2004 United States Senate election in Florida explained

Election Name:2004 United States Senate election in Florida
Country:Florida
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1998 United States Senate election in Florida
Previous Year:1998
Next Election:2010 United States Senate election in Florida
Next Year:2010
Election Date:November 2, 2004
Image1:Mel Martinez.jpg
Nominee1:Mel Martínez
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:3,672,864
Percentage1:49.43%
Nominee2:Betty Castor
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:3,590,201
Percentage2:48.32%
Map Size:300px
U.S. Senator
Before Election:Bob Graham
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Mel Martínez
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2004 United States Senate election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Graham decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Graham made an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. The primary elections were held on August 31, 2004. Republican Mel Martínez won the open seat with 49.4% of the vote to Democratic nominee Betty Castor's 48.3%. With a margin of 1.1%, this election was the closest race of the 2004 Senate election cycle. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Florida for this seat since 1974.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary

Martínez was supported by the Bush Administration.

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Polling

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		class=small Sample
size		Margin of
error		Betty
Castor (D)		Mel
Martínez (R)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reportsalign= center August 24align= center 500align= center ± 4.5%align= center 44%align= center 44%
Survey USAalign= center September 12align= center 602align= center ± 4.1%align= center 49%align= center 45%align= center 5%align= center 1%
Quinnipiac[2] align= center September 18–21, 2004align= center 819align= center ± 3.4 align= center 43%align= center 42%align= center 0%align= center 14%
Gallupalign= center September 18align= center 674align= center ± 4.0%align= center 51%align= center 45%align= center 0%align= center 4%
Survey USAalign= center October 1align= center 706align= center ± 3.8%align= center 46%align= center 50%align= center 3%align= center 1%
Quinnipiac[3] align= center October 1–5, 2004align= center 717align= center ± 3.7align= center 47% align= center 48%align= center 0%align= center 5%
Mason-Dixonalign= center October 4align= center 625align= center ± 4.0%align= center 41%align= center 46%align= center 1%align= center 12%
UNFalign= center October 10align= center 641align= center ± 4.0%align= center 38%align= center 35%align= center 15%align= center 12%
Mason-Dixonalign= center October 14align= center 625align= center ± 4.0%align= center 45%align= center 45%align= center 1%align= center 9%
Survey USAalign= center October 15align= center 596align= center ± 4.1%align= center 47%align= center 49%align= center 3%align= center 1%
Quinnipiac[4] align= center October 15–19, 2004align= center 808align= center ± 3.5align= center 47%align= center 47%align= center 0%align= center 5%
Research 2000align= center October 18align= center 48%align= center 48%align= center 4%align= center 4%
Miami HeraldOctober 19800± 3.5%44%44%
Survey USAalign= center October 22align= center 741align= center ± 3.7%align= center 50%align= center 47%
Insider Advantagealign= center October 22align= center 400align= center ± 5.0%align= center 44%align= center 46%
Quinnipiac[5] align= center October 22–26, 2004align= center 944align= center ± 3.2align= center 46%align= center 49%align= center 0%align= center 5%
The New York Timesalign= center October 23align= center 802align= center ± 3.0%align= center 47%align= center 44%align= center 0%align= center 10%
Mason Dixonalign= center October 26align= center 625align= center ± 4.0%align= center 46%align= center 47%align= center 6%
CNN/USA Today/Gallupalign= center October 28align= center 1138align= center ± 4.0%align= center 48%align= center 46%align= center 5%
Quinnipiac Universityalign= center October 31align= center 1098align= center ± 3.0%align= center 44%align= center 49%align= center 6%
Zogby Internationalalign= center October 31align= center 600align= center ± 4.0%align= center 46%align= center 46%align= center 0%align= center 7%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

External links

Debates

Official campaign websites (archived)
Democrats

Republicans

Notes and References

  1. Web site: The Final Predictions . Sabato's Crystal Ball . May 2, 2021.
  2. https://web.archive.org/web/20140520021020/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=405 Quinnipiac
  3. https://web.archive.org/web/20140520055043/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=409 Quinnipiac
  4. https://web.archive.org/web/20140520042646/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=485 Quinnipiac
  5. https://web.archive.org/web/20140520040528/http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=488 Quinnipiac

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