2003 United States gubernatorial elections explained

Election Name:2003 United States gubernatorial elections
Country:United States
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2002 United States gubernatorial elections
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2004 United States gubernatorial elections
Next Year:2004
Seats For Election:4 governorships
Election Date:October 4 and 7, and November 6 and 15, 2003
1Blank:Seats up
2Blank:Seats won
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Seats Before1:26
Seats After1:28
Seat Change1: 2
1Data1:1
2Data1:3
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Seats Before2:24
Seats After2:22
Seat Change2: 2
1Data2:3
2Data2:1
Map Size:320px

United States gubernatorial elections were held in four states. Kentucky and Mississippi held their general elections on November 4. Louisiana held the first round of its jungle primary on October 4 and the runoff on November 15. In addition, California held a recall election on October 7.

The Republican Party had a net gain of two seats in 2003, picking up an open seat in Kentucky, removing a Democratic governor in California, and defeating a Democratic governor in Mississippi, while losing an open seat to the Democrats in Louisiana. The election cycle was unusual because every seat that was up for election changed hands. This was the last time a party made net gains in this cycle of gubernatorial elections until 2019.

Election predictions

StateIncumbentLast
race
Sabato
[1]
Result
California (recall)Gray Davis data-sort-value="-47.3" 47.3% D data-sort-value="-48.6" Schwarzenegger
48.6% R
Kentucky data-sort-value="-60.7" 60.7% D data-sort-value="55.0" Fletcher
55.0% R
Louisiana data-sort-value="62.2" 62.2% R data-sort-value="-51.3" Blanco
51.3% D
MississippiRonnie Musgrove data-sort-value="-49.6" 49.6% D data-sort-value="52.6" Haley Barbour
52.6% R

Race Summary

StateIncumbentPartyFirst
elected
ResultCandidates
California
Gray DavisDemocratic1998Incumbent recalled.
New governor elected.
Republican gain.
nowrap
  • Yes 55.4%
  • No 44.6%
KentuckyPaul PattonDemocratic1995Incumbent term-limited.
New governor elected.
Republican gain.
nowrap
LouisianaMike FosterRepublican1995Incumbent term-limited.
New governor elected.
Democratic gain.
nowrap
MississippiRonnie MusgroveDemocratic1999Incumbent lost re-election.
New governor elected.
Republican gain.
nowrap

Closest races

States where the margin of victory was under 5%:

Louisiana, 3.9%

States where the margin of victory was under 10%:

Mississippi, 6.8%

California (recall)

Election Name:2003 California gubernatorial recall election
Country:California
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2002 California gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2002
Next Election:2006 California gubernatorial election
Next Year:2006
Election Date:October 7, 2003
Turnout:61.20%[2] 34.4pp
Module:
Embed:yes
Vote on recall
Question:Shall Gray Davis be recalled (removed) from the office of Governor?
Yes:4976274
No:4007783
Total:9413488
Electorate:15,380,536
Map:File:2003 California gubernatorial recall election referendum results map by county.svg
Mapdivision:County
Module:
Embed:yes
Election Name:Replacement candidates
Type:by-election
Seats For Election:If Davis is recalled, who should replace him as governor?
Ongoing:no
Image1:A. Schwarzenegger (3x4a).jpg
Candidate1:Arnold Schwarzenegger
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:4,206,284
Percentage1:48.6%
Candidate2:Cruz Bustamante
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:2,724,874
Percentage2:31.5%
Image3:Tom McClintock (3x4a).jpg
Candidate3:Tom McClintock
Party3:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote3:1,161,287
Percentage3:13.4%
Turnout:61.20%
Governor
Posttitle:Governor after election
Before Election:Gray Davis
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Arnold Schwarzenegger
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2003 California gubernatorial recall election was a special election permitted under California state law. It resulted in voters replacing incumbent Democratic Governor Gray Davis with Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger. The recall effort spanned the latter half of 2003. Seven of the nine previous governors, including Davis, had faced unsuccessful recall attempts.[3]

After several legal and procedural efforts failed to stop it, California's first-ever gubernatorial recall election was held on October 7, and the results were certified on November 14, 2003, making Davis the first governor recalled in the history of California, and just the second in U.S. history (the first was North Dakota's 1921 recall of Lynn Frazier).[4] California is one of 19 states that allow recalls.[5] Nearly 18 years after the 2003 election, California held a second recall election in 2021; however, that recall was unsuccessful, failing to oust Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom.[6]

Kentucky

Election Name:2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Country:Kentucky
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1999 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1999
Next Election:2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Next Year:2007
Election Date:November 4, 2003
Nominee1:Ernie Fletcher
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:596,284
Percentage1:55.0%
Running Mate1:Steve Pence
Nominee2:Ben Chandler
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:487,159
Percentage2:45.0%
Running Mate2:Charlie Owen
Map Size:300px
Governor
Before Election:Paul E. Patton
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Ernie Fletcher
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2003 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held to elect the Governor of Kentucky on November 4, 2003. Republican candidate Ernie Fletcher defeated Democrat Ben Chandler and became the first Republican governor of Kentucky in 32 years.[7]

Louisiana

Election Name:2003 Louisiana gubernatorial election
Country:Louisiana
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1999 Louisiana gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1999
Election Date:October 4, 2003 (first round)
November 15, 2003 (runoff)
Next Election:2007 Louisiana gubernatorial election
Next Year:2007
Flag Year:1912
1Blank:First round
2Blank:Runoff
Nominee1:Kathleen Blanco
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data1:250,136
18.36%
2Data1:731,358
51.95%
Nominee2:Bobby Jindal
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
1Data2:443,389
32.54%
2Data2:676,484
48.05%
Image3:3x4.svg
Nominee3:Richard Ieyoub
Party3:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data3:223,513
16.4%
2Data3:Eliminated
Nominee4:Buddy Leach
Party4:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data4:187,872
13.79%
2Data4:Eliminated
Image5:3x4.svg
Nominee5:Randy Ewing
Party5:Democratic Party (United States)
1Data5:123,936
9.1%
2Data5:Eliminated
Image6:3x4.svg
Nominee6:Hunt Downer
Party6:Republican Party (United States)
1Data6:84,718
6.22%
2Data6:Eliminated
Governor
Before Election:Mike Foster
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Kathleen Blanco
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2003 Louisiana gubernatorial election was held on November 15, 2003 to elect the Governor of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Foster was not eligible to run for re-election to a third term because of term limits established by the Louisiana Constitution. As of 2023, this is the most recent Louisiana gubernatorial election in which the first round winner did not win the runoff.

Mississippi

Election Name:2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1999 Mississippi gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1999
Next Election:2007 Mississippi gubernatorial election
Next Year:2007
Election Date:November 4, 2003
Nominee1:Haley Barbour
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:470,404
Percentage1:52.59%
Electoral Vote1:76
Nominee2:Ronnie Musgrove
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:409,787
Percentage2:45.81%
Electoral Vote2:46
Map Size:250px
Governor
Before Election:Ronnie Musgrove
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Haley Barbour
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Country:Mississippi
Flag Year:2001

The 2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2003 to elect the governor of the U.S. state of Mississippi. Former Republican National Committee chairman Haley Barbour defeated incumbent Democrat Ronnie Musgrove by a margin of 6.78%.

As of 2023, the election remains the most expensive gubernatorial election in state history, with over $18 million having been spent between Barbour and Musgrove.[8] An additional $5 million was spent by the Republican Governors Association, mostly on television advertising. Barbour's victory in the election made him only the second Republican governor of Mississippi since Reconstruction.[9]

See also

External links

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Labor Day – One Year Out . Sabato's Crystal Ball .
  2. Web site: Statement of Vote . elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov . California Secretary of State . 17 September 2021 . 2003.
  3. Web site: Complete List of Recall Attempts.
  4. Book: Baldassare, Mark . Katz, Cheryl . The Coming Age of Direct Democracy: California's Recall and Beyond . . Lanham, Maryland . 2008 . 11 . 9780742538719 . registration . gray davis lynn frazier. . 2012-05-20.
  5. Web site: Jennie Bowser . Recall of State Officials . Ncsl.org . 2012-10-02 . 2021-02-03 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210203074221/https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/recall-of-state-officials.aspx . dead .
  6. News: White. Jeremy. March 16, 2021. Newsom says California recall likely to qualify, tries to soften Feinstein stance. Politico.
  7. Web site: N.Ky. key to victory for Fletcher . 2008-05-18 . 2003-11-05. The Cincinnati Enquirer.
  8. Web site: Miss. governor race eyed as '04 harbinger - The Boston Globe. archive.boston.com. en. July 14, 2018.
  9. News: Republicans Win Top Posts In Mississippi and Kentucky. May 14, 2008. November 5, 2003. The New York Times. Michael. Janofsky.