2006 Maryland gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2006 Maryland gubernatorial election
Country:Maryland
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Turnout:57.53% 4.32%[1]
Previous Election:2002 Maryland gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2010 Maryland gubernatorial election
Next Year:2010
Election Date:November 7, 2006
Image1:Image:Martin O'Malley, photo portrait, visiting Maryland National Guard, June 8, 2008.jpg
Nominee1:Martin O'Malley
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Anthony Brown
Popular Vote1:942,279
Percentage1:52.69%
Nominee2:Bob Ehrlich
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Kristen Cox
Popular Vote2:825,464
Percentage2:46.16%
Map Size:295px
Governor
Before Election:Bob Ehrlich
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Martin O'Malley
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2006 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term, but was defeated by the Democratic nominee, Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley. Ehrlich was the only incumbent governor from either party to lose a general election in the 2006 midterms.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Campaign

Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and Montgomery County Executive Doug Duncan emerged as the two Democratic candidates for governor in late 2005. Early polling indicated that O'Malley would have the advantage in both the Democratic primary and the general election, with a solid lead over Duncan in the primary and a several point lead over Ehrlich in the general.[2]

As the gubernatorial campaign intensified, Duncan withdrew from the race, citing his diagnosis with clinical depression. In the same announcement, he threw his support behind O'Malley and declined to seek another office in the fall. No other Democratic candidate had announced, so O'Malley was unopposed in the primary election.

O'Malley selected Anthony Brown, a black State Delegate from Prince George's County and a veteran of the Iraq War, as his running mate.

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Ehrlich sought a second term as governor and did not face opposition at any point in the Republican primary. Incumbent Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele ran for the U.S. Senate instead of seeking a second term as lieutenant governor, so Ehrlich named Maryland Secretary of Disabilities Kristen Cox, who is blind, as his running mate.

Results

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Elected to his first term in 2002, incumbent Republican Governor Bob Ehrlich ran for a second term as governor, opposed by the Democratic nominee, Martin O'Malley, the Mayor of Baltimore. Both candidates emerged from uncontested primary elections and a contentious election season began.

Early in the campaign, Ehrlich boasted decent approval ratings from Maryland citizens, with a Gonzalez Research poll taken during October 2005 showing him with a 49% approval rating. and a Baltimore Sun poll from November 2005 giving the Governor a 50% approval and a 33% disapproval.[3] However, the unpopularity of the national Republican Party and President George W. Bush dragged Ehrlich's re-election chances down.[4] [5]

Ehrlich launched attack ads that hit O'Malley on crime in Baltimore under his tenure as Mayor, calling the murder rate in Baltimore "awful" and "an embarrassment to the state of Maryland."[6] O'Malley countered with one television ad that featured testimonials from local community leaders, Howard County Executive James N. Robey, Baltimore County Executive James T. Smith Jr.[7] and another ad that attacked Ehrlich for breaking his promise to end parole for violent criminals.[8]

The Washington Post and The Washington Times both endorsed Ehrlich in his bid for re-election, with the Times praising Ehrlich's "brand of moderate conservatism that offers a refreshing contrast" to the state's historically Democratic leanings[9] and the Post called him "a generally proficient, pragmatic governor" and praised him for "successes on transportation, the environment and education."[10]

In turn, The Baltimore Sun endorsed O'Malley, saying, "the progress under the mayor's tenure is clear and irrefutable", and that he addressed "rising crime, failing schools and shrinking economic prospects."[11] O'Malley also called upon the praise given to him by TIME Magazine when they named him one of the country's "Top 5 Big City Mayors."[12]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[13] November 6, 2006
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] November 6, 2006
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[15] November 2, 2006
align=left Real Clear Politics[16] November 6, 2006

Polling

width=300px Sourcewidth=150px Datewidth=100px Martin
O'Malley (D)
width=100px Bob
Ehrlich (R)
align=left SurveyUSANovember 5, 200650%47%
align=left Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.November 1, 200647%46%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbyOctober 31, 200649.3%43.9%
align=left Public Opinion StrategiesOctober 31, 200646%45%
align=left RasmussenOctober 30, 200650%47%
align=left Washington PostOctober 29, 200655%45%
align=left RasmussenOctober 17, 200653%45%
align=left USA TODAY/GallupOctober 6, 200653%41%
align=left Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc.September 24, 200650%44%
align=left Survey USASeptember 20, 200651%44%
align=left RasmussenSeptember 20, 200649%42%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbySeptember 11, 200652.5%39.6%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbyAugust 28, 200652.0%42.2%
align=left RasmussenAugust 18, 200650%43%
align=left http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/md/maryland_senate_race-114.htmlAugust 14, 200641%41%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJuly 24, 200651.3%42.2%
align=left RasmussenJuly 17, 200649%42%
align=left Baltimore Sun/Potomac Inc. July 16, 200646%38%
align=left The Washington PostJune 25, 200651%40%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJune 21, 200653.1%39.2%
align=left Opinion WorksApril 27, 200646%37%
align=left RasmussenApril 21, 200651%42%
align=left Gonzales Research April 18, 200646%41%
align=left RasmussenJanuary 13, 200642%47%
align=left Wall Street Journal/ZogbyJanuary 13, 200653%40%
align=left Rasmussen November 22, 200546%40%
align=left Baltimore SunNovember 6, 200548%33%
align=left Baltimore SunOctober 25, 200548%42%
align=left Rasmussen July 18, 200541%46%
align=left Baltimore SunApril 17, 200545%39%
align=left Baltimore SunJanuary 200540%40%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2006 Gubernatorial General Election - County-Wide Turnout . elections.maryland.gov . . May 1, 2022.
  2. News: Democrat support plunges for Ehrlich . The Washington Times.
  3. Web site: An early edge for Ehrlich's rivals. By Andrew A. Green and David. Nitkin. baltimoresun.com.
  4. Web site: Lauren Dezenski . Kevin Robillard . Trump makes blue-state Republicans squirm . . 16 July 2024 . 1 February 2017.
  5. Web site: Matthew Mosk . John Wagner . Cardin, O'Malley Win in Statewide Democratic Wave . . 16 July 2024 . 8 November 2006 . Although both contests remained competitive, the general anti-Republican mood pervading the nation began to weigh on Ehrlich and Steele, who tried to tap national GOP connections for money while trying to avoid an affiliation with Washington as the climate worsened for their party..
  6. News: Wagner. John. 2006-09-30. Ehrlich Ads Hammer O'Malley on Crime. The Washington Post. en-US. 2021-07-16. 0190-8286.
  7. Web site: Martin O'Malley 2005 TV Ad: The Real Record in Baltimore. https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211213/1mb2FBF7Pwo . 2021-12-13 . live. www.youtube.com.
  8. Web site: Martin O'Malley 2005 TV Ad: The Real Question. https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211213/5DTH_Saas1I . 2021-12-13 . live. www.youtube.com.
  9. News: Ehrlich for governor, Steele for Senate . The Washington Times.
  10. Web site: October 25, 2006. For Governor in Maryland. https://web.archive.org/web/20070214204551/https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/24/AR2006102401145.html. 2007-02-14. washingtonpost.com.
  11. Web site: October 29, 2006. O'Malley for governor. live. articles.baltimoresun.com. https://web.archive.org/web/20140201213624/http://articles.baltimoresun.com/2006-10-29/news/0610290023_1_omalley-rising-crime-slots-proposal . 2014-02-01 .
  12. Web site: Thompson. Mark. April 25, 2005. Wonk 'n' Roller. https://web.archive.org/web/20060516215618/http://www.time.com/time/archive/preview/0,10987,1050272,00.html. 2006-05-16. time.com.
  13. Web site: 2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006. The Cook Political Report. October 1, 2006. June 5, 2008. https://web.archive.org/web/20080605094803/https://cookpolitical.com/races/report_pdfs/2006_gov_ratings_nov6.pdf.
  14. Web site: Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS . Sabato's Crystal Ball . June 25, 2021.
  15. Web site: 2006 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . June 25, 2021.
  16. Web site: Election 2006 . Real Clear Politics . June 25, 2021.