2009 Hessian state election explained

Election Name:2009 Hesse state election
Country:Hesse
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2008 Hessian state election
Previous Year:2008
Next Election:2013 Hessian state election
Next Year:2013
Seats For Election:All 118 seats of the Landtag of Hesse
Majority Seats:60
Election Date:18 January 2009
Turnout:2,591,872 (61.0%)
3.3%
Leader1:Roland Koch
Party1:Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Last Election1:42 seats, 36.8%
Seats1:46
Seat Change1: 4
Popular Vote1:963,763
Percentage1:37.2%
Swing1: 0.4%
Leader2:Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Germany
Last Election2:42 seats, 36.7%
Seats2:29
Seat Change2: 13
Popular Vote2:614,648
Percentage2:23.7%
Swing2: 13.0%
Leader3:Jörg-Uwe Hahn
Party3:Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Last Election3:11 seats, 9.4%
Seats3:20
Seat Change3: 9
Popular Vote3:420,426
Percentage3:16.2%
Swing3: 6.8%
Leader4:Tarek Al-Wazir
Party4:Alliance 90/The Greens
Last Election4:9 seats, 7.5%
Seats4:17
Seat Change4: 8
Popular Vote4:356,040
Percentage4:13.7%
Swing4: 6.2%
Leader5:Willi van Ooyen
Party5:The Left (Germany)
Last Election5:6 seats, 5.1%
Seats5:6
Seat Change5: 0
Popular Vote5:139,074
Percentage5:5.4%
Swing5: 0.3%
Map Size:250px
Minister-President
Before Election:Roland Koch
Before Party:Christian Democratic Union of Germany
After Election:Roland Koch
After Party:Christian Democratic Union of Germany

The 2009 Hessian state election was held on 18 January 2009 to elect the members of the Landtag of Hesse. The election was called after the failure of all government formation attempts conducted after the 2008 state election held a year earlier. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) suffered major losses, falling from an effective tie with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) to a 13.5-point deficit. The Free Democratic Party (FDP) and The Greens were the primary beneficiaries of the SPD's decline. After the election, the CDU formed a coalition government with the FDP, and Roland Koch was elected Minister-President.

Background

The result of the 2008 Hessian state election was inconclusive, as neither the CDU–FDP or SPD–Green blocs had won a majority. This was due to the entry of The Left into the Landtag, with which the SPD was unwilling to cooperate, though both The Left and Greens supported a red-red-green coalition between the three parties. While a grand coalition between the CDU and SPD would command a comfortable majority, this option was very unpopular and was rejected by the SPD.[1]

In October 2008, SPD leader Andrea Ypsilanti attempted to negotiate a red-red-green coalition, reneging on a pledge made earlier in the year not to do so.[2] This caused an revolt within the Hessian SPD, resulting in Ypsilanti being deposed and the new leadership under Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel seeking fresh elections.[3]

CDU leader Roland Koch had served as Minister-President prior to the 2008 election, and continued in office in a caretaker capacity between the 2008 and 2009 elections. He could not be unseated due to the inability of the SPD to form a new government; in Hesse, the motion to remove a serving government simultaneously invests confidence in a proposed new government, and requires an absolute majority to pass.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the previous Landtag of Hesse.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2008 result
Votes (%)Seats
bgcolor= CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christian democracyRoland Koch36.8%
bgcolor= SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Social democracyThorsten Schäfer-Gümbel36.7%
bgcolor= FDPFree Democratic Party
Classical liberalismJörg-Uwe Hahn9.4%
bgcolor= GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Green politicsTarek Al-Wazir7.5%
bgcolor= LinkeThe Left
Democratic socialismWilli van Ooyen5.1%

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDUSPDFDPGrüneLinkeOthersLead
2009 state electiondata-sort-value="2009-01-18"18 January 200937.223.716.213.75.43.813.5
Forsadata-sort-value="2009-01-14"6–9 Jan 20091,007412415134317
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2009-01-10"6–8 Jan 20091,072412513135316
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2009-01-08"5–7 Jan 20091,000422413135318
GMSdata-sort-value="2008-12-19"15–17 Dec 20081,004412513135316
Forsadata-sort-value="2008-12-16"8–12 Dec 20081,005422313126419
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2008-12-05"1–4 Dec 20081,145412612125415
Emniddata-sort-value="2008-12-18"28 Nov–3 Dec 2008500432413115419
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2008-12-04"28 Nov–2 Dec 20081,000412313146318
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2008-11-06"4–5 Nov 20081,000412711125414
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2008-09-04"1–3 Sep 20081,000392812117311
Forsadata-sort-value="2008-08-27"19–22 Aug 20081,001282612118512
Forsadata-sort-value="2008-06-05"23 May–3 Jun 20081,00540271198513
Forsadata-sort-value="2008-04-09"17 Mar–4 Apr 20081,00740281098512
Emniddata-sort-value="2008-04-06"6 Apr 2008?373012106?7
Emniddata-sort-value="2008-03-03"21 Feb–5 Mar 20081,0003735977?2
2008 state electiondata-sort-value="2008-01-27"27 January 200836.836.79.47.55.14.40.1

Election result

|-! rowspan=2 colspan=2| Party! colspan=3| Constituency! colspan=4| Party list! rowspan=2| Total
seats! rowspan=2| +/-|-! Votes! %! Seats ! Votes! %! +/-! Seats|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Christian Democratic Union (CDU)| 1,083,174| 41.98| 46| 963,763| 37.18| 0.37| 0| 46| 4|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Social Democratic Party (SPD)| 767,068| 29.73| 9| 614,648| 23.71| 12.97| 20| 29| 13|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Free Democratic Party (FDP)| 304,755| 11.81| 0| 420,426| 16.22| 6.79| 20| 20| 9|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Alliance 90/The Greens (GRÜNE)| 274,492| 10.64| 0| 356,040| 13.74| 6.20| 17| 17| 8|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| The Left (DIE LINKE)| 117,330| 4.55| 0| 139,074| 5.37| 0.23| 6| 6| 0|-! colspan="11" ||-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Free Voters (FW)| 3,997| 0.15| 0| 42,153| 1.63| 0.74| 0| 0| 0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| National Democratic Party (NPD)| 18,898| 0.73| 0| 22,172| 0.86| 0.02| 0| 0| 0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| The Republicans (REP)| 7,685| 0.30| 0| 15,664| 0.60| 0.41| 0| 0| 0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Pirate Party (PIRATEN)| colspan=3| –| 13,796| 0.53| 0.28| 0| 0| 0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Civil Rights Movement Soliarity (BüSo)| 962| 0.04| 0| 4,136| 0.16| 0.12| 0| 0| 0|-| bgcolor=| | align=left| Independents| 2,093| 0.08| 0| colspan=4| –| 0| 0|-! colspan=2| Total! 2,580,424! 100.00! 55! 2,591,872! 100.00! ! 63! 118! 8|-| colspan=2 align=center| Invalid| 89,961| 3.37| | 78,513| 2.94| colspan=4| |-! colspan=2| Turnout! 2,670,385! 61.03! ! 2,670,385! 61.03! 3.29! colspan=4| |-| colspan=2 align=center| Registered voters| 4,375,286| colspan=2| | 4,375,286| colspan=5| |}

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2023-10-14. 2016-03-13. https://web.archive.org/web/20160313215428/http://www.webnews.de/119321/ypsilanti-strikt-grosse-koalition-in-hessen. 2011-03-26. de. Ypsilanti strikt gegen große Koalition in Hessen. dead. Webnews.de.
  2. Web site: Rot-Rot-Grün auf die Dauer nicht ausgeschlossen - Politik - DerWesten . 2017-08-29 . 2008-10-09 . https://web.archive.org/web/20081009182543/http://www.derwesten.de/nachrichten/nachrichten/politik/2008/10/8/news-81876495/detail.html . dead .
  3. Web site: Reuters. Umfrage in Hessen zeigt erdrutschartige Verluste für SPD. https://web.archive.org/web/20081207082754/http://de.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idDEBEE4B30FN20081204. dead. 2008-12-07. 2008-12-04. 2008-12-05.