2008 United States Senate election in Idaho explained

Election Name:2008 United States Senate election in Idaho
Country:Idaho
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2002 United States Senate election in Idaho
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2014 United States Senate election in Idaho
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 4, 2008
Image1:File:James E. Risch, official Senate photo portrait, 2009.jpg
Nominee1:Jim Risch
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:371,744
Percentage1:57.65%
Nominee2:Larry LaRocco
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:219,903
Percentage2:34.11%
Image3:File:Rex "T-Rex" Rammell at Campbell County League of Women Voters' General Election Candidates' Forum in Gillette, Wyoming (cropped).jpg
Nominee3:Rex Rammell
Party3:Independent (United States)
Popular Vote3:34,510
Percentage3:5.35%
Map Size:250px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Larry Craig
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Jim Risch
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2008 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 4, 2008. The primary elections were held on May 27.[1] Incumbent Senator Larry Craig decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Fellow Republican Jim Risch won the open seat.

Background

Incumbent Larry Craig announced his intent to resign following an incident where he allegedly solicited another man for gay sex in a public restroom.[2] Craig later decided not to resign but did announce that he would not seek re-election. The filing deadline for the election was March 21, 2008. A total of 13 candidates filed for the seat.[3] Republican and Democratic candidates ran for their respective nominations in the May 27 primary.

Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch defeated a crowded field for the Republican nomination, while former Congressman Larry LaRocco won the Democratic nomination in similar fashion. Conservative independents Rex Rammell and Pro-Life (formerly Marvin Richardson) also qualified for the general election ballot. Former Caldwell city council member Kent Marmon secured the Libertarian nomination. In the general election, Risch defeated LaRocco and the other candidates to keep the seat in Republican hands.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[6] October 23, 2008
align=left CQ Politics[7] October 31, 2008
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[8] November 2, 2008
align=left Real Clear Politics[9] November 4, 2008

Polling

Poll SourceDates administeredLarry
LaRocco (D)
Jim
Risch (R)
Rex
Rammel (I)
align=left Survey USA[10] September 6–8, 200736%52%-
align=left Myers Research[11] November 13–19, 200734%48%-
align=left Robinson Research[12] November 26 – December 12, 200727%46%-
align=left Celinda Lake[13] May 20–25, 200828%43%6%
align=left Research 2000[14] July 28–30, 200832%42%5%
align=left Greg Smith[15] August 18–22, 200830%41%3%
align=left Rasmussen Reports[16] September 9, 200830%58%-

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. http://www.idsos.state.id.us/elect/eleindex.htm Elections, Campaign Disclosure and Lobbyists
  2. News: Craig to Announce Resignation Saturday . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20070903122304/http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/08/31/craig.arrest/index.html . September 3, 2007 .
  3. Web site: LIST OF FEDERAL, STATEWIDE, AND JUDICIAL CANDIDATES . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080319191215/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/candidat/08candpri.pdf . March 19, 2008 .
  4. Web site: Iraq vet announces bid in GOP Senate primary.
  5. Web site: LaRocco to run for Senate; Craig mum on future ]. May 8, 2007.
  6. Web site: 2008 Senate Race ratings for October 23, 2008 . The Cook Political Report . April 1, 2021.
  7. http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate Race Ratings Chart: Senate
  8. Web site: 2008 Senate ratings . Inside Elections . April 1, 2021.
  9. Web site: 2008 RCP Averages & Senate Results . Real Clear Politics . August 31, 2021.
  10. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=37d9ed4d-bfff-4c8e-ac57-96410fa115e7/ Survey USA
  11. http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/12/12/143247/39 Myers Research
  12. https://web.archive.org/web/20160120123131/http://electionadvantage.blogspot.com/search/label/ID-SEN Robinson Research
  13. https://web.archive.org/web/20080918163407/http://www.laroccoforsenate.com/presskit/pressreleases/risch_dislike_poll_release.php Celinda Lake
  14. http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/12214/5122/347/560030 Research 2000
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20080918170328/http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_greg_smith_idaho_81822.php Greg Smith
  16. https://web.archive.org/web/20080912130000/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/idaho/election_2008_idaho_senate Rasmussen Reports