2004 Brandenburg state election explained

Election Name:2004 Brandenburg state election
Country:Brandenburg
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1999 Brandenburg state election
Previous Year:1999
Next Election:2009 Brandenburg state election
Next Year:2009
Seats For Election:All 88 seats in the Landtag of Brandenburg
Majority Seats:45
Election Date:19 September 2004
Turnout:1,168,909 (56.4%)
2.1%
Leader1:Matthias Platzeck
Party1:Social Democratic Party of Germany
Leaders Seat1:Potsdam II
Last Election1:37 seats, 39.3%
Seats1:33
Popular Vote1:372,942
Seat Change1: 4
Percentage1:31.9%
Swing1: 7.4%
Leader2:Dagmar Enkelmann
Party2:Party of Democratic Socialism (Germany)
Leaders Seat2:Barnim II
Last Election2:22 seats, 23.3%
Seats2:29
Popular Vote2:326,801
Seat Change2: 7
Percentage2:28.0%
Swing2: 4.7%
Image4:Joerg Schoenbohm 01.jpg
Leader4:Jörg Schönbohm
Party4:Christian Democratic Union (Germany)
Leaders Seat4:State-wide party list
Last Election4:25 seats, 26.5%
Seats4:20
Popular Vote4:227,062
Seat Change4: 5
Percentage4:19.4%
Swing4: 7.1%
Image5: DVU
Leader5:Liane Hesselbarth
Party5:German People's Union
Leaders Seat5:State-wide party list
Last Election5:5 seats, 5.3%
Seats5:6
Popular Vote5:71,041
Seat Change5: 1
Percentage5:6.1%
Swing5: 0.8%
Map Size:300px
Government
Before Election:Platzeck I
Before Party:SPDCDU
Posttitle:Government after election
After Election:Platzeck II
After Party:SPDCDU

The 2004 Brandenburg state election was held on 19 September 2004 to elect the members of the 4th Landtag of Brandenburg. The incumbent government of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) and Christian Democratic Union (CDU) led by Minister-President Matthias Platzeck was returned with a significantly reduced majority. The Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS) moved into second place, although polls prior to the election suggested it would become the largest party. The CDU fell to third place.

Background

The SPD had suffered losses in several state elections before Brandenburg. This was thought to be a consequence of the Agenda 2010 policy, a series of economic liberal economic reforms adopted by the federal SPD government led by Chancellor Gerhard Schröder. Many voters in eastern Germany turned to the Party of Democratic Socialism (PDS), while many in the west later turned to Labour and Social Justice, an SPD splinter party. In state elections, the SPD's growing unpopularity had chiefly benefited the CDU.

In Brandenburg, both Minister-President Matthias Platzeck (SPD) and his partner Jörg Schönbohm (CDU) supported Schröder's reforms. Both PDS and the German People's Union (DVU), which had entered the Landtag in 1999, campaigned in opposition.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 3rd Landtag of Brandenburg.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)1999 result
Votes (%)Seats
bgcolor= SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Social democracyMatthias Platzeck39.3%
bgcolor= CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christian democracyJörg Schönbohm26.5%
bgcolor= PDSParty of Democratic Socialism
Democratic socialismDagmar Enkelmann23.3%
bgcolor= DVUGerman People's Union
German nationalism5.3%

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUPDSDVUGrüneFDPOthersLead
2004 state electiondata-sort-value="2004-09-19"19 Sep 200431.919.428.06.13.63.37.73.9
Forschungsgruppe Wahlendata-sort-value="2004-09-10"6–9 Sep 20041,03429232766542
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-09-09"6–8 Sep 20041,00027243155444
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-09-07"30 Aug–4 Sep 20041,00328233544247
Emniddata-sort-value="2004-09-04"30 Aug–1 Sep 200475129253135432
Infratestdata-sort-value="2004-09-01"August 20041,0002822343.55.5436
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-08-24"16–20 Aug 20041,00927223644349
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-08-11"5–9 Aug 20041,00128262945441
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-08-09"29 Jul–5 Aug 20041,0013327303353
Usumadata-sort-value="2004-07-29"June 20041,0073136225425
Forsadata-sort-value="2004-06-03"May 20041,0003330226363
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2004-03-25"15–19 Mar 20041,0013034205564
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2003-10-22"15–20 Oct 20031,0003432194652
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2003-06-20"9–15 Jun 20031,000343417654data-sort-value="0"Tie
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2003-03-12"6–9 Mar 20031,0003635174531
dimapdata-sort-value="2002-12-15"15 Dec 2002?3436204242
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2002-09-05"28 Aug–1 Sep 20021,00046232063223
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2002-07-05"24–25 Jun 20021,00040292126211
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2002-05-05"24–28 Apr 20021,0003530242545
Forsadata-sort-value="2002-03-28"March 20021,0143728243359
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2001-10-19"9–14 Oct 20011,00044262123418
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2001-04-30"April 2001?45252123420
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2000-09-06"28 Aug–2 Sep 20001,00044252133419
Infratest dimapdata-sort-value="2000-09-06"25–29 Apr 20001,000422623331216
1999 state electiondata-sort-value="1999-09-05"5 Sep 199939.326.523.35.31.91.91.712.7

Sources