2005 Portuguese legislative election explained

Election Name:2005 Portuguese legislative election
Country:Portugal
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2002 Portuguese legislative election
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2009 Portuguese legislative election
Next Year:2009
Seats For Election:230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
Majority Seats:116
Registered:8,944,508 0.5%
Turnout:5,747,834 (64.3%)
2.8 pp
Election Date:20 February 2005
Opinion Polls:Opinion polling for the 2005 Portuguese legislative election
Leader1:José Sócrates
Party1:Socialist Party (Portugal)
Leader Since1:26 September 2004
Leaders Seat1:Castelo Branco
Last Election1:96 seats, 37.8%
Seats1:121
Seat Change1: 25
Popular Vote1:2,588,312
Percentage1:45.0%
Swing1: 7.2 pp
Leader2:Pedro Santana Lopes
Party2:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
Leader Since2:1 July 2004
Leaders Seat2:Lisbon
Last Election2:105 seats, 40.2%
Seats2:75
Seat Change2: 30
Popular Vote2:1,653,425
Percentage2:28.8%
Swing2: 11.4 pp
Colour3:FF0000
Leader3:Jerónimo de Sousa
Party3:PCP
Alliance3:CDU
Leader Since3:27 November 2004
Leaders Seat3:Lisbon
Last Election3:12 seats, 6.9%
Seats3:14
Seat Change3: 2
Popular Vote3:433,369
Percentage3:7.5%
Swing3: 0.6 pp
Leader4:Paulo Portas
Party4:CDS – People's Party
Leader Since4:22 March 1998
Leaders Seat4:Aveiro
Last Election4:14 seats, 8.7%
Seats4:12
Seat Change4: 2
Popular Vote4:416,415
Percentage4:7.2%
Swing4: 1.5 pp
Leader5:Francisco Louçã
Party5:Left Bloc (Portugal)
Leader Since5:24 March 1999
Leaders Seat5:Lisbon
Last Election5:3 seats, 2.7%
Seats5:8
Seat Change5: 5
Popular Vote5:364,971
Percentage5:6.4%
Swing5: 3.6 pp
Prime Minister
Posttitle:Prime Minister after election
Before Election:Pedro Santana Lopes
Before Party:Social Democratic Party (Portugal)
After Election:José Sócrates
After Party:Socialist Party (Portugal)

The 2005 Portuguese legislative election took place on 20 February. The election renewed all 230 members of the Assembly of the Republic.

These elections were called after the decision of President Jorge Sampaio on 30 November 2004 to dissolve the Parliament as an answer to the political instability caused by the government led by Pedro Santana Lopes (PSD) in coalition with the PP. Santana Lopes had become Prime Minister in July 2004, after José Manuel Durão Barroso left the country in order to become President of the European Commission in a decision that divided the country, because many Portuguese were expecting that the Socialist President Jorge Sampaio would dissolve the Parliament and call a legislative election. However, after five unstable months, President Sampaio decided to dissolve Parliament and call fresh elections. The Prime Minister nevertheless announced the resignation of the government on 11 December, in an action with no practical effects whatsoever.

The campaign started officially on 6 February and the major topics were the problematic state of the country's finances, unemployment, abortion and even José Sócrates's alleged homosexuality.[1] [2]

Headed by Sócrates, the centre-left Socialist Party (PS) won the election with a landslide victory, winning in 19 of the 22 electoral constituencies, including in districts such as Viseu and Bragança that historically voted for the right. The Socialist Party conquered its first absolute majority, receiving 45 percent of the electorate vote and 52 percent of the seats in the Parliament, making this the Socialists' largest ever victory in terms of vote percentage and seat count as of 2022. The centre-right parties, mainly the Social Democrats, were punished for their performance in government, and lost more than 11 percentage points they had garnered in the previous election. On the left, the Left Bloc achieved its best result ever and made the biggest climb, gaining 5 MPs, while the CDU (Communists and the Greens) gained 2 MPs and reversed their downward trend of the last elections.

Voter turnout was the highest since 1995, as 64.3 percent of the electorate cast a ballot.

Background

Fall of the government

Deep disagreements and disputes within the Social Democratic Party began to derail the government led by Pedro Santana Lopes.[3] One of those disputes, the resignation of Youth and Sports Minister, Henrique Chaves, which was a close ally of Santana, precipitated the fall of the government, as Chaves accused Santana of not being "loyal and truthful".[4] Following this, President Jorge Sampaio had "enough" of crisis and accused the government of "contradictions and lack of coordination that contributed to its discredit".[5] Therefore, Sampaio used his power of dissolution of Parliament and called a snap election, the only time till date such power was used in Portuguese democracy.[6] [7] A new election was called, by the President, for February 2005.[8]

Leadership changes and challenges

PSD 2004 leadership election

Following the resignation of José Manuel Durão Barroso as Prime Minister and PSD leader to become President of the European Commission, the Social Democratic Party (PSD) initiated the process to elect a new leader.[9] Pedro Santana Lopes, by then Mayor of Lisbon, was the sole candidate for the leadership[10] and his name was overwhelmingly confirmed in a National Party Council meeting on 1 July 2004.[11] The results were the following:

|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | Pedro Santana Lopes| align=right | 98| align=right | 97.0|-| colspan=2 align=left | Against| align=right | 3| align=right | 3.0|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right | 101| align=center | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: Results|}

Two weeks later, on 17 July 2004, Santana Lopes was sworn in as Prime Minister.[12]

PS 2004 leadership election

See main article: article and 2004 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election. On early July 2004, PS leader Eduardo Ferro Rodrigues resigned from the leadership against President Jorge Sampaio decision to nominate Pedro Santana Lopes as Prime Minister, following the resignation of Durão Barroso, rather than calling a snap legislative election.[13] New elections to select a new leader were called for 25 and 26 September 2004. Former environment minister José Sócrates, Manuel Alegre and the son of former President Mário Soares, João Soares, contested the leadership ballot.[14] José Sócrates was elected by a landslide[15] and the results were the following:|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | José Sócrates| align=right | 18,432| align=right | 78.6|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | Manuel Alegre| align=right | 3,903| align=right | 16.7|-|bgcolor=|| align=left | João Soares| align=right | 927| align=right | 4.0|-| colspan=2 align=left | Blank/Invalid ballots| align=right | 175| align=right | 0.7|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right | 23,437| align=center | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: Results|}

PCP 2004 leadership election

In the fall of 2004, PCP leader Carlos Carvalhas decided to step down from the party's leadership after 12 years in the post.[16] Jerónimo de Sousa was selected as candidate for the leadership and was elected in the party's congress during the weekend of 27 and 28 November 2004.[17] The results were the following:|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%|-|bgcolor=#f00|| align=left | Jerónimo de Sousa| align=right | 164| align=right | 93.7|-| colspan=2 align=left | Against| align=right | 1| align=right | 0.6|-| colspan=2 align=left | Abstention| align=right | 10| align=right | 5.7|-|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout| align=right | 175| align=center | |-| colspan="4" align=left|Source: Results|}

Electoral system

The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[18]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[19] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[20]

For these elections, and compared with the 2002 elections, the MPs distributed by districts were the following:[21]

District Number of MPs Map
48
38
18
17
15
10
9
8
6
5
4
3
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe 2

Parties

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 9th legislature (2002–2005) and that also partook in the election:

NameIdeologyPolitical positionLeader2002 result
%Seats
PPD/PSDSocial Democratic Party
Centre-rightPedro Santana Lopes40.2%
PSSocialist Party
Social democracyCentre-leftJosé Sócrates37.8%
CDS-PPCDS – People's Party
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Paulo Portas8.7%
PCPPortuguese Communist Party
Communism
Marxism–Leninism
Far-leftJerónimo de Sousa
6.9%
PEVEcologist Party "The Greens"
Eco-socialism
Green politics
Left-wingHeloísa Apolónia
BELeft Bloc
Left-wingFrancisco Louçã2.7%

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party or allianceOriginal sloganEnglish translationRefs
PSD« Por amor a Portugal. »"For love of Portugal"[22]
PS« Voltar a acreditar em Portugal »"Believing in Portugal again"[23]
CDS–PP« O voto útil para Portugal »"The useful vote for Portugal"[24]
CDU« Agora é consigo »"Now it's up to you"[25]
BE« Faz toda a diferença »"It makes all the difference"[26]

Candidates' debates

2005 Portuguese legislative election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)
PSD
PS
CDS–PP
CDU
BE
Refs
18 JanSIC NotíciasNNNPP[27]
20 JanSIC NotíciasNNPNP[28]
25 JanSIC NotíciasNNPPN
3 FebMaria Flor Pedroso
Rodrigo Guedes de Carvalho
José Gomes Ferreira
Ricardo Costa
PPNNN[29]
15 FebRTP1Judite de Sousa
José Alberto Carvalho
PPPPP[30]
DateOrganisersPolling firm/Link
PSDPSCDS–PPCDUBENotes
3 FebAximage20.250.4

Opinion polling

See main article: Opinion polling for the 2005 Portuguese legislative election.

Voter turnout

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day including voters from Overseas.

TurnoutTime
12:0016:0019:00
20022005±20022005±20022005±
Total18.00%21.93% 3.93 pp45.88%50.94% 5.06 pp61.48%64.26% 2.78 pp
Sources[31] [32] [33] [34]

National summary of votes and seats

|-| colspan=11| |- ! rowspan=2 colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:left;" |Parties! rowspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |Votes! rowspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |%! rowspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |±! colspan="5" style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;" |MPs! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |MPs %/
votes %|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;" |2002! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;" |2005! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |±! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |%! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:right;" |±|-| |2,588,312||45.03||7.2||96||121||25||52.61||10.9||1.17|-| |1,653,425||28.77||11.4||105||75||30||32.61||13.0||1.13|-| |433,369||7.54||0.6||12||14||2||6.09||0.9||0.81|-| |416,415||7.25||1.5||14||12||2||5.22||0.9||0.72|- | |364,971||6.35||3.6||3||8||5||3.48||2.2||0.55|-| |48,186||0.84||0.2||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |40,358||0.70||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-| |17,056||0.30||0.1||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |9,374||0.16||0.1||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-|style="width:10px;background-color:red;text-align:center;" | | style="text-align:left;" |Workers Party of Socialist Unity|5,535||0.10||0.0||0||0||0||0.00||0.0||0.0|-| |1,618||0.03||||||0||||0.00||||0.0|-|colspan=2 style="text-align:left;background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid |width="65" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|5,578,782|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|97.06|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|1.0|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|230|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|230|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|0|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.0|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Blank ballots|103,537||1.80||0.8||colspan=6 rowspan=4||-|colspan=2|Invalid ballots|65,515||1.14||0.2|-|colspan=2 style="text-align:left;background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total |width="65" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|5,747,834|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" style="text-align:right;background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout||8,944,508||64.26||2.8|-| colspan=11 style="text-align:left;" | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições|}

Distribution by constituency

|- class="unsortable"!rowspan=2|Constituency!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!!%!!S!rowspan=2|Total
S|- class="unsortable" align="center"!colspan=2 | PS!colspan=2 | PSD!colspan=2 | CDU!colspan=2 | CDS-PP!colspan=2 | BE|-|align="left"| Azores| style="background:; color:white;"|53.1| 3| 34.4| 2| 1.7| -| 4.0| -| 2.9| -| 5|-|align="left"| Aveiro| style="background:; color:white;"|41.1| 8| 35.7| 6| 3.5| -| 9.8| 1| 5.1| -| 15|-|align="left"| Beja| style="background:; color:white;"|51.0| 2| 12.3| -| 24.1| 1| 2.9| -| 4.7| -| 3|-|align="left"| Braga| style="background:; color:white;"|45.4| 9| 32.9| 7| 4.8| 1| 7.8| 1| 4.6| -| 18|-|align="left"| Bragança| style="background:; color:white;"|42.1| 2| 39.0| 2| 2.0| -| 9.7| -| 2.5| -| 4|-|align="left"| Castelo Branco| style="background:; color:white;"|56.0| 4| 26.7| 1| 3.8| -| 5.3| -| 3.7| -| 5|-|align="left"| Coimbra| style="background:; color:white;"|45.4| 6| 31.9| 4| 5.5| -| 5.5| -| 6.3| -| 10|-|align="left"| Évora| style="background:; color:white;"|49.7| 2| 16.7| -| 20.9| 1| 3.7| -| 4.6| -| 3|-|align="left"| Faro| style="background:; color:white;"|49.3| 6| 24.6| 2| 6.9| -| 5.8| -| 7.7| -| 8|-|align="left"| Guarda| style="background:; color:white;"|46.8| 2| 34.7| 2| 2.9| -| 7.0| -| 3.4| - | 4|-|align="left"| Leiria| 35.6| 4| style="background:; color:white;"|39.8| 5| 4.6| -| 8.9| 1| 5.5| - | 10|-|align="left"| Lisbon| style="background:; color:white;"|44.1| 23| 23.7| 12| 9.8| 5| 8.2| 4| 8.8| 4| 48|-|align="left"| Madeira| 35.0| 3| style="background:; color:white;"|45.2| 3| 3.6| -| 6.6| -| 3.8| -| 6|-|align="left"| Portalegre| style="background:; color:white;"|54.9| 2| 20.2| -| 12.1| -| 4.2| -| 4.6| -| 2|-|align="left"| Porto| style="background:; color:white;"|48.5| 20| 27.8| 12| 5.4| 2| 6.9| 2| 6.7| 2| 38|-|align="left"| Santarém| style="background:; color:white;"|46.1| 6| 26.4| 3| 8.6| 1| 6.9| -| 6.5| -| 10|-|align="left"| Setúbal| style="background:; color:white;"|43.6| 8| 16.1| 3| 20.0| 3| 5.1| 1| 10.3| 2| 17|-|align="left"| Viana do Castelo| style="background:; color:white;"|42.0| 3| 33.5| 2| 3.8| -| 11.4| 1| 4.5| -| 6|-|align="left"| Vila Real| style="background:; color:white;"|43.8| 3| 40.2| 2| 2.6| -| 6.8| -| 2.4| -| 5|-|align="left"| Viseu| style="background:; color:white;"|40.4| 4| 40.2| 4| 2.2| -| 8.6| 1| 3.3| -| 9|-|style="text-align:left;" |Europe| style="background:; color:white;"|54.3| 1| 27.2| 1| 4.2| -| 3.4| -| 2.3| -| 2|-|style="text-align:left;" |Outside Europe| 26.3| -| style="background:; color:white;"|57.7| 2| 1.0| -| 3.5| -| 0.7| -| 2|-|- class="unsortable" style="background:#E9E9E9"|align="left"| Total| style="background:; color:white;"|45.0| 121| 28.8| 75| 7.5| 14| 7.2| 12| 6.4| 8| 230|-| colspan=12 align=left | Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições|}

Maps

Graphics

Further reading

External links

See also

Notes and References

  1. News: Santos Costa . Filipe . 2 February 2005 . Santana nega ter feito insinuações . Santana denies having made insinuations . pt . Diário de Notícias . 8 June 2016.
  2. News: Paixão . Paulo . 23 September 2009 . Temas que marcaram a campanha das legislativas de 2005 . Themes that marked the 2005 election campaign . pt . Expresso . 8 June 2016 .
  3. https://observador.pt/especiais/as-trapalhadas-de-santana-em-2004-que-rio-apoiou-e-marcelo-arrasou/ "As "trapalhadas" de Santana em 2004 (que Rio apoiou e Marcelo arrasou) "
  4. https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/detalhe/henrique_chaves_demite_se_do_governo_por_falta_de_lealdade_e_de_verdade_de_santana "Henrique Chaves demite-se do Governo por falta de «lealdade e de verdade» de Santana"
  5. https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/jorge-sampaio-anuncia-a-dissolucao-do-parlamento_v853585 "Jorge Sampaio anuncia a dissolução do Parlamento "
  6. https://www.publico.pt/2004/11/30/politica/noticia/jorge-sampaio-vai-dissolver-assembleia-da-republica-1209724 "Jorge Sampaio vai dissolver Assembleia da República "
  7. https://www.cmjornal.pt/politica/detalhe/a-bomba-atomica-de-sampaio "A bomba atómica de Sampaio"
  8. https://www.publico.pt/2004/12/22/politica/noticia/jorge-sampaio-assinou-hoje-decreto-de-dissolucao-do-parlamento-1211455 "Jorge Sampaio assinou hoje decreto de dissolução do Parlamento "
  9. https://www.jn.pt/arquivo/2004/durao-barroso-demite-se-oficialmente-449097.html "Durão Barroso demite-se oficialmente"
  10. https://www.publico.pt/2004/06/30/politica/noticia/santana-lopes-considera-legitima-eleicao-pelo-conselho-nacional-do-psd-1198008/amp "Santana Lopes considera legítima eleição pelo Conselho Nacional do PSD "
  11. https://www.publico.pt/2004/07/11/politica/noticia/santana-lopes-indigitado-pelo-psd-para-primeiroministro-1198845 "Santana Lopes indigitado pelo PSD para primeiro-ministro"
  12. https://www.publico.pt/2004/07/17/politica/noticia/um-governo-de-amigos-politicos-e-estreantes-1199229 "Um Governo de amigos, políticos e estreantes "
  13. https://www.publico.pt/2004/07/09/politica/noticia/ferro-rodrigues-demitese-da-lideranca-do-ps-1198763 "Ferro Rodrigues demite-se da liderança do PS "
  14. https://as.ps.pt/pdf/2004/as1225.pdf "DEBATER AS IDEIAS ESCOLHER OS PROTAGONISTAS"
  15. https://arquivos.rtp.pt/conteudos/socrates-eleito-secretario-geral-do-ps/ "Sócrates eleito Secretário Geral do PS"
  16. https://www.publico.pt/2004/10/05/politica/noticia/carlos-carvalhas-abandona-lideranca-do-pcp-1205166 "Carlos Carvalhas abandona liderança do PCP"
  17. https://www.publico.pt/2004/11/28/politica/noticia/pcp-jeronimo-de-sousa-eleito-secretariogeral-1209508 "PCP: Jerónimo de Sousa eleito secretário-geral"
  18. Web site: Constitution of the Portuguese Republic. 2019-12-29. https://web.archive.org/web/20160303222446/http://www.en.parlamento.pt/Legislation/CRP/Constitution7th.pdf. 2016-03-03. dead.
  19. Web site: Effective threshold in electoral systems . Trinity College, Dublin . 2015-10-21.
  20. Gallaher, Michael (1992). "Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities"
  21. Web site: Mapa Oficial n.º 5-A/2004. CNE - Comissão Nacional de Eleições - DR I Série-A, nº 301, 27 de Dezembro de 2004. 2 December 2020.
  22. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2005 – PSD. pt. EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  23. News: PS recusa proposta de debate entre José Sócrates e Santana Lopes. TVI. pt . 11 May 2020.
  24. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2005 – CDS. pt . EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  25. News: Documents. pt . PCP . 11 May 2020.
  26. News: ELEIÇÕES LEGISLATIVAS DE 2005 – BE . pt . EPHEMERA . 11 May 2020.
  27. News: 18 January 2005 . Televisões apostam nos debates políticos . pt . Correio da Manhã . 11 May 2020.
  28. News: 21 January 2005 . Portas e Louçã travaram debate aceso a propósito do aborto e da banca . pt . Público . 11 May 2020.
  29. News: 3 February 2005 . Debate inovador ao estilo americano . pt . Diário de Notícias . 11 May 2020.
  30. News: 2005 . DEBATE: LEGISLATIVAS 2005 . pt . RTP1 . 11 May 2020.
  31. News: 20 February 2005 . 21,93 por cento dos eleitores votaram até ao meio-dia . pt . RTP . 8 June 2023.
  32. News: 17 March 2002 . Votaram 18 por cento dos eleitores até ao meio-dia. pt . Público . 8 June 2023.
  33. News: 20 February 2005 . 00, mais de metade dos eleitores já tinha votado . pt . RTP . 8 June 2023.
  34. News: 17 March 2002 . Afluência às urnas ultrapassa 45 por cento às 16h00 . pt . Público . 8 June 2023.