2010 Slovak parliamentary election explained

Country:Slovakia
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2006 Slovak parliamentary election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2012 Slovak parliamentary election
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 150 seats in the National Council
Majority Seats:76
Election Date:12 June 2010
Turnout:58.65% (3.98 pp)
Image1:Dmitry Medvedev in Slovakia 7 April 2010-14 (cropped 2).jpeg
Leader1:Robert Fico
Party1:Direction – Social Democracy
Last Election1:50 seats, 29.1%
Seats1:62
Seat Change1: 12
Popular Vote1:880,111
Percentage1:34.8%
Swing1: 5.7 pp
Leader2:Iveta Radičová
Party2:Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party
Last Election2:31 seats, 18.4%
Seats2:28
Seat Change2: 3
Popular Vote2:390,042
Percentage2:15.42%
Swing2: 2.9 pp
Image3:Richard Sulík (cropped).jpg
Leader3:Richard Sulík
Party3:Freedom and Solidarity
Last Election3:Did not exist
Seats3:22
Seat Change3:New
Popular Vote3:307,287
Percentage3:12.1%
Swing3:New
Image4:Ján Figeľ 2010 (cropped).jpg
Leader4:Ján Figeľ
Party4:Christian Democratic Movement
Last Election4:14 seats, 8.3%
Seats4:15
Seat Change4: 1
Popular Vote4:215,755
Percentage4:8.5%
Swing4: 0.2 pp
Image5:Béla Bugár (cropped).jpg
Leader5:Béla Bugár
Party5:Most–Híd
Last Election5:Did not exist
Seats5:14
Seat Change5:New
Popular Vote5:205,538
Percentage5:8.1%
Swing5:New
Image6:Žilina P6112384 (cropped).jpg
Leader6:Ján Slota
Party6:Slovak National Party
Last Election6:20 seats, 11.7%
Seats6:9
Seat Change6: 11
Popular Vote6:128,490
Percentage6:5.1%
Swing6: 6.7 pp
Prime Minister
Before Election:Robert Fico
After Election:Iveta Radičová
Before Party:Direction – Social Democracy
After Party:Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party

Parliamentary elections were held in Slovakia on 12 June 2010.[1] The elections were contested by eighteen parties, six of which passed the 5% threshold for sitting in parliament.[2] Despite the incumbent Smer of Prime Minister Robert Fico winning a plurality, the new government consisted of a coalition led by the Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party's Iveta Radičová and included KDH, SaS and Most-Hid. However, her government fell on 11 October 2011 following a vote of no confidence with a new election called for 10 March 2012.

Background

A total of 2,401 candidates applied to contest the 150 seats.[3]

Polls in February 2010 had indicated that the current governing party Smer-SD (Direction – Social Democracy) would win a plurality with a margin of 25%.[4] However the five opposition right-wing parties – the Slovak Democratic and Christian Union (SDKÚ-DS), the Christian Democratic Movement (KDH), the Party of the Hungarian Coalition (SMK-MKP), Most–Híd, and Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) – could together gain a majority. There were conflicting reports during the campaign as to whether some of these parties would consider joining with Fico.[5] During pre-election campaigning, reports indicated that the "Christian Democrats and the two ethnic Hungarian parties had not ruled out working with Fico."[6] [7] Rumours were reported that prime minister Robert Fico might have secretly agreed not to enter a coalition with the Slovak nationalists again, unless he had no other choice.[6] A later poll by of the Czech News Agency suggested that the governing coalition would lose its majority, and that one of Fico's allies (HZDS) would struggle with the 5% barrier.[8]

Participating parties

PartyIdeologyPolitical positionLeader
Direction – Social Democracy (Smer–SD)Social democracy
Left-wing populism
Centre-leftRobert Fico
Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party (SDKÚ–DS)Liberal conservatism
Christian democracy
Centre-rightIveta Radičová
Freedom and Solidarity (SaS)Liberalism
Right-libertarianism
Centre-rightRichard Sulík
Christian Democratic Movement (KDH)Christian democracy
Social conservatism
Centre-rightJán Figeľ
Bridge (Most–Híd)Hungarian minority interests
Christian democracy
Centre-rightBéla Bugár
Slovak National Party (SNS)Ultranationalism
Right-wing populism
Far-rightJán Slota

Campaign

During the parliamentary elections the SDKÚ-DS ran on a platform of fiscal discipline and pledging to reinvigorate the economy.

Opinion polls

According to polling agency Focus in May 2010, eight parties would cross the 5% threshold needed for participation in parliament.

Party January 2010 February 2010 March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010
41.4%38.6% 38.4% 36.8% 35.3% 29.5%
6.2% 6.2% 6.3% 8.6% 6.1% 7.7%
6.5% 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 5%
15.2% 11.3% 14.3% 13.6% 14% 12.1%
5.1% 9.6% 8.6% 11.5% 13.3% 12.4%
9.0% 9.6% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2%
5.2% 5.6% 6.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.5%
5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 5.9% 5.2%
[9]

According to a poll of the Institute of public affairs (IVO) the voter participation would be about 50 to 60%.[4]

Results

Results by region

RegionSmer-SDSDKÚ-DSSaSKDHMost-HídSNSSMK/MKPĽS-HZDSSDĽĽSNSOther parties
Bratislava Region25.1127.5818.037.998.253.850.952.692.040.64
Trnava Region26.9813.6810.887.0918.183.6710.283.271.980.89
Trenčín Region44.7812.9712.637.971.417.110.025.932.781.09
Nitra Region30.7011.819.125.2517.264.4412.903.161.931.03
Žilina Region42.4512.6112.7510.981.409.070.024.362.590.93
Banská Bystrica Region35.1514.2212.685.447.185.065.415.402.792.18
Prešov Region41.6813.669.9114.971.673.750.054.592.602.08
Košice Region31.6116.0711.028.1610.133.645.315.362.601.79
Total in Slovakia34.8015.4212.158.538.135.084.334.332.421.33
Cities32.4619.6815.037.987.204.622.433.562.391.34
Villages37.6410.208.629.199.255.636.655.262.441.32

New government

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Fico's Direction – Social Democracy (Smer) party increased its seat share by 12 to 62. However, Fico faced an uphill battle to remain prime minister, as his coalition partners were decimated. The Slovak National Party barely passed the 5% vote threshold required for parliamentary representation while losing 11 of their 20 seats, while the People's Party – Movement for a Democratic Slovakia was shut out of the chamber altogether.[10] Despite the setback, Fico said that he wanted to try to form a cabinet even though his leftist coalition could only command 71 of the 150 parliament seats and would thus force the need for at least one of the opposing centre-right parties.[10] This has been described as an unlikely, but possible, occurrence,[10] because opposition parties stated during the election that they would not enter government with Fico. One analyst said that he "strictly rule[d] out that any of the centre-right parties could team up with Smer."

The Slovak President, Ivan Gasparovic, asked Fico to attempt to form a government stating that "I believe that the party that won such support from the people deserves the chance."[11]

The second placed Slovak Democratic and Christian Union – Democratic Party had coalition talks with the Christian Democratic Movement, Freedom and Solidarity and Most–Híd.[12] On 16 June it was reported that the four opposition parties which had won seats in the parliament had agreed to form a government under the leadership of Radičová.[13]

An agreement on the distribution of ministries was reached on 28 June 2010.[14] Radičová was then sworn in as PM on 8 July 2010,[15] after her coalition (comprising SDKU, KDH, SaS and Most-Hid[16]) secured a majority of 79 seats in the 150-seat parliament and Fico and his cabinet tendered their resignations. The new government pledged to cut state spending and the budget deficit and to attract more foreign investment, while steering clear of tax rises. "We are ready to take responsibility over the country at a time when it is coping with the impact of a deep economic crisis and the irresponsible decisions of our political predecessors."[17] They have also sought, through Most-Hid, to rebuild links with Hungary that were badly damaged by the adoption of contentious language and citizenship laws.[18]

Fall of government

On 11 October 2011, parliament voted to approve the expansion of the European Financial Stability Fund on the grounds, according to the Freedom and Solidarity, that Slovakia, the second poorest eurozone country, should not bailout richer countries such as Greece and for bank re-capitalisation. As Slovakia was the last eurozone country to vote on the measure, Radičová made it a no confidence vote. The measure then failed by 21 votes after both Freedom and Solidarity and Smer abstained. However, another vote was expected with Smer rumoured to support it should there be a new election and more stringent terms.[19] [20] Smer came to an agreement with the governing coalition to support the measure in what Fico called "the most important document of this period." He also explained the first round rejection of the measure as "saying 'no' to a rightist government, but we're saying 'yes' to the rescue fund." As per the agreement between the two parties Minister Mikulas Dzurinda said that a snap election has been called: "We decided that as the first point of [Thursday's] parliamentary session, we will work on a proposal to shorten the voting period, with the goal of organising an election on 10 March. Immediately after [13 October or 14 October] we will debate proposals related to the EFSF."[21]

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Slovakia's parliamentary elections set for June 12 . 2 February 2010 . The Slovak Spectator . 15 June 2010.
  2. Web site: Voľby do Národnej rady Slovenskej republiky . Volbysr.sk . 15 June 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100614052249/http://www.volbysr.sk/nrsr2010/priebezne/tab_Pv.html . 14 June 2010 . dmy-all .
  3. Web site: Radio Slovakia International . Rozhlas.sk . 15 June 2010.
  4. Web site: Radio Slovakia International . Rozhlas.sk . 15 June 2010.
  5. Web site: posten . Premier fürchtet um Regierungsmehrheit . Der Standard . 15 June 2010.
  6. Web site: Corruption rife, but fails to rile Slovak voters . Businessneweurope.eu . 14 April 2010 . 15 June 2010 . dead . https://archive.today/20120712080435/http://businessneweurope.eu/story2056/Corruption_rife_but_fails_to_rile_Slovak_voters . 12 July 2012.
  7. Web site: Business finance news – currency market news – online UK currency markets – financial news – Interactive Investor . Iii.co.uk . 7 May 2010 . 15 June 2010.
  8. Web site: posten . Regierungskoalition in Umfragen ohne Mehrheit . Der Standard . 22 May 2010 . 15 June 2010.
  9. Web site: FOCUS . Focus-research.sk . 15 June 2010.
  10. News: Slovakia's leftist leader wins Pyrrhic victory as right claims majority . 13 June 2010. Deutsche Welle. 13 June 2010.
  11. News: Bednarikova . Tatiana . Slovak president taps leftist premier to form government. https://archive.today/20130125105530/http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jV-xELEhAIqBR5WLTMcIDghGyYyQ. dead. 25 January 2013. 13 June 2010. Agence France-Presse. 13 June 2010.
  12. News: Slovak right wins vote and look set to oust leftist PM. https://web.archive.org/web/20111019022252/http://af.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idAFTRE65B2AG20100613. dead. 19 October 2011. 13 June 2010. Reuters. 13 June 2010.
  13. http://www.rozhlas.sk/inetportal/rsi/core.php?page=showSprava&id=30055&lang=2
  14. Web site: Coalition parties agree on ministries and SaS presiding over parliament . 29 June 2010 . The Slovak Spectator . 12 October 2011.
  15. Web site: Slovak president appoints liberal Radicova as PM . https://web.archive.org/web/20100711090350/http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gthjD8xNVJsJ6KhK9VejUgldMeEA . dead . 11 July 2010 . 8 July 2010 . 12 October 2011. Agence France-Presse.
  16. Web site: Slovak right backs Radičová to lead cabinet . EurActiv . 16 June 2010 . 12 October 2011 . 9 June 2011 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110609133407/http://www.euractiv.com/en/elections/slovak-right-backs-radicova-lead-cabinet-news-495272 . dead .
  17. Web site: Sociologist Iveta Radicova becomes Slovakia's first female prime minister . Istockanalyst.com . 8 July 2010 . 12 October 2011 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120322114140/http://www.istockanalyst.com/article/viewiStockNews/articleid/4292493 . 22 March 2012.
  18. News: Fri, Jul 9, 2010 – Sociologist Iveta Radicova becomes Slovakia's first female prime minister . The Irish Times . 7 July 2010 . 12 October 2011.
  19. News: Rob Cameron . Slovakia votes down eurozone bailout expansion plans . BBC News . 12 October 2011 . 11 October 2011.
  20. Web site: Slovak lawmakers reject eurozone's revamped EFSF rescue fund . Bangkok Post. 12 October 2011.
  21. News: Slovak rivals reach deal to back EU bailout fund . BBC News . 12 October 2011.