2010 United Kingdom general election in Scotland explained

Election Name:2010 United Kingdom general election[1]
Country:Scotland
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2005 United Kingdom general election in Scotland
Previous Year:2005
Previous Mps:List of MPs for constituencies in Scotland 2005–10
Next Election:2015 United Kingdom general election in Scotland
Next Year:2015
Seats For Election:All 59 Scottish seats to the House of Commons
Elected Mps:List of MPs for constituencies in Scotland 2010–15
Turnout:63.8%, 3.2%
1Blank:UK seats
Leader1:Gordon Brown
Leader Since1:24 June 2007
Party1:Labour Party (UK)
Last Election1:41 seats, 39.5%
Seats Before1:41
Seats1:41
1Data1:258
Popular Vote1:1,035,528
Percentage1:42.0%
Swing1:2.5%
Leader2:Nick Clegg
Leader Since2:18 December 2007
Party2:Liberal Democrats (UK)
Last Election2:11 seats, 22.6%
Seats Before2:11
Seats2:11
1Data2:57
Popular Vote2:465,471
Percentage2:18.9%
Swing2:3.7%
Leader4:Alex Salmond
Leader Since4:3 September 2004
Party4:Scottish National Party
Popular Vote4:491,386
Percentage4:19.9%
Swing4:2.2%
Last Election4:6 seats, 17.7%
Seats Before4:6
Seats4:6
1Data4:6
Leader5:David Cameron
Leader Since5:6 December 2005
Party5:Conservative Party (UK)
Popular Vote5:412,855
Percentage5:16.7%
Swing5:0.9%
Last Election5:1 seat, 15.8%
Seats Before5:1
Seats5:1
1Data5:306

A general election was held in the United Kingdom on 6 May 2010 and all 59 seats in Scotland were contested. The election result in Scotland was unusual in that there wasn't any change of seats from the 2005 general election, although the Labour Party took back two seats that it had lost in by-elections. This was the last general election at which the Labour Party won a majority of seats and plurality of votes in Scotland until 2024.

Contesting parties

Since 2005, the Scottish National Party had come first in the 2007 Scottish Parliament election as well as the 2009 European election. They had also won the Glasgow East by-election in 2008, which was one of the safest Labour seats in the UK. This boosted the party's confidence and the party's leader Alex Salmond set the ambitious target of 20 seats in the general election. Salmond himself was standing down as an MP because he wanted to focus more on his job as First Minister of Scotland. In the election, the party only increased their share of the vote by 2.3% and had their number of seats reduced to six after being overwhelmingly defeated in the Glasgow East constituency.

The Scottish Labour Party had held the majority of seats in Scotland in every general election since 1959. This is usually attributed to the North-South divide in British politics, where Scotland and the North of England tend to return mostly Labour MP's whereas the South of England tends to vote mostly for the Conservatives. Many prominent government officials were representing Scottish constituencies, such as the Prime Minister Gordon Brown and the Chancellor Alistair Darling. In the election, the Labour Party in Scotland increased its share of the vote by 2.5% and re-gained the Glasgow East and Dunfermline and West Fife constituencies giving them 41 out of 59 seats in Scotland.

The Scottish Conservative Party had not held the majority of Scottish seats in a general election since 1955 and it lost all eleven of its seats in the election of 1997. Since 2001, the party had only held one Westminster seat in Scotland. In 2005, following the re-organisation of Scottish constituencies, that seat was Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, a mostly rural constituency near the Scottish borders. However, the party had 11 target seats within Scotland for the election and party officials such as William Hague had predicted a 'Tory breakthrough' for Scotland.[2] Following the election, the Conservative vote in Scotland increased by roughly 1% but with only the 1 seat being retained.

During the 2005 election, the Scottish Liberal Democrats achieved 11 Scottish seats in Westminster and saw this figure increased to 12 following the Dunfermline and West Fife by-election in 2006. Two former Liberal Democrat leaders, Charles Kennedy and Menzies Campbell represent Scottish constituencies. In the election, the Liberal Democrat vote fell in Scotland and the party was once again left with 11 seats.

Minor parties such as the UK Independence Party, the British National Party and the Scottish Green Party all contested more Scottish seats than they did in the 2005 election. The Socialist Workers Party and Solidarity (a splinter group of the Scottish Socialists) took part in the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition for the election. The Scottish Socialist Party had contested all of the Scottish constituencies in 2005 but because of party splits, it fielded only 10 candidates for the 2010 election.

If proportional representation had been used, and hypothetically there was no change in voter behaviour, then the Labour Party would have had 25 seats (-16), the SNP would have had 12 (+6), the Liberal Democrats would have had 11 (No Change), and the Conservatives would have had 10 (+9).

Campaign events

Scottish Leader's debates

In correspondence with the main Leader's debates, featuring David Cameron, Gordon Brown and Nick Clegg, three televised debates were broadcast with representatives from the four main parties in Scotland. The first debate was broadcast on STV on 20 April, the second on Sky News on 25 April and the third on BBC One Scotland on 2 May.

The representatives from each of the main parties were:

Target seats

Labour Party

RankConstituencyWinning party 2005Swing RequiredLabour's place 2005Result
1Dundee East0.49%2ndSNP hold
2Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale1.95%2ndCON hold
3East Dunbartonshire4.35%2ndLD hold
4Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey4.69%2ndLD hold

Scottish National Party

RankConstituencyWinning party 2005Swing RequiredSNP's place 2005Result
1Ochil and South Perthshire0.74%2ndLAB hold
2Dundee West7.28%2ndLAB hold
3Kilmarnock and Loudoun9.81%2ndLAB hold
4Aberdeen North9.28%3rdLAB hold

Liberal Democrats

RankConstituencyWinning party 2005Swing RequiredLiberal Democrat's place 2005Result
1Edinburgh South0.48%2ndLAB hold
2Aberdeen South1.62%2ndLAB hold
3Edinburgh North and Leith2.53%2ndLAB hold

Conservative Party

RankConstituencyWinning party 2005Swing RequiredConservative's place 2005Result
1Perth and North Perthshire1.66%2ndSNP hold
2Angus2.1%2ndSNP hold
3Dumfries and Galloway2.87%2ndLAB hold
4Stirling5.46%2ndLAB hold

Overall results

PartySeatsSeats
change
Seats contestedLost depositsVotes%%
change
4105901,035,52842.0+2.5
110590465,47118.9-3.7
60590491,38619.9+2.2
105912412,85516.7+0.9
00343317,2230.7+0.3
00201916,8270.7-0.3
0013138,9100.4+0.3
0010103,5300.1New
0010103,1570.1-1.7
00551,6730.0-
00118350.0New
00115340.0New
00113890.0New
00222900.0New
00222370.0New
Turnout2,465,72263.8

1 Philip Lardner, the Conservative candidate for North Ayrshire and Arran was disowned by the Conservative Party for comments he posted on his website, calling homosexuality 'abnormal'. It was too late for him to be replaced and he still read as the Scottish Conservative & Unionist Party candidate on the ballot paper.

Votes summary

Results by constituency

Winning party in each constituency is marked in bold.

ConstituencyLabour%Lib Dems%SNP%Conservative%Others%Notes
Aberdeen North16,74644.4%7,00118.6%8,38522.2%4,66612.4%9032.4%SNP target #4
Aberdeen South15,72236.5%12,21628.4%5,10211.9%8,91420.7%1,0802.5%Lib Dem target #1
Airdrie and Shotts20,84958.2%2,8988.1%8,44123.5%3,1338.7%5281.5%
Angus6,53517.2%4,09010.8%15,02039.6%11,73830.9%5771.5%Conservative target #2
Argyll and Bute10,27422.7%14,29231.6%8,56318.9%10,86124.0%9452.0%
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock21,63247.1%4,2649.3%8,27618.0%11,72125.5%N/A
Banff and Buchan5,38214.0%4,36511.3%15,86843.3%11,84130.8%1,0102.6%Largest swing recorded in Scotland (10.6 SNP to CON)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk5,00310.2%22,23045.4%4,4979.2%16,55533.8%7291.5%Michael Moore's Seat
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross7,08124.6%11,90741.4%5,51619.2%3,74413.0%5201.8%
Central Ayrshire20,95047.7%5,23611.9%8,36419.0%8,94320.4%4221.0%
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill27,72866.6%3,5198.5%7,01416.9%3,3748.1%N/A
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East23,54957.2%3,9249.5%9,79423.8%3,4078.3%4761.2%
Dumfries and Galloway23,95045.9%4,6088.8%6,41912.3%16,50131.6%6951.3%Conservative target #3
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale13,26328.9%9,08019.8%4,94510.8%17,45738.0%1,1472.5%Conservative's only Scottish seat, Labour target #2
Dundee East13,52933.3%4,28510.6%15,35037.8%6,17715.2%7961.9%Labour target #1
Dundee West17,99448.5%4,23311.4%10,71628.9%3,4619.3%7222.0%SNP target #2
Dunfermline and West Fife22,63946.3%17,16935.1%5,20110.6%3,3056.8%6331.3%Regained by Labour after by-election loss to Lib Dems
East Dunbartonshire16,36734.1%18,55138.7%5,05410.5%7,43115.5%5451.1%Labour target #3
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow26,24151.1%5,0529.9%11,73823.0%6,61313.0%1,3022.6%
East Lothian21,91944.6%8,22816.9%7,88316.0%9,66119.7%1,4102.9%
East Renfrewshire25,98750.8%4,7209.2%4,5358.9%15,56730.4%3720.7%Jim Murphy's seat
Edinburgh East17,31443.4%7,75119.4%8,13320.4%4,35810.9%2,3095.8%
Edinburgh North and Leith17,74037.5%16,01633.8%4,5689.6%7,07914.9%1,8253.8%Lib Dem target #2
Edinburgh South15,21534.7%14,89934.0%3,3547.7%9,45221.6%8802.0%
Edinburgh South West19,47342.8%8,19418.0%5,53012.2%11,02624.3%1,2392.7%Alistair Darling's seat
Edinburgh West12,88127.7%16,68435.9%6,11513.2%10,76723.2%N/A
Falkirk23,20745.7%5,22510.3%15,36430.3%5,69811.2%1,2832.5%
Glasgow Central15,90852.0%5,01016.4%5,35717.5%2,1587.1%2,1397.0%
Glasgow East19,79761.6%1,6175.0%7,95724.7%1,4534.5%1,3404.1%Regained by Labour after by-election loss to SNP
Glasgow North13,18144.5%9,28331.3%3,53011.9%2,0397.1%1,5305.2%
Glasgow North East20,10068.3%2,2627.7%4,15814.1%1,5695.3%1,3204.4%
Glasgow North West19,23354.1%5,62215.8%5,43015.3%3,5379.9%1,7605.0%
Glasgow South20,73651.7%4,73911.8%8,07820.1%4,59211.5%1,9494.9%
Glasgow South West19,86362.5%2,8709.0%5,19216.3%2,0846.6%1,7724.9%
Glenrothes25,24762.3%3,1087.7%8,79921.7%2,9227.2%4251.0%
Gordon9,81120.1%17,57536.0%10,82722.2%9,11118.7%1,4512.9%
Inverclyde20,93356.0%5,00713.3%6,57717.5%4,50212.0%4331.2%
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey10,40722.1%19,17240.7%8,80318.7%6,27813.3%2,4265.2%Danny Alexander's seat, Labour target #4
Kilmarnock and Loudoun24,46052.5%3,4197.3%12,08226.0%6,59214.2%N/ASNP target #3
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath29,55964.5%4,2699.3%6,55014.3%4,2589.3%1,1662.6%Gordon Brown's seat, largest majority of any Scottish seat
Lanark and Hamilton East23,25850.0%5,24911.3%9,78021.0%6,98115.0%1,2862.7%
Linlithgow and East Falkirk25,63449.8%6,58912.8%13,08125.4%6,14611.9%N/A
Livingston23,21548.5%5,31611.1%12,42425.9%5,15810.8%1,7943.7%
Midlothian18,44947.0%6,71117.1%8,10020.6%4,66111.9%1,3213.3%
Moray7,00717.1%5,96514.5%16,27339.7%10,68326.1%1,0852.6%
Motherwell and Wishaw23,91061.1%3,8409.8%7,10418.2%3,6609.4%6091.6%
Na h-Eileanan an Iar4,83832.9%1,0977.5%6,72345.7%6474.4%1,4129.6%
North Ayrshire and Arran21,86047.4%4,63010.0%11,96525.9%7,21215.6%4491.0%
North East Fife6,86917.1%17,76344.3%5,68514.2%8,71521.8%1,0322.6%Menzies Campbell's seat
Ochil and South Perthshire19,13137.9%5,75411.4%13,94427.6%10,34220.5%1,2982.6%SNP target #1
Orkney and Shetland2,06110.7%11,98962.0%2,04210.6%2,03210.5%1,2226.3%Safest Lib Dem seat in the UK
Paisley and Renfrewshire North23,61354.0%4,59710.5%8,33319.1%6,38114.6%7831.8%
Paisley and Renfrewshire South23,84259.6%3,8129.5%7,22818.1%3,9799.9%1,1372.8%Douglas Alexander's seat
Perth and North Perthshire7,92316.4%5,95412.3%19,11839.6%14,73930.5%5341.1%Conservative target #1
Ross, Skye and Lochaber5,26515.1%18,33552.6%5,26315.1%4,26012.2%1,7154.9%Charles Kennedy's seat
Rutherglen and Hamilton West28,56660.8%5,63612.0%7,56416.1%4,5409.7%6751.4%
Stirling19,55841.8%6,79714.5%8,09117.3%11,20423.9%1,1412.4%Conservative target #4
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine6,15913.6%17,36238.4%7,08615.7%13,67830.3%9102.0%
West Dunbartonshire25,90561.3%3,4348.1%8,49720.1%3,2427.7%1,1882.8%

Superlatives

Labour Party

Scottish National Party

Liberal Democrats

Conservative Party

Minor parties' highest shares

Notes and References

  1. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/ Election 2010 United Kingdom - National Results
  2. Web site: William Hague predicts Tory election "breakthrough" in Scotland. www.newstatesman.com. 8 April 2010 .
  3. News: Twitter abuse candidate removed. 9 April 2010. BBC News.
  4. News: Tory suspended over gay comments. 27 April 2010. BBC News.