2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election explained

Election Name:2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
Country:Castilla–La Mancha
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2007 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
Previous Year:2007
Next Election:2015 Castilian-Manchegan regional election
Next Year:2015
Seats For Election:All 49 seats in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha
Majority Seats:25
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:1,566,641 4.0%
Turnout:1,189,986 (76.0%)
2.3 pp
Election Date:22 May 2011
Leader1:María Dolores de Cospedal
Party1:People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha
Leader Since1:14 June 2006
Leaders Seat1:Toledo
Last Election1:21 seats, 42.4%
Seats1:25
Seat Change1:4
Popular Vote1:564,954
Percentage1:48.1%
Swing1:5.7 pp
Leader2:José María Barreda
Party2:Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha
Leader Since2:29 April 2004
Leaders Seat2:Toledo
Last Election2:26 seats, 52.0%
Seats2:24
Seat Change2:2
Popular Vote2:509,738
Percentage2:43.4%
Swing2:8.6 pp
Map Size:300px
President
Before Election:José María Barreda
Before Party:Socialist Party of Castilla–La Mancha
After Election:María Dolores de Cospedal
After Party:People's Party of Castilla–La Mancha

The 2011 Castilian-Manchegan regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 49 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which had formed the government of the region since the first election in 1983, lost the vote to the opposition People's Party (PP) under María Dolores de Cospedal, which gained overall control of the Cortes for the first time. As a result of the election, Dolores de Cospedal replaced outgoing José María Barreda as President of the Junta of Communities of Castilla–La Mancha.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Castilian-Manchegan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Junta of Communities.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castilla–La Mancha and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Castilian-Manchegan people abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (es|Voto rogado).[2]

The 49 members of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Additionally, the use of the D'Hondt method might result in an effective threshold over three percent, depending on the district magnitude.[3] Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara and Toledo. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 10 for Albacete, 11 for Ciudad Real, 8 for Cuenca, 8 for Guadalajara and 12 for Toledo.[1] [4]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[4] [5] [6]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 22 May 2011.[1] [4] [5] [6]

The President of the Junta of Communities had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 25 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha (24 until 17 November 2007).

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
People's Party (PP)564,954 48.11 +5.7325 +4
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)509,738 43.40 –8.5624 –2
United Left of Castilla–La Mancha (IUCLM)44,302 3.77 +0.350 ±0
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)20,554 1.75 New0 ±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)4,128 0.35 New0 ±0
Castilian Party (PCAS)12,752 0.23 ±0.000 ±0
The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV)2,375 0.20 New0 ±0
Ecolo–Greens Guadalajara (Ecolo–V)1,673 0.14 New0 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)1,615 0.14 New0 ±0
Union of Independent Citizens of Toledo (UCIT)1,430 0.12 New0 ±0
Castilian Unity (UdCa)745 0.06 –0.050 ±0
Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD)507 0.04 New0 ±0
Blank ballots19,643 1.67 +0.39
Total1,174,416 49 +2
Valid votes1,174,416 98.69 –0.56
Invalid votes15,570 1.31 +0.56
Votes cast / turnout1,189,986 75.96 +2.22
Abstentions376,655 24.04 –2.22
Registered voters1,566,641
Sources[48] [49] [50]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPPPSOE
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Albacete48.4541.75
Ciudad Real46.1546.36
Cuenca47.4446.64
Guadalajara49.8538.03
Toledo49.1642.96
Total48.12543.424
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
María Dolores de Cospedal (PP)
Ballot →21 June 2011
Required majority →25 out of 49
Abstentions
Absentees
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Statute of Autonomy of Castilla–La Mancha of 1982 . Organic Law . 9 . . es . 10 August 1982 . 15 September 2017.
  2. Web site: Reig Pellicer . Naiara . 16 December 2015 . Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote . cafebabel.co.uk . 17 July 2017.
  3. Web site: Gallagher . Michael . 30 July 2012 . Effective threshold in electoral systems . https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php . dead . 30 July 2017 . Trinity College, Dublin . 22 July 2017.
  4. Castilla–La Mancha Electoral Law of 1986 . Law . 5 . Official Journal of Castilla–La Mancha . es . 23 December 1986 . 15 September 2017.
  5. General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 . Organic Law . 5 . . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  6. Web site: Representation of the people Institutional Act . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . Central Electoral Commission . 16 June 2017.
  7. Web site: El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones autonómicas en Castilla–La Mancha por 5,5 puntos . https://web.archive.org/web/20110520060621/http://www.cope.es/espana/16-05-11--el-partido-popular-ganaria-las-elecciones-autonomicas-en-castilla-la-mancha-por-5-5-puntos-243002-1 . dead . 20 May 2011 . es . COPE . 16 May 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  8. Web site: El PP ganará las elecciones autonómicas en Castilla–La Mancha (COPE) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110621063033/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/el-pp-ganara-las-elecciones-autonomicas-en-castilla-la-mancha-cope/ . dead . 21 June 2011 . es . Electómetro . 16 May 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  9. Web site: El PSOE de Barreda mantiene una reñida ventaja sobre el PP . https://web.archive.org/web/20110517100748/http://www.publico.es/espana/376475/el-psoe-de-barreda-mantiene-una-renida-ventaja-sobre-el-pp-elecciones2011 . dead . 17 May 2011 . es . Público . 16 May 2011.
  10. Web site: María Dolores de Cospedal sería la primera presidenta de Castilla La Mancha . es . Antena 3 . 14 May 2011.
  11. Web site: Cospedal, cerca de un triunfo histórico . es . El País . 15 May 2011.
  12. Web site: Estimación de resultado electoral en Castilla–La Mancha . es . El País . 15 May 2011.
  13. Web site: Cascos supera al PP en Asturias (El Mundo) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110519201744/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/cascos-supera-al-pp-en-asturias-el-mundo/ . dead . 19 May 2011 . es . Electómetro . 15 May 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  14. Web site: El PP doblega al PSOE a siete días de la cita electoral . https://web.archive.org/web/20110903131231/http://larazon.es/noticia/4003-el-pp-doblega-al-psoe-a-siete-dias-de-la-cita-electoral . dead . 3 September 2011 . es . La Razón . 15 May 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  15. Web site: Vuelco en Cantabria (La Razón) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110519203926/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/vuelco-en-cantabria-la-razon/ . dead . 19 May 2011 . es . Electómetro . 15 May 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  16. Web site: Cospedal, a un paso de derrotar a Barreda . https://web.archive.org/web/20110426232241/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/6158-cospedal-a-un-paso-de-derrotar-a-barreda . dead . 26 April 2011 . es . La Razón . 25 April 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  17. Web site: Al borde del vuelco . es . La Razón . 25 April 2011.
  18. Web site: Barómetro electoral autonómico . es . Celeste-Tel . 9 May 2011 .
  19. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2011. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla–La Mancha (Estudio nº 2877. Marzo-Abril 2011) . es . CIS . 5 May 2011.
  20. Web site: El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles . es . La Vanguardia . 6 May 2011.
  21. Web site: El PSOE perdería Castilla–La Mancha tras 28 años de gobierno (El Mundo) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110724051116/http://www.electometro.es/2011/04/cospedal-obtendria-mayoria-absoluta-en-castilla-la-mancha-el-mundo/ . dead . 24 July 2011 . es . Electómetro . 24 April 2011.
  22. Web site: Cospedal logra una victoria histórica para terminar con 28 años de socialismo . es . ABC . 8 May 2011.
  23. Web site: El PP arrebataría Castilla–La Mancha al PSOE y haría gobernar a Cospedal . es . El Correo . 8 May 2011.
  24. Web site: Castilla–La Mancha: el PP saca de 3 a 7 escaños al PSOE (Grupo Vocento) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110724051018/http://www.electometro.es/2011/05/castilla-la-mancha-el-pp-saca-de-3-a-7-escanos-al-psoe-grupo-vocento/ . dead . 24 July 2011 . es . Electómetro . 8 May 2011.
  25. Web site: Cospedal derribaría hoy a Barreda en Castilla–La Mancha . es . ABC . 8 March 2011.
  26. Web site: Castilla–La Mancha: Guadalajara clave para la victoria del PP (ABC) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110514140500/http://www.electometro.es/2011/03/castilla-la-mancha-guadalajara-clave-para-la-victoria-del-pp-abc/ . dead . 14 May 2011 . es . Electómetro . 8 March 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  27. Web site: La mala opinión en Castilla–La Mancha sobre Zapatero pone en apuros a Barreda . es . El País . 4 March 2011.
  28. Web site: El PSOE ganaría en Castilla–La Mancha por un escaño (sondeo propio) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110727073048/http://www.electometro.es/2011/03/el-psoe-ganaria-en-castilla-la-mancha-por-un-escano-sondeo-propio/ . dead . 27 July 2011 . es . Electómetro . 4 March 2011.
  29. Web site: Ciudad Real tiene la llave para designar al futuro presidente de Castilla–La Mancha . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 11 January 2011.
  30. Web site: El PSOE gana por un escaño al PP en Castilla–La Mancha (Celeste Tel) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110117175408/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/el-psoe-gana-por-un-escano-al-pp-en-castilla-la-mancha-celeste-tel/ . dead . 17 January 2011 . es . Electómetro . 11 January 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  31. Web site: El PP conquista los grandes feudos de los socialistas . https://web.archive.org/web/20110305113906/http://www.larazon.es/noticia/1719-el-pp-conquista-los-grandes-feudos-de-los-socialistas . dead . 5 March 2011 . es . La Razón . 22 January 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  32. Web site: El PP, a un paso de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y Castilla La Mancha (La Razón) . https://web.archive.org/web/20110126225812/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/el-pp-a-un-paso-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-en-andalucia-y-castilla-la-mancha-la-razon/ . dead . 26 January 2011 . es . Electómetro . 22 January 2011 . 13 April 2019.
  33. Web site: El PSOE cae en Castilla–La Mancha y el PP tendría hoy mayoría absoluta . es . ABC . 14 January 2011.
  34. Web site: Cospedal supera a Barreda en 6,3 puntos (El Mundo) . https://web.archive.org/web/20111106031618/http://www.electometro.es/2011/01/cospedal-supera-a-barreda-en-63-puntos-el-mundo/ . dead . 6 November 2011 . es . Electómetro . 5 January 2011.
  35. Web site: Encuesta del PP da ganadora a Cospedal sobre Barreda con ventaja de 5 escaños . es . El Diario Montañés . 7 November 2010 . 1 January 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180102012857/http://www.eldiariomontanes.es/agencias/20101107/mas-actualidad/nacional/encuesta-ganadora-cospedal-sobre-barreda_201011071148.html . 2 January 2018 . dead .
  36. Web site: El PP saca 5 escaños al PSOE en Castilla–La Mancha (encuesta del PP) . https://web.archive.org/web/20111106035451/http://www.electometro.es/2010/11/el-pp-saca-5-escanos-al-psoe-en-castilla-la-mancha-encuesta-del-pp/ . dead . 6 November 2011 . es . Electómetro . 7 November 2010.
  37. Web site: La última encuesta del PP le da vencedor en Castilla–La Mancha . es . El País . 24 October 2010.
  38. Web site: Castilla–La Mancha: Cospedal gana a Barreda (encuesta del PP) . https://web.archive.org/web/20111104043645/http://www.electometro.es/2010/10/castilla-la-mancha-cospedal-gana-a-barreda-encuesta-del-pp/ . dead . 4 November 2011 . es . Electómetro . 24 October 2010.
  39. Web site: Toledo garantizaría la victoria del PP en las elecciones autonómicas . es . ABC . 1 September 2010.
  40. Web site: El PSOE y Barreda ganarían las elecciones autonómicas si se celebraran hoy . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 28 June 2010.
  41. Web site: Ciudad Real decidirá las elecciones en Castilla–La Mancha (La Tribuna) . https://web.archive.org/web/20100918220554/http://www.electometro.es/2010/06/ciudad-real-decidira-las-elecciones-en-castilla-la-mancha-la-tribuna/ . dead . 18 September 2010 . es . Electómetro . 28 June 2010 . 13 April 2019.
  42. Web site: Vuelco del mapa electoral autonómico (El Mundo) . https://web.archive.org/web/20100602092505/http://www.electometro.es/2010/05/vuelco-del-mapa-electoral-autonomico-el-mundo/ . dead . 2 June 2010 . es . Electómetro . 31 May 2010.
  43. Web site: Barreda ganaría las elecciones según una encuesta de Noxa para el PSOE . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 14 March 2010.
  44. Web site: Dos sondeos auguran una campaña muy disputada entre Barreda y Cospedal en Castilla–La Mancha . https://web.archive.org/web/20101015115731/http://www.electometro.es/2010/03/encuesta-castilla-lamancha/ . dead . 15 October 2010 . es . Electómetro . 14 March 2010 . 19 April 2015.
  45. Web site: Un sondeo da la victoria al PP por primera vez en 28 años en Castilla–La Mancha . es . La Tribuna de Toledo . 4 April 2010 . 2011-04-09 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110909122002/http://www.abc.es/20100404/nacional-politica/sondeo-victoria-primera-anos-20100404.html . 2011-09-09 . dead .
  46. Web site: Un sondeo interno del PP le sitúa como vencedor de las próximas elecciones autonómicas en Castilla–La Mancha . https://web.archive.org/web/20101015115433/http://www.electometro.es/2010/04/un-sondeo-interno-del-pp-le-situa-como-vencedor-de-las-proximas-elecciones-autonomicas-en-castilla-la-mancha/ . dead . 15 October 2010 . es . Electómetro . 5 April 2010 . 13 April 2019.
  47. Web site: Triunfo reñido de Barreda . https://web.archive.org/web/20120309182722/http://www.publico.es/espana/301394/triunfo-renido-de-barreda . dead . 9 March 2012 . es . Público . 14 March 2010.
  48. Web site: Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha election results, 22 May 2011 . 13 June 2011 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . Electoral Commission of Castilla–La Mancha . 29 September 2017.
  49. Web site: VIII Legislature. Regional election, 22 May 2011 . es . www.cortesclm.es . Cortes of Castilla–La Mancha . 29 September 2017.
  50. Web site: Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla - La Mancha (1983 - 2019) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 29 September 2017.

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