2000 Andalusian regional election explained

Election Name:2000 Andalusian regional election
Country:Andalusia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1996 Andalusian regional election
Previous Year:1996
Next Election:2004 Andalusian regional election
Next Year:2004
Seats For Election:All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia
Majority Seats:55
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:5,918,722 6.1%
Turnout:4,066,830 (68.7%)
9.2 pp
Election Date:12 March 2000
Leader1:Manuel Chaves
Party1:PSOE–A
Leader Since1:19 April 1990
Leaders Seat1:Cádiz
Last Election1:52 seats, 44.1%
Seats1:52
Seat Change1:0
Popular Vote1:1,790,653
Percentage1:44.3%
Swing1:0.2 pp
Leader2:Teófila Martínez
Party2:People's Party of Andalusia
Leader Since2:20 February 1999
Leaders Seat2:Cádiz
Last Election2:40 seats, 34.0%
Seats2:46
Seat Change2:6
Popular Vote2:1,535,987
Percentage2:38.0%
Swing2:4.0 pp
Leader3:Antonio Romero
Party3:United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia
Leader Since3:28 July 1996
Leaders Seat3:Málaga
Last Election3:13 seats, 14.0%
Seats3:6
Seat Change3:7
Popular Vote3:327,435
Percentage3:8.1%
Swing3:5.9 pp
Leader4:Antonio Ortega
Party4:Andalusian Party
Leader Since4:19 October 1996
Leaders Seat4:Seville
Last Election4:4 seats, 6.7%
Seats4:5
Seat Change4:1
Popular Vote4:300,356
Percentage4:7.4%
Swing4:0.7 pp
Map Size:375px
President
Before Election:Manuel Chaves
Before Party:PSOE–A
After Election:Manuel Chaves
After Party:PSOE–A

The 2000 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 12 March 2000, to elect the 6th Parliament of the autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2000 Spanish general election.

The ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) of Manuel Chaves won with a relative majority of 52 and was re-elected for a fourth term as president of the Regional Government of Andalusia with the support of the Andalusian Party (PA). The opposition People's Party (PP) secured its best result in a regional election up to that point, whereas United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) saw a major decrease in both votes and seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other).[1] [2]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

SeatsConstituencies
18Seville
16Málaga
15Cádiz
13Córdoba, Granada
12Jaén
11Almería, Huelva

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. Election day was to take place between the thirtieth and the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 3 March 1996, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 3 March 2000. The election was required to take place no later than the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament on the condition that it was not held between 1 July and 31 August, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Tuesday, 2 May 2000.[1] [2] [4] [5] [6]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected.[1] [4] [5] [6]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [7]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious result
Votes (%)Seats
PSOE–AManuel ChavesSocial democracy44.05%
PPTeófila MartínezConservatism
Christian democracy
33.96%
IULV–CAAntonio RomeroSocialism
Communism
13.97%
PAAntonio OrtegaAndalusian nationalism
Social democracy
6.66%

Campaign

Election debates

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 12 March 2000 Parliament of Andalusia election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)1,790,653 44.32 +0.2752 ±0
People's Party (PP)1,535,987 38.02 +4.0646 +6
United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)327,435 8.11 –5.866 –7
Andalusian Party (PA)300,356 7.43 +0.775 +1
Andalusian Left (IA)10,232 0.25 New0 ±0
Andalusian Nation (NA)5,034 0.12 –0.020 ±0
Humanist Party (PH)4,389 0.11 +0.010 ±0
Andalusia Assembly (A)4,380 0.11 New0 ±0
The Phalanx (FE)2,754 0.07 New0 ±0
Almerian Regionalist Union (URAL)1,550 0.04 New0 ±0
Green Ecologist Alternative of Marbella and San Pedro de Alcántara (AEV)1,304 0.03 New0 ±0
Party of the Separated and Divorced (PSD)1,180 0.03 New0 ±0
Independent Spanish Phalanx (FEI)1,018 0.03 New0 ±0
Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA)732 0.02 ±0.000 ±0
Centrist Union–Democratic and Social Centre (UC–CDS)492 0.01 –0.030 ±0
National Union (UN)415 0.01 New0 ±0
Blank ballots51,921 1.29 +0.52
Total4,039,832 109 ±0
Valid votes4,039,832 99.34 –0.03
Invalid votes26,998 0.66 +0.03
Votes cast / turnout4,066,830 68.71 –9.23
Abstentions1,851,892 31.29 +9.23
Registered voters5,918,722
Sources[40] [41] [42]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPSOE–APPIULV–CAPA
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Almería43.0546.464.53.7
Cádiz39.5637.466.3114.52
Córdoba40.7638.3512.316.91
Granada44.7640.967.415.2
Huelva47.1637.857.06.5
Jaén48.2638.257.314.9
Málaga40.1741.178.917.31
Seville49.51032.368.617.21
Total44.35238.0468.167.45
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A)
Ballot →25 April 2000
Required majority →55 out of 109
Abstentions
Absentees
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 6/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía] ]. Organic Law . 2 . es . 30 December 1981 . 16 September 2017.
  2. Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía . Law . 1 . es . 2 January 1986 . 16 September 2017.
  3. Web site: Gallagher . Michael . 30 July 2012 . Effective threshold in electoral systems . Trinity College, Dublin . https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php . 22 July 2017. 30 July 2017 .
  4. Ley 6/1983, de 21 de Julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma . Law . 6 . es . 21 July 1983 . 17 September 2017.
  5. Ley 1/1990, de 30 de enero, por la que se modifica la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma . Law . 1 . es . 30 January 1990 . 17 September 2017.
  6. Ley 6/1994, de 18 de mayo, de Modificación de la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma, y la Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía . Law . 6 . es . 18 May 1994 . 17 September 2017.
  7. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General . Organic Law . 5 . es . 19 June 1985 . 28 December 2016.
  8. News: Pedrote . Isabel . 1 March 2000 . Los cuatro candidatos a la presidencia de la Junta se ven hoy las caras en Canal Sur . es . El País . 10 May 2022.
  9. News: 3 March 2000 . El PP cree "clarificado" que la campaña es "tres contra Teófila" . es . ABC Sevilla . 10 May 2022.
  10. Web site: DEBATE ABIERTO: Elecciones Generales 12M/2000 . es . Investigación y Marketing . 19 August 2017 . dead. https://web.archive.org/web/20140201220844/http://www.aedemo.es/aedemo3/socios/revista66/ad-66-08.pdf . 1 February 2014 .
  11. Web site: Chaves roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía a costa de IU, pese al alza del PP . es . El Mundo . 4 March 2000.
  12. Web site: El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las andaluzas pese a que el PP recorta su ventaja . es . ABC . 6 March 2000.
  13. Web site: Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000) . es . CIS . 3 March 2000.
  14. Web site: Los socialistas rozan la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía . es . ABC . 4 March 2000.
  15. Web site: El PSOE está al borde de recuperar la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía . es . El País . 28 February 2000.
  16. Web site: El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas . es . El País . 28 February 2000.
  17. Web site: El PSOE no alcanzaría mayoría absoluta y el PP recortaría a 6 puntos la ventaja socialista . es . ABC . 19 February 2000.
  18. Web site: El PSOE aventaja al PP en 7 puntos, según un sondeo . es . El País . 6 January 2000.
  19. Web site: Un sondeo del PP sobre las andaluzas da la victoria al PSOE . es . ABC Sevilla . 13 December 1999.
  20. Web site: Una encuesta del PA le da el doble de escaños en Andalucía y representación en el Congreso . es . El País . 24 November 1999.
  21. Web site: El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones andaluzas sin mayoría absoluta . es . ABC Sevilla . 24 November 1999.
  22. Web site: Una encuesta de los empresarios sitúa al PSOE al borde de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía . es . El País . 9 November 1999.
  23. Web site: Todas las fuerzas políticas subirán escaños menos IU, según una encuesta de la CEA . es . ABC Sevilla . 9 November 1999.
  24. Web site: El PP recortaría a ocho diputados la distancia con el PSOE en las próximas autonómicas . es . ABC Sevilla . 23 May 1999.
  25. Web site: El PP dice que el sondeo sobre las autonómicas lo sitúa como "ganador" . es . ABC Sevilla . 24 May 1999.
  26. Web site: El PSOE reduce su ventaja en Andalucía aunque supera al PP en 12,7 puntos en intención de voto . es . El País . 27 February 1999.
  27. Web site: El PP rebaja a la mitad su desventaja y se sitúa a sólo 4,4 puntos del PSOE . es . ABC . 27 February 1999.
  28. Web site: Pizarro vaticina un "vuelco espectacular" en el voto urbano por la pérdida de apoyos del Partido Popular . es . El País . 13 April 1999.
  29. Web site: Los andalucistas desplazan a IU y se colocan como tercera fuerza, según una encuesta del PA . es . El País . 25 September 1998.
  30. Web site: El PSOE supera en 15 puntos al PP en Andalucía, según una encuesta de los socialistas . es . La Vanguardia . 5 July 1998.
  31. Web site: El PSOE amplía su ventaja sobre el PP en AndaIucía . es . El País . 28 February 1998.
  32. Web site: Una encuesta de los socialistas los coloca diez puntos por encima de los populares . es . ABC Sevilla . 7 February 1998.
  33. Web site: Según la última encuesta del PSOE-A, Izquierda Unida estaría al borde de la "debacle electoral" . es . ABC Sevilla . 13 December 1997.
  34. Web site: El PP-A niega el valor científico de la encuesta que ayer dio a conocer el PSOE . es . ABC Sevilla . 13 December 1997.
  35. Web site: El 70 por ciento de los andaluces rechazan el "medicamentazo", según una encuesta del PSOE . es . ABC Sevilla . 16 December 1997.
  36. Web site: El PA triplicaría sus escaños y adelantaría a IU-CA en número de diputados, según una encuesta . es . ABC Sevilla . 25 September 1997.
  37. Web site: El 46 por ciento de los andaluces no conoce el pacto de gobierno en la Junta, según una encuesta del propio PA . es . ABC Sevilla . 10 November 1997.
  38. Web site: El PP acortaría distancias con el PSOE en unas hipotéticas elecciones andaluzas, según una encuesta de los populares . es . ABC Sevilla . 14 June 1997.
  39. Web site: Un 54 por ciento de los andaluces no ha oído hablar de la financiación, según una encuesta del PSOE-A . es . ABC Sevilla . 15 February 1997.
  40. Web site: Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (1982 - 2018) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 25 September 2017.
  41. Web site: Electoral Results Consultation. Parliament of Andalusia. March 2000. Andalusia totals . es . juntadeandalucia.es . . 25 September 2017.
  42. Web site: Parliament of Andalusia election results, 12 March 2000 . 30 March 2000 . es . www.juntaelectoralcentral.es . . 25 September 2017.