2008 Pakistani general election explained

Country:Pakistan
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:2002 Pakistani general election
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2013 Pakistani general election
Next Year:2013
Seats For Election:All 342 seats in the National Assembly
Majority Seats:172
Election Date:18 February 2008
Turnout:44.34% (2.58pp)
Image1:Asif Ali Zardari with Obamas (cropped).jpg
Leader1:Asif Ali Zardari
Party1:Pakistan Peoples Party
Last Election1:79
Seats1:116
Seat Change1:37
Popular Vote1:10,666,548
Percentage1:30.77%
Leader2:Nisar Ali Khan
Party2:Pakistan Muslim League (N)
Last Election2:19
Seats2:88
Seat Change2:69
Popular Vote2:6,917,752
Percentage2:19.95%
Image3:Pakistan delegation (cropped).jpg
Leader3:Shujaat Hussain
Party3:Pakistan Muslim League (Q)
Last Election3:105
Seats3:54
Seat Change3:51
Popular Vote3:7,962,473
Percentage3:22.97%
Prime Minister
Posttitle:Subsequent Prime Minister
Before Election:Shaukat Aziz
Before Party:Pakistan Muslim League (Q)
After Election:Yousaf Raza Gillani
After Party:Pakistan Peoples Party

General elections were held in Pakistan on 18 February 2008 to elect members of the 13th National Assembly and the four Provincial Assemblies.[1] [2]

On 3 November 2007 President Pervez Musharraf enacted a state of emergency; elections were initially postponed indefinitely.[3] However, it was later stated they would be held as planned.[4] On 8 November 2007 Musharraf announced that the elections would be held by 15 February 2008,[5] before suggesting a date of 8 January.[6] Following the assassination of former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto in December 2007, the Election Commission conducted a meeting and announced that 8 January was no longer a feasible date and the elections would be held on 18 February.[7]

The elections saw the resurgence of the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) and Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML-N), as they emerged as the two largest parties in the National Assembly. Following Bhutto's death, the PPP had come under the leadership of her nineteen-year-old son Bilawal. However, the party's election campaign was led by Benazir's husband and Bilawal's father Asif Ali Zardari, in his capacity as the co-chairman of the party. Meanwhile, PML-N was under the leadership of Chaudhry Nisar Ali Khan, although the party's eponymous founder Nawaz Sharif had returned from exile and was taking part in the Election campaign. At the provincial level, the PPP won in Sindh, the PML-N dominated in Punjab, the Awami National Party emerged as the largest party in North-West Frontier Province and Musharraf's Pakistan Muslim League (Q) won the most seats in Balochistan. Around 35.2 million people voted, with voter turnout just 44%.[8]

Musharraf conceded the defeat of his party and pledged to work with the new Parliament.[9] Due to a common mistrust of Musharraf, the PPP and PML-N initially formed a coalition government. Although Ameen Faheem was expected to lead the new government, PPP leaders agreed to appoint Yousaf Raza Gillani as Prime Minister. Within a week, the PML-N left the coalition to lead the impeachment movement and a campaign to restore the judiciary. The PPP instead formed a government with the Muttahida Qaumi Movement, Awami National Party and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F).

By-elections for 28 seats (23 provincial and five national) were delayed numerous times, with most of them held as late as 26 June 2008.

Terrorism

See main article: Assassination of Benazir Bhutto and Lal Masjid Operation.

Since 2004, there was a sharp rise of terrorism incidents took place during the presidency of General Pervez Musharraf. A serious incident took place in Red Mosque located in Islamabad when Police's special forces conducted an armed raid in the Mosque. The general elections were dealt with a great shock on 27 December 2007 when Benazir Bhutto was assassinated while leaving a rally in Rawalpindi. Bhutto's assassination raised many questions as to whether the general election would be postponed. Following the fatal attack, Pervez Musharraf held an emergency meeting with other government officials, but stated that "no decision had been made on whether to delay the national elections."[10]

Benazir Bhutto had "become an appealing solution" to United States officials frustrated with President Musharraf's failure to restore democracy to Pakistan, The New York Times said.

The PML(N) stated after the assassination that his party would boycott the election.[11] The PML(N) later stated that the party would take part if PPP contests the election.[12] The PPP then decided to name Benazir Bhutto's son, Bilawal Bhutto Zardari, the new party leader with his father Asif Ali Zardari as co-leader, as asked for in Benazir Bhutto's testament. The party also decided that it would contest the elections and stated that the elections should be held as planned.

The Election Commission announced after a meeting in Islamabad that an 8 January vote was no longer possible and the election would take place on 18 February.[7]

Pre-election violence

In the weeks preceding the election, there were several attacks targeting leftist politicians and political rallies. On 9 February, a suicide car bomb killed 27 and injured 37 attending a political rally for the Awami National Party in Charsadda.[13] On 16 February, another suicide car bomb that killed 37 and injured 93 outside the residence of PPP candidate Riaz Shah in Parachinar.[14] The same day, a suicide attack on an army outpost in Swat Valley killed two civilians and injured eight people.[14] A polling location in Bajaur was destroyed by militants earlier.[14]

Issues

Code of conduct

Code of conduct for the election has been proposed by the Citizens' Group on Electoral Process (CGEP) to the Election Commission of Pakistan and the political parties. This suggests that all stakeholders should agree on a set of rules as early as possible, in order to provide a level playing field for a fair general election.[15]

Terrorism

There have been concerns from the United States that Pakistan has not been doing enough to assist in their war on terrorism. Musharraf has rejected such claims, stating "The fight against terrorism and extremism, whether it is al-Qaeda or Taliban, can never succeed without Pakistan's cooperation and Pakistan is the only country that has delivered the maximum on both. We are tackling them with 30,000 troops. If there is anybody who is not doing enough, it is others who are not doing enough."[2] Opposition parties, especially the religious Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal coalition, are opposed to Pakistan's role as ally of the United States in the War on Terrorism.[16] A car bomb killed 40 people and wounded 90 16 February 2008 in northern Pakistan when it exploded in front of an election office of the opposition Pakistan Peoples Party.[17]

Fairness of elections

To ensure the transparent elections the Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN)[18] played a vital role in election monitoring. A part from this number of opposition parties called for the resignation of President Pervez Musharraf to ensure free and fair elections under a caretaker government.[19] On 8 July 2007 opposition parties issued a declaration of their demands for the elections.[19] The parties included were the Pakistan Peoples Party, Pakistan Muslim League (N) and Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal. Regarding the election, the declaration had the following clauses:[19] Former Prime Minister Pakistan Ch. Shujaat claimed that United States managed results of 2008 general elections. In a televised interview with Channel 5 of Pakistan on 31 March 2017, Ch. Shujaat claimed that American authorities along with the then Senator (who became vice-president thereafter) Joe Biden visited him two days before general elections of 2008 at his (Shujaat) residence in Lahore and said that US would not accept election results if his (Shujaat) party won

Campaign

Party alliances

Thirty-two parties opposed to Musharraf have joined in a loose political alliance called All Parties Democratic Movement; the PPP, one of the main parties, was not a part of this alliance.

As Musharraf had stated that the elections would be held under the state of emergency, at least three parties stated they will boycott such elections, fearing that they would not be free and fair: the PML (N), Jamaat-e-Islami and Tehreek-i-Insaaf.[20]

The opposition parties jointly stated that the elections could not be fair, as most opposition candidates were in jail under the state of emergency and thus unable to file nomination papers for the election.[21]

On 23 November 2007 PPP members were given the go-ahead to register for the elections, while still reserving the decision to boycott the election.[22]

Imran Khan, the Tehreek-i-Insaaf leader, restated his call for a boycott on 23 November 2007, the day the APDM was to decide on whether to boycott the elections jointly.[23]

Upon his return to Pakistan on 26 November 2007 Nawaz Sharif stated he would run in the elections only if the state of emergency was lifted before the polls,[24] and that he would not serve as Prime Minister under Musharraf.[25] However, Sharif's candidacy was rejected on 3 December due to his prior criminal conviction.[26]

On 10 December 2007 Sharif and Bhutto finally announced they would not boycott the election, despite their fears that the election would be neither free nor fair.[27]

Pakistan Peoples Party

The Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) campaigned on wide range of issues, including country's role in terrorism, nationalization, immigration and foreign policy. The PPP is a centre-left political party and promotes the proponents of social democracy. During the election campaign, Benazir highlighted the success of computer literacy programme that was launched in 1993 and gas pipelines infrastructure that was initiated in 1995.

Pakistan Muslim League (N)

The Pakistan Muslim League-N's political campaign was led by Nisar Ali Khan, in the absence of Nawaz Sharif. The PML(N) is a centre-right political party and primarily targeted the Pervez Musharraf and PML(Q)'s government initiatives to resolve the law and order situation in the country. Due to Pervez Musharraf baring Nawaz Sharif to return to the country, the PML-N's campaign was restricted in all over the country.

Electoral support

In a poll from the International Republican Institute conducted from 19 to 29 January, the PPP led with 50%, followed by PML-N with 22% and Musharraf's PML-Q with 14%. The ultraconservative Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) had 1% and Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) 1%.[28] Due to its unprecedented lead in the opinion polls, most commentators believed PPP could win a landslide victory. However, the actual results were much smaller for PPP. In the first three counts to finish, the opposition did well: The provincial assembly seat in Baluchistan went to the PPP—the party of assassinated former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto—while two independent candidates won seats from the northern tribal areas.[29] Unofficial returns 19 February 2008 showed huge wins for the opposition parties of former Prime Ministers Nawaz Sharif and the slain Benazir Bhutto, one day after a pivotal vote that could threaten Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf's political viability.[30] Pakistan's two main opposition parties, the PPP and the PML (N) announced 21 February 2008 they would form a new government together after their victory over President Pervez Musharraf's allies in elections the week of 18 February 2008.[31] Shortly after making their coalition official, Pakistan's main opposition parties, the Pakistan Peoples Party and the Pakistan Muslim League (N), on 9 March 2008 called on President Pervez Musharraf to immediately convene parliament (Majlis-e-Shoora).[32]

Results

Results indicated that PPP and PML(N) secured the largest popularity votes in the elections– both campaigned on targeting Musharraf and had been politically active against Musharraf since 2003. The PML(Q) of Musharraf eminently faced the defeat, including 22 higher officials of the PML(Q) who were the cabinet ministers which constituted a bulk of the previous federal cabinet.

The PML(Q)'s president, Shujaat Hussain and Chief Minister of Punjab Pervez Illahi lost their respected seats. Others belonging to PML(Q) who also lost the elections includes:

On 21 February, it was announced that the PPP and the PML (N) would form a coalition government.[34] The coalition would also include the Awami National Party.

National Assembly

Following the election, seven independents joined the PPP, whilst three joined PML-N.[35]

Provincial assemblies

Punjab

See main article: 2008 Punjab provincial election.

Balochistan

See main article: article and 2008 Balochistan provincial election.

By-elections

By-elections for 28 seats (23 provincial and 5 national) were delayed numerous times and were being contested, among others, by Nawaz Sharif (who initially stated he had withdrawn, but then appeared to be contesting the election nonetheless;[36] his brother Shehbaz Sharif will also run in the by-elections)[37] and Asif Ali Zardari.[38] [39]

The by-elections had originally planned for 3 June 2008, then postponed to 18 June 2008; a further planned postponement to 18 August 2008 due to security reasons met with large-scale opposition, leading to a rescheduling at the time to 26 June 2008.[40] [41] PPP announced it would not run in the by-elections which prominent leaders of the PML-N would contest.[42] [43] On 23 June 2008 Sharif was again banned from the election due to his earlier court conviction,[44] leading the Supreme Court on 25 June 2008 to postpone the by-election for Sharif's seat until after appeal deliberations which begin on 30 June 2008 are concluded.[45] By-elections for the other seats were held as planned on 26 June 2008.[46]

59 candidates contested the five national seats, while the 282 candidates contesting the provincial seats were divided as follow:[47]

Unofficial results showed that PML-N had won three national seats and PPP the other two; of the provincial seats, PML-N won eight, PPP seven, the Awami National Party two and independents six.[48] Turnout was reportedly low.[49]

Government formation

Support for the PPP-led government alliance 2008–13! Party/Alliance! Total Seats! Voter turnout

34244.10%
Parties
PPP11930.79%
5023.12%
MQM257.43%
ANP132.03%
JUI(F)62.2%
Total21365.57%
Due to a common mistrust on Pervez Musharraf, the PML(N) agreed to form a coalition government after succeeding with an agreement reached in March 2008. The PPP appointed Yousaf Raza Gillani as Prime Minister over the populist Amin Fahim. After taking the oath and appointing a cabinet, Prime Minister Gillani worked toward consolidating the power to weakened Pervez Musharraf.

The PML(N) on the other hand consistently worked towards building efforts to lead a successful movement to impeach President Pervez Musharraf. Supported by MQM and ANP, Asif Zardari was endorsed to the presidency in 2008. The PML(N) left the coalition government over the multiple disagreement on the issue of restoring of deposed judiciary, national amnesty, the nationalization and the policies in regards to the War on Terror. The PML(N) also had clash over the socialist ideas and centralizing of leftist forces on a common ground. In 2009, Prime Minister Gillani approved the PML(N) departure and instead named a new cabinet with a new and more prudent leftist alliance consisting of MQM, ANP, JUI(F).

In December 2010 the MQM withdrew from the ruling coalition, including its 2 cabinet ministers Babar Ghauri, the ports and shipping minister and Farooq Sattar, minister for overseas Pakistanis. Amongst their reasons for withdrawing were corruption, law and order and rising prices.[50] However, the MQM returned to the government in matter of weeks with the PML(Q) also joining the Coalition government in 2012.

Election for Prime Minister

The election for Prime Minister took place on 24 March 2008.[51]

←August 2004!24 March 2008!2012→
CandidatePartyVotes Obtained
Required majority →172 out of 342
Yusuf Raza Gillani264
Chaudhry Pervez Elahi42
Abstentions<36

External links

Background information

Notes and References

  1. News: Ahmed Rashid . Pakistan's uncertain year ahead. BBC News. 10 January 2007. 9 July 2007.
  2. News: Election Tracker: Pakistan. Angus Reid Global Monitor. 9 July 2007. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20070828034546/http://www.angus-reid.com/tracker/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=15363. 28 August 2007.
  3. News: Musharraf targets key opponents . 20 February 2008 . 4 November 2007 . BBC News.
  4. News: Pakistan 'to keep elections date' . 20 February 2008 . 5 November 2007 . BBC News.
  5. News: Musharraf vows polls in February . 20 February 2008 . 8 November 2007 . BBC News.
  6. Web site: Musharraf recommends general elections to be held on Jan. 8 – People's Daily Online . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  7. News: Pakistan Delays Vote After Bloodshed . . 1 February 2008 . 1 February 2008 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080906000514/http://news.sky.com/skynews/article/0,,30200-1298932,00.html . 6 September 2008 .
  8. http://www.ipu.org/pdf/publications/elections08-e.pdf "Panorama of Parliamentary Elections 2008"
  9. News: In Pakistan, Musharraf's Party Accepts Defeat . 20 February 2008 . . Jane . Perlez . Carlotta . Gall . 20 February 2008 .
  10. News: Bhutto Assassination Ignites Disarray . The New York Times. 27 December 2007. 28 December 2007 . Salman . Masood . Carlotta . Gall.
  11. News: guardian.co.uk . 20 February 2008 . 2008 . The Guardian . London . https://web.archive.org/web/20071231041857/http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-7181694,00.html . 31 December 2007.
  12. News: Sharif to 'review' boycott if PPP goes to polls-Pakistan-World-The Times of India . 20 February 2008 . 2008 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080103125048/http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/World/Sharif_to_review_boycott_if_PPP_goes_to_polls/articleshow/2662735.cms . 3 January 2008 . The Times of India.
  13. News: Pakistan blast toll rises to 27 . 20 February 2008 . 15 February 2008 . CNN.
  14. Web site: AFP . AFP . 6 August 2010 .
  15. Web site: Model code of conduct for polls proposed -DAWN – Top Stories; 03 July 2007 . 20 February 2008 . 2008 . https://web.archive.org/web/20070927233331/http://www.dawn.com/2007/07/03/top16.htm . 27 September 2007.
  16. Web site: Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA). GlobalSecurity.org. 9 July 2007.
  17. News: Car bomb kills 40 ahead of Pakistan vote . CNN. 17 February 2008 . https://web.archive.org/web/20080216221925/http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/02/16/pakistan/index.html . 16 February 2008.
  18. Web site: Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) . www.fafen.org . Free and Fair Election Network . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20140515053236/http://www.fafen.org/site/v6/about-fafen . 15 May 2014 .
  19. News: M. Ziauddin . MPC declaration asks Musharraf to resign: PPP's stand accommodated . Dawn. 9 July 2007. 9 July 2007 . https://web.archive.org/web/20070711114134/http://www.dawn.com/2007/07/09/top1.htm . 11 July 2007.
  20. News: Pakistan Opposition parties announce boycott of polls-Pakistan-World-The Times of India . 20 February 2008 . The Times of India . 12 November 2007.
  21. News: Bloomberg.com: Worldwide . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  22. Web site: Bhutto's party gives go-ahead for members to file papers for elections in Pakistan – People's Daily Online . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  23. Web site: Pakistani opposition leader calls for polls boycott – People's Daily Online . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  24. News: Pakistan rivals enter poll fray . 20 February 2008 . 26 November 2007 . BBC News.
  25. News: Sharif welcomed back to Lahore . 20 February 2008 . 25 November 2007 . BBC News.
  26. News: Sharif's candidacy papers rejected . 20 February 2008 . 3 December 2007 . CNN.
  27. Web site: Opposition to take part in Pakistan elections – International Herald Tribune . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  28. Web site: Angus Reid Global Monitor . 20 February 2008 . 2008 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20090118193426/http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/29874/late_bhuttos_party_most_popular_in_pakistan, . 18 January 2009 .
  29. News: Pakistan opposition see gains. CNN . https://web.archive.org/web/20080219125823/http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/02/18/pakistan/index.html . live . 19 February 2008 . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  30. News: Vote defeat piles pressure on Musharraf. CNN . https://web.archive.org/web/20080219174031/http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/02/19/pakistan/index.html . dead . 19 February 2008 . 20 February 2008 . 2008 .
  31. News: Pakistan's opposition parties reach agreement . https://web.archive.org/web/20080305170123/http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/02/21/pakistan.opposition.ap/index.html . dead . 5 March 2008 . 21 February 2008 . 2008 . CNN .
  32. News: Anti-Musharraf parties to form new government . https://web.archive.org/web/20080312233401/http://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/03/09/pakistan/index.html . live . 12 March 2008 . 9 March 2008 . 2008 . CNN .
  33. News: Sh Rashid, Ch Shujaat face surprising defeat. Geo TV. 19 February 2008. dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20080225121124/http://www.geo.tv/home/. 25 February 2008.
  34. Web site: Al Jazeera English – News – Pakistan Parties To Form Coalition . 22 February 2008 . 2008 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20080227234807/http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/C7457025-557D-4B05-8906-1EB2C95B8647.htm . 27 February 2008 .
  35. http://ecp.gov.pk/Misc/PartyPosition/NAPosition.pdf Party position
  36. http://english.people.com.cn/90001/90777/90851/6422418.html Former Pak PM allowed to contest by-election – People's Daily Online
  37. Web site: Former Pakistani PM not to take part in by-elections – People's Daily Online . English.people.com.cn . 4 May 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  38. Web site: Main News . Thepost.com.pk . 6 August 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110727020523/http://thepost.com.pk/MainNews.aspx?bdtl_id=10437&fb_id=2&catid=14 . 27 July 2011 .
  39. Web site: ONLINE – International News Network . Onlinenews.com.pk . 9 June 2007 . 6 August 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20110928010141/http://www.onlinenews.com.pk/details.php?id=126960 . 28 September 2011 .
  40. Web site: Election for 38 seats to be held on 3 June -DAWN – Top Stories; 15 April 2008 . DAWN . 15 April 2008 . 6 August 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101031215243/http://www.dawn.com/2008/04/15/top9.htm . 31 October 2010 .
  41. News: South Asia | Anger in Pakistan at poll delays . BBC News . 5 May 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  42. Web site: PPP not to field candidates against PML-N leaders in by-elections – People's Daily Online . English.people.com.cn . 13 May 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  43. News: South Asia | New by-election date in Pakistan . BBC News . 7 May 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  44. News: South Asia | Sharif barred from Pakistan poll . BBC News . 23 June 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  45. News: South Asia | Court delays key Pakistani poll . BBC News . 25 June 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  46. News: South Asia | Pakistanis vote in by-elections . BBC News . 26 June 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  47. Web site: Pakistan's by-elections conclude, counting begins – People's Daily Online . English.people.com.cn . 26 June 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  48. Web site: PML-N, PPP combine sweep Pakistan by-polls . 24 April 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180424202328/https://dnd.com.pk/who-won-2008-election-from-your-constituency-complete-results-of-2008-pakistan-elections-for-national-assembly-3/15873 . 24 April 2018 . dead .
  49. Web site: CENTRAL/S. ASIA – Pakistan ruling parties gain seats . Al Jazeera English . 27 June 2008 . 6 August 2010.
  50. http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia/2010/12/2010122843748932555.html Pakistan ministers to quit cabinet – Central & South Asia
  51. News: Pakistani parliament elects Gilani prime minister . 11 April 2022 . Reuters . 24 March 2008.