2004 United States presidential election in Utah explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Utah
Country:Utah
Flag Year:1922
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Utah
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Utah
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:5
Popular Vote1:663,742
Percentage1:71.54%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:241,199
Percentage2:26.00%
Map Size:250px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:72.6% (of registered voters)
57.7% (of voting age population)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 2, 2004. It was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Utah was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 45.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It is a strongly Republican state and has supported the party's nominee in every presidential election since 1968. With 71.54 percent of the popular vote, Utah was Bush's strongest state in the 2004 election.[1]

This was the first of four instances in which a presidential candidate gained over 70% of a state's vote after Ronald Reagan's 1984 landslide. The others are Mitt Romney in Utah in 2012 and Barack Obama in Hawaii in 2008 and 2012. These last three all involved a candidate with a close tie to the state: Barack Obama was born in Hawaii, and Mitt Romney, as the first Mormon on a major-party presidential ticket, was popular in Mormon-majority Utah and would later represent the state in the United States Senate.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
Research 2000
Zogby International
The Washington PostWashington Post
Washington Dispatch
Washington Times
The New York Times
CNN
Newsweek
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

The final three polls averaged Bush with 67 percent to Kerry with 25 percent.[3]

Fundraising

Bush raised $561,645.[4] Kerry raised $262,031.[5]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[6] [7]

Analysis

Republicans dominate Utah state politics because of the very high Mormon population that accounts for almost seventy percent of the residents throughout the state. Mormons have been known for having very conservative values. While every county voted for Bush, areas such as Summit County (ski resort), Moab (becoming an outpost for environmental activists), Carbon County (largely blue collar), Salt Lake City (urban area with some diversity) and San Juan County (economically distressed and mostly Native American) did give a somewhat greater proportion of their votes to Kerry. However, other areas were uniformly Republican in voting. Utah County's (home of Provo and Brigham Young University) Republican vote (86%) was by far the largest percentage of any county its size in America.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Utah[8]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)663,74271.54%5
DemocraticJohn Kerry241,19926.00%0
UnaffiliatedRalph Nader11,3051.22%0
Constitution PartyMichael Peroutka6,8410.74%0
Libertarian PartyMichael Badnarik3,3750.36%0
Personal Choice PartyCharles Jay9460.10%0
Socialist Workers PartyRoger Calero3930.04%0
Green PartyDavid Cobb390.00%0
Write Ins40.00%0
Totals927,844100.00%5
Voter turnout (Voting age population)57.7%

Results by county

CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Ralph Nader[9]
Unaffiliated
Michael Peroutka
Constitution
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%%%
Beaver2,02379.52%49319.38%120.47%90.35%70.28%1,53060.14%2,544
Box Elder15,75185.75%2,24412.22%1450.79%1440.78%840.46%13,50773.53%18,368
Cache32,48681.76%6,37516.05%4131.04%2740.69%1830.46%26,11165.71%39,731
Carbon4,95058.18%3,41540.14%830.98%220.26%380.45%1,53518.04%8,508
Daggett38076.15%10821.64%61.20%30.60%20.20%27254.51%499
Davis86,18778.88%20,89319.12%1,0550.97%6950.64%4380.41%65,29459.76%109,268
Duchesne4,74285.35%73813.28%270.49%320.58%170.31%4,00472.07%5,556
Emery3,78180.83%83117.76%230.49%290.62%140.30%2,95063.07%4,678
Garfield1,84885.48%26412.21%221.02%160.74%120.56%1,58473.27%2,162
Grand2,13051.14%1,85844.61%1182.83%200.48%390.94%2726.53%4,165
Iron12,81582.97%2,26714.68%1110.72%1691.09%840.54%10,54868.29%15,446
Juab2,68178.46%60517.71%200.59%982.87%130.38%2,07660.75%3,417
Kane2,41479.12%57618.88%250.82%190.62%170.55%1,83860.24%3,051
Millard4,08483.74%62612.84%280.57%1182.42%210.43%3,45870.90%4,877
Morgan3,30185.94%47212.29%250.65%240.62%190.49%2,82973.65%3,841
Piute64683.57%12315.91%30.39%10.13%00.00%52367.66%773
Rich92288.91%10910.51%50.48%10.10%00.00%81378.40%1,037
Salt Lake215,72859.57%135,94937.54%6,0251.66%2,1990.61%2,2370.62%79,77922.03%362,138
San Juan2,97160.02%1,90638.51%300.61%240.48%190.38%1,06521.51%4,950
Sanpete7,00482.33%1,18913.98%580.68%2172.55%390.46%5,81568.35%8,507
Sevier6,59786.34%92012.04%370.48%600.79%270.35%5,67774.30%7,641
Summit7,93651.83%6,97745.57%2651.73%360.24%980.64%9596.26%15,312
Tooele12,18173.10%4,13024.78%1500.90%1110.67%920.55%8,05148.32%16,664
Uintah8,51885.55%1,26612.71%420.42%990.99%320.32%7,25272.84%9,957
Utah128,26985.99%17,35711.64%1,2890.86%1,6211.09%6370.43%110,91274.35%149,173
Wasatch5,50373.26%1,85424.68%600.80%650.87%300.40%3,64948.58%7,512
Washington35,63380.95%7,51317.07%3010.68%3620.82%2090.47%28,12063.88%44,018
Wayne1,06278.09%27920.51%100.74%50.37%40.29%78357.58%1,360
Weber51,19970.43%19,86227.32%9171.26%3680.51%3450.47%31,33743.11%72,691
Totals663,74271.54%241,19926.00%11,3051.22%6,8410.74%4,7570.51%422,54345.54%927,844

Results by congressional district

Bush won all 3 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
73%25%Rob Bishop
66%31%Jim Matheson
77%20%

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Utah is allocated five electors because it has three congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of five electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins a plurality of votes in the state is awarded all five electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Olene S. Walker
  2. Gayle McKeachnie
  3. Lewis K. Billings
  4. Joseph A. Cannon
  5. Scott F. Simpson

See also

References

Notes and References

  1. Web site: 2004 Presidential Election Statistics. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. 2018-03-05.
  2. Web site: Archived copy . dcpoliticalreport.com . 6 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW . 21 November 2010 . dead.
  3. Web site: Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20060602101048/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=49 . 2006-06-02 .
  4. Web site: George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President.
  5. Web site: John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President.
  6. Web site: CNN.com Specials. .
  7. Web site: CNN.com Specials. .
  8. Web site: 2004 Presidential General Election Results – Utah .
  9. Our Campaigns; UT US Presidential Election November 02 2004