993,235 (65.9%)
1.4 pp
Election Date:22 May 2011
Leader1:Esperanza Aguirre
Party1:People's Party of the Community of Madrid
Leader Since1:16 October 2002
Last Election1:67 seats, 53.3%
Seats1:72
Seat Change1:5
Popular Vote1:1,548,306
Percentage1:51.7%
Swing1:1.6 pp
Leader2:Tomás Gómez
Party2:Socialist Party of Madrid
Leader Since2:27 July 2007
Last Election2:42 seats, 33.6%
Seats2:36
Seat Change2:6
Popular Vote2:786,297
Percentage2:26.3%
Swing2:7.3 pp
Leader3:Gregorio Gordo
Party3:IUCMLV
Colour3:732021
Leader Since3:20 March 2009
Last Election3:11 seats, 8.9%
Seats3:13
Seat Change3:2
Popular Vote3:287,707
Percentage3:9.6%
Swing3:0.7 pp
Leader4:Luis de Velasco
Party4:Union, Progress and Democracy
Leader Since4:23 October 2010
Last Election4:Did not contest
Seats4:8
Seat Change4:8
Popular Vote4:189,055
Percentage4:6.3%
Swing4:New party
President
Before Election:Esperanza Aguirre
Before Party:People's Party of the Community of Madrid
After Election:Esperanza Aguirre
After Party:People's Party of the Community of Madrid

The 2011 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 9th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 129 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which had formed the regional government since the 1995 election. Overall, the PP under incumbent President Esperanza Aguirre won 72 seats, although the party's overall vote share decreased. In contrast, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) under former Mayor of Parla Tomás Gómez had their worst result in terms of votes and seats up until that date. The third largest party, United Left (IU), polled their highest share of the vote since 1995, whereas Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD), a party formed after the 2007 election, surpassed the 5% threshold and entered the Assembly for the first time.

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Madrid was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Madrilenians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish; Castilian: Voto rogado).[2]

All members of the Assembly of Madrid were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. The Assembly was entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.[1] [3]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Assembly being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 22 May 2011.[1] [3] [4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution.[5] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3] [4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious result
Votes (%)Seats
PPEsperanza AguirreConservatism
Christian democracy
53.29%
PSOETomás GómezSocial democracy33.57%
IUCMLVGregorio GordoSocialism
Communism
8.86%
UPyDLuis de VelascoSocial liberalism
Radical centrism

Campaign

Election debates

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 65 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (61 until 1 January 2010).

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Assembly of Madrid election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
People's Party (PP)1,548,306 51.73 –1.5672 +5
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)786,297 26.27 –7.3036 –6
United Left of the Community of MadridThe Greens (IUCM–LV)287,707 9.61 +0.7513 +2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)189,055 6.32 New8 +8
Ecolo–Greens (Ecolo)129,116 0.97 –0.140 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)19,220 0.64 New0 ±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)15,897 0.53 +0.300 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J)10,330 0.35 +0.180 ±0
The Phalanx (FE)6,424 0.21 +0.120 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)5,656 0.19 +0.050 ±0
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)4,879 0.16 New0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)3,935 0.13 +0.070 ±0
Spanish Alternative (AES)3,690 0.12 –0.050 ±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG)3,435 0.11 +0.060 ±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)3,169 0.11 New0 ±0
Castilian Party (PCAS)1,722 0.06 New0 ±0
Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD)1,639 0.05 New0 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)1,300 0.04 New0 ±0
Blank ballots71,458 2.39 +0.66
Total2,993,235 129 +9
Valid votes2,993,235 98.32 –1.23
Invalid votes51,114 1.68 +1.23
Votes cast / turnout3,044,349 65.86 –1.45
Abstentions1,578,401 34.14 +1.45
Registered voters4,622,750
Sources[44] [45]

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators[46] sorted by order of election.

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture processes to elect the President of the Community of Madrid required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 48 hours later requiring of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If none of such majorities were achieved, successive candidate proposals could be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Investiture
Esperanza Aguirre (PP)
Ballot →15 June 2011
Required majority →65 out of 129
Abstentions
Absentees
Sources

2012 investiture

On 17 September 2012, Esperanza Aguirre announced her resignation as President of the Community of Madrid, being succeeded by Ignacio González.

Investiture
Ignacio González (PP)
Ballot →26 September 2012
Required majority →65 out of 129
Abstentions
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 3/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad de Madrid . Organic Law . 3 . es . 25 February 1983 . 22 February 2017.
  2. Web site: Reig Pellicer . Naiara . 16 December 2015 . Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote . cafebabel.co.uk . 17 July 2017.
  3. Ley 11/1986, de 16 de diciembre, Electoral de la Comunidad de Madrid . Law . 11 . es . 16 November 1986 . 22 February 2017.
  4. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  5. Ley 5/1990, de 17 de mayo, reguladora de la facultad de disolución de la Asamblea de Madrid por el Presidente de la Comunidad . Law . 5 . es . 17 May 1990 . 14 September 2017.
  6. News: 6 May 2011 . Gordo, Gómez y Aguirre intervendrán el mismo tiempo en el debate de Telemadrid . es . El Mundo . 6 May 2023.
  7. News: 9 May 2011 . Unos 175.000 madrileños siguieron el debate, cuyo pico de audiencia fue el cara a cara Gómez-Aguirre . es . Europa Press . 6 May 2023.
  8. Web site: Mayoría absoluta del PP en Comunidad y Ayuntamiento y UPyD accede a las instituciones . es . Telemadrid . 22 May 2011 . 26 May 2020 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150402115327/http://www.telemadrid.es/?q=noticias%2Felecciones-2011-portada%2Fnoticia%2Fmayoria-absoluta-del-pp-en-comunidad-y-ayuntamiento-y-upyd- . 2 April 2015 . dead .
  9. Web site: El PP blinda sus feudos . es . La Razón . 16 May 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110916131058/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/6468-el-pp-blinda-sus-feudos . 16 September 2011 .
  10. Web site: Esperanza Aguirre seguiría imbatible y UPyD podría entrar en la Asamblea de Madrid . es . ForoCoches . 16 May 2011.
  11. Web site: El PSOE se hunde en Madrid mientras el PP aumenta su mayoría absoluta . es . El País . 2 May 2011.
  12. Web site: El PP aumenta su mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad de Madrid (El País) . es . Electómetro . 2 May 2011 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110504202856/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/el-pp-aumenta-su-mayoria-absoluta-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid-el-pais/ . 4 May 2011 .
  13. Web site: El PP amplía su mayoría absoluta en Madrid . es . COPE . 28 April 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110501123349/http://www.cope.es/espana/28-04-11--el-pp-amplia-su-mayoria-absoluta-en-madrid-240662-1 . 1 May 2011 .
  14. Web site: El escándalo del 'caso Gürtel' no pasa factura electoral a Aguirre . es . Público . 2 May 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110826104038/http://www.publico.es/espana/373844/el-escandalo-del-caso-gurtel-no-pasa-factura-electoral-a-aguirre . 26 August 2011 .
  15. Web site: El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad de Madrid y en Sevilla . es . Antena 3 . 2 May 2011.
  16. Web site: Encuesta de TNS para Antena 3 y Onda Cero. Elecciones 22M. Expectativas electorales en la Comunidad de Madrid . es . TNS Demoscopia . 2 May 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20120626070852/http://www.tns-global.es/docs/docs_soluciones_456.pdf . 26 June 2012 .
  17. Web site: Los cuatro inexpugnables . es . La Razón . 25 April 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110426232342/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/6673-los-cuatro-inexpugnables . 2011-04-26 .
  18. Web site: Esperanza Aguirre conseguiría su tercera mayoría absoluta, más amplia que las dos anteriores . es . ForoCoches . 25 April 2011.
  19. Web site: El PP logrará más de la mitad de los votos . es . ABC . 9 May 2011.
  20. Web site: Esperanza Aguirre arrasaría en la Comunidad de Madrid . es . El Correo . 9 May 2011.
  21. Web site: Barómetro electoral autonómico . es . Celeste-Tel . 9 May 2011 .
  22. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales, 2011. Comunidad de Madrid y Ciudad de Madrid (Estudio nº 2871. Marzo-Abril 2011) . es . CIS . 5 May 2011.
  23. Web site: Rajoy se vuelca a por su billete a la Moncloa . es . La Vanguardia . 6 May 2011.
  24. Web site: El PSOE madrileño cosecharía el peor resultado de su historia . es . Intereconomía . 8 May 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110510225241/http://www.intereconomia.com/noticias-gaceta/politica/psoe-madrileno-cosecharia-peor-resultado-historia-20110507 . 10 May 2011 .
  25. Web site: IU crece a costa del PSOE en la Comunidad de Madrid (La Gaceta) . es . Electómetro . 8 May 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110511160938/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/iu-crece-a-costa-del-psoe-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid-la-gaceta/ . 11 May 2011 .
  26. Web site: Esperanza Aguirre arrasa al 'Invictus' Tomás Gómez . es . El Mundo . 25 April 2011.
  27. Web site: El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011 . es . El Mundo . 25 April 2011.
  28. Web site: El PP de Aguirre bate récord y dobla al PSM de Gómez . es . La Razón . 28 February 2011 . 1 March 2015 . 17 December 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111217063714/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/7423-el-pp-de-aguirre-bate-record-y-dobla-al-psm-de-gomez . dead .
  29. Web site: El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta más holgada de su historia en la Comunidad de Madrid (La Razón) . es . Electómetro . 28 February 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110303132417/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/el-pp-lograria-la-mayoria-absoluta-mas-holgada-de-su-historia-en-la-comunidad-de-madrid-la-razon/ . 3 March 2011 .
  30. Web site: Aguirre supera el triunfo histórico de 2007 . es . La Razón . 7 February 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20120314191300/http://larazon.es/noticia/9780-aguirre-supera-el-triunfo-historico-de-2007 . 14 March 2012 .
  31. Web site: UPyD podría irrumpir con 6 escaños en la Asamblea de Madrid (La Razón) . es . Electómetro . 7 February 2011 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110208224229/http://www.electometro.es/2011/02/upyd-podria-irrumpir-con-6-escanos-en-la-asamblea-de-madrid-la-razon/ . 8 February 2011 .
  32. Web site: El PP aumenta su mayoría en la Comunidad de Madrid y gana al PSOE por 24,7 puntos . es . ABC . 13 January 2011.
  33. Web site: Aguirre arrasa otra vez y aumenta su ventaja con el PSOE . es . El Mundo . 6 January 2011.
  34. Web site: Esperanza Aguirre conserva la mayoría absoluta y Tomás Gómez mejora . es . El País . 9 December 2010.
  35. Web site: Aguirre arrasa a Tomás Gómez . es . El Mundo . 10 October 2010.
  36. Web site: El tirón electoral de Trinidad Jiménez supera al de Gómez . es . El País . 12 September 2010.
  37. Web site: La apuesta de Zapatero se hunde y Aguirre refuerza su mayoría absoluta . es . El Mundo . 1 June 2010.
  38. Web site: Caso electoral histórico en más comunidades autónomas (El Mundo) . es . Electómetro . 1 June 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101021234054/http://www.electometro.es/2010/06/caso-electoral-historico-en-mas-comunidades-autonomas-el-mundo/ . 2010-10-21 . 2021-08-08 . live .
  39. Web site: Aguirre mejora su imagen de líder . es . El País . 2 May 2010.
  40. Web site: Aguirre pierde ventaja . es . Público . 19 April 2010 . bot: unknown . https://web.archive.org/web/20110521044853/http://www.publico.es/espana/306533/aguirre-pierde-ventaja . 21 May 2011 .
  41. Web site: El PP repetiría mayoría absoluta tanto en Madrid como en Valencia . es . El Mundo . 10 November 2009.
  42. Web site: La situación política y económica actual . es . El Mundo . 10 November 2009.
  43. Web site: El PP de Madrid lograría hoy la mayoría absoluta pese a los escándalos . es . El País . 2 May 2009.
  44. Web site: Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid (1983-2021) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 10 October 2021.
  45. Web site: 17 June 2011 . Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2011 . es . Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid . 10 October 2021.
  46. 1989-4791 . 142. 17 June 2011. Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2011. Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid. 150–152.