2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma explained

Election Name:2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Country:Oklahoma
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2012 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 4, 2008
Image1:John McCain 2009 Official.jpg
Nominee1:John McCain
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Arizona
Running Mate1:Sarah Palin
Electoral Vote1:7
Popular Vote1:960,165
Percentage1:65.65%
Nominee2:Barack Obama
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Illinois
Running Mate2:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:502,496
Percentage2:34.35%
Map Size:400px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Oklahoma was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 31.3% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. A strongly conservative state located in the Bible Belt where evangelical Christianity plays a large role, Oklahoma has trended heavily Republican in recent years. Having voted for the Republican presidential nominee in every election since 1968, Oklahoma once again showcased its status as a Republican stronghold in 2008 with Republican John McCain capturing 65.65% of the vote.[1] It was also the only state where McCain won every county and was even one of the 5 states along with Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, and West Virginia in which McCain outperformed Bush's margin of victory from 4 years earlier, albeit slightly.

This was also only the second election since its statehood in which Oklahoma supported a different candidate than Virginia, with 1920 being the first. However, this has happened in all elections since, as Oklahoma has voted consistently Republican while Virginia has voted consistently Democratic.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report[2]
Cook Political Report[3]
The Takeaway[4]
Electoral-vote.com[5]
The Washington PostWashington Post[6]
Politico[7]
RealClearPolitics[8]
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics[9]
The New York Times[10]
CNN[11]
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News[12]
Associated Press[13]
Rasmussen Reports[14]

Polling

McCain won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 62% to 34%.[15]

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $2,050,335 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,711,069.[16]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $613,515. McCain and his interest groups spent just $6,565.[17] Neither campaign visited the state.[18]

Analysis

Oklahoma gave John McCain his strongest showing in Election 2008 with a rounded percentage of 66% (65.65%) going to him.[19] Oklahoma was also the only state in the country where every single county voted for McCain. Although the results were similar to 2004 in which George W. Bush swept every county in the state with 65.57% of the vote, McCain's margin of victory was slightly better - 0.08% more - in 2008.[20] Oklahoma was one of five states where McCain outperformed George W. Bush, the other four being Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia.

Oklahoma, despite the large concentration of Native Americans in the state, remains one of the most reliably Republican states in the country. Although Democrats still had a majority of registered voters (as well as the governorship) at the time, the state's Democrats are very conservative by national standards. Oklahoma is part of the Bible Belt, and voters in the state have a strong penchant for being values voters; that is, they are strongly and deeply conservative on social issues such as abortion and gay rights. McCain's selection of the socially conservative Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska proved to be an excellent fit for Oklahoma. Obama was at a disadvantage beforehand in Oklahoma during the primary season when voters in Oklahoma backed Hillary Rodham Clinton with 54.76% of the vote compared to Obama's 31.19% and a significant amount (10.24%) going to John Edwards. Clinton won every county in the Oklahoma Democratic Primary except for Oklahoma County, home of Oklahoma City which Obama just narrowly carried. Most of Oklahoma's Democratic establishment were early endorsers of Hillary Clinton as well. Another setback for Obama was that U.S. Representative Dan Boren, the only Democrat from Oklahoma's five-member delegation in the U.S. House of Representatives, refused to endorse Obama.

Another key to McCain's victory was the highly populated counties of Tulsa County, which he won with over 62%, and Oklahoma County, which he won with over 58%. He also dominated the heavily Republican Oklahoma Panhandle by an almost four-to-one margin. Despite the Republican landslide, Obama did improve upon John Kerry's performance in Oklahoma City and Tulsa. However, this was more than canceled out by his extremely weak showing in Southeast Oklahoma, historically the most Democratic region in the state. This socially conservative but fiscally liberal area, known as "Little Dixie," still votes Democratic at the local level and state levels. It also warmly supported Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas in 1992 and 1996; Clinton's populism struck a chord among the region's voters. Democratic nominees from John Kerry on, on the other hand, have proven spectacularly bad fits for the region and the state as a whole. Obama lost many counties in Southeast Oklahoma by more than two-to-one margins.

Also, Oklahoma was the only state in the country that didn't have a third-party candidate on the ballot, mostly because the state has the toughest ballot access laws in the country. Obama became the first Democrat to win without winning a single county in Oklahoma.

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator James Inhofe was solidly reelected over Democratic State Senator Andrew Rice. Inhofe received 56.68% while Rice took in 39.18% and Independent Stephen P. Wallace received the remaining 4.14%. At the state level, Republicans made gains in the Oklahoma Legislature, picking up four seats in the Oklahoma House of Representatives and two seats in the Oklahoma Senate which gave the GOP control of the state legislature for the first time since statehood.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Oklahoma
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin 960,165 65.65%7
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden502,49634.35%0
Totals1,462,661100.00%7
Voter turnout (Voting age population)54.8%

By county

CountyJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
MarginTotal
%%%
Adair4,63869.33%2,05230.67%2,58638.66%6,690
Alfalfa2,02383.11%41116.89%1,61266.22%2,434
Atoka3,51171.93%1,37028.07%2,14143.86%4,881
Beaver2,19989.25%26510.75%1,93478.50%2,464
Beckham5,77278.03%1,62521.97%4,14756.06%7,397
Blaine3,10175.41%1,01124.59%2,09050.82%4,112
Bryan9,30767.77%4,42632.23%4,88135.54%13,733
Caddo6,41365.33%3,40434.67%3,00930.66%9,817
Canadian36,42876.12%11,42623.88%25,00252.24%47,854
Carter13,24170.27%5,60329.73%7,63840.54%18,844
Cherokee9,18656.08%7,19443.92%1,99212.16%16,380
Choctaw3,73066.73%1,86033.27%1,87033.46%5,590
Cimarron1,11988.04%15211.96%96776.08%1,271
Cleveland64,74962.00%39,68138.00%25,10824.00%104,430
Coal1,67273.59%60026.41%1,07247.18%2,272
Comanche20,12758.77%14,12041.23%6,00717.54%34,247
Cotton1,79372.21%69027.79%1,10344.42%2,483
Craig3,85865.05%2,07334.95%1,78530.10%5,931
Creek20,18770.82%8,31829.18%11,86941.64%28,505
Custer7,84274.67%2,66025.33%5,18249.34%10,502
Delaware10,27766.90%5,08533.10%5,19233.80%15,362
Dewey1,85784.29%34615.71%1,51168.58%2,203
Ellis1,62785.23%28214.77%1,34570.46%1,909
Garfield17,06775.48%5,54524.52%11,52250.96%22,612
Garvin7,71071.80%3,02828.20%4,68243.60%10,738
Grady15,19573.35%5,52026.65%9,67546.70%20,715
Grant1,83678.13%51421.87%1,32256.26%2,350
Greer1,54873.23%56626.77%98246.46%2,114
Harmon75769.45%33330.55%42438.90%1,090
Harper1,34285.86%22114.14%1,12171.72%1,563
Haskell3,20768.51%1,47431.49%1,73337.02%4,681
Hughes3,13464.71%1,70935.29%1,42529.42%4,843
Jackson6,71974.80%2,26425.20%4,45549.60%8,983
Jefferson1,65267.24%80532.76%84734.48%2,457
Johnston2,70868.44%1,24931.56%1,45936.88%3,957
Kay13,23070.78%5,46329.22%7,76741.56%18,693
Kingfisher5,37284.19%1,00915.81%4,36368.38%6,381
Kiowa2,53767.42%1,22632.58%1,31134.84%3,763
Latimer2,86068.54%1,31331.46%1,54737.08%4,173
LeFlore11,60569.32%5,13630.68%6,46938.64%16,741
Lincoln10,47074.92%3,50425.08%6,96649.84%13,974
Logan12,55668.71%5,71731.29%6,83937.42%18,273
Love2,58967.32%1,25732.68%1,33234.64%3,846
Major2,95685.16%51514.84%2,44170.32%3,471
Marshall3,73069.42%1,64330.58%2,08738.84%5,373
Mayes10,23464.03%5,74935.97%4,48528.06%15,983
McClain11,19375.92%3,55124.08%7,64251.84%14,744
McCurtain7,74573.49%2,79426.51%4,95146.98%10,539
McIntosh4,90359.63%3,32040.37%1,58319.26%8,223
Murray3,74670.18%1,59229.82%2,15440.36%5,338
Muskogee15,28957.51%11,29442.49%3,99515.02%26,583
Noble3,88176.78%1,17423.22%2,70753.56%5,055
Nowata3,03168.24%1,41131.76%1,62036.48%4,442
Okfuskee2,64364.10%1,48035.90%1,16328.20%4,123
Oklahoma163,17258.41%116,18241.59%46,99016.82%279,354
Okmulgee8,72758.50%6,19141.50%2,53617.00%14,918
Osage12,16061.86%7,49838.14%4,66223.72%19,658
Ottawa6,90561.80%4,26838.20%2,63723.60%11,173
Pawnee4,53368.72%2,06331.28%2,47037.44%6,596
Payne18,43563.49%10,60136.51%7,83426.98%29,036
Pittsburg11,75268.29%5,45731.71%6,29536.58%17,209
Pontotoc9,75068.36%4,51231.64%5,23836.72%14,262
Pottawatomie17,75369.18%7,91030.82%9,84338.36%25,663
Pushmataha3,20871.72%1,26528.28%1,94343.44%4,473
Roger Mills1,50283.96%28716.04%1,21567.92%1,789
Rogers27,74372.03%10,77227.97%16,97144.06%38,515
Seminole5,60065.29%2,97734.71%2,62330.58%8,577
Sequoyah9,46668.00%4,45432.00%5,01236.00%13,920
Stephens14,39476.03%4,53823.97%9,85652.06%18,932
Texas5,33685.25%92314.75%4,41370.50%6,259
Tillman2,19567.81%1,04232.19%1,15335.62%3,237
Tulsa158,36362.23%96,13337.77%62,23024.46%254,496
Wagoner21,44170.88%8,81029.12%12,63141.76%30,251
Washington16,45772.29%6,30827.71%10,14944.58%22,765
Washita3,72477.97%1,05222.03%2,67255.94%4,776
Woods3,04377.71%87322.29%2,17055.42%3,916
Woodward6,40482.59%1,35017.41%5,05465.18%7,754
Totals960,16565.65%502,49634.35%457,66931.30%1,462,661

By congressional district

John McCain carried every congressional district in Oklahoma, including the one district held by a Democrat in the U.S. House of Representatives rather strongly.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
64.21%35.79%John Sullivan
65.59%34.41%Dan Boren
72.82%27.18%Frank Lucas
66.37%33.63%Tom Cole
59.32%40.68%Mary Fallin

Electors

See main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Oklahoma is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[22]

  1. Virginia Chrisco
  2. Gail Stice
  3. Pete Katzdorn
  4. Robert Cleveland
  5. Mary Phyllis Gorman
  6. Bunny Chambers
  7. Diane Murphy Gunther

The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of Sally Freeman Frasier, Gene A. Wallace, Anita R. Norman, Tim Mauldin, Robert Lemon, David Walters, Walter W. Jenny Jr.[23]

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: CNN Election Center 2008 - Oklahoma Results . May 26, 2010.
  2. Web site: 2009-01-01. D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html. 2009-01-01.
  3. Web site: 2015-05-05. Presidential. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://cookpolitical.com/presidential. 2015-05-05.
  4. Web site: 2009-04-22. Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/. 2009-04-22.
  5. Web site: Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily. 2021-08-23. electoral-vote.com.
  6. Based on Takeaway
  7. Web site: POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com. 2016-09-22. www.politico.com.
  8. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5. 2008-06-05.
  9. Web site: CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08. June 14, 2009. December 20, 2009. CQ Politics.
  10. News: Nagourney. Adam. Zeleny. Jeff. Carter. Shan. 2008-11-04. The Electoral Map: Key States. The New York Times. May 26, 2010.
  11. News: 2008-10-31. October  - 2008  - CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs. CNN. May 26, 2010. 2010-06-19. https://web.archive.org/web/20100619013250/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/. dead.
  12. News: April 27, 2010. Winning The Electoral College. Fox News.
  13. Web site: roadto270. 2016-09-22. hosted.ap.org.
  14. Web site: Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports. 2016-09-22. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  15. Web site: Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. David Leip. 14 January 2015.
  16. Web site: Presidential Campaign Finance. 14 January 2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20090324085947/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=OK&cand_id=P00000001. 24 March 2009. dead.
  17. News: Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . May 26, 2010.
  18. News: Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . May 26, 2010.
  19. Web site: 2008 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
  20. News: CNN Election Center 2004 - Oklahoma Results . May 26, 2010.
  21. Web site: Electoral College . 2008-11-01 . . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm . October 30, 2008 .
  22. Web site: U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates. 14 January 2015.
  23. Web site: Presidential Electors General Election - November 4, 2008 . Oklahoma State Election Board.