2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election explained

Election Name:2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Country:North Rhine-Westphalia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2010 North Rhine-Westphalia state election
Next Year:2010
Seats For Election:All 187 seats in the Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia, including 6 overhang and leveling seats
Majority Seats:94
Election Date:22 May 2005
Turnout:8,333,363 (63.0% 6.3pp)
Candidate1:Jürgen Rüttgers
Party1:Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Last Election1:88 seats, 37.0%
Seats1:89
Seat Change1: 1
Popular Vote1:3,696,506
Percentage1:44.8%
Swing1: 7.8pp
Candidate2:Peer Steinbrück
Party2:Social Democratic Party of Germany
Last Election2:102 seats, 42.8%
Seats2:74
Seat Change2: 28
Popular Vote2:3,058,988
Percentage2:37.1%
Swing2: 5.7pp
Candidate4:Bärbel Höhn
Party4:Alliance 90/The Greens
Last Election4:17 seats, 7.1%
Seats4:12
Seat Change4: 5
Popular Vote4:509,293
Percentage4:6.2%
Swing4: 0.9pp
Candidate5:Ingo Wolf
Party5:Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Last Election5:24 seats, 9.8%
Seats5:12
Seat Change5: 12
Popular Vote5:508,266
Percentage5:6.2%
Swing5: 3.6pp
Map Size:400px
Government
Before Election:Steinbrück cabinet
Before Party:SPD–Green
Posttitle:Government after election
After Election:Rüttgers cabinet
After Party:CDUFDP

The 2005 North Rhine-Westphalia state election was held on 22 May 2005 to elect the 14th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia. The outgoing government was a coalition of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and The Greens led by Minister-President Peer Steinbrück.

The result was a landslide defeat for the SPD, as the party suffered its worst result in 50 years at 37% and was ousted from government for the first time since 1966. The opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) under Jürgen Rüttgers won a commanding victory with 45% of votes and came just short of a majority in the Landtag. The Greens also suffered losses, as did the Free Democratic Party (FDP), with both finishing on 6.2%.[1] The CDU subsequently formed a coalition with the FDP, and Rüttgers was elected Minister-President by the Landtag on 22 June.

The result had important ramifications outside North Rhine-Westphalia: such a crushing defeat for the SPD in a stronghold state was viewed as an indication of unpopularity of the federal government led by Gerhard Schröder. On the evening of the election, Schröder announced he would seek an early federal election.

Electoral system

The Landtag was elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 128 members were elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting, and 53 then allocated using compensatory proportional representation. A single ballot was used for both. The minimum size of the Landtag was 181 members, but if overhang seats were present, proportional leveling seats were added to ensure proportionality. Since the previous election in 2000, an electoral reform had been passed which reduced the number of single-member constituencies by 23 and the overall size of the Landtag by 20 members. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold are ineligible to receive seats.

Background

See main article: 2000 North Rhine-Westphalia state election. In the previous election held on 14 May 2000, the SPD suffered losses and slid to 43% of the vote, while the CDU recorded another poor performance with 37%. The Greens also declined to 7% while the FDP recovered to 10% and re-entered the Landtag. The outgoing SPD–Green government retained a reduced majority and was renewed for a second term.

In November 2002, Minister-President Wolfgang Clement resigned to join the second Schröder cabinet as minister for economics and labour. He was succeeded by state finance minister Peer Steinbrück, who continued the coalition with the Greens.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 13th Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia.

NameIdeologyLead
candidate
2000 result
Votes (%)Seats
bgcolor= SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Social democracyPeer Steinbrück42.8%
bgcolor= CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christian democracyJürgen Rüttgers37.0%
bgcolor= FDPFree Democratic Party
Classical liberalismIngo Wolf9.8%
bgcolor= GRÜNEAlliance 90/The Greens
Green politicsBärbel Höhn7.1%

A total of 22 parties and lists ran in the election, as did 17 independent candidates. A total of 1,343 candidates stood for election, of which 273 (20.3%) were women. Only the four parliamentary parties as well as The Republicans and Labour and Social Justice ran candidates in all 128 constituencies. Due to the single-vote system, the number of constituencies in which each party stood determined how much of the electorate they were able to reach, and thus how many votes they could gather.

Campaign

Peer Steinbrück, who had been Minister-President for two and a half years by the time of the election, stood as lead candidate for the SPD. As in 2000, the CDU nominated state chairman Jürgen Rüttgers. Environment minister Bärbel Höhn led the Greens for a fourth time, and the FDP put forward Landtag group leader Ingo Wolf. The SPD and Greens aimed to continue their coalition, while the CDU and FDP sought to oust them with a coalition of their own. Polls showed the two blocs neck and neck at the start of the year, but the CDU and FDP established a strong lead by the start of March. Minister-President Peer Steinbrück remained popular and led Rüttgers in terms of personal polling; the SPD relied heavily on his personal image and placed less emphasis on the party brand, which was dragged down by federal issues The SPD also faced a challenge from the left in the form of WASG, a party founded by trade unionists and disgruntled SPD members opposed to the federal government's Agenda 2010. Important topics in the campaign were coal mining subsidies, wind energy, education, and the high unemployment rate.

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUFDPGrüneWASGOthersLead
2005 state electiondata-sort-value="2005-05-22"22 May 200537.144.86.26.22.23.57.7
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-05-19"18 May 20051,32636437777
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-05-15"12–13 May 20051,00037437.57.556
Infasdata-sort-value="2005-05-13"10–12 May 200575036438767
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2005-05-13"9–12 May 20051,06235447959
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-05-12"10–11 May 20051,000374378236
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-05-11"26 Apr–6 May 20051,0173445772511
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-05-04"2–3 May 20051,010354578510
Emniddata-sort-value="2005-05-03"3 May 2005?3444792410
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-05-01"25–29 Apr 20051,1093545772410
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-05-01"26–28 Apr 20051,000344579511
Emniddata-sort-value="2005-04-27"26 Apr 20051,0003445610511
Emniddata-sort-value="2005-04-22"29 Mar–18 Apr 20051,053354569510
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-04-17"12–14 Apr 20051,000354578510
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2005-04-08"5–7 Apr 20051,039364668410
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-04-07"4–5 Apr 20051,000344579511
Emniddata-sort-value="2005-04-07"24 Mar–3 Apr 20051,063354579410
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-04-06"30 Mar–5 Apr 20051,00936455859
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-03-20"15–17 Mar 20051,0003542710157
Emniddata-sort-value="2005-03-18"2–14 Mar 20051,058354371058
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-03-04"1–3 Mar 20051,00035437968
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-03-02"21 Feb–1 Mar 20051,01236427966
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-02-13"9–10 Feb 20051,00037397982
Forsadata-sort-value="2005-01-13"10–12 Jan 20051,3023939796data-sort-value="0"Tie
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2005-01-09"4–6 Jan 20051,010384071052
Emniddata-sort-value="2004-12-03"3 Dec 20041,000334081367
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-12-02"2 Dec 2004?363981163
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-11-05"29 Oct–4 Nov 20041,075364081154
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-09-19"13–15 Sep 20041,0003043713713
Emniddata-sort-value="2004-09-12"8–9 Sep 20041,0003043711913
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-08-29"24–26 Aug 20041,00032427123410
Emniddata-sort-value="2004-08-13"9 Aug 20041,0002844812816
Psephosdata-sort-value="2004-06-06"31 May–4 Jun 20041,0003347610414
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2004-04-24"24 Apr 2004?2949512520
Psephosdata-sort-value="2004-04-18"18 Apr 20041,003344778413
dimapdata-sort-value="2004-03-12"2–8 Mar 20041,0073248610416
dimapdata-sort-value="2004-02-01"20–25 Jan 20041,001324889316
dimapdata-sort-value="2004-01-19"19 Jan 2004?334878415
Psephosdata-sort-value="2003-11-02"2 Nov 2003?3147710516
dimapdata-sort-value="2003-10-08"30 Sep–2 Oct 20031,0503447610313
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2003-07-02"1 Jul 20031,0003347710314
Emniddata-sort-value="2003-06-13"13 Jun 2003?364561039
Forsadata-sort-value="2003-06-03"26–30 May 20031,50837456938
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2003-05-28"26–27 May 20031,0003345811312
dimapdata-sort-value="2003-05-19"19 May 20031,005324879416
dimapdata-sort-value="2003-03-25"11–14 Mar 20031,0003348610315
Psephosdata-sort-value="2003-02-09"9 Feb 20031,005334681037
Emniddata-sort-value="2003-01-20"9–14 Jan 20031,00036456949
Psephosdata-sort-value="2002-11-10"10 Nov 2002?39438734
Psephosdata-sort-value="2002-04-15"15 Apr 2002?363812862
Psephosdata-sort-value="2002-01-20"20 Jan 2002?394110642
Psephosdata-sort-value="2001-09-30"30 Sep 2001?433810635
Psephosdata-sort-value="2001-05-13"13 May 2001?443511739
Psephosdata-sort-value="2001-01-14"14 Jan 2001?41389843
2000 state electiondata-sort-value="2000-05-14"14 May 200042.837.09.87.13.35.8

Aftermath

Immediate coverage of the election was overwhelmed by its impact on federal politics: only half an hour after the polls closed, first SPD chairman Franz Müntefering and then Chancellor Gerhard Schröder announced the government's intention to seek an early dissolution of the Bundestag. A federal election had originally not been due until September of 2006, but Schröder and Müntefering felt the need for a renewed mandate for the government's agenda in light of a string of defeats on the state level, of which North Rhine-Westphalia was the most significant as it was a longtime stronghold of the SPD. The result also marked the defeat of the last incumbent SPD-Green state government.[1] This led to a knock-on effect as Schröder quickly brought and deliberately lost a motion of confidence in the Bundestag and subsequently dissolved it. With the election looming, parties were forced to accelerate the selection and announcement of candidates; Angela Merkel was announced as the CDU/CSU's Chancellor candidate just a week after the election in North Rhine-Westphalia.[2] These developments greatly overshadowed the state election and its local consequences, which receded into the background of coverage.

Polling conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen reported that the poor economic situation, unpopular federal government, and weak perception of the state government were the most decisive factors in the outcome. On the key issue of unemployment, voters trusted the CDU much more than the SPD.[1]

Government formation

The CDU and FDP quickly began negotiations for a coalition government. The former were led by Jürgen Rüttgers, while the FDP were led by lead candidate Ingo Wolf and state chairman Andreas Pinkwart. The draft coalition agreement was presented less than a month after the election on 17 June, and quickly ratified almost unanimously by both parties.

The new Landtag was inaugurated on 8 June, and Regina van Dinther was elected

President. Jürgen Rüttgers was elected Minister-President two weeks later on the 22nd, winning 99 votes in favour to 87 against. His cabinet took office on 24 June.[3]

Notes

  1. Web site: SPD voted out, CDU triumphs. 22 May 2005. de. Der Spiegel.
  2. Web site: Merkel Chosen as Chancellor Candidate. 30 May 2005. Deutsche Welle.
  3. Web site: Rüttgers is Minister-President in NRW. 22 June 2005. de. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

External links