2010 Ohio gubernatorial election explained

See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections.

Election Name:2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
Country:Ohio
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2006 Ohio gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 Ohio gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Governor John Kasich.jpg
Nominee1:John Kasich
Running Mate1:Mary Taylor
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:1,889,186
Percentage1:49.04%
Running Mate2:Yvette Brown
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:1,812,059
Percentage2:47.04%
Governor
Before Election:Ted Strickland
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:John Kasich
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[2] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[3] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[4] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[6] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredTed
Strickland (D)
John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–30, 201048% align=center49%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 27–29, 201046% align=center49%
Survey USAOctober 22–26, 201044% align=center49%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 18–24, 201043% align=center49%
Fox News/POROctober 23, 201043% align=center47%
CNN/Time MagazineOctober 15–19, 2010 align=center48%46%
University of CincinnatiOctober 14–18, 201047% align=center49%
Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 12–17, 201041% align=center51%
University of CincinnatiOctober 8–13, 201043% align=center51%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 11, 201045% align=center48%
Fox News/POROctober 9, 201042% align=center47%
Angus Reid Public OpinionOctober 5–8, 201046% align=center48%
Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 29 – October 3, 201041% align=center50%
Fox News/POROctober 2, 201043% align=center49%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 27, 201042% align=center 50%
CBS/NY TimesSeptember 23–27, 201042% align=center 43%
Reuters/IpsosSeptember 23–25, 201046% align=center 47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UCSeptember 24, 201045% align=center 49%
SurveyUSASeptember 14, 201040% align=center 52%
CNN/Time MagazineSeptember 10–14, 201044% align=center51%
QuinnipiacSeptember 9–14, 201037% align=center 54%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 13, 201043% align=center 50%
Fox News/Pulse ResearchSeptember 11, 201043%align=center 48%
The Columbus DispatchAugust 25 – September 3, 201037%align=center 49%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 30, 201039% align=center 47%
Public Policy PollingAugust 27–29, 201040% align=center 50%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 16, 201040% align=center 48%
Reuters/IpsosAugust 6–8, 201039% align=center 48%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 2, 201042%align=center 45%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 19, 201043%align=center 48%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 29, 201040%align=center 47%
Public Policy PollingJune 26–27, 201041%align=center 43%
QuinnipiacJune 22–27, 2010align=center 43%38%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 3, 201042%align=center 47%
UC/The Ohio PollMay 11–20, 2010align=center 49%44%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 5, 201045%align=center 46%
QuinnipiacApril 21–26, 2010align=center 44%38%
Research 2000April 5–7, 2010align=center 45%40%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 30, 201045%align=center 46%
QuinnipiacMarch 23–29, 2010align=center 43%38%
Public Policy PollingMarch 20–21, 201037%align=center 42%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 4, 201038%align=center 49%
QuinnipiacFebruary 16–21, 2010align=center 44%39%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 5–6, 201041%align=center 47%
The Ohio NewspaperJanuary 13–19, 201045%align=center 51%
Ohio Right to LifeJanuary 8–12, 201033%align=center 43%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 12, 201040% align=center47%
Rasmussen ReportsDecember 7, 200939% align=center48%
QuinnipiacNovember 5–9, 200940%40%
The Ohio NewspaperOctober 14–20, 2009 align=center48%47%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 23, 200945% align=center46%
QuinnipiacSeptember 10–13, 2009 align=center46%36%
Research 2000July 8, 2009 align=center44%39%
QuinnipiacJune 26 – July 1, 2009 align=center43%38%
Public Policy PollingJune 17–19, 2009 align=center44%42%
QuinnipiacApril 28 – May 4, 2009 align=center51%32%
QuinnipiacMarch 10–15, 2009 align=center51%31%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 2009 align=center56%26%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 17–18, 2009 align=center45%39%

Results

When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Debates
Official campaign websites (Archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times. www.nytimes.com. 2020-05-21.
  2. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  3. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  4. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  5. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . . October 28, 2010.
  6. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .