2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut explained

Election Name:2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Country:Connecticut
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2004 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Previous Year:2004
Next Election:2012 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Next Year:2012
Election Date:November 4, 2008
Image1:Obama portrait crop.jpg
Nominee1:Barack Obama
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State1:Illinois
Running Mate1:Joe Biden
Electoral Vote1:7
Popular Vote1:997,773
Percentage1:60.59%
Nominee2:John McCain
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Home State2:Arizona
Running Mate2:Sarah Palin
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:629,428
Percentage2:38.22%
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Barack Obama
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Connecticut was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama with a 22.4% margin of victory. Connecticut was one of the six states that had every county - including traditionally Republican Litchfield County - go for Obama, the others being Hawaii, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. Connecticut has not voted for a Republican presidential nominee since 1988 when the state was carried by George H. W. Bush over Michael Dukakis., this is the last election in which Litchfield County voted for the Democratic candidate, also making it the last time any presidential candidate has won every single county in the state.

To date, this is the last time that the city of Torrington and the towns of Barkhamsted, Colebrook, New Hartford, Preston, Scotland, Warren, Warren, and Winchester voted Democratic.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report[1]
Cook Political Report[2]
The Takeaway[3]
Electoral-vote.com[4]
The Washington PostWashington Post[5]
Politico[6]
RealClearPolitics[7]
FiveThirtyEight
CQ Politics[8]
The New York Times[9]
CNN[10]
NPR
MSNBC
Fox News[11]
Associated Press[12]
Rasmussen Reports[13]

Polling

Barack Obama won every single poll taken in the state, and every one of them by a double-digit margin of victory.

Fundraising

John McCain raised a total of $3,966,985. Barack Obama raised $9,727,617.[14]

Advertising and visits

Obama spent $730,335 while McCain spent nothing on the state.[15] Neither campaign visited the state.[16]

Analysis

Connecticut is a part of New England, an area of the country that has in recent decades become a Democratic stronghold. The state went Republican in most of the elections from 1948 to 1988, the exceptions being the three in the 1960s. However, following Bill Clinton's narrow victory in the state in 1992, it has not been seriously contested by Republicans since. McCain ceded the state to Obama early on, despite the endorsement of the state's incumbent Senator Joe Lieberman, a Democrat-turned-Independent who still caucused with the Democrats but backed McCain for president in 2008.

In 2006, Democrats knocked off two incumbent Republicans and picked up two U.S. House seats in CT-02 and CT-05 (Joe Courtney and Chris Murphy, respectively). Although then-Governor M. Jodi Rell and Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele were both moderate Republicans, all other statewide offices were held by Democrats. Democrats also enjoyed a supermajority status in both chambers of the Connecticut state legislature.

In 2008, Democrat Jim Himes defeated incumbent Republican Christopher Shays, who was at the time the only Republican member of the U.S. House from New England, for the U.S. House seat in Connecticut's 4th congressional district. This was largely because Obama carried the district with a staggering 60% of the voteā€”one of his best performances in a Republican-held district. Shays' defeat meant that for the first time in almost 150 years, there were no Republican Representatives from New England. In no other part of the country is a major political party completely shut out. At the state level, Democrats picked up 6 seats in the Connecticut House of Representatives and 1 seat in the Connecticut Senate.

Results

2008 United States presidential election in Connecticut
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack Obama997,77360.59%7
RepublicanJohn McCain629,42838.22%0
IndependentRalph Nader19,1621.16%0
Constitution (Write-in)Chuck Baldwin (Write-in)3110.02%0
Green (Write-in)Cynthia A. McKinney (Write-in)900.01%0
Socialist (Write-in)Brian Moore (Write-in)190.00%0
Socialist Workers (Write-in)Roger Calero (Write-in)100.00%0
Totals1,646,793100.00%7
Voter turnout (voting age population)62.1%

By county

CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Fairfield242,93658.72%167,73640.54%3,0590.74%75,20018.18%413,741
Hartford268,72165.11%138,98433.67%5,0231.21%129,73731.44%412,728
Litchfield51,04151.57%46,17346.66%1,7521.77%4,8684.91%98,966
Middlesex52,98460.72%32,91837.73%1,3511.55%20,06622.99%87,253
New Haven233,58961.01%144,65037.78%4,6471.22%88,93923.23%382,886
New London74,77659.88%48,49138.83%1,6071.29%26,28521.05%124,874
Tolland45,04359.67%29,26638.76%1,1821.57%15,77720.91%75,501
Windham28,67356.39%21,21041.72%9611.89%7,46314.67%50,844
Totals997,77360.59%629,42838.22%19,5921.19%368,34522.37%1,646,793

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Barack Obama carried all 5 of Connecticut's congressional districts.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
32.73%65.95%John Larson
40.07%58.48%Joe Courtney
36.28%62.50%Rosa DeLauro
39.64%59.70%Chris Shays (110th Congress)
Jim Himes (111th Congress)
42.40%56.34%Chris Murphy

Electors

See main article: List of 2008 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Connecticut cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Connecticut is allocated 7 electors because it has 5 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all sevenelectoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[17] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:[18]

  1. Shirley Steinmetz
  2. Nicholas Paindiris
  3. Andrea Jackson Brooks
  4. Jim Ezzes
  5. Lorraine McQueen
  6. Deborah McFadden
  7. Ken Delacruz

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2009-01-01. D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries.. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090101161206/http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/Predictions.html. 2009-01-01.
  2. Web site: 2015-05-05. Presidential. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20150505003043/http://cookpolitical.com/presidential. 2015-05-05.
  3. Web site: 2009-04-22. Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions. 2021-08-23. https://web.archive.org/web/20090422070127/http://vote2008.thetakeaway.org/2008/09/20/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/. 2009-04-22.
  4. Web site: Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily. 2021-08-23. electoral-vote.com.
  5. Based on Takeaway
  6. Web site: POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com. 2016-09-22. www.politico.com.
  7. Web site: RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20080605003612/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=5. 2008-06-05.
  8. Web site: CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20090614004022/http://innovation.cq.com/prezMap08. June 14, 2009. December 20, 2009. CQ Politics.
  9. News: Nagourney. Adam. Zeleny. Jeff. Carter. Shan. 2008-11-04. The Electoral Map: Key States. The New York Times. May 26, 2010.
  10. News: 2008-10-31. October  - 2008  - CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs. CNN. May 26, 2010. 2010-06-19. https://web.archive.org/web/20100619013250/http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/. dead.
  11. News: April 27, 2010. Winning The Electoral College. Fox News.
  12. Web site: roadto270. 2016-09-22. hosted.ap.org.
  13. Web site: Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports. 2016-09-22. www.rasmussenreports.com.
  14. Web site: Presidential Campaign Finance . 2009-08-03 . https://web.archive.org/web/20090324090103/http://www.fec.gov/DisclosureSearch/MapAppState.do?stateName=CT&cand_id=P00000001 . 2009-03-24 . dead .
  15. News: Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . May 26, 2010.
  16. News: Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com . CNN . May 26, 2010.
  17. Web site: Electoral College . 2008-11-01 . . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20081030041546/http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_ec.htm . October 30, 2008 .
  18. https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/2008-certificates/index.html#ct U. S. Electoral College 2008 Election - Certificates