2004 United States presidential election in Montana explained

See main article: 2004 United States presidential election.

Election Name:2004 United States presidential election in Montana
Country:Montana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2000 United States presidential election in Montana
Previous Year:2000
Next Election:2008 United States presidential election in Montana
Next Year:2008
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee1:George W. Bush
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:Texas
Running Mate1:Dick Cheney
Electoral Vote1:3
Popular Vote1:266,063
Percentage1:59.07%
Nominee2:John Kerry
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Massachusetts
Running Mate2:John Edwards
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:173,710
Percentage2:38.56%
Map Size:350px
President
Before Election:George W. Bush
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:George W. Bush
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:70.6% (of registered voters)
64.2% (of voting age population)

The 2004 United States presidential election in Montana took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Montana was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 20.5% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

!Source!Ranking
D.C. Political Report
Cook Political Report
Research 2000
Zogby International
The Washington PostWashington Post
Washington Dispatch
Washington Times
The New York Times
CNN
Newsweek
Associated Press
Rasmussen Reports

Polling

Only a few pre-election polls were taken here. Bush won each one of them with a double-digit margin and with at least 54% of the vote. The final 3 polling average showed him leading 55% to 35%.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $385,635.[3] Kerry raised $145,679.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[5] [6]

Analysis

Bush's key to victory was winning the highly populated Yellowstone County with 60% along with the majority of other counties. Kerry only won six counties in the state, including swinging Missoula County and his best performance in the Democratic stronghold of Deer Lodge County.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Montana[7]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)266,06359.07%3
DemocraticJohn Kerry173,710 38.56%0
IndependentRalph Nader6,1681.37%0
ConstitutionMichael Peroutka1,7640.39%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik1,7330.38%0
GreenDavid Cobb9960.22%0
Write Ins.-110.00%0
Totals450,445100.00%6
Voter turnout (Voting age population)64.2%

By county

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

Electors

See main article: List of 2004 United States presidential electors.

Technically the voters of Montana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Montana is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[8]

  1. Jack Galt
  2. Thelma Baker
  3. John Brenden

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Archived copy . dcpoliticalreport.com . 6 June 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20101121204958/http://dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW . 21 November 2010 . dead.
  2. Web site: Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Uselectionatlas.org. 17 February 2022.
  3. Web site: George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President. Campaignmoney.com. 17 February 2022.
  4. Web site: John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President. Campaignmoney.com. 17 February 2022.
  5. Web site: Specials . Cnn.com . 2022-02-16.
  6. Web site: Specials . Cnn.com . 2022-02-16.
  7. Web site: 2004 Presidential General Election Results - Montana. Uselectionatlas.org. 17 February 2022.
  8. Web site: Not Found . 2009-10-10 . https://web.archive.org/web/20060425193747/http://www.metnet.state.mt.us/newslinks/81C0F478-3B9ACA00-01B681B4 . 2006-04-25 . dead .