2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri explained

Election Name:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Country:Missouri
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 9 Missouri seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election1:5
Seats1:6
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:1,103,290
Percentage1:57.44%
Swing1: 10.90%
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election2:4
Seats2:3
Seat Change2: 1
Popular Vote2:708,064
Percentage2:36.87%
Swing2: 13.21%
Map Size:275px

Elections were held on November 2, 2010, to determine Missouri's nine members of the United States House of Representatives. Representatives were elected for two-year terms to serve in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010.[1]

Of the nine elections, the races in the 3rd and 4th districts were rated as competitive by The Cook Political Report,[2] CQ Politics,[3] The Rothenberg Political Report[4] and Sabato's Crystal Ball.[5] [6] Seven of Missouri's nine incumbents were re-elected, while one (Ike Skelton of the 4th district) unsuccessfully sought re-election[7] and one (Roy Blunt of the 7th district) did not seek re-election.[8]

In total, six Republicans and three Democrats were elected.[8] A total of 1,920,675 votes were cast, of which 1,103,290 (57.44 percent) were for Republican candidates, 708,064 (36.87 percent) were for Democratic candidates, 92,485 (4.81 percent) were for Libertarian Party candidates, 8,759 (0.46 percent) were for Constitution Party candidates, 7,193 (0.37 percent) were for an independent candidate and 884 (0.05 percent) were for write-in candidates.[9]

Overview

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri by district:[10]

scope=col rowspan=3Districtscope=col colspan=2Republicanscope=col colspan=2Democraticscope=col colspan=2Othersscope=col colspan=2Totalscope=col rowspan=3Result
scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2 style="background:"!scope=col colspan=2!scope=col colspan=2
scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"% !scope=col data-sort-type="number"Votes !scope=col data-sort-type="number"%
43,649 23.62% 135,907 73.55% 5,223 2.83% 184,779 100.0% Democratic hold
180,481 67.94% 77,467 29.16% 7,684 2.89% 265,632 100.0% Republican hold
94,757 46.66% 99,398 48.94% 8,930 4.40% 203,085 100.0% Democratic hold
District 4 113,489 50.43% 101,532 45.11% 10,035 4.46% 225,056 100.0% Republican gain
84,578 44.18% 102,076 53.33% 4,769 2.49% 191,423 100.0% Democratic hold
154,103 69.44% 67,762 30.54% 47 0.02% 221,912 100.0% Republican hold
141,010 63.39% 67,545 30.37% 13,876 6.24% 222,431 100.0% Republican hold
128,499 65.56% 56,377 28.76% 11,123 5.68% 195,999 100.0% Republican hold
162,724 77.36% 0 0.00% 47,634 22.64% 210,358 100.0% Republican hold
Total 1,103,290 57.44% 708,064 36.87% 109,321 5.69% 1,920,675 100.0%

District 1

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 1st congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Next Year:2012
Image1:Williamclay.jpeg
Nominee1:Lacy Clay
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:135,907
Percentage1:73.6%
Nominee2:Robyn Hamlin
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:43,649
Percentage2:23.6%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Lacy Clay
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Lacy Clay
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 1st congressional district. The 1st district included Ferguson, Florissant, Hazelwood, Spanish Lake, and parts of St. Louis and University City.[11] The district's population was 54 percent black and 40 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 83 percent were high school graduates and 24 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,404.[12] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 80 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 19 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[11]

Democrat William Lacy Clay, Jr., who took office in 2001, was the incumbent. Clay was re-elected in 2008 with 87 percent of the vote.[11] In 2010 Clay's opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Robyn Hamlin, an insurance agent.[13] Libertarian Party nominee Julie Stone also ran.[14] Candice Britton also sought the Democratic nomination.[15] Martin Baker and Marshall Works also sought the Republican nomination. Robb Cunningham also sought the Libertarian nomination.[12]

Clay raised $693,370 and spent $635,944. Hamlin raised $23,930 and spent $24,012.[16] Britton raised $1,813 and spent $2,026.[17]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Clay a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 74 percent of the vote to Hamlin's 23 percent.[18] On election day Clay was re-elected with 74 percent of the vote to Hamlin's 24 percent.[19] Clay was re-elected in 2012, again over Hamlin,[20] and in 2014.[21]

External links

District 2

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 2nd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 2
Next Year:2012
Image1:Todd Akin.jpg
Nominee1:Todd Akin
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:180,481
Percentage1:67.9%
Nominee2:Arthur Lieber
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:77,467
Percentage2:29.2%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Todd Akin
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Todd Akin
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The 2nd district included Ballwin, Chesterfield, St. Charles, Wildwood and parts of O'Fallon, St. Peters and Wentzville.[22] The district's population was 91 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States); 93 percent were high school graduates and 42 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $73,641.[23] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 55 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 44 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[22]

Republican Todd Akin, who took office in 2001, was the incumbent. Akin was re-elected in 2008 with 62 percent of the vote.[22] In 2010 Akin's opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Arthur Lieber, the co-founder of the Crossroads College Preparatory School.[24] Libertarian Party nominee Steve Mosbacher also ran.[25] Bill Haas and Jeffrey Lowe also sought the Republican nomination.[26] Liz Lauber, a government and industry relations communications consultant for Wells Fargo, ended her campaign for the Republican nomination in April 2010.[27] Lieber was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[28]

Akin raised $767,798 and spent $825,668. Lieber raised $50,504 and spent $49,234.[29] Haas raised $33,372 and spent $13,449.[30] Lauber raised $6,724 and spent the same amount.[31]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Akin a 100 percent chance of winning, and projected that he would receive 68 percent of the vote to Lieber's 29 percent.[32] On election day Akin was re-elected with 68 percent of the vote to Lieber's 29 percent.[19] In 2011 Lieber wrote and published a book about his campaign entitled An Unlikely Candidate: Reflections on My Run for Office.[28] Akin unsuccessfully ran for the U.S. Senate in 2012.[33] He was succeeded by Republican Ann Wagner.[34]

Further reading

External links

District 3

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 3rd congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 1
Next Year:2012
Image1:Russ Carnahan, official 109th Congress photo.jpg
Nominee1:Russ Carnahan
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:99,398
Percentage1:48.9%
Nominee2:Ed Martin
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:94,757
Percentage2:46.7%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Russ Carnahan
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Russ Carnahan
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The 3rd district included Oakville and part of St. Louis.[35] The district's population was 85 percent white and 9 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States); 86 percent were high school graduates and 27 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $51,192.[36] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 60 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 39 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.[35] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+7.[2]

Democrat Russ Carnahan, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. Carnahan was re-elected in 2008 with 66 percent of the vote.[35] In 2010 Carnahan's opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Ed Martin, a former chief of staff to Governor of Missouri Matt Blunt.[37] Constitution Party nominee Nick Ivanovich and Libertarian Party nominee Steven Hedrick also ran.[38] David Arnold and Edward Crim also sought the Democratic nomination. John Wayne Tucker[39] and Rusty Wallace, a computer-aided design technician,[40] also sought the Republican nomination.

Carnahan raised $2,127,173 and spent $2,276,619. Martin raised $1,539,980 and spent $1,514,663.[41] Arnold raised $907 and spent $904.[42] Tucker raised $9,125 and spent $9,124.[43]

A poll of 400 likely voters, conducted by Ayres, McHenry & Associates on August 16, 17 and 20, 2010, found Carnahan leading with 54 percent to Martin's 38 percent, while 8 percent were undecided.[44] In a poll of 1,089 registered voters, conducted on August 17, 2010, by We Ask America, found Carnahan leading with 48 percent to Martin's 39 percent, while 13 percent were undecided.[45] Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Likely Democratic". In October 2010, The Cook Political Report rated the race as "Lean Democratic" and CQ Politics rated the race as "Likely Democratic". In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as "Democrat Favored". Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Carnahan a 96 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 55 percent of the vote to Martin's 43 percent.[46]

On election day Carnahan was re-elected with 49 percent of the vote to Martin's 47 percent. Martin conceded on November 8.[47] Carnahan unsuccessfully sought re-election in 2012.[48] The same year Martin unsuccessfully ran for Missouri Attorney General.[49]

External links

District 4

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 4th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 4
Next Year:2012
Image1:Vicky Hartzler, Official Portrait, 112th Congress.JPG
Nominee1:Vicky Hartzler
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:113,489
Percentage1:50.4%
Nominee2:Ike Skelton
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:101,532
Percentage2:45.1%
Map Size:225px
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Ike Skelton
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Vicky Hartzler
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 4th congressional district. The 4th district included Sedalia and part of Jefferson City.[50] The district's population was 91 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 85 percent were high school graduates and 17 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $42,317.[51] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 61 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 38 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.[50] In 2010 the district had a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+14.[2]

Democrat Ike Skelton, who took office in 1977, was the incumbent. Skelton was re-elected in 2008 with 66 percent of the vote.[50] In 2010 Skelton's opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Vicky Hartzler, a former member of the Missouri General Assembly.[52] Constitution Party nominee Greg Cowan and Libertarian Party nominee Jason Michael Braun also ran.[53] Leonard Steinman, a salvage dealer and perennial candidate, also sought the Democratic nomination.[54] Brian Clark; Arthur Madden; Eric McElroy; Jeff Parnell; Brian Riley; James Scholz;[51] Bill Stouffer, a member of the Missouri Senate; and Roy Viessman, a former member of the Jefferson City Council,[55] also sought the Republican nomination. Thomas Holbrook also sought the Libertarian nomination.[51]

Skelton raised $2,923,038 and spent $3,107,552. Hartzler raised $1,373,530 and spent $1,351,176. Cowan raised $1,369 and spent $2,320.[56] Madden raised $19,596 and spent the same amount.[57] Riley raised $44,655 and spent $44,654.[58] Scholz raised $31,208 and spent $31,081.[59] Stouffer raised $464,174 and spent $460,777.[60]

In a poll of 1,207 registered voters, conducted by We Ask America on August 17, 2010, Skelton led with 45 percent to Hartzler's 42 percent, while 13 percent were undecided. A poll of 187 registered voters, conducted by KY3 and Missouri State University (MSU) between August 7 and 22, 2010, found 47 percent supported Skelton while 35 percent favored Hartzler and 2 percent were undecided.[61] In a poll of 300 likely voters, conducted in October 2010 by Wilson Research Strategies, Hartzler and Skelton were tied with 42 percent apiece.[62] A poll of 159 likely voters, conducted by MSU's Center for Social Sciences and Policy Research between October 20 and 27, 2010, found Skelton led with 46 percent to Hartzler's 39 percent, while 14 percent were undecided and 2 percent supported other candidates.[63]

Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the race as "Leans Democratic". In October 2010 The Cook Political Report rated the race as a "toss up" and CQ Politics rated the race as a "tossup". In November 2010 The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race as a "pure toss-up". Prior to the election, FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Hartzler a 52 percent chance of winning and projected that she would receive 50 percent of the vote to Skelton's 48 percent.[64]

On election day Hartzler was elected with 50 percent of the vote to Skelton's 45 percent. Hartzler was re-elected in 2012[65] and 2014.[66] Skelton died in October 2013.[67]

External links

District 5

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 5th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 5
Next Year:2012
Image1:Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Emanuel Cleaver
Party1:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote1:102,076
Percentage1:53.3%
Nominee2:Jacob Turk
Party2:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote2:84,578
Percentage2:44.2%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Emanuel Cleaver
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Emanuel Cleaver
After Party:Democratic Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 5th congressional district. The 5th district included Belton, Grandview, Raytown, and parts of Independence, Kansas City and Lee's Summit.[68] The district's population was 64 percent white, 24 percent black and 8 percent Hispanic (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 87 percent were high school graduates and 26 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $45,213.[69] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 63 percent of its vote to Democratic nominee Barack Obama and 36 percent to Republican nominee John McCain.

Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who took office in 2005, was the incumbent. Cleaver was re-elected in 2008 with 64 percent of the vote. In 2010 Cleaver's opponent in the general election was Republican nominee Jacob Turk, who also ran in 2006 and 2008.[70] Constitution Party nominee Dave Lay and Libertarian Party nominee Randall D. Langkraehr also ran. Jerry Fowler; Patrick Haake; Ron Shawd, a former car dealer;[71] and Ralph Sheffield also sought the Republican nomination. Cleaver was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Cleaver raised $637,380 and spent $607,575. Turk raised $274,423 and spent $258,627.[72] In a poll of 500 likely voters, conducted by Pulse Opinion Research (a service run by Rasmussen Reports), found 52 percent supported Cleaver while 43 percent backed Turk.[73] FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Cleaver a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 59 percent of the vote to Turk's 39 percent.[74] On election day Cleaver was re-elected with 53 percent of the vote to Turk's 44 percent. Cleaver was re-elected, again over Turk, in 2012[75] and 2014.[76]

External links

District 6

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 6th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 6
Next Year:2012
Image1:Sam Graves, Official Portrait, c112th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Sam Graves
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:154,103
Percentage1:69.4%
Nominee2:Clint Hylton
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:67,762
Percentage2:30.5%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Sam Graves
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Sam Graves
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 6th congressional district. The 6th district included St. Joseph and parts of Blue Springs and Kansas City.[77] The district's population was 90 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 89 percent were high school graduates and 25 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $51,899.[78] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 54 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 45 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Republican Sam Graves, who took office in 2001, was the incumbent. In 2010 Graves's opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Clint Hylton,[79] an insurance salesman.[80] Write-in candidate Kyle Yarber also ran.[81] Christopher Ryan also sought the Republican nomination. Hylton was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Graves raised $1,057,245 and spent $1,071,726. Hylton raised $9,461 and spent $9,394. Yarber raised $16,602 and spent $16,601.[82]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Graves a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 66 percent of the vote to Hylton's 31 percent.[83] On election day Graves was re-elected with 69 percent of the vote to Hylton's 31 percent. Graves was again re-elected in 2012[84] and 2014.[85]

External links

District 7

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 7th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 7
Next Year:2012
Image1:Billy Long 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee1:Billy Long
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:141,010
Percentage1:63.4%
Nominee2:Scott Eckersley
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:67,545
Percentage2:30.4%
Image3:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Kevin Craig
Party3:Libertarian Party (US)
Popular Vote3:13,866
Percentage3:6.2%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Roy Blunt
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Billy Long
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 7th congressional district. The 7th district included Joplin and Springfield.[86] The district's population was 90 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 85 percent were high school graduates and 22 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $41,452.[87] In the 2008 presidential election, the district gave 63 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 35 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Republican Roy Blunt, who took office in 1997, was the incumbent. Blunt, the father of Governor Matt Blunt, was re-elected in 2008 with 68 percent of the vote. In 2010 he ran for the U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election.

The candidates in the general election were Republican nominee Billy Long, an auctioneer;[88] and Democratic nominee Scott Eckersley, an attorney who previously worked for Governor Blunt.[89] Libertarian Party nominee Kevin Craig and write-in candidate Nicholas Ladendorf also ran.[90]

Jack Goodman, a member of the Missouri Senate; Steve Hunter, a former member of the Missouri House of Representatives; Mike Moon, a farmer; Darrell Moore, the Greene County prosecuting attorney; Gary Nodler, a member of the Missouri Senate; Michael Wardell, a small business owner; and Jeff Wisdom, an Iraq War veteran, also sought the Republican nomination. Sarah Steelman, the former State Treasurer of Missouri, announced in September 2009 that she would not run in the 7th district in 2010.[91] Tim Davis, an attorney, also sought the Democratic nomination.[92]

Long raised $1,260,007 and spent $1,230,604. Eckersley raised $186,310 and spent the same amount.[93] Goodman raised $482,233 and spent $478,534.[94] Moon raised $25,279 and spent $25,278.[95] Moore raised $45,424 and spent $44,977.[96] Nodler raised $383,130 and spent $380,240.[97] Wisdom raised $20,101 and spent $20,080.[98] Davis raised $24,119 and spent $22,928.[99]

In a poll of 198 registered voters, conducted by KY3 and Missouri State University (MSU) between August 7 and August 22, 2010, Long led with 51 percent to Eckersley's 23 percent. A poll of 199 likely voters, conducted by MSU's Center for Social Sciences and Public olicy Research between October 20 and 27, 2010, found Long leading with 56 percent to Eckersley's 23 percent while 7 percent supported Craig, 1 percent favored other candidates, and 13 percent were undecided. Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Long a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that he would receive 69 percent of the vote to Eckersley's 28 percent.[100] Eckersley increased his share of the voting to more than 30 percent, but Long was elected with 63 percent of the vote. Long was re-elected in 2012 and 2014.[101]

On October 29, 2010, an email was sent to local media, purportedly by Eckersley, which falsely claimed that he had ended his campaign. At least one television station inaccurately reported the story as fact. Eckersley later filed a complaint with the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) alleging that Long may have been involved in the hoax. The FEC investigated and reported in 2013 that the emails had come from Patrick Binning, a political consultant, and that Binning had acted independently of Long's campaign. As the FEC found no evidence that Long's campaign or the Republican Party was involved, under the law electoral fraud had not occurred.[102]

External links

District 8

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 8th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 8
Next Year:2012
Image1:Jo Ann Emerson, official 111th Congress photo.png
Nominee1:Jo Ann Emerson
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:128,499
Percentage1:65.6%
Nominee2:Tommy Sowers
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:56,377
Percentage2:28.8%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Jo Ann Emerson
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Jo Ann Emerson
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 8th congressional district. The 8th district included Cape Girardeau, Poplar Bluff and Rolla.[103] The district's population was 91 percent white and 5 percent black (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 77 percent were high school graduates and 14 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $34,454.[104] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 62 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 36 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Republican Jo Ann Emerson, who took office in 1996, was the incumbent. Emerson was re-elected with 71 percent of the vote in 2008. Emerson announced in January 2009 that she would not run for the U.S. Senate in 2010.[105] In 2010 Emerson's opponent in the general election was Democratic nominee Tommy Sowers, a former member of the United States Army Special Forces.[106] Independent candidate Larry Bill, a real estate investor and building contractor;[107] and Libertarian Party nominee Rick Vandeven, a technician with Procter & Gamble,[108] also ran. Bob Parker, a farmer, also sought the Republican nomination. Sowers was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[109]

Emerson raised $2,006,543 and spent $2,071,160. Sowers raised $1,588,389 and spent $1,572,930. Bill raised $15,630 and spent the same amount.[110] Parker raised $38,565 and spent $37,472.[111]

In a poll of 400 likely voters, conducted on April 19 and 20, 2010, by American Viewpoint (AV) for Emerson's campaign, Emerson led with 71 percent to Sowers's 18 percent.[112] A poll of 171 registered voters, conducted by KY3 and Missouri State University between August 7 and 22, 2010, found Emerson leading with 64 percent to Sowers's 17 percent while 3 percent supported other candidates. An AV poll of 400 likely voters, conducted on September 13 and 14, 2010, found Emerson had the support of 63 percent while 24 percent backed Sowers.[113]

Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Emerson a 100 percent chance of winning and projected that she would receive 68 percent of the vote to Sowers's 29 percent.[114] On election day Emerson was re-elected with 66 percent of the vote to Sowers's 29 percent. Emerson was again re-elected in 2012 and resigned from Congress in January 2013.[115] She was succeeded by Jason T. Smith.[116] In August 2012 Sowers was confirmed as Assistant Secretary for Public and Intergovernmental Affairs at the Department of Veterans Affairs.[117]

External links

District 9

Election Name:2010 Missouri's 9th congressional district election
Country:Missouri
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 9
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri#District 3
Next Year:2012
Image1:Blaine Luetkemeyer (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:162,724
Percentage1:77.4%
Nominee2:Christopher Dwyer
Party2:Libertarian Party (US)
Popular Vote2:46,817
Percentage2:22.3%
U.S. Representative
Before Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
Before Party:Republican Party (US)
After Election:Blaine Luetkemeyer
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See also: Missouri's 9th congressional district. The 9th district included Columbia, Hannibal and Kirksville.[118] The district's population was 92 percent white (see Race and ethnicity in the United States census); 86 percent were high school graduates and 23 percent had received a bachelor's degree or higher. Its median income was $44,118.[119] In the 2008 presidential election the district gave 55 percent of its vote to Republican nominee John McCain and 44 percent to Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who took office in 2009, was the incumbent. Luetkemeyer was elected with 50 percent of the vote in 2008. In 2010 Luetkemeyer's opponent in the general election was Libertarian Party nominee Christopher Dwyer. The 2010 election in the 9th district marked the first time since 1984 that a U.S. Representative from Missouri ran unopposed in the general election.[120] Ron Burrus and Jeff Reed also ran as write-in candidates.[121] James O. Baker also sought the Republican nomination. Steven Wilson also sought the Libertarian nomination.

Luetkemeyer raised $1,358,842 and spent $737,857.[122] Prior to the election FiveThirtyEights forecast gave Luetkemeyer a 100 percent chance of winning.[123] On election day Luetkemeyer was re-elected with 77 percent of the vote to Dwyer's 22 percent. Luetkemeyer was again re-elected in 2012[124] and 2014.[125]

External links

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: August 3, 2010 Primary Election – 2010 Primary Election. August 24, 2010. April 1, 2014. Missouri Secretary of State.
  2. Web site: https://web.archive.org/web/20101028221449/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2010-10-26_13-11-35.php. 2010 competitive House race chart. October 26, 2010. April 2, 2014. October 28, 2010. The Cook Political Report.
  3. Web site: https://web.archive.org/web/20101028234534/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-house. Race Ratings Chart: House. April 2, 2014. October 28, 2010. CQ Politics.
  4. Web site: House Ratings. November 1, 2010. April 2, 2014. The Rothenberg Political Report.
  5. Web site: Missouri (03) House 2010. April 2, 2014. Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  6. Web site: Missouri (04) House 2010. April 2, 2014. Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  7. Web site: Missouri. April 2, 2014. The New York Times.
  8. Web site: Rep. Roy Blunt to Run for Senate in 2010. February 18, 2009. April 2, 2014. Fox News.
  9. Web site: Statistics of the congressional election of November 2, 2010. 28. Karen L.. Haas. Karen L. Haas. June 3, 2011. April 2, 2014. Clerk of the United States House of Representatives.
  10. Web site: Haas. Karen L.. Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010. Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. November 12, 2019. June 3, 2011.
  11. Web site: Missouri – 1st District. April 3, 2014. Roll Call.
  12. Web site: Missouri 1st District Profile. April 3, 2014. The New York Times.
  13. Web site: Candidates At A Glance. October 29, 2010. April 3, 2014. Webster-Kirkwood Times.
  14. Web site: Clay supports foreclosure freeze, shares views on Tea Party. October 11, 2010. April 3, 2014. St. Louis Public Radio. Mandi. Rice.
  15. Web site: Clay challenger reaches out to fellow 2008 supporters of Hillary Clinton for president. May 10, 2010. April 3, 2014. St. Louis Beacon. Jo. Mannies. https://web.archive.org/web/20130720014459/https://www.stlbeacon.org/#!/content/18914/clay_challenger_reaches_out_to_fellow_2008_supporters_of_hillary_clinton_for_president. July 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  16. Web site: Missouri District 01 Race. April 5, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  17. Web site: Candice Britton (D). April 5, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  18. Web site: Missouri 1st District. April 5, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  19. Web site: November 2, 2010 General Election. November 30, 2010. April 5, 2014. Missouri Secretary of State. https://web.archive.org/web/20110220103631/http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/allresults.asp?eid=300. February 20, 2011. dead. mdy-all.
  20. Web site: Missouri. April 5, 2014. The New York Times.
  21. Web site: Black Democrats send a message in County Executive race. November 5, 2014. November 23, 2014. The St. Louis American. Chris. King.
  22. Web site: Missouri – 2nd District. April 5, 2014. Roll Call.
  23. Web site: Missouri 2nd District Profile. April 5, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  24. Web site: Arthur Lieber challenging Todd Akin for 2nd Congressional seat. August 5, 2010. April 5, 2014. St. Louis Post-Dispatch. David. Hunn.
  25. Web site: Lieber, Mosbacher challenge Akin's reelection bid. October 27, 2010. April 5, 2014. Call Newspapers. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525233121/http://www.callnewspapers.com/Articles-i-2010-10-27-248414.112112-Lieber-Mosbacher-challenge-Akins-reelection-bid.html. May 25, 2014. dead.
  26. Web site: Three Republicans seek nomination in second district congressional race. July 28, 2010. April 5, 2014. Call Newspapers. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525232454/http://www.callnewspapers.com/Articles-i-2010-07-28-246240.112112-Three-Republicans-seek-nomination-in-second-district-congressional-race.html. May 25, 2014. dead.
  27. Web site: Lauber dropping challenge of Akin in 2nd District. April 12, 2010. April 5, 2014. St. Louis Beacon. Jo. Mannies. https://web.archive.org/web/20130720014459/https://www.stlbeacon.org/#!/content/19126/lauber_dropping_challenge_of_akin_in_2nd_district. July 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  28. Web site: Arthur Lieber: Unlikely Candidate Becomes Unlikely Author. March 7, 2011. April 5, 2014. The Riverfront Times. Sarah. Fenske. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525233117/http://blogs.riverfronttimes.com/dailyrft/2011/03/arthur_lieber_an_unlikely_cand.php. May 25, 2014. dead.
  29. Web site: Missouri District 02 Race. April 5, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  30. Web site: William C. Haas (R). April 5, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  31. Web site: Elizabeth "Liz" Lauber (R). April 5, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  32. Web site: Missouri 2nd District. April 5, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  33. Web site: Missouri Senate election results 2012: Claire McCaskill beats Todd Akin for second term. November 6, 2012. April 5, 2014. Politico. Scott. Wong.
  34. Web site: Meet Ann Wagner, the Woman Who's Taking Todd Akin's Congressional Seat. November 8, 2012. November 23, 2014. The Riverfront Times. Aimee. Levitt. https://web.archive.org/web/20121110143942/http://blogs.riverfronttimes.com/dailyrft/2012/11/ann_wagner_congress_akin_seat.php. November 10, 2012. dead.
  35. Web site: Missouri – 3rd District. April 5, 2014. Roll Call.
  36. Web site: Missouri 3rd District Profile. April 5, 2014. The New York Times.
  37. Web site: Ed Martin, Russ Carnahan a study in opposites. October 3, 2010. April 5, 2014. St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Jake. Wagman.
  38. Web site: Missouri 3rd District Profile. April 13, 2014. The New York Times.
  39. Web site: Carnahan Faces 2 Challengers; 3 Candidates In GOP Primary. July 9, 2010. April 13, 2010. Webster-Kirkwood Times.
  40. Web site: Rusty Wallace – no, not that one – pulls into Congressional race. March 29, 2010. April 24, 2014. St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Jake. Wagman.
  41. Web site: Missouri District 03 Race. April 13, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  42. Web site: David Justus Arnold (D). April 13, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  43. Web site: John Wayne Tucker (R). April 13, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  44. Web site: Survey of Likely Voters in MO 03: August 16, 17 and 20, 2010. https://web.archive.org/web/20110811104058/http://americanactionforum.org/files/MO%2003%20Toplines.pdf. April 13, 2014. August 11, 2011. American Action Forum. 3.
  45. Web site: Havoc in the Heartland?. August 18, 2010. April 13, 2014. We Ask America. https://web.archive.org/web/20140122115421/http://weaskamerica.com/2010/08/18/havoc-in-the-heartland/. January 22, 2014. dead.
  46. Web site: Missouri 3rd District. April 14, 2014. The New York Times.
  47. Web site: After suggesting vote fraud, Rep. Carnahan opponent concedes defeat. November 8, 2010. May 25, 2014. The Hill. D'Aprile. Shane.
  48. Web site: In Redistricting-Fueled Battle for St. Louis, Lacy Clay Ousts Russ Carnahan. August 8, 2012. April 14, 2014. ABC News. Good. Chris.
  49. Web site: Martin Loses Attorney General Race By Large Margin. November 7, 2012. April 14, 2014. St. Louis Public Radio. Eaton. Tina. Lippmann. Rachel.
  50. Web site: Missouri – 4th District. April 26, 2014. Roll Call.
  51. Web site: Missouri 4th District Profile. April 26, 2014. The New York Times.
  52. Web site: Missouri's 4th Congressional District: Ike Skelton vs. Vicky Hartzler. October 16, 2010. April 26, 2014. Time. Jay. Newton-Small.
  53. Web site: Hartzler gets nudge for seat. April 26, 2014. Sedalia Democrat. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525213633/http://sedaliademocrat.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?avis=PE&date=20101014&category=news&lopenr=310149939&Ref=AR. May 25, 2014. dead.
  54. Web site: 'Santa' runs for governor. December 23, 2011. April 26, 2014. Pulaski County Mirror.
  55. Web site: Skelton files Friday for re-election; faces serious Republican challenge. March 6, 2010. April 26, 2014. Pulaski County Daily. Darrell Todd. Maurina.
  56. Web site: Missouri District 04 Race. April 26, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  57. Web site: Arthur John Madden (R). April 26, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  58. Web site: Brian Riley (R). April 26, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  59. Web site: James A. Scholz (R). April 26, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  60. Web site: Bill Stouffer (R). April 26, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  61. Web site: EXCLUSIVE: KY3/MSU Poll shows dead heat in U.S. Senate Race. August 26, 2010. May 14, 2014. KY3. https://web.archive.org/web/20100827054957/http://www.ky3.com/news/local/Poll-shows-dead-heat-in-US-Senate-Race.html. August 27, 2010.
  62. Web site: Poll: Skelton in dead heat. October 20, 2010. May 14, 2014. Politico. David. Catanese.
  63. Web site: For Immediate Release – Poll Results. October 28, 2010. May 14, 2014. KOLR 10/KSN. 6.
  64. Web site: Missouri 4th District. May 14, 2014. The New York Times.
  65. Web site: Vicky Hartzler wins re-election in the 4th district. https://archive.today/20140514235523/http://www.kshb.com/news/political/vicky-hartzler-wins-re-election-in-the-4th-district. dead. May 14, 2014. November 6, 2012. May 14, 2014. KSHB.
  66. Web site: Hartzler wins easy victory in Fourth District. November 5, 2014. November 23, 2014. Columbia Daily Tribune. Rudi. Keller.
  67. Web site: Ike Skelton, Former Congressman From Missouri, Dies at 81. October 28, 2013. May 14, 2014. The New York Times. Fitzsimmons. Emma G..
  68. Web site: Missouri – 5th District. May 15, 2014. Roll Call.
  69. Web site: Missouri 5th District Profile. May 15, 2014. The New York Times.
  70. Web site: Cleaver vs. Turk contest could be closest yet. October 21, 2010. May 15, 2014. KSHB. Hernandez. Chris. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525195626/http://www.kshb.com/news/political/cleaver-vs-turk-contest-could-be-closest-yet. May 25, 2014. dead.
  71. Web site: Would the real Ron Paul please stand up?. July 18, 2012. May 15, 2014. The Pitch. Palosaari. Ben. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525232816/http://www.pitch.com/FastPitch/archives/2012/07/18/would-the-real-ron-paul-please-stand-up. May 25, 2014. dead.
  72. Web site: Missouri District 05 Race. May 16, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  73. Web site: Turk Poll Results. October 15, 2010. May 16, 2014. Turk for Congress. https://web.archive.org/web/20101019032024/http://www.turkforcongress.com/blog/?p=302. October 19, 2010.
  74. Web site: Missouri 5th District. May 16, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  75. Web site: Cleaver Cruises to Re-Election in 5th District U.S. House Race. November 6, 2012. May 16, 2014. fox4kc.com. Michelle. Pekarsky.
  76. Web site: U.S. Rep. Cleaver re-elected to western Missouri seat. November 4, 2014. November 23, 2014. Columbia Missourian.
  77. Web site: Missouri – 6th District. May 17, 2014. Roll Call.
  78. Web site: Missouri 6th District Profile. May 17, 2014. The New York Times.
  79. Web site: Graves faces Democrat Hylton in Congress race. August 3, 2010. May 17, 2014. KRCG. May 25, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525213706/http://www.connectmidmissouri.com/news/story.aspx?id=491879. dead.
  80. Web site: Clint Hylton to Rep. Sam Graves: Time's up, hoss. April 5, 2010. May 17, 2014. The Pitch. Janovy. CJ. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525232811/http://www.pitch.com/FastPitch/archives/2010/04/05/clint-hylton-to-rep-sam-graves-times-up-hoss. May 25, 2014. dead.
  81. Web site: Yarber launches 6th District bid. October 10, 2011. May 17, 2014. St. Joseph News-Press. Newton. Ken.
  82. Web site: Missouri District 06 Race. May 17, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  83. Web site: Missouri 6th District. May 17, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  84. Web site: Sen. McCaskill re-elected in Missouri. November 6, 2012. May 17, 2014. digitalBURG. Skretta. Dave. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525213606/http://digitalburg.com/?p=2859. May 25, 2014. dead.
  85. Web site: Incumbents do well in Kansas, Missouri U.S. House races. November 4, 2014. November 23, 2014. KMBC-TV.
  86. Web site: Missouri – 7th District. May 18, 2014. Roll Call.
  87. Web site: Missouri 7th District Profile. May 18, 2014. The New York Times.
  88. Web site: Long touts his success to turn out November vote. October 2, 2010. May 19, 2014. Springfield News-Leader. de Vera. Cory. May 25, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525214851/http://www.news-leader.com/article/20101003/NEWS06/10030359/Long-touts-his-success-to-turn-out-November-vote. dead.
  89. Web site: Eckersley touts fight against the odds. September 25, 2010. September 28, 2014. Springfield News-Leader. Cory. de Vera.
  90. Web site: Profile: Billy Long, Republican candidate for U.S. House, Missouri District 7. October 18, 2010. May 19, 2014. KYTV. Grant. Steve. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525200217/http://articles.ky3.com/2010-10-18/write-in-candidate_24141349. May 25, 2014. dead.
  91. Web site: Steelman passes on 2010 bid. September 16, 2009. May 25, 2014. The Hill. Blake. Aaron.
  92. Web site: Q&A with Missouri's 7th Congressional district candidates. May 19, 2010. May 19, 2014. KSPR. Belote. Brad. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525213722/http://articles.kspr.com/2010-05-19/candidates_24123138. May 25, 2014. dead.
  93. Web site: Missouri District 07 Race. May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  94. Web site: Jack Goodman (R). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  95. Web site: Michael Moon (R). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  96. Web site: Darrell Lee Moore (R). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  97. Web site: Gary Nodler (R). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  98. Web site: Jeff Wisdom (R). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  99. Web site: Timothy Sean Davis (D). May 19, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  100. Web site: Missouri 7th District. May 19, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  101. Web site: Long, Hartzler returned to U.S. House. November 4, 2014. November 23, 2014. The Joplin Globe. Wally. Kennedy.
  102. Web site: FEC Releases Findings of Eckersley's 2010 Complaint of Campaign Fraud: Former Springfield Man Sent. January 24, 2013. November 23, 2014. KSMU. Jennifer. Davidson.
  103. Web site: Missouri – 8th District. May 24, 2014. Roll Call.
  104. Web site: Missouri 8th District Profile. May 24, 2014. The New York Times.
  105. Web site: Emerson Won't Run for Senate. January 9, 2009. May 25, 2014. Roll Call. Toeplitz. Shira.
  106. Web site: Combat veteran Sowers calls for end to wars in bid for House seat in Missouri. October 12, 2010. May 24, 2014. The Washington Post. Jaffe. Greg.
  107. Web site: Candidate questionnaire: Larry Bill. June 29, 2010. May 24, 2014. Southeast Missourian.
  108. Web site: Candidate questionnaire: Rick Vandeven. June 29, 2010. May 24, 2014. Southeast Missourian.
  109. Web site: Sowers shrinking fundraising gap with Emerson. April 18, 2010. May 24, 2014. Southeast Missourian. Keller. Rudi.
  110. Web site: Missouri District 08 Race. May 24, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  111. Web site: Robert David Parker (R). May 24, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  112. Web site: GOP poll: Emerson dominant. April 22, 2010. May 24, 2014. Politico. Catanese. David.
  113. Web site: Poll says Emerson ahead of Sowers. September 24, 2010. May 24, 2014. The Daily Statesman. Moyers. Scott. https://web.archive.org/web/20140525213652/http://www.dailystatesman.com/story/1667437.html. May 25, 2014. dead.
  114. Web site: Missouri 8th District. May 24, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  115. Web site: Emerson's resignation sets off free-for-all in Missouri House race. January 22, 2013. May 24, 2014. The Hill. Jaffe. Alexandra.
  116. Web site: Republican Jason Smith wins Missouri congressional race. June 4, 2013. May 24, 2014. The Kansas City Star.
  117. Web site: Senate confirms Sowers for post at Department of Veterans Affairs. August 3, 2012. May 24, 2014. St. Louis Beacon. Mannies. Jo. https://web.archive.org/web/20130720014459/https://www.stlbeacon.org/#!/content/26362/sowers_confirmed_080312. July 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  118. Web site: Missouri – 9th District. May 24, 2014. Roll Call.
  119. Web site: Missouri 9th District Profile. May 24, 2014. The New York Times.
  120. Web site: No Democratic challenger emerges for Luetkemeyer's seat. March 31, 2010. May 25, 2014. LakeExpo.com. Ganey. Terry.
  121. Web site: Luetkemeyer wins 9th District Congressional election seat. November 3, 2010. May 24, 2014. Columbia Missourian. Roman. Emily.
  122. Web site: Missouri District 09 Race. May 25, 2014. OpenSecrets.
  123. Web site: Missouri 9th District. May 25, 2014. FiveThirtyEight.
  124. Web site: Luetkemeyer wins re-election to US House in 3rd District. November 7, 2012. May 25, 2014. KBIA. Khrustaleva. Olga. Olgin. Alex. Sostaric. Katarina.
  125. Web site: U.S. Rep. Luetkemeyer wins re-election. November 4, 2014. November 23, 2014. KY3. https://web.archive.org/web/20141201224440/http://www.ky3.com/news/local/us-rep-luetkemeyer-wins-reelection/21048998_29535032. December 1, 2014. dead.

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