2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election explained

Election Name:2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election
Country:Illinois
Type:Congressional
Ongoing:no
Previous Year:2008
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Candidate1:Bobby Schilling
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:104,583
Percentage1:52.5%
Candidate2:Phil Hare
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:85,454
Percentage2:42.9%
Map Size:250px
Representative
Before Election:Phil Hare
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Bobby Schilling
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2010 Illinois's 17th congressional district election was held on November 2, 2010 to determine who would represent Illinois's 17th District in the 112th United States Congress. The seat contested was located in western and parts of central Illinois. Democratic incumbent Phil Hare had held the seat since 2006 and was running for re-election. The Republican nominee was Bobby Schilling. The Green Party nominee was Roger K. Davis.[1]

Schilling won the election in an upset with almost 53% of the vote.

Race

Background

Hare was elected in 2006 with 57% of the vote and was unopposed in United States elections, 2008. Schilling is a restaurateur and owns Saint Giuseppe's Heavenly Pizza in East Moline, Illinois, which he started in 1997. Both were unopposed in their respective primaries.[2]

Once thought to be safe by political analysts, Hare's seat was in trouble in the summer of 2010 as Schilling made his challenge.[3] The New York Timess final rating was "Tossup",[4] as was that of CQ Politics.[5] RealClearPolitics's final rating was "Leans Democrat".[6] FiveThirtyEight gave Schilling a 63% chance of winning.[4] Politico rated it #5 on its list of "hottest House races in the country".[7]

Though both were unopposed in their respective primaries, primary elections were still held as voters went to the polls to vote in other races. Out of 64,141 total votes cast in each party for the February 2nd Illinois primary, Hare took 32,496 votes (50.66%) to Schilling's 31,645 (49.34%).[1] [8] "After the results of yesterday’s election, one thing is clear: voters are ready for a clean break from the failed ideas of the past," Schilling said after the primary. "Voter turnout shows that my Democrat opponent and I nearly had identical votes." Because of the close results, National Review said the race is "worth keeping an eye on."[9]

General election campaign

National organizations were heavily involved in the race, with the National Republican Congressional Committee injecting $350,000 into the race and the conservative American Future Fund buying $500,000 worth of ads in the district, both on behalf of Schilling.[10] The Republican National Committee funded the opening of a "Victory Center" similar to that used for the campaign of Sen. Scott Brown in 2010.[11] On Hare's side, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $90,000 worth of airtime and SEIU bought $317,000 for similar commercials alleging Schilling wants to send jobs overseas, which the Schilling campaign denies.[12]

Schilling's campaign outraised Hare's by $51,000 in Q3 2010 and had more cash on hand than Hare as of September 30.[13] [14]

All three candidates participated in one televised debate on October 26, which covered topics ranging from social security, taxes, and job creation to abortion and stem cell research.[15]

Endorsements

Schilling received the endorsements of the Illinois Federation for the Right to Life PAC,[16] the Republican National Coalition for Life PAC,[17] the Quincy Tea Party,[18] Congressman Aaron Schock,[19] Congressman John Shimkus, Sgt. John F. Baker, Jr., recipient of the Medal of Honor,[20] Rep. Michele Bachmann,[21] CatholicVote PAC,[22] former Governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney,[23] John Deere PAC,[24] the Chicago Tribune,[25] and the United States Chamber of Commerce.[26]

Hare was endorsed by the Sierra Club[27] and Veterans of Foreign Wars.

Fundraising

Figures are final as of December 31, 2010.

Candidate (Party)ReceiptsDisbursementsCash On HandDebt
Phil Hare (D)$1,364,578$1,759,078$1,837$11,487
Bobby Schilling (R)$1,127,490$1,117,731$9,759$54,039
Roger K. Davis (G)$0$0$0$0
Source: Federal Election Commission[28]

Polling

Poll SourceDates AdministeredPhil Hare (D)Bobby Schilling (R)Roger K. Davis (G)Undecided
The Hill[29] October 12–14, 201038% align=center45%-14%
NRCC internal poll via Washington Post[30] Unavailable41% align=center44%UnavailableUnavailable
Public Opinion Strategies[31] September 26–27, 2010 align=center38%37%----
Tarrance Group via National Journal[32] September 23–25, 201043% align=center44%----
We Ask America[33] September 8, 201038% align=center41%--17%
Magellan Strategies via NRO[34] July 12, 201032% align=center45%--23%
Public Opinion Strategies via NRO[35] Unavailable align=center33%31%7%30%
We Ask America[36] February 18, 2010 align=center39%32%4%26%

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Eric Timmons . Hare and Schilling ready for battle - News - The Register-Mail - Galesburg, IL . Galesburg.com . 2010-02-03 . 2015-05-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101123171445/http://www.galesburg.com/news/x1878079798/Hare-and-Schilling-ready-for-battle . 2010-11-23 . dead .
  2. Web site: Many state seats unopposed in primary - News - Journal Star - Peoria, IL . Pjstar.com . 2010-01-19 . 2015-05-19.
  3. Web site: Cook Political Report Upgrades IL-17 to Toss Up - Illinois Review . Illinoisreview.typepad.com . 2010-09-16 . 2015-05-19.
  4. Web site: Brown . Theresa . Illinois 17th District Race Profile - Election 2010 - The New York Times . Elections.nytimes.com . 2010-12-10 . 2015-05-19.
  5. Web site: Race Detail Display Page : Roll Call . https://archive.today/20120731034735/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=district-2010-IL-17 . dead . 2012-07-31 . Cqpolitics.com . 2015-05-15 . 2015-05-19 .
  6. Web site: Election 2010 - Illinois 17th District - Schilling vs. Hare . RealClearPolitics.com . 2010-03-18 . 2015-05-19.
  7. Web site: 12 hottest House races to watch - Mike Allen and Alexander Burns and Alexander Trowbridge . . 2015-05-19.
  8. Web site: Schilling Competitive with Hare in Primary Turn-Out . Archive.constantcontact.com . 2010-02-04 . 2015-05-19.
  9. http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MzFmMWRlN2M3ZTNiZjY4ODU5YWQ2YzQwNDZmNzE0YzM=
  10. Web site: GOP hungrily eyes Hare's seat . . 2012-12-23 . 2015-05-19.
  11. Web site: Bobby Schilling . October 11, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101008040625/https://www.bobby2010.com/newsroom/press-releases/184-schilling-campaign-opens-victory-center . October 8, 2010 .
  12. Web site: Tibbetts . Ed . On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts . Campaigntrail.qctimes.com . 2015-05-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101015224159/http://campaigntrail.qctimes.com/?p=2725 . 2010-10-15 . dead .
  13. http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/10/house_third_qua.php
  14. Web site: Constant Contact : Web Page Expired . Campaign.r20.constantcontact.com . 2014-06-02 . 2015-05-19 .
  15. Web site: Hare, Schilling clash in television debate . Qctimes.com . 2010-10-26 . 2015-05-19.
  16. Web site: Illinois Federation for Right to Life Political Action Committee : 2010 Illinois Primary Election Page—Endorsements . May 16, 2015 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110713004308/http://www.ifrl-pac.com/elections/2010/primary/endorsements/ . July 13, 2011 .
  17. Web site: 2010 Election Candidates responses to the RNC/Life Questionnaire . Rnclife.org . 2010-11-05 . 2015-05-19 . https://web.archive.org/web/20150523013100/http://www.rnclife.org/pac/2010_Primary_PAC_Report.html#1 . 2015-05-23 . dead .
  18. http://www.whig.com/story/news/Schilling-010610
  19. Web site: mywebpal.com/news. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20110402231012/http://news.mywebpal.com/news_tool_v2.cfm?show=localnews. April 2, 2011. September 21, 2010.
  20. http://www.veterans4schilling.org/linked/final-baker.jpg
  21. Web site: YouTube . . 2015-05-19.
  22. Web site: White . John . CatholicVote.org . CatholicVote.org . 2015-05-19.
  23. Web site: Mitt Romney Endorses Bobby Schilling for Congress . Aledotimesrecord.com . 2010-09-24 . 2015-05-19 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120307204419/http://www.aledotimesrecord.com/newsnow/x105404038/Mitt-Romney-Endorses-Bobby-Schilling-for-Congress . 2012-03-07 .
  24. Web site: Deere PAC chooses sides in tight congressional race . October 6, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101008045337/http://www.wqad.com/news/wqad-deere-pac-chooses-sides-100510%2C0%2C4585268.story . October 8, 2010 .
  25. Web site: Tibbetts . Ed . On the Campaign Trail with Ed Tibbetts . Campaigntrail.qctimes.com . 2015-05-19 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101010171311/http://campaigntrail.qctimes.com/?p=2697 . 2010-10-10 .
  26. Web site: Page 2: Vote 2010 Elections: The Rookies From Pizza Parlor to the Halls of Congress . . 2010-10-13 . 2015-05-19.
  27. Web site: SIERRA CLUB ENDORSES PHIL HARE FOR CONGRESS . September 21, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20100826195600/http://friendsofphilhare.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=250%3Asierra-club-endorses-phil-hare-for-congress&catid=51%3Apress-releases&Itemid=107 . August 26, 2010 .
  28. http://fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=disH&stateName=IL&congressId=17&election_yr=2010
  29. Web site: District by district - Illinois - TheHill.com . March 18, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101024090849/http://thehill.com/house-polls/thehill-poll-week-3/124921-district-by-district-illinois . October 24, 2010 .
  30. Web site: The Fix - Democratic outside group launches Washington, West Virginia ads. 2015-05-22.
  31. Web site: Scot Reader on Twitter. 2015-05-22.
  32. Web site: Starting Lineup: Midwest Trouble For House Dems - Hotline On Call . March 21, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101003094433/http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2010/09/starting_lineup_23.php . October 3, 2010 .
  33. Web site: By request: Illinois CD 17 : weaskamerica.com . https://web.archive.org/web/20100914160004/http://weaskamerica.com/2010/09/08/by-request-illinois-cd-17/ . dead . September 14, 2010 . March 21, 2014 .
  34. Web site: GOP's Schilling Leads Democrat Incumbent Phil Hare, 45-32 National Review Online . . March 21, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20131023204558/http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/231212/gops-schilling-leads-democrat-incumbent-phil-hare-45-32 . October 23, 2013 .
  35. Web site: Bobby Schilling Within 2 of Phil Hare in Illinois 17th District National Review Online . . March 21, 2014 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20131020200922/http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/242344/bobby-schilling-within-2-phil-hare-illinois-17th-district . October 20, 2013 .
  36. Web site: Illinois: an early compilation of key districts : weaskamerica.com . https://web.archive.org/web/20100729040610/http://weaskamerica.com/2010/03/18/illinois-an-early-compilation-of-key-districts/ . dead . July 29, 2010 . February 26, 2014 .

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