2008 United States presidential election in Georgia explained

Election Name:2008 United States presidential election in Georgia
Country:Georgia (U.S. state)
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2004 United States presidential election in Georgia
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2012 United States presidential election in Georgia
Next Year:2012
Turnout:51.8%[1] 5 pp
Election Date:November 4, 2008
Image1:John McCain 2009 Official.jpg
Nominee1:John McCain
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Arizona
Running Mate1:Sarah Palin
Electoral Vote1:15
Popular Vote1:2,048,759
Percentage1:52.10%
Nominee2:Barack Obama
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Illinois
Running Mate2:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:1,844,123
Percentage2:46.90%
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2008 United States presidential election in Georgia took place on November 4, 2008. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Georgia was won by Republican nominee John McCain with a 5.2% margin of victory. Prior to the election, 15 of 17 news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a red state. It is situated in the Deep South, entrenched in the Bible Belt (the city of Atlanta being an exception). By 2008 it was considered a Republican stronghold, not having been won by a Democratic presidential candidate since 1992, and having given double-digit victories to George W. Bush in 2000 and 2004. McCain was able to keep Georgia in the GOP column in 2008 despite the large African American turnout that helped keep his margin of victory within single digits.

In this election, Georgia voted 12.48% to the right of the nation at-large.[2]

Georgia was 1 of only 2 states that voted against Obama in both 2008 and 2012 that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential race, the other being Arizona.

With its 15 electoral votes, Georgia was the second-largest prize for McCain in 2008, behind only Texas., this is the last election in which Chattahoochee County voted Democratic.

Primaries

Campaign

An ambitious Barack Obama targeted Georgia as a potential state he could flip from red to blue, albeit as a relatively long-shot target. Democrats hoped libertarian candidate Bob Barr – whose home state was Georgia – might take away votes for John McCain and play the role of a spoiler. In the early months, Obama bought ads and even appeared in person to campaign in the state.[3]

However, polling consistently showed McCain with a double-digit lead.[4] Over the summer, Obama's campaign stumbled, and the Illinois senator even fell behind McCain for a short while in September. In light of these difficulties, the Democratic campaign started shifting resources to North Carolina, which they regarded as more competitive.[5] Obama stopped advertising in the state and moved away staff, although he retained a large volunteer force. As the campaign neared the end, Obama jumped to a national lead, helped by the September financial crisis, but remained behind in Georgia polling.

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report[6]
Cook Political Report[7]
The Takeaway[8]
Electoral-vote.com[9]
The Washington PostWashington Post[10]
Politico[11]
RealClearPolitics[12]
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics[13]
The New York Times[14]
CNN[15]
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News[16]
Associated Press[17]
Rasmussen Reports[18]

Polling

McCain won almost every pre-election poll. The final 3 poll average gave the Republican the lead with 50% to 47%.[19]

Fundraising

McCain raised $4,835,902. Obama raised $8,568,716.[20]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent over $4,105,888. McCain and his interest groups spent just $49,507.[21] Both McCain and Obama visited Atlanta once.[22]

Analysis

In terms of the margin, McCain won a quite narrow victory, capturing 52.23% of the popular vote to Democrat Barack Obama's 47.02% popular vote. This margin was significantly lower than that in 2004 when George W. Bush carried this state by a 17% margin, winning 58% of the popular vote to John Kerry's 41%. Obama won huge victories in the two most populous counties, DeKalb County and Fulton County which contains the state capital and largest city of Atlanta, which contributed to his popular vote percentage. He also made significant inroads in Atlanta's normally heavily Republican suburbs. For instance, Obama lost Cobb County by nine points compared to Kerry's 25-point loss. Obama lost Gwinnett County by 11 points compared to a 33-point loss for Kerry. Aside from native son Jimmy Carter sweeping every county in the state in 1976, a Democrat hadn't won either county since 1960, and would not do so until Hillary Clinton in 2016. However, McCain piled up the votes in the more rural northern and southeastern parts of the state (well over 70% in some cases) which gave him the edge and ultimate win. These two areas were among the first regions of Georgia to turn Republican; the old-line Southern Democrats in these areas began splitting their tickets as early as the 1950s, and some areas of north Georgia are among the few ancestrally Republican areas of the South.

The large African American turnout was widely attributed to the narrow margin by which McCain carried the state. However, Obama was unable to improve his percentage amongst white voters.[23] According to exit polls, 77% of white voters supported the Republican candidate - the same as in 2004. This effectively eliminated Obama's chances of winning the state.

Of the several independent and third-party candidates who ran for president in 2008, two were from Georgia: former Republican Representative Bob Barr running on the Libertarian Party (who placed third overall in the popular vote in Georgia), and former Democratic Representative Cynthia McKinney running on the Green Party.

During the same election, incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Saxby Chambliss was held below 50% of the popular vote in a contentious U.S. Senate race against Democrat Jim Martin and Libertarian Allen Buckley. Abiding by Georgia law, this led to a runoff election in December between Chambliss and Martin. Chambliss brought in 2008 vice presidential nominee Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska to campaign for him and rally the base of the GOP. Former President Bill Clinton campaigned on behalf of Martin. Turnout was lower than in the general election and African Americans didn't turn out as large as they did in November for Obama, all factors that led up to Chambliss's victory. The incumbent was reelected with 57.44% of the vote while Martin received 42.56%.

During the 2008 U.S. House elections, incumbent Democratic Representatives Jim Marshall (GA-8) and John Barrow (GA-12), each of whom was narrowly re-elected by 1% or less in 2006 despite the pro-Democratic political environment that year, were both re-elected by unexpectedly wide margins despite efforts by Republicans to win both of the districts. At the state level, during the same election, Republicans picked up four seats in the Georgia House of Representatives.

Results

United States presidential election in Georgia, 2008[24]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin2,048,75952.10%15
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden1,844,12346.90%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root28,7310.73%0
Write-insWrite-ins6,9980.18%0
ConstitutionChuck Baldwin (write-in)Darrell Castle1,4040.04%0
IndependentRalph Nader (write-in)Matt Gonzalez1,1650.03%0
IndependentRon Paul (write-in)6950.02%0
GreenCynthia McKinney (write-in)Rosa Clemente2500.01%0
Socialist WorkersJames Harris (write-in)Alyson Kennedy240.00%0
ConstitutionMichael Peroutka
  • (write-in)
n/a230.00%0
HeartQuake '08Jonathan Allen (write-in)Jeffrey Stath90.00%0
IndependentFrank Moore (write-in)Susan Block60.00%0
Write-inn/a40.00%0
Write-inn/a20.00%0
Write-inn/a20.00%0
Totals3,932,193100.00%15
Voter turnout75.7%
(*Peroutka was not the Constitution Party's nominee in 2008.)

By county

CountyJohn McCain
Republican		Barack Obama
Democratic		Various candidates
Other parties		MarginTotal
%%%%
Appling5,08572.62%1,84626.36%711.02%3,23946.26%7,002
Atkinson1,94166.77%93832.27%280.96%1,00334.50%2,907
Bacon3,08978.36%81720.73%360.92%2,27257.63%3,942
Baker82849.02%84650.09%711.02%-18-1.07%1,689
Baldwin7,82347.23%8,58751.84%1540.93%-764-4.61%16,564
Banks5,12081.93%1,02716.43%1021.63%4,09365.50%6,249
Barrow17,62571.55%6,65727.02%3511.43%10,96844.53%24,633
Bartow25,97671.81%9,66226.71%5371.48%16,31445.10%36,175
Ben Hill3,41756.46%2,59042.80%450.74%82713.66%6,052
Berrien4,90175.95%1,47122.80%811.26%3,43053.15%6,453
Bibb27,03740.69%38,98758.67%4240.64%-11,950-17.98%66,448
Bleckley3,65771.93%1,38027.14%470.93%2,27744.79%5,084
Brantley5,08080.79%1,11917.80%891.41%3,96162.99%6,288
Brooks3,50756.52%2,66943.01%290.47%83813.51%6,205
Bryan9,11270.82%3,63628.26%1190.92%5,47642.56%12,867
Bulloch14,17459.12%9,58639.98%2160.90%4,58819.14%23,976
Burke4,34445.08%5,23354.30%600.63%-889-9.22%9,637
Butts5,94765.32%3,06533.67%921.01%2,88231.65%9,104
Calhoun86238.97%1,34260.67%80.37%-480-21.70%2,212
Camden10,50261.39%6,48237.89%1240.73%4,02023.50%17,108
Candler2,28664.91%1,20934.33%270.77%1,07730.58%3,522
Carroll28,66165.76%14,33432.89%5881.34%14,32732.87%43,583
Catoosa18,21874.04%6,02524.49%3621.46%12,19349.55%24,605
Charlton2,46666.70%1,19732.38%340.92%1,26934.32%3,697
Chatham46,82942.40%62,75556.82%8580.77%-15,926-14.42%110,442
Chattahoochee81148.97%83050.12%150.90%-19-1.15%1,656
Chattooga5,57266.83%2,59631.14%1692.03%2,97635.69%8,337
Cherokee70,27974.79%22,35023.78%1,3441.43%47,92951.01%93,973
Clarke15,33333.58%29,59164.80%7421.62%-14,258-31.22%45,666
Clay55838.75%87961.04%30.21%-321-22.29%1,440
Clayton16,50616.59%82,52782.93%4810.48%-66,021-66.34%99,514
Clinch1,67862.10%98936.60%351.29%68925.50%2,702
Cobb170,95754.08%141,21644.67%3,9511.25%29,7419.41%316,124
Coffee8,87264.49%4,81134.97%750.54%4,06129.52%13,758
Colquitt9,18568.27%4,13930.76%1300.97%5,04637.51%13,454
Columbia39,32270.89%15,70328.31%4410.80%23,61942.58%55,466
Cook3,78264.00%2,07535.12%520.88%1,70728.88%5,909
Coweta37,57170.05%15,52128.94%5431.01%22,05041.11%53,635
Crawford3,35863.99%1,83234.91%581.11%1,52629.08%5,248
Crisp4,42458.56%3,08540.84%450.60%1,33917.72%7,554
Dade4,70373.01%1,61225.02%1271.97%3,09147.99%6,442
Dawson8,24282.54%1,63216.34%1121.12%6,61066.20%9,986
Decatur5,89056.72%4,42442.60%710.68%1,46614.12%10,385
DeKalb65,58120.31%254,59478.86%2,6710.83%-189,013-58.55%322,846
Dodge5,54367.40%2,59531.55%861.04%2,94835.85%8,224
Dooly1,99147.85%2,13851.38%320.77%-147-3.53%4,161
Dougherty12,54732.27%26,13567.21%2040.53%-13,588-34.94%38,886
Douglas26,81248.58%27,82550.41%5601.02%-1,013-1.83%55,197
Early2,71150.74%2,60348.72%290.54%1082.02%5,343
Echols98182.58%20116.92%60.50%78065.66%1,188
Effingham15,23074.87%4,93624.27%1750.86%10,29450.60%20,341
Elbert4,86858.43%3,36640.40%981.18%1,50218.03%8,332
Emanuel5,11061.92%3,06837.18%740.90%2,04224.74%8,252
Evans2,46263.85%1,37435.63%200.52%1,08828.22%3,856
Fannin7,80773.35%2,61124.53%2252.11%5,19648.82%10,643
Fayette38,50164.77%20,31334.17%6271.05%18,18830.60%59,441
Floyd23,13267.40%10,69131.15%4991.46%12,44136.25%34,322
Forsyth59,16678.36%15,40620.40%9311.23%43,76057.96%75,503
Franklin6,06974.90%1,91423.62%1201.48%4,15551.28%8,103
Fulton130,13632.08%272,00067.06%3,4890.86%-141,864-34.98%405,625
Gilmer8,40875.17%2,61423.37%1641.47%5,79451.80%11,186
Glascock1,20284.17%21014.71%161.12%99269.46%1,428
Glynn20,47961.31%12,67637.95%2480.74%7,80323.36%33,403
Gordon13,11374.27%4,26824.17%2741.55%8,84550.10%17,655
Grady5,77561.63%3,53937.77%570.61%2,23623.86%9,371
Greene4,53257.21%3,33942.15%500.63%1,19315.06%7,921
Gwinnett158,74654.56%129,02544.35%3,1671.09%29,72110.21%290,938
Habersham11,76679.18%2,90019.52%1931.29%8,86659.66%14,859
Hall44,96274.77%14,45724.04%7111.19%30,50550.73%60,130
Hancock79518.28%3,53581.30%180.41%-2,740-63.02%4,348
Haralson8,65877.79%2,24820.20%2242.01%6,41057.59%11,130
Harris10,64871.25%4,18428.00%1130.76%6,46443.25%14,945
Hart6,53765.21%3,36533.57%1221.22%3,17231.64%10,024
Heard3,13374.05%1,04224.63%561.32%2,09149.42%4,231
Henry47,15753.29%40,56745.85%7620.87%6,5907.44%88,486
Houston33,39259.59%22,09439.43%5480.98%11,29820.16%56,034
Irwin2,60567.84%1,19731.17%380.99%1,40836.67%3,840
Jackson17,77677.23%4,95021.51%2901.26%12,82655.72%23,016
Jasper3,91666.25%1,93532.74%601.02%1,98133.51%5,911
Jeff Davis3,86773.16%1,35625.65%631.20%2,51147.51%5,286
Jefferson3,06142.31%4,14957.35%250.34%-1,088-15.04%7,235
Jenkins1,93656.25%1,48243.06%240.70%45413.19%3,442
Johnson2,42666.47%1,19832.82%260.71%1,22833.65%3,650
Jones7,78262.46%4,57236.69%1060.85%3,21025.77%12,460
Lamar4,87363.24%2,75235.72%801.04%2,12127.52%7,705
Lanier1,78762.05%1,06236.88%311.08%72525.17%2,880
Laurens12,05260.37%7,76938.92%1420.71%4,28321.45%19,963
Lee9,92575.69%3,10023.64%870.67%6,82552.05%13,112
Liberty5,82835.54%10,47463.87%980.60%-4,646-28.33%16,400
Lincoln2,73161.73%1,65037.30%430.97%1,08124.43%4,424
Long2,11961.24%1,28837.23%531.53%83124.01%3,460
Lowndes21,26954.19%17,59744.83%3840.98%3,6729.36%39,250
Lumpkin8,32674.95%2,58623.28%1961.77%5,74051.67%11,108
Macon1,71234.35%3,25165.23%210.42%-1,539-30.88%4,984
Madison8,22672.38%2,96526.09%1741.53%5,26146.29%11,365
Marion1,77255.58%1,38143.32%351.10%39112.26%3,188
McDuffie5,40057.11%3,98942.19%660.70%1,41114.92%9,455
McIntosh3,28252.63%2,90546.58%490.79%3776.05%6,236
Meriwether4,98252.34%4,46546.91%710.75%5175.43%9,518
Miller1,89969.31%81829.85%230.84%1,08139.46%2,740
Mitchell4,20151.66%3,87247.61%590.72%3294.05%8,132
Monroe7,93365.31%4,10633.80%1080.89%3,82731.51%12,147
Montgomery2,52170.16%1,04529.08%270.75%1,47641.08%3,593
Morgan5,98765.32%3,09133.73%870.95%2,89631.59%9,165
Murray8,18071.46%3,02626.43%2412.10%5,15445.03%11,447
Muscogee29,56839.87%44,15859.54%4360.58%-14,590-19.67%74,162
Newton20,33749.03%20,82750.21%3180.77%-490-1.18%41,482
Oconee12,12070.57%4,82528.09%2291.33%7,29542.48%17,174
Oglethorpe4,14464.12%2,23234.54%871.35%1,91229.58%6,463
Paulding39,19268.67%17,22930.19%6551.15%21,96338.48%57,076
Peach5,17346.20%5,92752.94%960.86%-754-6.74%11,196
Pickens10,00478.08%2,59520.25%2141.67%7,40957.83%12,813
Pierce5,50080.92%1,25318.43%440.65%4,24762.49%6,797
Pike6,54779.64%1,57519.16%991.21%4,97260.48%8,221
Polk9,85069.60%4,05228.63%2511.77%5,79840.97%14,153
Pulaski2,55364.44%1,37734.76%320.81%1,17629.68%3,962
Putnam5,96665.28%3,10233.94%710.78%2,86431.34%9,139
Quitman50945.61%59753.49%100.90%-88-7.88%1,116
Rabun5,48771.89%2,00126.22%1451.91%3,48645.67%7,633
Randolph1,37042.59%1,83356.98%140.43%-463-14.39%3,217
Richmond26,84233.80%52,10065.60%4800.60%-25,258-31.80%79,422
Rockdale16,92144.78%20,52654.32%3370.89%-3,605-9.54%37,784
Schley1,25272.00%47927.54%80.47%77344.46%1,739
Screven3,42352.77%3,02446.62%400.61%3996.15%6,487
Seminole2,31557.77%1,66041.43%320.79%65516.34%4,007
Spalding14,88558.85%10,14140.09%2691.06%4,74418.76%25,295
Stephens7,68972.87%2,70525.63%1581.50%4,98447.24%10,552
Stewart78337.13%1,30561.88%211.00%-522-24.75%2,109
Sumter5,71746.65%6,45452.66%840.68%-737-6.01%12,255
Talbot1,30135.15%2,36964.01%310.84%-1,068-28.86%3,701
Taliaferro33934.24%64364.95%80.81%-304-30.71%990
Tattnall4,73070.32%1,93228.72%640.95%2,79841.60%6,726
Taylor2,02156.34%1,53642.82%300.83%48513.52%3,587
Telfair2,48656.81%1,86242.55%280.64%62414.26%4,376
Terrell1,89042.75%2,50156.57%300.68%-611-13.82%4,421
Thomas10,64257.54%7,72041.74%1320.71%2,92215.80%18,494
Tift9,43166.09%4,74933.28%890.62%4,68232.81%14,269
Toombs6,65868.61%2,96430.54%820.84%3,69438.07%9,704
Towns4,29274.46%1,39124.13%811.40%2,90150.33%5,764
Treutlen1,82661.65%1,11237.54%240.81%71424.11%2,962
Troup15,39159.04%10,45540.11%2220.85%4,93618.93%26,068
Turner2,09658.94%1,42740.13%330.93%66918.81%3,556
Twiggs2,08746.15%2,40253.12%330.73%-315-6.97%4,522
Union8,01374.96%2,48623.26%1911.78%5,52751.70%10,690
Upson7,29163.77%4,06135.52%820.71%3,23028.25%11,434
Walker17,11072.33%6,09525.77%4491.89%11,01546.56%23,654
Walton27,25375.54%8,46923.47%3570.98%18,78452.07%36,079
Ware8,31166.83%4,03432.44%910.73%4,27734.39%12,436
Warren1,08740.83%1,55458.38%210.79%-467-17.55%2,662
Washington4,21647.49%4,60751.89%550.62%-391-4.40%8,878
Wayne7,60171.88%2,85827.03%1161.10%4,74344.85%10,575
Webster58852.93%51546.35%80.72%736.58%1,111
Wheeler1,40863.60%79435.86%120.54%61427.74%2,214
White8,46778.41%2,17420.13%1581.46%6,29358.28%10,799
Whitfield19,23069.20%8,16729.39%3941.41%11,06339.81%27,791
Wilcox2,15968.24%97830.91%270.85%1,18137.33%3,164
Wilkes2,70553.46%2,31545.75%400.79%3907.71%5,060
Wilkinson2,34950.21%2,29849.12%310.66%511.09%4,678
Worth5,78068.96%2,54230.33%600.71%3,23838.63%8,382
Totals2,048,75952.10%1,844,12346.90%39,2761.00%204,6365.20%3,932,158

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

John McCain carried 8 of 13 districts in Georgia, including one district held by a Democrat.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
62.81%36.39%Jack Kingston
45.91%53.55%Sanford Bishop
63.87%35.27%Lynn Westmoreland
20.65%78.61%Hank Johnson
20.01%79.12%John Lewis
62.26%36.56%Tom Price
59.68%39.28%John Linder
56.34%42.98%Jim Marshall
75.33%23.46%Nathan Deal
61.12%37.96%Paul Broun
65.60%33.12%Phil Gingrey
45.25%54.09%John Barrow
28.38%70.85%David Scott

Electors

See main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Georgia cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Georgia is allocated 15 electors because it has 13 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 15 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 15 were pledged to John McCain and Sarah Palin:[25]

  1. Esther Clark
  2. Dennis Coxwell
  3. Norma Edenfield
  4. Randy Evans
  5. Sue P. Everhart
  6. Leigh Ann Gillis
  7. Judy Goddard
  8. Linda Herren
  9. Rufus Montgomery
  10. Clint Murphy
  11. Sunny Park
  12. Alec Poitevint
  13. John Sours
  14. Allan Vigil
  15. John White

Notes and References

  1. (Web site: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2008 . . July 2012 . December 19, 2020.)
  2. Web site: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . 2023-04-11 . uselectionatlas.org.
  3. News: Mark Preston . Alexander Marquardt . Kristi Keck. Obama Looks to Turn Georgia Blue. CNN. 2009-06-21 . 2008-07-09.
  4. Web site: Jay Cost. Georgia: McCain vs. Obama - Polling Averages. RealClearPolitics. 2009-06-21.
  5. News: Maya Curry . Marti Covington . Michael Scherer. Obama Scales Back His 50-State Strategy. https://web.archive.org/web/20080924064954/http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1843532,00.html. dead. September 24, 2008. Time Magazine. 2009-06-21 . 2008-09-23.
  6. Web site: 2009-01-01. D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html. 2009-01-01.
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  10. Based on Takeaway
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