2002 Massachusetts gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2002 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Country:Massachusetts
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1998 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Previous Year:1998
Next Election:2006 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Next Year:2006
Election Date:November 5, 2002
Turnout:55.29% 4.1 [1]
Image1:File:Mitt Romney's official gubernatorial portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Mitt Romney
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Kerry Healey
Popular Vote1:1,091,988
Percentage1:49.18%
Nominee2:Shannon O'Brien
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Chris Gabrieli
Popular Vote2:985,981
Percentage2:44.40%
Governor
Before Election:Jane Swift (acting)
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Mitt Romney
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 2002 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican acting governor Jane Swift chose not to seek a full term in office. Republican businessman Mitt Romney defeated Democratic Treasurer Shannon O'Brien.

This would be the last time Mitt Romney won this state, as in 2012, he lost the state to Barack Obama by a large margin.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Withdrew

In 2002, Republican lieutenant governor Jane Swift was expected to campaign for the governor's office, and she had said she would in October 2001. Swift had been serving as acting governor after Republican governor Paul Cellucci resigned upon being appointed U.S. Ambassador to Canada.[2] However, Swift was viewed as an unpopular executive, and her administration was plagued by political missteps and personal and ethical controversies.[2] [3] Many Republicans viewed her as a liability and considered her unable to win a general election against a Democrat.[4]

Prominent GOP activists campaigned to persuade businessman Mitt Romney, who had previously run for the U.S. Senate from the state, to run for governor.[5] Romney was coming off a successful stint as head of the Salt Lake Organizing Committee for the Olympic and Paralympic Winter Games of 2002[2] and was also mentioned as a possible candidate for Governor of Utah.[6] Romney had previously indicated in fall 2001 that he would not challenge a sitting Republican in running for the Massachusetts governorship, and thus was in a delicate position.[2] [6] Massachusetts Republican State Committee chair Kerry Healey had flown to Utah to personally assess Romney's intentions.[6]

On March 17, Romney flew to Massachusetts; a Boston Herald poll showed him defeating Swift by a 75 percent to 12 percent margin in a Republican primary.[6] Two days later, Swift declared that she had decided not to seek her party's nomination, citing family reasons and also saying "I believe that this is in the best interest of our state, as it will allow the Republican Party's best chances of holding the governor's office in November."[7] Three hours later, Romney announced his candidacy.[2] Romney was subsequently unopposed in the Republican party primary.

Polling

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Withdrew
Declined

Jim Rappaport, the Republican nominee for United States Senate in 1990 and a political adversary of Jane Swift, was the first Republican to declare his candidacy for lieutenant governor.[13]

In February, Swift named Patrick Guerriero, her deputy chief of staff, as her running mate after multiple others, including Christy Mihos, declined.[14] Guerriero was the nation's first openly gay candidate for lieutenant governor.[15]

After Romney entered the race he selected Kerry Healey, former chairman of the Massachusetts Republican Party, to be his running mate.[16] Shortly after Romney's endorsement of Healey, Guerriero dropped out of the race and gave his support to Healey.[17] Rappaport remained in the race and lost to Healey in the Republican primary.

Results

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Withdrew

The leader in most of the polls conducted was O'Brien, who was a longtime insider with four generations of heritage in the Beacon Hill political establishment.[2] [6] However, she faced criticism for some of the losing investments she had made as state treasurer.[2]

Reich's candidacy attracted considerable media attention, especially due to the 1997 publication of his memoir of working for the Clinton administration, Locked in the Cabinet. Reich had received criticism for embellishing events with invented dialogue, and the book had so angered Bill Clinton that he endorsed Grossman instead.[2]

Of the Democrats running, only Tolman elected to accept Clean Elections funding.[2]

Results

In the September 17, 2002, primary, O'Brien won with 33 percent of the vote; Reich came in second with 25 percent, followed by 24 percent for Birmingham and 18 percent for Tolman (Grossman had dropped out before then).

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Eliminated at convention
Withdrew

Gabrieli was the running mate of Shannon O'Brien while Slattery and Pines were not affiliated with any candidate.

Results

General election

Candidates

Question of Romney's residency

Before the primaries concluded, Democratic officials claimed that Romney was ineligible to run for governor, citing residency issues. The Massachusetts Constitution requires that a gubernatorial candidate be an "inhabitant" for seven consecutive years prior to a run for office.[24]

Romney had attended business and law school at Harvard and spent his entire business career in Massachusetts until being hired to organize the Salt Lake Olympics in 1999. In 1999, Romney had listed himself as a part-time Massachusetts resident,[25] Romney had claimed residency in Utah from 1999 to 2002, during his time as president of the Salt Lake Organizing Committee and received a $54,000 property tax break there. Romney now offered to pay back that exemption.[2] Romney said that he had planned to return to Massachusetts all along.

On June 8, 2002, the Massachusetts Democratic Party filed a complaint with the Massachusetts State Ballot Law Commission, which tended to be lenient in its interpretations of the requirements for residency.[26] At the time the commission was composed of three Republicans, one Democrat and one independent. On June 25, 2002, the commission unanimously ruled that Romney was eligible to run for office,[27] saying that "[Romney] never severed his ties to Massachusetts [and] his testimony was credible in all respects."[6] The ruling was not challenged in court,[28] and Romney accused the Democrats of playing "ridiculous, dirty politics".[6]

Campaign

Romney ran as a political outsider[29] and as an agent of change, saying he would "clean up the mess on Beacon Hill."[6] He said he was "not a partisan Republican" but rather a "moderate" with "progressive" views[30] Romney declared support for faith-based initiatives[2] and campaigned as a pro-choice candidate who would protect a woman's right to an abortion. He rejected the endorsement of Massachusetts Citizens for Life, an anti-abortion organization.

O'Brien claimed Romney was "trying to mask a very conservative set of belief systems". While saying she would not criticize his membership in the LDS Church, she attacked his substantial donations to Brigham Young University, objecting to their bar on expressions of homosexuality.[2] O'Brien came out in support of same-sex marriage.[2]

Supporters of Romney hailed his business record, especially his success with the 2002 Olympics, as that of one who would be able to bring a new era of efficiency into Massachusetts politics.[31] His campaign was the first to use microtargeting techniques, in which small groups of voters were reached with narrowly tailored messaging.[32]

He proposed to reorganize the state government and stressed his ability to obtain federal funds for the state.[33] [34] Romney said he would cut $1 billion out of the $23 billion state budget by eliminating the usual suspects of waste, fraud, and mismanagement while still reducing taxes over a phased period.[6] He also said he was generally against tax increases, but refused to rule out the possibility of a tax increase.[2] He did attempt to paint O'Brien as a 'tax-and-spend liberal'.[6]

O'Brien focused her attacks by portraying Romney as being out of place in Massachusetts.[2] Romney had stumbled earlier in the year by not knowing that "MCAS" stood for the Massachusetts Comprehensive Assessment System of school exams.[2] To soften Romney's image, a series of "work days" had been staged over the summer, in which he performed blue-collar jobs such as herding cows and baling hay, unloading a fishing boat, and hauling garbage.[2] [35] Television ads highlighting the effort, as well as one portraying his family in gushing terms and showing him shirtless,[35] received a poor public response. O'Brien responded, "Massachusetts doesn't need a governor who thinks getting in touch with working people is a costume party."[6]

By mid-October, Romney trailed O'Brien in most polls.[36] [37] He responded with negative ads that accused O'Brien of mismanaging pension funds. Specifically, one ad featured a basset hound sleeping as men removed bags of money from the Massachusetts treasury. Another associated her husband Emmet Hayes, a former lobbyist, with the Enron scandal.[6] [37]

O'Brien's campaign was hobbled by the short amount of time between the primary and the general election and by her having exhausted most of her funds by spending $4.5 million to win the nomination.[2] [6] Romney, able to focus on the general election in the absence of any primary contest, contributed over $6 million to his own campaign during the election, a state record at the time.[2] [38] He raised nearly $10 million for his campaign overall.[39]

Jill Stein campaigned against requiring that students pass the Massachusetts Comprehensive Assessment System tests to graduate high school and in support of clean air and bilingual education.[40] [41]

Debates

In the debates, O'Brien attacked Romney repeatedly. He referred to her style as "unbecoming", which engendered criticism that he was insensitive to women.[2]

After being excluded from the first debate, Stein and Independent candidate Barbara Johnson sued the media organizers of the debate.[42] Middlesex Superior Court Judge Linda Giles ruled against Stein and Johnson, stating that the state's campaign finance laws do not apply to the press organizing political debates and that the invitations to Shannon O'Brien and Mitt Romney did not constitute a campaign contribution.[43]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[44] October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] November 4, 2002

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredShannon
O'Brien (D)
Mitt
Romney (R)
Other
Boston HeraldFebruary 27, 200232% align="center" 38%
Boston HeraldSeptember 20, 2002 align="center" 45%42%
Institute of Politics/NECNOctober 2–3, 200240%40%
RKM Research and CommunicationsOctober 4, 2002 align="center" 43%42%
Institute of Politics/NECNOctober 24–27, 2002 align="center" 41%39%11%
Boston HeraldOctober 29, 2002 align="center" 44%38%
Boston Globe/WBZNovember 1, 2002 align="center" 41%40%
with Jane Swift
Poll sourceDate(s) administeredJane Swift (R)Shannon O'Brien (D)Robert Reich (D)Tom Birmingham (D)Steve Grossman (D)Warren Tolman (D)Bill Galvin (D)Marty Meehan (D)
Boston Herald February 18, 200123% align="center" 37%
end of line>25% align="center" 37%
end of line>25% align="center" 37%
end of line>25%25%
end of line>25% align="center" 26%
end of line>Boston Globe January 27, 200221% align="center" 39%
end of line>23% align="center" 35%
end of line>23% align="center" 35%
end of line>23% align="center" 33%
end of line>25% align="center" 27%
end of line>24% align="center" 28%
end of line>
with Robert Reich

Results

Romney and Healey were elected governor and lieutenant governor with 49.2 percent of the vote over O'Brien and Gabrieli, who received 44.4 percent.[46] Ten years later, Romney and Stein ran against each other in the 2012 U.S. presidential election, with both losing to incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama.

Romney performed strongly with Republicans and won many independents in the belt between Route 128 and I-495. He almost ran even with O'Brien in smaller working-class cities, and held down Democratic margins in large urban areas.[2] [6] This was the fourth consecutive win for Republicans in the state gubernatorial contest.[31]

[47]

Results by county

2002 United States gubernatorial election in Massachusetts (by county)
CountyRomney - R %Romney - R #O'Brien - D %O'Brien - D #Others %Others #Total #
55.9% 57,466 38.5% 39,640 5.6% 5,734 102,840
31.6% 13,897 61.4% 26,963 7.0% 3,059 43,919
44.5% 71,189 50.2% 80,275 5.3% 8,525 159,989
39.8% 2,815 52.1% 3,688 8.0% 569 7,072
54.9% 141,932 39.0% 100,798 6.2% 15,988 258,718
35.4% 9,381 54.5% 14,438 10.0% 2,653 26,472
48.2% 66,114 46.2% 63,470 5.6% 7,696 137,280
33.4% 18,358 58.6% 32,229 8.1% 4,456 55,043
48.9% 267,579 44.2% 241,934 7.0% 38,152 547,665
49.7% 1,974 44.0% 1,746 6.3% 248 3,968
52.9% 140,440 41.5% 110,198 5.5% 14,691 265,329
57.1% 100,029 37.7% 65,978 5.2% 9,189 175,196
33.7% 60,623 58.4% 105,280 7.9% 14,246 180,149
54.7% 140,191 38.7% 99,344 6.6% 16,910 256,445

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

External links

Campaign sites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2002.
  2. Book: . Barone . Michael . Michael Barone (pundit) . Richard E. . Cohen . Richard E. Cohen . 2004 . . Washington . 0-89234-106-8 . paperback . 772–773.
  3. Associated Press. "Massachusetts's first female governor takes office, under heavy statewide scrutiny" The Daily Texan, April 11, 2001. Retrieved October 29, 2006.
  4. Frank, Mitch."Jane Swift Takes One For the Team:The Massachusetts GOP took a risk by choosing Mitt Romney over the more progressive Swift. Will their decision come back to haunt them?" Time Magazine, March 21, 2002. Retrieved October 29, 2006.
  5. Berwick Jr., Bob and Roch, Lisa Riley. "Boston GOP beseeching Mitt: But hero of S.L. Games is coy about his future" Deseret News, February 22, 2002. Retrieved November 1, 2006.
  6. News: The Making of Mitt Romney: Part 6: Taking office, remaining an outsider . Mooney . Brian . June 29, 2007 . 2007-07-03--> . The Boston Globe.
  7. http://archives.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/03/19/massachusetts.governor/index.html "Swift exits, Romney joins Mass. governor's race"
  8. News: GOP'S No. 2 Race Takes a Twist. Boston Globe. April 3, 2002. Frank Phillips. Stephanie Ebbert.
  9. News: Fenn. Jennifer. Some in GOP miffed at Mitt. The Sun. April 4, 2002.
  10. News: Guarino. David R.. Credit cut; Registry KOs popular charge card service. Boston Herald. November 24, 2001.
  11. News: Silberman. Ellen J.. ProQuest Archiver: Titles. https://web.archive.org/web/20110629091729/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/bostonherald/access/81794257.html?dids=81794257:81794257&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT. dead. June 29, 2011. May 28, 2017. Boston Herald. September 21, 2001.
  12. News: Holmes. Rick. Turnpike hearings deserve open road. 18 March 2011. Boston Herald. January 9, 2002. 29 June 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110629091745/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/bostonherald/access/98832198.html?dids=98832198:98832198&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT. dead.
  13. News: Battenfeld. Joe. Rappaport could torpedo Swift bid to control GOP. 18 March 2011. Boston Herald. September 7, 2001. 29 June 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110629091652/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/bostonherald/access/79929508.html?dids=79929508:79929508&FMT=ABS&FMTS. dead.
  14. News: Anderson. Lisa. Massachusetts savors prospect of hot primary. 18 March 2011. Chicago Tribune. February 12, 2002. 29 June 2011. https://web.archive.org/web/20110629091706/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/chicagotribune/access/107015879.html?dids=107015879:107015879&FMT=ABS&FMTS. dead.
  15. News: WCVB Boston . Swift Names Guerriero As Running Mate . January 2002 . Wu . Janet . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120320073348/http://www.thebostonchannel.com/news/1168473/detail.html . 2012-03-20 .
  16. News: Romney taps Healey as his running mate. Worcester Telegram & Gazette. April 4, 2002.
  17. News: Tutalo. Frank. Healey's candidacy, Guerriero's withdrawal, shake up Lt. Governor's race. Harvard Hillside. April 4, 2002.
  18. News: Keane, Jr.. Thomas M.. Convention system misses on all fronts. Boston Herald. June 7, 2002.
  19. News: Johnson. Glen. Prospective Candidates Walk a Fine Line on Moakley Seat. https://web.archive.org/web/20120724233704/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/boston/access/73018335.html?FMT=ABS. dead. July 24, 2012. 4 October 2011. Boston Globe. May 15, 2001.
  20. News: The 9th: Are we there yet?. https://web.archive.org/web/20110629091821/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/bostonherald/access/75108651.html?dids=75108651:75108651&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT. dead. June 29, 2011. 18 March 2011. Boston Herald. July 7, 2001.
  21. Web site: Former Presidents Entering Fray . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20021226100556/http://www.thebostonchannel.com/news/1712388/detail.html . 26 December 2002 . 6 April 2012 . WCVB-TV Boston . Hearst Television, Inc..
  22. News: October 6, 2002 . Bilingual ed produces stark divide . Worcester Telegram & Gazette.
  23. News: Williams . Eric . October 31, 2002 . Political spoiler? . Cape Cod Times.
  24. https://www.scribd.com/doc/99951135/Romney-Ballot-Law-Commission-Decision Massachusetts Ballot Law Commission Decision
  25. Mcelhenny, John (Associated Press)"Romney defends right to run for governor" Portsmouth Herald, Tuesday, June 18, 2002. Retrieved July 12, 2012.
  26. News: Butterfield . Fox . Fox Butterfield . Republican's Candidacy Is Challenged By Democrats . The New York Times. June 8, 2002.
  27. News: Mass. board confirms GOP gubernatorial candidate's residency . https://web.archive.org/web/20130502183559/http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-120282117.html . dead . May 2, 2013 . Evan . Osnos . Evan Osnos . . June 25, 2002.
  28. Belluck, Pam. "Massachusetts Ballot Panel Allows Race By Republican" The New York Times (Page A-17), June 26, 2002.
  29. Barone and Cohen, The Almanac of American Politics 2004, p. 772.
  30. News: Democrats rail against Romney over decade-old comments . Killough, Ashley . CNN . December 13, 2011. See "Romney in 2002: I'm 'Moderate,' 'Progressive,' and 'Not a Partisan Republican' [VIDEO]" for video.
  31. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/vote2002/races/ma_governor.html "Vote 2002: Massachusetts Governor's Race"
  32. News: Romney's Data Cruncher . Cillizza, Chris . Chris Cillizza . . July 5, 2007.
  33. News: Karl. Jonathan. In '02 Romney touted D.C. connections, federal funds. ABC News. March 2, 2012.
  34. News: Isikoff . Michael . Michael Isikoff . Salt Lake City Olympics Earmarks a Double-Edged Sword for Romney . . February 18, 2012 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20120603073730/http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/18/10444876-salt-lake-city-olympics-earmarks-a-double-edged-sword-for-romney?lite . June 3, 2012 .
  35. News: Klein. Rick. New Ads, 'Work Days' Show Down-to-Earth Candidate. The Boston Globe. https://web.archive.org/web/20160415121048/https://www.highbeam.com/doc/1P2-7731101.html. dead. April 15, 2016. September 26, 2002. Also available as "Mitt takes his shirt off as campaign heats up", Deseret News, September 27, 2002.
  36. News: Bayles. Fred. Romney may be losing his touch in Mass. USA Today. October 16, 2002.
  37. News: Miga. Andrew. Don't expect a warm and fuzzy Romney this fall. Associated Press. The Post and Courier. April 5, 2012.
  38. http://www.boston.com/news/local/politics/candidates/articles/2006/08/22/gabrieli_surpasses_spending_record/ "Gabrieli surpasses spending record"
  39. News: Donor cash still floods campaigns . https://web.archive.org/web/20121129232942/http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-94133968.html . dead . November 29, 2012 . Ted . Bunker . . November 11, 2002.
  40. News: McConville . Christine . October 13, 2002 . Green Party Line Colors Governor's Race Debate . Boston Globe.
  41. News: Gitell . Seth . October 10, 2002 . Jill Stein won the debate . Boston Phoenix . dead . 6 April 2012 . https://web.archive.org/web/20120228044605/http://www.bostonphoenix.com/boston/news_features/daily/documents/02516391.htm . 28 February 2012.
  42. Web site: Candidates Sue Media Consortium Over Debate Exclusion. WCVB-TV Boston. Hearst Stations Inc.. 6 April 2012. dead. https://archive.today/20070701025827/http://www.thebostonchannel.com/news/1694291/detail.html. 1 July 2007.
  43. News: Marantz. Steve. Judge keeps third party candidates on sideline. 6 April 2012. Boston Herald. October 2, 2002. 24 July 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20120724233731/http://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/bostonherald/access/202350411.html?dids=202350411:202350411&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:FT. dead.
  44. Web site: Governor Updated October 31, 2002 The Cook Political Report. https://web.archive.org/web/20021208065752/http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?section=political&edit_id=225. December 8, 2002. The Cook Political Report. en. October 31, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.
  45. Web site: Governors Races. https://web.archive.org/web/20021212142349/http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/governor_all.htm. December 12, 2002. www.centerforpolitics.org. en-US. November 4, 2002. September 18, 2018. dead. mdy-all.
  46. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2002/pages/governor/ "2002 Election Results, Governor"
  47. Web site: PD43+ » Search Elections .