2009 United States gubernatorial elections explained

Election Name:2009 United States gubernatorial elections
Country:United States
Type:legislative
Seats For Election:3 governorships
2 states; 1 territory
Election Date:November 3 and 7, 2009
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 United States gubernatorial elections
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2010 United States gubernatorial elections
Next Year:2010
1Blank:Seats up
2Blank:Seats won
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Seats Before1:28
Seats After1:26
Seat Change1: 2
Popular Vote1:1,906,681
Percentage1:43.25%
1Data1:2
2Data1:0
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Seats Before2:22
Seats After2:24
Seat Change2: 2
Popular Vote2:2,338,096
Percentage2:53.03%
1Data2:0
2Data2:2
Map Size:320px

United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 3, 2009, in the states of New Jersey and Virginia, as well as in the U.S. commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands on November 7, 2009. Both state governorships were previously held by Democrats elected in 2005, and both were won by Republicans in 2009; the local Covenant Party maintained control of the governorship of the Marianas. These elections formed part of the 2009 United States elections. As of, this is the last election after which the Democratic party held a majority of governorships.

Due to the passage of Senate Legislative Initiative 16–11, this was the last year in the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands in which a gubernatorial election occurred on a pre-midterm, off-year election year, as the next gubernatorial election would be in 2014.[1] [2]

The Democrats held 28 governorships, while the Republicans held 22. In this election, both U.S. governorships up for election were held by Democrats, while the governorship of the Northern Mariana Islands was held by the Covenant Party.This is also the last election in which the democrats held a majority of governorships nationwide.

Election predictions

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

IE
[3] ! Result
New Jersey data-sort-value="-4" D+4Jon Corzine data-sort-value="53.5" 53.5% D data-sort-value="48.5" Christie
48.5% R
Virginia data-sort-value="-2" R+2 data-sort-value="51.7" 51.7% D data-sort-value="-58.6" McDonnell
58.6% R

Race Summary

States

StateIncumbentPartyFirst
elected
ResultCandidates
New JerseyDemocratic2005Incumbent lost re-election.
New member elected.
Republican gain.
nowrap
VirginiaTim KaineDemocratic2005Incumbent term-limited.
New member elected.
Republican gain.
nowrap

Territory

Closest races

States where the margin of victory was under 5%:

Northern Mariana Islands, 2.8%
New Jersey, 4.3%Red denotes states won by Republicans. Green denotes states won by Covenants.

New Jersey

Election Name:2009 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Country:New Jersey
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2005 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2005
Election Date:November 3, 2009
Next Election:2013 New Jersey gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Image1:File:Chris Christie 2011 Shankbone.JPG
Nominee1:Chris Christie
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Running Mate1:Kim Guadagno
Popular Vote1:1,174,445
Percentage1:48.5%
Nominee2:Jon Corzine
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Running Mate2:Loretta Weinberg
Popular Vote2:1,087,731
Percentage2:44.9%
Image3:File:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Chris Daggett
Party3:Independent (US)
Running Mate3:Frank J. Esposito
Popular Vote3:139,579
Percentage3:5.8%
Map Size:280px
Governor
Before Election:Jon Corzine
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Chris Christie
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See main article: 2009 New Jersey gubernatorial election.

Democratic Governor Jon Corzine was eligible to run for a second term and did so. He was considered vulnerable given a number of recent scandals and low approval ratings.[4] Former Glen Ridge Mayor Carl Bergmanson, failed 2008 congressional candidate Roger Bacon, and failed 2008 Senate candidate Jeff Boss also sought the Democratic nomination. Corzine won the Democratic primary on June 2.

U.S. Attorney Chris Christie was the Republican gubernatorial nominee. Christie defeated former Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan and veteran General Assemblyman Rick Merkt in the Republican primary on June 2.

Chris Daggett, who was Commissioner of the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection under Governor Thomas Kean and regional administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency under President Ronald W. Reagan, ran as an independent. Daggett raised enough money to file for public funds and appear in both debates.

On November 3, 2009, Republican Christie unseated Democratic incumbent Governor Corzine. His margin of victory was 49% to 45%. Daggett's role as a "spoiler candidate" (some polls had him taking 10 percent of the vote) never materialized.

Virginia

Election Name:2009 Virginia gubernatorial election
Country:Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2005 Virginia gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2005
Election Date:November 3, 2009
Next Election:2013 Virginia gubernatorial election
Next Year:2013
Image1:File:Bob McDonnell (4379673749) (cropped) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Bob McDonnell
Party1:Republican Party (US)
Popular Vote1:1,163,651
Percentage1:58.6%
Nominee2:Creigh Deeds
Party2:Democratic Party (US)
Popular Vote2:818,950
Percentage2:41.2%
Map Size:300px
Governor
Before Election:Tim Kaine
Before Party:Democratic Party (US)
After Election:Bob McDonnell
After Party:Republican Party (US)

See main article: 2009 Virginia gubernatorial election.

Virginia's term limits law allows governors to run for more than one term; however, the terms cannot be consecutive. Thus, incumbent Governor Tim Kaine could not stand for re-election.

Candidates for the Democratic nomination included Terry McAuliffe, former Chairman of the Democratic National Committee and Hillary Clinton's former campaign manager; State Senator Creigh Deeds;[5] and State Delegate Brian Moran.[6] Deeds won the Democratic primary on June 9, 2009, with approximately 49% of the vote, beating out Terry McAliffe with 26% and Brian Moran with 23%.[7]

The Republican nominee was Virginia Attorney General Bob McDonnell. This was the sixth consecutive Virginian gubernatorial election where an elected Attorney General has run.[8]

On November 3, 2009, Bob McDonnell defeated Creigh Deeds to become Governor-elect of Virginia. His margin of victory was a landslide 59% to 41%.[9]

Territory

Northern Mariana Islands

Election Name:2009 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election
Country:Northern Mariana Islands
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2005 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2005
Election Date:November 7, 2009 (general)
November 23, 2009 (runoff)
Next Election:2014 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
1Blank:First
round
2Blank:Runoff
Image1:File:Benigno Fitial 2009.jpg
Nominee1:Benigno Fitial
Party1:Covenant Party (Northern Mariana Islands)
1Data1:4,892
36.2%
2Data1:6,610
51.4%
Nominee2:Heinz Hofschneider
Party2:Republican Party (US)
1Data2:4,900
36.3%
2Data2:6,240
48.6%
Candidate4:Juan Pan Guerrero
Party4:Independent (US)
1Data4:2,613
19.3%
2Data4:Eliminated
Candidate5:Ramon Deleon Guerrero
Party5:Independent (US)
1Data5:1,075
8.0%
2Data5:Eliminated
Governor
Before Election:Benigno Fitial
Before Party:Covenant Party (Northern Mariana Islands)
After Election:Benigno Fitial
After Party:Covenant Party (Northern Mariana Islands)
Map Size:200px

Governor Benigno R. Fitial, a member of the local Covenant Party, was eligible to run for a second term and did so. Rep. Heinz Hofschneider won the Republican nomination in June, defeating former Republican Governor Juan N. Babauta, who was defeated in his 2005 re-election by Fitial. Ramon "Kumoi" Guerrero and Juan "Pan" Guerrero, two former members of the Northern Mariana Islands Senate, both ran as independents.

The CNMI election was held on Saturday, November 7, 2009.[10] No candidate received a majority, so Governor Fital and Rep. Hofschneider advanced to a runoff election on November 23. Fital won with a 370-vote margin.[11]

Notes and References

  1. News: Haidee V. . Eugenio . CNMI holds first runoff election . . 2009-11-23 . 2009-11-23 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120112021521/http://www.saipantribune.com/newsstory.aspx?newsID=95301&cat=1 . 2012-01-12 .
  2. News: Gemma. Casas. Northern Marianas' election race heats up. Radio Australia. 2009-11-17. 2009-11-23. 2011-07-17. https://web.archive.org/web/20110717125217/http://www.radioaustralianews.net.au/stories/200911/2744614.htm?desktop. dead.
  3. Web site: Gubernatorial Ratings Inside Elections . www.insideelections.com.
  4. http://www.newsday.com/news/local/wire/newjersey/ny-bc-nj--e-mails-corzines0531may31,0,7109047.story
  5. Web site: Deeds Weighs In On Recount Process . Charlottesvillenewsplex.tv . 2010-04-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090815010624/http://www.charlottesvillenewsplex.tv/news/headlines/33942374.html . 2009-08-15 . dead .
  6. http://www.newsleader.com/article/20081109/NEWS01/811090337/1002/news01
  7. Web site: 2009 June Democratic Primary Unofficial Results . June 15, 2009 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090618231822/https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2009/B19D959E-A4DD-4C27-BC08-30C8F2FF2F92/Unofficial/2_s.shtml . June 18, 2009 .
  8. Web site: Attorney General Bob McDonnell hopes VA will elect a Republican governor – WDBJ7 Roanoke News and Weather NRV Lynchburg Danville | . Wdbj7.com . 2008-11-07 . 2010-04-27 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090815174317/http://www.wdbj7.com/Global/story.asp?S=9313545&nav=menu368_2_4_20 . 2009-08-15 . dead .
  9. http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/11/03/democrats-republicans-prepare-possible-legal-battle-new-jersey-race/
  10. News: Gemma Q.. Casas . Registered voters up by 15% . Marianas Variety. 2009-10-13 . 2009-10-12.
  11. News: Haidee V. . Eugenio . Fitial seals victory with 370 lead . . 2009-12-08 . 2009-12-20 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110814231428/http://www.saipantribune.com/newsstory.aspx?newsID=95662&cat=1 . 2011-08-14 .