2009 Queensland state election explained

Election Name:2009 Queensland state election
Country:Queensland
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2006 Queensland state election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2012 Queensland state election
Next Year:2012
Seats For Election:All 89 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
45 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
Turnout:90.93 (0.46 pp)
Leader1:Anna Bligh
Party1:Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)
Leaders Seat1:South Brisbane
Last Election1:59 seats, 46.92%
Seats1:51 seats
Seat Change1:8
Popular Vote1:1,002,415
Percentage1:42.25%
Swing1:4.67
Leader2:Lawrence Springborg
Party2:Liberal National Party of Queensland
Leaders Seat2:Southern Downs
Last Election2:25 seats, 37.92%
Seats2:34 seats
Seat Change2:9
Popular Vote2:987,018
Percentage2:41.60%
Swing2:3.68
Leader3:Rosa Lee Long
Party3:One Nation
Leaders Seat3:Tablelands
(lost seat)
Popular Vote3:9,038
Percentage3:0.38%
Swing3:0.22
Last Election3:1 seat, 0.60%
Seats3:0
Seat Change3:1
1Blank:TPP
1Data1:50.9%
1Data2:49.1%
2Blank:TPP swing
2Data1:4.1
2Data2:4.1
Map Size:400px
Premier
Before Election:Anna Bligh
Before Party:Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)
After Election:Anna Bligh
After Party:Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)

The 2009 Queensland state election was held on 21 March 2009 to elect all 89 members of the Legislative Assembly, a unicameral parliament.

The election saw the incumbent Labor government led by Premier Anna Bligh defeat the Liberal National Party of Queensland led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, and gain a fifth consecutive term in office for her party. Bligh thus became the first female Premier of any Australian State elected in her own right.[1]

The 2009 election marked the eighth consecutive victory of Labor in a general election since 1989, although it was out of office between 1996 and 1998 as a direct result of the 1996 Mundingburra by-election.

Background

See also: 2006 Queensland state election and Candidates of the 2009 Queensland state election.

The Labor Party, led by Premier Anna Bligh, and the LNP, led by Opposition Leader Lawrence Springborg, were the two main parties in Queensland at the election. It was the first election contested by the LNP following its creation with the merger of the National and Liberal parties. At the previous election, Labor won 59 seats, the Nationals won 17 seats, the Liberals won eight seats, One Nation won one seat, and independents won four seats. Former Labor MP Ronan Lee joined the Greens in 2008, thus becoming their parliamentary leader. Lee lost his seat at the election.[2]

A redistribution saw Labor notionally pick up three seats. Therefore, the LNP notionally needed to pick up 22 seats rather than 20 seats to form a majority government, which equated to an unchanged uniform 8.3 percent two party preferred swing.[3]

Former Premier Peter Beattie resigned in September 2007, which triggered the October 2007 Brisbane Central by-election.

Key dates

DateEvent
23 February 2009Writs were issued by the Governor to proceed with an election.[4]
28 February 2009Close of electoral rolls
3 March 2009Close of nominations
21 March 2009Polling day, between the hours of 8am and 6pm
26 March 2009The Bligh Ministry was reconstituted[5]
7 April 2009The writ was returned and the results formally declared
12 April 200953rd Parliament convened

Electoral redistribution

A redistribution of electoral boundaries occurred in 2008.

The electorates of Charters Towers, Cunningham, Darling Downs, Fitzroy, Kurwongbah, Mount Gravatt, Robina, and Tablelands were abolished.

The electorates of Buderim, Condamine, Coomera, Dalrymple, Mermaid Beach, Morayfield, Pine Rivers, and Sunnybank were created.

The redistribution merged Charters Towers with Tablelands to create Dalrymple, Fitzroy into Mirani, and Cunningham with Darling Downs to create Condamine, all in regional Queensland. Buderim was created on the Sunshine Coast, Morayfield in the corridor north of Brisbane, and Coomera was created on the Gold Coast. Kurwongbah was renamed Pine Rivers, Mount Gravatt was renamed Sunnybank, and Robina was renamed Mermaid Beach. Burdekin, Clayfield, and Mirani notionally became Labor-held, while Glass House notionally became National-held.

The changes resulted in 62 notionally Labor-held seats, 8 notionally Liberal-held seats, 15 notionally National-held seats, and 4 notionally Independent-held seats.

Results

See main article: Results of the 2009 Queensland state election.

| colspan=7 |* The two-party preferred summary is an estimate by Antony Green using a methodology by Malcolm Mackerras.|}

Seats changing hands

Seat2008 RedistributionSwing2009 Election
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Aspley LaborBonny Barry3.0-7.464.46Tracy DavisLiberal National 
BurdekinLabornotional0.9-4.053.15Rosemary MenkensLiberal National
ClayfieldLabornotional0.3-6.145.84Tim NichollsLiberal National
ClevelandLaborPhil Weightman1.2-1.480.28Mark RobinsonLiberal National
CoomeraLabornotional8.3-10.211.91Michael CrandonLiberal National
GavenLaborPhil Gray3.2-3.920.72Alex DouglasLiberal National
Hervey BayLaborAndrew McNamara2.1-8.606.50Ted SorensenLiberal National
IndooroopillyLaborRonan Lee¹ 2.7-8.575.87Scott EmersonLiberal National
MiraniLaborJim Pearce1.2-1.790.59Ted MaloneLiberal National
MudgeerabaLaborDianne Reilly2.7-6.623.92Ros BatesLiberal National
RedlandsLaborJohn English6.7-6.770.07Peter DowlingLiberal National

Post-election pendulum

Government seats
Marginal
ChatsworthSteve KilburnALP0.14%
EvertonMurray WattALP1.39%
BroadwaterPeta-Kaye CroftALP2.03%
CookJason O'BrienALP2.24%
Barron RiverSteve WettenhallALP2.32%
Toowoomba NorthKerry ShineALP3.22%
WhitsundayJan JarrattALP3.24%
SouthportPeter LawlorALP3.48%
TownsvilleMandy JohnstoneALP4.02%
SpringwoodBarbara StoneALP4.08%
CairnsDesley BoyleALP4.15%
MansfieldPhil ReevesALP4.39%
Ferny GroveGeoff WilsonALP4.49%
Pine RiversCarolyn MaleALP4.61%
KallangurMary-Anne O'NeillALP4.63%
Mount OmmaneyJulie AttwoodALP4.79%
BurleighChristine SmithALP4.90%
PumicestoneCarryn SullivanALP4.99%
Mount Coot-thaAndrew FraserALP5.25%
RedcliffeLillian van LitsenburgALP5.57%
Mount IsaBetty KiernanALP5.72%
Brisbane CentralGrace GraceALP5.97%
Fairly Safe
AlbertMargaret KeechALP6.47%
MundingburraLindy Nelson-CarrALP6.59%
GreenslopesCameron DickALP6.94%
AshgroveKate JonesALP7.10%
MurrumbaDean WellsALP7.21%
StaffordStirling HinchliffeALP7.29%
KeppelPaul HoolihanALP7.62%
BulimbaDi FarmerALP7.77%
MulgraveCurtis PittALP8.08%
ThuringowaCraig WallaceALP8.47%
YeerongpillySimon FinnALP8.73%
MorayfieldMark RyanALP9.13%
AlgesterKaren StruthersALP9.21%
StrettonStephen RobertsonALP9.48%
Ipswich WestWayne WendtALP9.55%
CapalabaMichael ChoiALP9.67%
Safe
SunnybankJudy SpenceALP10.79%
LyttonPaul LucasALP12.21%
SandgateVicky DarlingALP12.37%
LoganJohn MickelALP13.93%
NudgeeNeil RobertsALP14.26%
South BrisbaneAnna BlighALP15.01%
WaterfordEvan MoorheadALP16.46%
IpswichRachel NolanALP16.71%
MackayTim MulherinALP16.72%
RockhamptonRobert SchwartenALP17.92%
Very Safe
BundambaJo-Ann MillerALP21.23%
InalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP21.53%
WoodridgeDesley ScottALP25.37%
Non-government seats
Marginal
RedlandsPeter DowlingLNP0.07%
ClevelandMark RobinsonLNP0.28%
MiraniTed MaloneLNP0.59%
GavenAlex DouglasLNP0.72%
CoomeraMichael CrandonLNP1.91%
BurdekinRosemary MenkensLNP3.15%
MudgeerabaRos BatesLNP3.92%
AspleyTracy DavisLNP4.46%
DalrympleShane KnuthLNP5.18% v ONP
Glass HouseAndrew PowellLNP5.81%
ClayfieldTim NichollsLNP5.84%
IndooroopillyScott EmersonLNP5.87%
Fairly Safe
BundabergJack DempseyLNP6.02%
CaloundraMark McArdleLNP6.20%
Hervey BayTed SorensenLNP6.50%
CurrumbinJann StuckeyLNP6.89%
KawanaJarrod BleijieLNP6.93%
LockyerIan RickussLNP7.61%
Toowoomba SouthMike HoranLNP8.22%
BeaudesertAidan McLindonLNP8.31%
Safe
Mermaid BeachRay StevensLNP10.81%
BurnettRob MessengerLNP11.10%
MoggillBruce FleggLNP11.28%
CondamineRay HopperLNP11.56% v IND
MaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP12.80%
GregoryVaughan JohnsonLNP14.26%
BuderimSteve DicksonLNP14.28%
HinchinbrookAndrew CrippsLNP14.69%
Surfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP16.52%
CallideJeff SeeneyLNP19.36%
NoosaGlen ElmesLNP19.85%
Very Safe
Southern DownsLawrence SpringborgLNP21.08%
WarregoHoward HobbsLNP24.38%
GympieDavid GibsonLNP27.21%
Crossbench seats
NanangoDorothy PrattIND2.90% v LNP
GladstoneLiz CunninghamIND6.13% v ALP
NicklinPeter WellingtonIND16.31% v LNP
MaryboroughChris FoleyIND16.83% v LNP

Subsequent changes

Polling

Newspoll polling was conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of around 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at around ±3 percent.

+ Better Premier ratings^
DateLabor
Bligh
Coalition/LNP
Springborg
18 – 19 Mar 200953%33%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 200948%34%
Jan – Feb 200948%31%
Oct – Dec 200849%30%
Jul – Sep 200853%27%
Apr – Jun 200860%24%
Jan – Mar 200864%18%
Oct – Dec 200766%11%2
Jul – Sep 200754%125%2
Apr – Jun 200754%119%2
Pre 2006 election58%128%
Pre 2004 election62%122%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
1 Peter Beattie, 2 Jeff Seeney
+Legislative Assembly opinion polling
Political partiesTwo party preferred
DatesALPLibNatLNPGrnFFPOthALPLNP
18 – 19 Mar 200942%42%7%0.5%8%49.9%50.1%
27 Feb – 8 Mar 200941%43%8%<0.5%8%49%51%
Jan – Feb 200942%41%7%<0.5%10%53%47%
Oct – Dec 200845%37%8%<0.5%10%57%43%
Jul – Sep 200838%41%9%1%11%51%49%
Apr – Jun 200843%26%12%38%10%<0.5%9%55%45%
Jan – Mar 200850%22%10%32%8%<0.5%10%60%40%
Oct – Dec 200750%26%9%35%6%1%8%59%41%
Jul – Sep 200750%21%12%33%5%2%10%59%41%
Apr – Jun 200751%20%11%31%6%1%11%61%39%
2006 election46.9%20.1%17.8%37.9%8.0%1.9%5.3%55.0%45.0%
6 – 7 Sep 200648%21%17%38%4%1%9%55%45%
2004 election47%18.5%17%35.5%6.7%4.9%5.9%55.5%44.5%
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Queensland elects female premier . 21 March 2009 . BBC News Online.
  2. News: 2008-10-05 . Qld Labor MP jumps ship to Greens . 2018-08-09 . ABC News . en-AU.
  3. Web site: 2009-03-21 . 2008 QLD redistribution . 2012-01-25 . ABC.
  4. Web site: Election Timetable: 2009 State General Election . Electoral Commission of Queensland . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120317154331/http://www.ecq.qld.gov.au/elections/state/state2009/timetable.html . March 17, 2012 .
  5. Queensland, Gazette: Extraordinary, No 71, 26 March 2009, 1307