2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Country:Wyoming
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Wyoming
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:167,629
Percentage1:68.86%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:70,776
Percentage2:29.07%
Map Size:280px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:104.7% (of registered voters)
64.1% (of voting age population)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Wyoming was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 39.8% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. This was based on pre-election polling, the fact that the last Democrat to win here was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, the presence of Wyoming native Dick Cheney on the ticket, and how Bush carried this state in 2000 with almost 68% of the vote. On election day Bush won every county with over 65% except for Teton County, which Kerry won with 53% and Albany County, which Bush won with 54% of the vote. Bush thus became the first ever Republican to win the White House without carrying Teton County.

With 68.86% of the popular vote, Wyoming would prove to be Bush's second strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah.[1]

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Associated Press
CNN
Cook Political Report
Newsweek
New York Times
Rasmussen Reports
Research 2000
Washington Post
Washington Times
Zogby International
Washington Dispatch

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was conducted. It showed Bush leading Kerry 65% to 29%.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $531,380.[4] Kerry raised $466,535.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6] [7]

Analysis

Wyoming is a Republican bastion. The last Democrat to win a senate election was Gale W. McGee in 1970. The last Democrat to win the at-large seat was Teno Roncalio in 1978. The last time the Democrats controlled the Wyoming House of Representatives was 1966. The last time Democrats controlled the Wyoming Senate was 1938. The state, however, did elect Democratic governors from 1974 to 2010 with only an eight-year interruption of Jim Geringer's tenure from 1995 to 2003.

In presidential elections, Wyoming is one of the most reliable red states in the country. The last Democrat to carry the state, or even crack the 40% mark, was LBJ in 1964, and before that was Harry S. Truman in 1948. Since 1968, every Republican carried this state by a double-digit margin of victory, except in 1992. As far as popular vote percentage, the 2004 results were the third best performance by the Republican party since 1964, behind only Richard Nixon (69.0%) in 1972 and Ronald Reagan (70.5%) in 1984. With regards to the margin of victory, the 2004 election (at 39.8%) was also the third best performance, behind only George W. Bush (40.1%) in 2000 and Ronald Reagan (42.3%) in 1984.

CNN exit polls showed 72% of the state approved of Bush, and 69% approved of his decision to go to war.[8]

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming[9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (Inc.)Dick Cheney (incumbent)167,62968.86%3
DemocraticJohn KerryJohn Edwards70,77629.07%0
IndependentRalph NaderPeter Camejo2,7411.13%0
LibertarianMichael BadnarikRichard Campagna1,1710.48%0
IndependentMichael PeroutkaChuck Baldwin6310.26%0
Write Ins4800.20%0
Totals243,428100.00%3
Voter turnout (Voting age population)64.1%

By county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%
Albany9,00654.17%7,11742.81%5013.01%1,88911.36%16,624
Big Horn4,23280.11%96018.17%911.72%3,27261.94%5,283
Campbell12,41582.22%2,46416.32%2201.46%9,95165.90%15,099
Carbon4,75867.23%2,15830.49%1612.27%2,60036.74%7,077
Converse4,44777.68%1,18420.68%941.64%3,26357.00%5,725
Crook2,83683.51%50114.75%591.74%2,33568.76%3,396
Fremont11,42966.85%5,33831.22%3291.92%6,09135.63%17,096
Goshen4,11471.19%1,56627.10%991.71%2,54844.09%5,779
Hot Springs1,81273.06%62325.12%451.81%1,18947.94%2,480
Johnson3,23180.96%67616.94%842.10%2,55564.02%3,991
Laramie25,95165.07%13,17133.03%7571.90%12,78032.04%39,879
Lincoln6,42381.16%1,36417.24%1271.60%5,05963.92%7,914
Natrona21,51267.08%9,86330.76%6932.16%11,64936.32%32,068
Niobrara1,06480.97%23017.50%201.52%83463.47%1,314
Park10,91776.71%3,00721.13%3072.16%7,91055.58%14,231
Platte3,14968.85%1,32829.03%972.12%1,82139.82%4,574
Sheridan9,68969.06%4,06628.98%2741.95%5,62340.08%14,029
Sublette2,84777.98%73019.99%742.03%2,11757.99%3,651
Sweetwater10,65365.47%5,20832.01%4112.53%5,44533.46%16,272
Teton5,12445.11%5,97252.58%2632.32%-848-7.47%11,359
Uinta6,08175.25%1,81522.46%1852.29%4,26652.79%8,081
Washakie3,20077.78%85520.78%591.43%2,34557.00%4,114
Weston2,73980.75%58017.10%732.15%2,15963.65%3,392
Total167,62968.86%70,77629.07%5,0232.06%96,85339.79%243,428

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated three electors because it has one congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of three electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all three electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[10]

  1. Linda Barker
  2. Jack Van Mark
  3. Mike Baker

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2004 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
  2. Web site: Archived copy . dcpoliticalreport.com . 17 January 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW . 21 November 2010 . dead.
  3. Web site: Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections . 2009-10-23 . https://web.archive.org/web/20081128095535/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=56 . 2008-11-28 . dead .
  4. Web site: George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President. www.campaignmoney.com.
  5. Web site: John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President. www.campaignmoney.com.
  6. Web site: CNN.com Specials. www.cnn.com.
  7. Web site: CNN.com Specials. www.cnn.com.
  8. Web site: CNN.com Election 2004. www.cnn.com.
  9. Web site: CNN.com Election 2004. www.cnn.com.
  10. Web site: Wyoming Secretary of State . 2009-10-23 . https://web.archive.org/web/20081130012205/http://soswy.state.wy.us/election/2004/elector.htm . 2008-11-30 . dead .