2003 Aragonese regional election explained

Election Name:2003 Aragonese regional election
Country:Aragon
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1999 Aragonese regional election
Previous Year:1999
Next Election:2007 Aragonese regional election
Next Year:2007
Seats For Election:All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
Majority Seats:34
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:1,019,644
Turnout:717,457 (70.4%)
5.8 pp
Election Date:25 May 2003
Leader1:Marcelino Iglesias
Party1:Socialists' Party of Aragon
Leader Since1:15 February 1995
Leaders Seat1:Zaragoza
Last Election1:23 seats, 30.8%
Seats1:27
Seat Change1:4
Popular Vote1:270,468
Percentage1:37.9%
Swing1:7.1 pp
Leader2:Gustavo Alcalde
Party2:People's Party of Aragon
Leader Since2:18 May 2001
Leaders Seat2:Zaragoza
Last Election2:28 seats, 38.2%
Seats2:22
Seat Change2:6
Popular Vote2:219,058
Percentage2:30.7%
Swing2:7.5 pp
Leader3:Chesús Bernal
Party3:Chunta Aragonesista
Leader Since3:29 June 1986
Leaders Seat3:Zaragoza
Last Election3:5 seats, 11.0%
Seats3:9
Seat Change3:4
Popular Vote3:97,763
Percentage3:13.7%
Swing3:2.7 pp
Leader4:José Ángel Biel
Party4:Aragonese Party
Leader Since4:2 June 2000
Leaders Seat4:Teruel
Last Election4:10 seats, 13.3%
Seats4:8
Seat Change4:2
Popular Vote4:79,670
Percentage4:11.2%
Swing4:2.1 pp
Leader5:Adolfo Barrena
Party5:United Left of Aragon
Leader Since5:May 2002
Leaders Seat5:Zaragoza
Last Election5:1 seat, 3.9%
Seats5:1
Seat Change5:0
Popular Vote5:21,795
Percentage5:3.1%
Swing5:0.8 pp
Map Size:225px
President
Before Election:Marcelino Iglesias
Before Party:Socialists' Party of Aragon
After Election:Marcelino Iglesias
After Party:Socialists' Party of Aragon

The 2003 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election saw the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which had ruled Aragon since the previous election, becoming the largest party in the Courts for the first time since the 1991 election. The PSOE gains came at the expense of the People's Party (PP), which saw a drop of 7 points on its vote share. The Aragonese Union (CHA) made gains and overtook the Aragonese Party (PAR) as the third largest party in the Courts. For the PAR, this was the fourth consecutive election where it lost ground. United Left (IU) held its single seat, albeit with a slightly reduced vote share.

The PSOE and PAR maintained the coalition administration formed after the previous election. As a result, Marcelino Iglesias was re-elected as President of Aragon.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1] [2]

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 25 May 2003.[1] [2] [4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1] [5]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious result
Votes (%)Seats
PPGustavo AlcaldeConservatism
Christian democracy
38.21%
PSOEMarcelino IglesiasSocial democracy30.81%
PARJosé Ángel BielRegionalism
Centrism
13.25%
CHAChesús BernalAragonese nationalism
Eco-socialism
11.04%
IUAdolfo BarrenaSocialism
Communism
3.86%

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 25 May 2003 Cortes of Aragon election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)270,468 37.94 +7.1327 +4
People's Party (PP)219,058 30.73 –7.4822 –6
Aragonese Union (CHA)97,763 13.71 +2.679 +4
Aragonese Party (PAR)79,670 11.18 –2.078 –2
United Left of Aragon (IU)21,795 3.06 –0.801 ±0
The Greens–SOS Nature (LV–SOS)14,308 0.60 +0.050 ±0
Aragonese Initiative (INAR)1,703 0.24 New0 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV)1,300 0.18 New0 ±0
Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)1,056 0.15 New0 ±0
Republican Left (IR)519 0.07 New0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)330 0.05 –0.100 ±0
Blank ballots14,874 2.09 +0.01
Total712,844 67 ±0
Valid votes712,844 99.36 +0.07
Invalid votes4,613 0.64 –0.07
Votes cast / turnout717,457 70.36 +5.76
Abstentions302,187 29.64 –5.76
Registered voters1,019,644
Sources[15] [16] [17]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPSOEPPCHAPARIU
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Huesca42.4829.7610.0212.322.6
Teruel34.8533.657.6118.233.7
Zaragoza37.41430.51115.769.733.11
Total37.92730.72213.7911.283.11
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Marcelino Iglesias (PSOE)
Ballot →3 July 2003
Required majority →34 out of 67
Absentees
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 8/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón . Organic Law . 8 . . es . 10 August 1982 . 17 September 2017.
  2. Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón . Law . 2 . Boletín Oficial del Estado . es . 12 February 1987 . 17 September 2017.
  3. Web site: Gallagher . Michael . 30 July 2012 . Effective threshold in electoral systems . https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php . dead . 30 July 2017 . Trinity College, Dublin . 22 July 2017.
  4. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . Boletín Oficial del Estado . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  5. Ley Orgánica 5/1996, de 30 de diciembre, de Reforma de la Ley Orgánica 8/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón, modificada por la Ley Orgánica 6/1994, de 24 de marzo, de reforma de dicho Estatuto . Organic Law . 5 . Boletín Oficial del Estado . es . 30 December 1996 . 17 September 2017.
  6. Web site: El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid . es . ABC Sevilla . 25 May 2003 . 19 May 2019 . https://web.archive.org/web/20190525154445/https://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/el-sondeo-de-sigma-dos-determina-una-lucha-codo-a-codo-entre-populares-y-socialistas-en-madrid_158365.html . 25 May 2019 . dead .
  7. Web site: Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE . es . ABC Sevilla . 25 May 2003 . 11 December 2017 . https://web.archive.org/web/20171207192640/http://sevilla.abc.es/hemeroteca/historico-25-05-2003/sevilla/Ultima/sondeo-a-pie-de-urna-de-ipsos-eco-consulting-para-tve_158366.html . 7 December 2017 . dead .
  8. Web site: El PSOE ganará en Aragón e Iglesias podrá repetir si le apoyan PAR o CHA . es . El Periódico de Aragón . 18 May 2003.
  9. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2003. CA de Aragón (Estudio nº 2484. Marzo-Abril 2003) . es . CIS . 17 May 2003.
  10. Web site: La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP . es . La Vanguardia . 18 May 2003.
  11. Web site: Iglesias podrá elegir entre PAR y CHA para un nuevo pacto . es . El Periódico de Aragón . 27 April 2003.
  12. Web site: Instituciones y autonomías, II. CA de Aragón (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002) . es . CIS . 19 November 2002.
  13. Web site: El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas . es . El Mundo . 19 November 2002.
  14. Web site: El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS . es . ABC . 20 November 2002.
  15. Web site: Cortes of Aragon election results, 25 May 2003 . 20 June 2003 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . Electoral Commission of Aragon . 26 September 2017.
  16. Web site: Aragon Electoral Archive. Cortes of Aragon election, 2003. Autonomous Community of Aragon . es . servicios.aragon.es . Government of Aragon . 26 September 2017.
  17. Web site: Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (1983 - 2019) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 26 September 2017.