2007 Extremaduran regional election explained

Election Name:2007 Extremaduran regional election
Country:Extremadura
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2003 Extremaduran regional election
Previous Year:2003
Next Election:2011 Extremaduran regional election
Next Year:2011
Seats For Election:All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura
Majority Seats:33
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:893,547
Turnout:669,752 (75.0%)
0.6 pp
Election Date:27 May 2007
Leader1:Guillermo Fernández Vara
Party1:PSOEr
Colour1:EF1C27
Leader Since1:20 September 2006
Leaders Seat1:Badajoz
Last Election1:36 seats, 51.7%
Seats1:38
Seat Change1:2
Popular Vote1:352,342
Percentage1:53.0%
Swing1:1.3 pp
Leader2:Carlos Floriano
Party2:PPEU
Colour2:1D84CE
Leader Since2:13 October 2000
Leaders Seat2:Cáceres
Last Election2:26 seats, 40.5%
Seats2:27
Seat Change2:1
Popular Vote2:257,392
Percentage2:38.7%
Swing2:1.8 pp
Leader3:Víctor Casco
Party3:IUSIEx
Colour3:732021
Leader Since3:30 November 2003
Leaders Seat3:Cáceres (lost)
Last Election3:3 seats, 6.3%
Seats3:0
Seat Change3:3
Popular Vote3:41,448
Percentage3:4.5%
Swing3:1.8 pp
Map Size:250px
President
Before Election:Juan Carlos Rodríguez Ibarra
Before Party:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Extremadura
After Election:Guillermo Fernández Vara
After Party:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Extremadura

The 2007 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) leader Guillermo Fernández Vara, who replaced Juan Carlos Rodríguez Ibarra as his party's candidate after 25 years of rule in the region, went on to win a comfortable absolute majority with 38 out of 65 seats, almost equalling the party's best result in the region in 1991. The opposition People's Party (PP), which for this election ran in coalition with regionalist United Extremadura (EU) party, was unable to make any significant gains, winning 1 seat to 2003 but losing ground when compared with the combined PP-EU vote share of that year's election.

United Left (IU), for the first time in its history, was unable to meet the 5% party threshold either regionally or in any of the provinces and was left out of the Assembly, this being the only time that just two parties had parliamentary representation in the Extremaduran Assembly.

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1] [2]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 2 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2] [3]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 27 May 2007.[1] [2] [3]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1] [4] [5]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Assembly of Extremadura election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' PartyRegionalists (PSOE–regionalistas)352,342 53.00 +1.3438 +2
People's PartyUnited Extremadura (PP–EU)1257,392 38.71 –1.8327 +1
United LeftIndependent Socialists of Extremadura (IU–SIEx)30,028 4.52 –1.750 –3
Independents for Extremadura (IPEx)8,389 1.26 New0 ±0
The Greens of Extremadura (LV)4,082 0.61 New0 ±0
Extremaduran People's Union (UPEx)1,520 0.23 New0 ±0
Living Initiative (IH)958 0.14 New0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)903 0.14 New0 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)499 0.08 New0 ±0
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)445 0.07 New0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)370 0.06 –0.100 ±0
Blank ballots7,926 1.19 –0.18
Total664,854 65 ±0
Valid votes664,854 99.27 +0.08
Invalid votes4,898 0.73 –0.08
Votes cast / turnout669,752 74.95 –0.68
Abstentions223,795 25.05 +0.68
Registered voters893,547
Sources[32] [33]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPSOErPPEU
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Badajoz53.82137.714
Cáceres51.81740.213
Total53.03838.727
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Guillermo Fernández Vara (PSOE)
Ballot →27 June 2007
Required majority →33 out of 65
Abstentions
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 1/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Extremadura . Organic Law . 1 . es . 25 February 1983 . 17 March 2017.
  2. Ley 2/1987, de 16 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura . Law . 2 . es . 16 March 1987 . 17 March 2017.
  3. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  4. Ley Orgánica 5/1991, de 13 de marzo, de Reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Extremadura . Organic Law . 5 . es . 13 March 1991 . 8 April 2017.
  5. Ley Orgánica 12/1999, de 6 de mayo, de reforma de la Ley Orgánica 1/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Extremadura . Organic Law . 12 . es . 6 May 1999 . 8 April 2017.
  6. Web site: Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA . es . Europa Press . 27 May 2007.
  7. Web site: Las "israelitas" no aclaran el futuro político de Guadalajara . es . La Crónica de Guadalajara . 27 May 2007 . 1 July 2018 . 2 July 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20180702011323/https://www.lacronica.net/las-israelitas-no-aclaran-el-futuro-politico-de-guadalajara-19714.htm . dead .
  8. Web site: Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid . https://web.archive.org/web/20070520115817/http://actualidad.terra.es/especiales/elecciones-2007/articulo/vuelco_navarra_baleares_canarias_pp_1579088.htm . dead . 20 May 2007 . es . Terra . 17 May 2007 . 25 February 2021 .
  9. Web site: Encuestas autonómicas . https://web.archive.org/web/20090511132157/http://www.celeste-tel.es/es/encuestas-autonomicas.html . dead . 11 May 2009 . es . Celeste-Tel . 17 May 2007 . 25 February 2021 .
  10. Web site: ¿Cree que son fiables las encuestas electorales? . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 15 May 2007.
  11. Web site: Vara logra mayoría absoluta y PP e IU mejoran sus resultados . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 20 May 2007.
  12. Web site: Una encuesta del PP le da la victoria en Extremadura con una ventaja de 1,4 puntos por delante de PSOE . es . Europa Press . 8 May 2007.
  13. Web site: Una encuesta encargada por el PP y realizada por buzoneo le da mayoría . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 9 May 2007.
  14. Web site: Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones . es . El Mundo . 13 May 2007.
  15. Web site: Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos . es . El Mundo . 12 May 2007.
  16. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Extremadura (Estudio nº 2695. Abril-Mayo 2007) . es . CIS . 11 May 2007.
  17. Web site: La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias . es . La Vanguardia . 12 May 2007.
  18. Web site: Un nuevo sondeo del PSOE da a Vara mayoría con 34-35 escaños . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 28 April 2007.
  19. Web site: El PSOE da a conocer una encuesta en la que mantendría la mayoría absoluta . https://web.archive.org/web/20070505181341/http://www.hoy.es/prensa/20070428/regional/psoe-conocer-encuesta-mantendria_20070428.html . dead . 5 May 2007 . es . Hoy . 28 April 2007.
  20. Web site: Una nueva encuesta da mayoría absoluta al PSOE en la Asamblea . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 5 May 2007.
  21. Web site: Una encuesta del PP refleja un empate entre Vara y Floriano . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 18 April 2007.
  22. Web site: Empate con el PSOE en Extremadura . https://web.archive.org/web/20070506173442/http://www.larazon.es/noticias/noti_nac3813.htm . dead . 6 May 2007 . es . La Razón . 18 April 2007 . 25 February 2021 .
  23. Web site: Una encuesta del PSOE da a Vara mayoría absoluta . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 24 December 2006.
  24. Web site: Una encuesta del PSOE extremeño le da la mayoría absoluta en la región con 35 escaños, uno menos que en 2003 . es . Europa Press . 25 December 2006.
  25. Web site: La lluvia de sondeos ya ha calado . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 11 May 2007.
  26. Web site: El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan . es . El Mundo . 27 November 2006.
  27. Web site: El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007 . es . El Mundo . 27 November 2006.
  28. Web site: Los socialistas, sin Ibarra, bajan pero mantienen la mayoría absoluta . https://web.archive.org/web/20111104204333/http://www.e-pesimo.blogspot.com/2006/11/sondeo-sigma-dos-para-navarra.html . dead . 4 November 2011 . es . El Mundo . 27 November 2006.
  29. Web site: El PSOE ganaría hoy las elecciones, pero sería dudosa la mayoría absoluta . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 19 November 2006.
  30. Web site: Una encuesta del PSOE le da otra victoria electoral en las elecciones . es . El Periódico de Extremadura . 6 May 2006.
  31. Web site: Floriano recorta distancias con Ibarra, según un sondeo encargado por el PSOE . es . ABC . 6 May 2006.
  32. Web site: Assembly of Extremadura election results, 27 May 2007. Badajoz and Cáceres . 7 June 2007 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . Electoral Commission of Extremadura . 26 September 2017.
  33. Web site: Eleccions a la Asamblea de Extremadura (1983 - 2019) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 26 September 2017.