2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico explained

Election Name:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Country:New Mexico
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:3
Seats1:2
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:307,766
Percentage1:51.6%
Swing1: 4.5
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:0
Seats2:1
Seat Change2: 1
Popular Vote2:288,885
Percentage2:48.4%
Swing2: 9.0

The 2010 congressional elections in New Mexico were held on November 2, 2010, and determined New Mexico's representation in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners of the election served in the 111th Congress, which began on January 4, 2009, ended on January 3, 2011.

New Mexico has three seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Its 2009–2011 congressional delegation consisted of three Democrats and no Republicans, which changed to two Democrats and one Republican after the 2010 election.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2010[1]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic307,76651.58%2-1
Republican288,88548.42%1+1
Totals596,651100.00%3

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico by district:[2]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
112,010 51.80% 104,215 48.20% 0 0.00% 216,225 100% Democratic Hold
District 2 75,708 44.60% 94,053 55.40% 0 0.00% 169,761 100% Republican Gain
120,048 56.99% 90,617 43.01% 0 0.00% 210,665 100% Democratic Hold
Total 307,766 51.58% 288,885 48.42% 0 0.00% 596,651 100%

District 1

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district.

Campaign

First elected in 2008, incumbent Democratic Congressman Martin Heinrich ran for re-election for the first time this year. This moderate[3] district, based in metro Albuquerque, has a tendency of supporting both Republican and Democratic candidates for office. In the general election, Congressman Heinrich faced Jon Barela, the Republican nominee for the seat and a former high-ranking official in the New Mexico Republican Party. Barela hammered at Heinrich for being "too far left" for what he described as a "center-right seat."[4] The Albuquerque Journal endorsed Jon Barela in the general election, citing the fact that he "would boost the economy by nurturing predictability for investors and job creators" and urging New Mexico voters to vote for a candidate who would "[help] restore balance to Congress and [place] an emphasis on people over government programs to right the ship."[5] Polling indicated that the race would be close, and on election day, Heinrich won a second term by nearly a four-point margin and 8,000 votes.

Polling

width='160'Poll Sourcewidth='150'Dates Administeredwidth='150'Martin Heinrich (D)width='150'Jon Barela (R)width='150'Undecided
Research and Polling Inc.[6] October 27–28, 201046% align=center49%
Public Opinion Strategies[7]October 24–25, 201047% align=center49%
Research and Polling Inc.September 27–30, 2010 align=center48%41%
Public Policy Polling[8] September 25–26, 2010 align=center50%43%7%
American Action Forum[9] August 23–29, 2010 align=center49%42%9%
Research and Polling Inc.[10] August 23–27, 2010 align=center47%41%12%
Survey USA[11] July 22–25, 201045% align=center51%4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[12]July 8–13, 2010 align=center53%41%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research[13]April 28 – May 2, 2010 align=center55%38%
Public Policy Polling[14] February 25, 2010 align=center45%36%19%
†Internal poll (Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for the Heinrich campaign and Public Opinion Strategies for the Barela campaign)

Results

District 2

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district.

Campaign

This conservative-leaning district, which has historically supported Republican candidates for higher office, has been represented by moderate Democratic Congressman Harry Teague since he was first elected two years prior. The previous Congressman, Republican Steve Pearce, retired in 2008 to run for Senate, a race that he lost. Coming off from a large electoral defeat at the hands of Democrat Tom Udall, the former Congressman Pearce re-entered the political sphere and challenged Congressman Teague when he sought election to a second congressional term. A tough campaign ensued, with Pearce taking the lead in most polls. Pearce's advantage widened when the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced that it was shifting resources from the 2nd district to the 1st district, a decision that the Pearce campaign responded, "The DCCC is realizing what we knew all along. Voters do not want the Teague-Pelosi agenda of out-of-control spending and lost jobs."[15] In late October, Congressman Teague declined to participate in a debate with Steve Pearce, giving Pearce solo airtime that was broadcast statewide and providing some observers with evidence that Teague was essentially conceding defeat to Pearce.[16] As political prognosticators indicated, on election day, Pearce defeated the incumbent Congressman and returned to Washington for his fourth nonconsecutive term.

Polling

width='150'Poll Sourcewidth='150'Dates Administeredwidth='150'Harry Teague (D)width='150'Steve Pearce (R)width='150'Undecided
Research and Polling Inc.[17] October 27–28, 201045% align=center48%
Tarrance Group[18]October 19–20, 201041% align=center50%9%
The Hill/ANGA[19] September 28–30, 201042% align=center46%10%
Research and Polling Inc.September 27–30, 201044% align=center45%
Public Policy Polling[20] September 25–26, 201047% align=center48%5%
Anzalone Liszt Research[21] September 7–9, 2010 align=center51%44%
Research and Polling Inc.August 23–27, 2010 align=center45%42%
Hamilton Campaigns[22]April 6–8, 2010 align=center47%46%8%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 25, 201041% align=center43%16%
Tarrance Group (Link)†February 16–18, 201044% align=center48%8%
Hamilton Campaigns†August, 200942% align=center52%6%
†Internal poll (Hamilton Campaigns polls commissioned by Teague; Tarrance Group poll for Pearce)

Results

District 3

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district.

Campaign

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Ray Luján has represented this liberal district based in northern New Mexico since he was first elected in 2008 to replace outgoing Democratic Congressman Tom Udall, who successfully ran for Senate. Seeking a second term, Congressman Luján faced Republican businessman Tom Mullins in the general election. The Albuquerque Journal endorsed Mullins, praising his plans to "trim federal spending" and "help the private sector create jobs…[by] lowering taxes."[5] Despite this, however, Luján was able to use the district's natural liberal leanings to his advantage and won re-election to a second term in Congress.

Polling

width='150'Poll Sourcewidth='150'Dates Administeredwidth='150'Ben R. Luján (D)width='150'Tom Mullins (R)width='150'Undecided
Public Policy Polling[23] September 25–26, 2010 align=center49%43%8%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 25, 2010 align=center42%36%22%

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Archived copy . 2011-06-21 . 2017-02-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20170227133122/http://clerk.house.gov/member_info/electionInfo/2010election.pdf . live .
  2. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. November 12, 2019. June 3, 2011. January 3, 2013. https://web.archive.org/web/20130103115258/http://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/. live.
  3. "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <https://web.archive.org/web/20110715041456/http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf>.
  4. Web site: Jon Barela to Politico: Martin Heinrich is 'too far left' New Mexico Independent . 2011-06-21 . 2011-08-23 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110823052303/http://newmexicoindependent.com/30155/jon-barela-to-politico-martin-heinrich-is-too-far-left . live .
  5. Web site: ABQJOURNAL OPINION/EDITORIALS: Journal Endorsements for U.S. Congress . 2011-06-21 . 2010-10-29 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101029113902/http://www.abqjournal.com//opinion//editorials//2323636opinion10-23-10.htm . live .
  6. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nm/new_mexico_1st_district_barela_vs_heinrich-1294.html Research and Polling Inc.
  7. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/NMPoll.htm Public Opinion Strategies
  8. http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-1/6/FXqDs Public Policy Polling
  9. https://web.archive.org/web/20110811104122/http://americanactionforum.org/files/NM%2001%20Toplines.pdf American Action Forum
  10. https://web.archive.org/web/20101001013525/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/08/heinrich-barela-poll.html Research and Polling Inc.
  11. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=adf9b20f-3136-4546-a7a9-ff5912aa73b1/ Survey USA
  12. https://www.scribd.com/doc/34910193/Heinrich10m3-Public-Release-Memo Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  13. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/NMPoll.htm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
  14. http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_225.pdf Public Policy Polling
  15. Web site: Capitol Report New Mexico » National Dems cut back on Teague ads . 2011-06-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111102212614/http://www.capitolreportnewmexico.com/?p=1898 . 2011-11-02 . dead .
  16. Web site: Did Harry Teague just forfeit the election to Steve Pearce Thursday night? . 2011-06-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20111009160515/http://newmexico.watchdog.org/4492/did-harry-teague-just-forfeit-the-election-to-steve-pearce-thursday-night/ . 2011-10-09 . dead .
  17. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nm/new_mexico_2nd_district_pearce_vs_teague-1257.html Research and Polling Inc.
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20101103222948/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/10/steve-pearce-poll-shows-him-le.html Tarrance Group
  19. http://thehill.com/images/polls/nm-2.pdf The Hill/ANGA
  20. http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-2/7/0oIck Public Policy Polling
  21. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/NMPoll.htm Anzalone Liszt Research
  22. https://web.archive.org/web/20100527154547/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/04/teague-poll-tktktk.html Hamilton Campaigns
  23. http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/25/NM-3/8/lBegk Public Policy Polling