2010 Maine gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Maine gubernatorial election
Country:Maine
Type:presidential
Ongoing:No
Previous Election:2006 Maine gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Next Election:2014 Maine gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:PaulLePage (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Paul LePage
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:218,065
Percentage1:37.6%
Governor
Before Election:John Baldacci
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Paul LePage
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Nominee2:Eliot Cutler
Party2:Independent (United States)
Popular Vote2:208,270
Percentage2:35.9%
Nominee4:Libby Mitchell
Party4:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote4:109,387
Percentage4:18.8%
Nominee5:Shawn Moody
Party5:Independent (United States)
Popular Vote5:28,756
Percentage5:5.0%

The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010 to elect the governor of Maine. Incumbent Democratic governor John Baldacci was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democratic), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]

With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%. Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively. Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3] This election was the first since 1990 that Maine elected a Republican governor.

Democratic primary

Candidates

On ballot

Write-in

Withdrawn

Declined

Results

At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[23]

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredOttenLePageMillsAbbottBeardsleyPoliquinJacobsonUndecided
MECPO [44] align=center May 22-June 2, 2010align=center 17.0%align=center 10.7% align=center 22.1%align=center 13.9%align=center 5.9%align=center 4.9%align=center 1.4%align=center 24.0%
Pan Atlantic SMS GroupMay 21–29, 2010 align=center17.0%10.3%8.4%8.3%3.6%3.3%2.0%47.0%

Results

At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[45]

Independents

Candidates on the ballot

Write-in candidates

Disqualified candidates

Withdrawn

Maine Green Independent Party

The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[64]

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[68] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[69] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[70] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[72] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
class=small Margin of
error
align=left Paul LePage (R)align=left Libby Mitchell (D)align=left Eliot Cutler (I)align=left Shawn Moody (I)align=left Kevin Scott (I)Undecided
MPRC / Down East MagazineOctober 28–30, 2010546± 4.19% align=center39%24%29%4%1%2%
Critical Insights / MaineToday MediaOctober 27–28, 2010621± 4% align=center40%21%21%4%1%11%
Pan Atlantic SMSOctober 25–28, 2010400± 4.9% align=center38.6%21.8%30.6%2.8%1.1%7.3%
Public Policy PollingOctober 26–28, 20101,812± 2.3% align=center40%24%28%4%1%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 26, 2010500± 4.5% align=center40%26%26%--5%
Critical InsightsOctober 13–17, 2010600± 4% align=center32%20%19%5%1%21%
Pan Atlantic SMSOctober 11–15, 2010501± 4.4% align=center32.9%28.0%14.0%4.6%0.4%20.2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 12, 2010500± 4.5% align=center35%32%21%6%
Critical Insights / MaineToday MediaOctober 10–11, 2010605± 4% align=center32%26%11%5126%
Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public OpinionOctober 4–7, 2010679± 3.76% align=center29.6%28.7%11.1%4.9%1.6%24.1%
Critical Insights / MaineToday MediaSeptember 27, 2010405± 4.9%29% align=center30%9%5%0%26%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 20, 2010500± 4.5% align=center45%27%14%10%
Critical Insights / MaineToday MediaSeptember 13, 2010603± 4% align=center38%25%11%4%1%21%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 2–6, 20101,468± 2.6% align=center43%29%11%5%1%12%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 12, 2010500± 4.5% align=center38%30%16%11%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 14, 2010500± 4.5% align=center39%31%15%12%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 10, 2010500± 4.5% align=center43%36%7%14%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)
Debates
Candidate interviews

Notes and References

  1. Web site: The day after: Governor's race takes shape. 9 June 2010.
  2. Web site: BDN projects LePage to win governor's race . Bangor Daily NEws . 3 November 2010 . Miller, Kevin . Wickenheiser, Matt . 3 November 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101104132243/http://new.bangordailynews.com/2010/11/03/politics/bdn-projects-lepage-wins-governors-race/ . 4 November 2010 .
  3. News: Campaign 2010 – Maine Election Results . 5 November 2010 . Bangor Daily News . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100612221401/http://maineelections.bangordailynews.com/ . 12 June 2010 .
  4. News: Associated Press . McGowan joins Maine gubernatorial field . . 5 January 2010 . 5 January 2010 . Former state Conservation Commissioner Patrick McGowan formally announced his candidacy today, making him the seventh Democrat seeking his party's nomination in June. . https://web.archive.org/web/20110714021811/http://updates.pressherald.mainetoday.com/updates/mcgowan-joins-maine-gubernatorial-field . 14 July 2011 . dead . dmy-all .
  5. News: Susan . Cover . Elizabeth Mitchell files for governor's race . . 2009-08-11 . 12 August 2009 . https://archive.today/20130128160836/http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=276012&ac=PHnws . dead . 2013-01-28 .
  6. News: Matthew . Gagnon . Steve Rowe Running For Governor . . 8 December 2008 . 12 August 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090428161359/http://www.pinetreepolitics.com/?p=229 . 28 April 2009 . dead . dmy-all .
  7. http://www.roweforgovernor.com/ Rowe For Governor (official candidate web site)
  8. News: Matt . Wickenheiser . Businesswoman launches Blaine House bid . . 20 July 2009 . 12 August 2009 .
  9. http://www.rosaformaine.com/ Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
  10. News: Cindy . Williams . Former Mayor Donna Dion Announced Run For Governor . . 22 July 2009 . 12 August 2009 .
  11. Web site: Donna Dion For Governor 2010 (official candidate web site) . 2009-07-22 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090813065940/http://donnajdionforgovernor2010.com/ . 2009-08-13 . dead .
  12. News: Dennis . Hoey . Dione will run for governor as a write-in candidate . . 21 March 2010 . 22 March 2010 .
  13. News: Heather . O'Bryan . House Member Announces Run For Governor . . 1 July 2009 . 12 August 2009 . https://archive.today/20130209015356/http://www.wcsh6.com/news/local/story.aspx?storyid=106570&catid=2 . dead . 9 February 2013 .
  14. Web site: dawnhillforgovernor.com (official candidate web site) . 2009-08-12 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090902113959/http://www.dawnhillforgovernor.com/ . 2009-09-02 . dead .
  15. Web site: "Rep. Hill drops out of Maine gov. race" – SeacoastOnline.com . 2010-03-15 . 2012-09-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120919153953/http://www.seacoastonline.com/articles/20100101-NEWS-100109992 . dead .
  16. Web site: 9 hopefuls for top job in Maine . Bangor Daily News . Kevin Miller .
  17. News: Richardson to announce for governor . David Hench . . 16 November 2009 . 16 November 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20091208122045/http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=296507&ac=PHnws . 8 December 2009 . dead . dmy-all .
  18. http://www.pressherald.com/news/Richardson-to-hold-11-am-press-conference.html Richardson withdrawing from governor's race
  19. News: Cover. Susan. Governor's Race: Independents can vote Tuesday, but they need to know the rules. 7 June 2010. Portland Press Herald. 7 June 2010. Democrat John Richardson pulled out in April after the ethics commission found problems with his application for Clean Election funds. But it was too late for the ballots, which had already gone to the printers..
  20. News: Matt . Wickenheiser . Man once jailed for forgery seeks state office . . 10 September 2009 . 10 September 2009 . A former state representative who was jailed two years ago for forging signatures on petitions for state Clean Election funds has filed papers to run for governor. Peter Truman of Old Orchard Beach, also known as Peter Throumoulos, plans to run as a Democrat. . https://archive.today/20120715064606/http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=282192&ac=PHnws . dead . 15 July 2012 .
  21. Web site: Auburn lawmaker decides against bid for governor . SunJournal.com . 2009-09-02.
  22. Web site: Allen Discusses Future . Mainepolitics.net . 2008-12-31.
  23. Web site: Mitchell wins Democratic Primary. WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. June 8, 2010.
  24. Web site: Does Abbott Have his Eye on Governors Job? . PressHerald.com . 2009-02-02 .
  25. News: Collins aide joins Maine gov's race . . 12 January 2009 . 12 January 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100115131054/http://updates.pressherald.mainetoday.com/updates/update-collins-aide-joins-maine-govs-race . 15 January 2010 . dead . dmy-all .
  26. News: Former Husson president to run for governor . . 12 January 2009 . 12 January 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110212152838/http://updates.pressherald.mainetoday.com/updates/former-husson-president-to-run-for-governor . 12 February 2011 . dead . dmy-all .
  27. Web site: Bill Beardsley: Governor For Maine (official candidate web site) . 2010-01-22 . 2019-06-29 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190629160612/http://billbeardsley.com/ . dead .
  28. Web site: Republican Announces for Governor . Mainepolitics.net . 2009-02-26.
  29. Web site: Matt Jacobson For Governor (official candidate web site) . 2009-08-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090819114909/http://www.jacobsonforgovernor.com/ . 2009-08-19 . dead .
  30. News: Waterville mayor files to run for governor . . 23 September 2009 . 23 September 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090926133015/http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/updates/updates/waterville-mayor-files-to-run-for-governor . 26 September 2009 .
  31. Web site: Paul LePage – Gubernatorial Dark Horse? . 2009-09-03 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090912190633/http://www.pinetreepolitics.com/2009/09/01/paul-lepage-gubernatorial-dark-horse/ . 2009-09-12 . dead .
  32. Web site: Morning Sentinel, September 18, 2009 . September 18, 2009 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090923224317/http://morningsentinel.mainetoday.com/news/local/6865360.html . September 23, 2009 . dead . mdy-all .
  33. Web site: Paul LePage for Governor 2010 (official campaign web site) . 2010-02-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101226231723/http://www.lepage2010.com/ . 2010-12-26 . dead .
  34. http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/newsupdate.php?updates/mills-declares-candidacy-for-governor Mills declares candidacy for governor
  35. Web site: Welcome to the Public Campaign Finance Page for the State of Maine . https://archive.today/20130128163512/http://www.mainecampaignfinance.com/public/report_list.asp?TYPE=CAN&ID=4501&LIMIT=&YEAR=2010&LINK=OS . dead . 2013-01-28 . Mainecampaignfinance.com . 2010-08-21 .
  36. http://www.millsformaine.com/ Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
  37. http://lesotten.com/ Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site)
  38. Web site: Portland, ME | Race For Governor Already Taking Shape . WCSH6.com . 2010-01-04 . 2010-08-21 .
  39. http://www.bruceforme.com/ Bruce Poliquin for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  40. Web site: > Archives > News > Poliquin jumps to early cash lead . The Times Record . 2009-07-20 . 2010-08-21 .
  41. http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=273359&ac=PHnws Cianchette insists he won't run for governor
  42. Web site: Kevin Raye Will Not Run For Governor . Pine Tree Politics . 2009-11-10 . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110104073104/http://www.pinetreepolitics.com/2009/11/10/kevin-raye-will-not-run-for-governor/ . 2011-01-04 . dead .
  43. Web site: Josh Tardy . Abbott for Governor . 2010-08-21.
  44. Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
  45. Web site: LePage projected to win Maine GOP primary. WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. June 8, 2010.
  46. News: Ken . Christian . Cutler To Run For Governor As Independent . . August 24, 2009 . August 24, 2009 .
  47. Web site: Cutler 2010 (official candidate web site) . 2009-08-25 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090902091023/http://www.cutler2010.com/ . 2009-09-02 . dead .
  48. News: Two Independent Gubernatorial Candidates Qualify for Maine Ballot . . April 23, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110614133153/http://www.mpbn.net/Home/tabid/36/ctl/ViewItem/mid/3483/ItemId/11890/Default.aspx . June 14, 2011 .
  49. Web site: Shawn Moody for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site) . 2010-06-12 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100806122915/http://www.moodygov.com/ . 2010-08-06 . dead .
  50. News: Wilensky-Lanford. Ethan. Scott envisions role as 'a citizen governor'. May 27, 2010. Portland Press Herald. May 27, 2010.
  51. Web site: Kevin L. Scott: Maine Governor 2010 (official candidate web site) . 2010-03-05 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110208121756/http://www.mainesbestchoice.com/ . 2011-02-08 . dead .
  52. News: Jenkins' campaign hinges on Web friends . Tice . Lindsay . Lewiston Sun Journal . August 26, 2010 . August 27, 2010.
  53. http://www.facebook.com/pages/Draft-John-Jenkins-2B-Maines-Governor-in-2010/134939583212560/ Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010
  54. News: Waterville mayor files to run for governor . . Beverly Cooper-Pete of Portland also filed Tuesday as an unenrolled candidate. . 23 September 2009 . 23 September 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090926133015/http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/updates/updates/waterville-mayor-files-to-run-for-governor . 26 September 2009 .
  55. News: Wickenheiser. Matt. Maine gubernatorial candidates put the focus on homeless. 15 September 2010. Portland Press Herald. 15 September 2010. The candidates who attended were Democrat Libby Mitchell and independent Shawn Moody, along with write-in candidates Beverly Cooper-Pete and Ed Braley ....
  56. http://www.hammer2010.com/ Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  57. News: Blaine House candidate sues over denied petitions . https://archive.today/20120720233242/http://www.bangordailynews.com/detail/147466.html . dead . July 20, 2012 . Kevin . Miller . Bangor Daily News . June 29, 2010 . July 1, 2010 .
  58. Web site: Gov. candidate Hammer sues Sec. of State | Mainebiz . Mainebiz.biz . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100820053604/http://www.mainebiz.biz/news46535.html . 2010-08-20 . dead .
  59. News: Associated Press. Judge: state correct in rejecting candidate's signatures. 29 September 2010. Portland Press Herald.
  60. Web site: Sam Bailey: Governor 2010 (official candidate web site) . 2009-08-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090609141524/http://joinsamme.com/ . 2009-06-09 . dead .
  61. News: Cover. Susan. Three unenrolled candidates qualify for governor's race. 2 June 2010. Portland Press Herald. 2 June 2010.
  62. News: Kennebec . Journal. Gay-rights foe running for Maine governor . . 14 April 2010 . 14 April 2010 .
  63. News: Associated Press . Heath decides against running for gov . . 14 April 2010 . 14 April 2010 .
  64. Web site: Falling short on signatures, Williams exits . The Morning Sentinel . March 16, 2010 . Susan M. . Cover . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101113144331/http://www.onlinesentinel.com/news/falling-short-on-signatures-williams-exits_2010-03-15.html . November 13, 2010 .
  65. Web site: Maine Green party chairwoman to run for governor . Bangor Daily News . 2008-12-30 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090214180737/http://bangornews.com/detail/94921.html . 2009-02-14 .
  66. http://www.lynnewilliams2010.org/ Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  67. http://www.pressherald.com/news/Williams-drops-out-of-governors-race.html Green candidate drops out of governor's race
  68. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  69. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  70. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  71. Web site: THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS . 28 October 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  72. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  73. Web site: Maine Governor . August 12, 2010 . Rasmussen Reports.