1990 Japanese general election explained

Country:Japan
Flag Year:1870
Type:parliamentary
Previous Election:1986 Japanese general election
Previous Year:1986
Election Date:18 February 1990
Next Election:1993 Japanese general election
Next Year:1993
Seats For Election:All 512 seats in the House of Representatives
Majority Seats:257
Turnout:73.31% (1.89pp)
Leader1:Toshiki Kaifu
Party1:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)
Last Election1:51.06%, 306 seats
Seats1:275
Seat Change1:31
Popular Vote1:30,315,417
Percentage1:46.14%
Swing1:3.28pp
Leader2:Takako Doi
Party2:Japan Socialist Party
Last Election2:17.23%, 85 seats
Seats2:136
Seat Change2:51
Popular Vote2:16,025,473
Percentage2:24.35%
Swing2:7.12pp
Leader4:Koshiro Ishida
Party4:Kōmeitō (1962–1998)
Last Election4:9.43%, 56 seats
Seats4:45
Seat Change4:11
Popular Vote4:5,242,675
Percentage4:7.98%
Swing4:1.45pp
Leader5:Tetsuzo Fuwa
Party5:Japanese Communist Party
Last Election5:8.79%, 26 seats
Seats5:16
Seat Change5:10
Popular Vote5:5,226,987
Percentage5:7.96%
Swing5:0.83pp
Prime Minister
Before Party:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)
After Party:Liberal Democratic Party (Japan)

General elections were held in Japan on 18 February 1990 to elect the 512 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet.[1]

Background

As with the previous House of Councillors election, the "four-point set of evils" in the minds of voters were the controversial consumption tax, the Recruit scandal, agricultural import liberalisation, and former Prime Minister Sōsuke Uno's sex scandal. Political commentators excitedly speculated whether a "Great Reversal" would finally come about in which the LDP loses its majority in the House of Representatives, as the prior 1989 election saw the LDP lose its long-held majority in the House of Councillors.[2]

Results

By prefecture

PrefectureTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPJSPKōmeitōJCPDSPSDFPPInd.
Aichi22116221
Akita7421
Aomori752
Chiba181251
Ehime963
Fukui431
Fukuoka1984421
Fukushima12651
Gifu9621
Gunma10631
Hiroshima12831
Hokkaido231271111
Hyōgo1910423
Ibaraki12831
Ishikawa541
Iwate8431
Kagawa642
Kagoshima10541
Kanagawa209641
Kōchi52111
Kumamoto106211
Kyoto1042211
Mie95211
Miyagi963
Miyazaki6321
Nagano13841
Nagasaki95211
Nara52111
Niigata13841
Ōita7421
Okayama1042211
Okinawa52111
Osaka27857511
Saga5311
Saitama1785211
Shiga5311
Shimane5311
Shizuoka141031
Tochigi10631
Tokushima5221
Tokyo44181183112
Tottori422
Toyama642
Wakayama6411
Yamagata7511
Yamaguchi9621
Yamanashi532
Total5122751364516144121

Analysis

Although the LDP lost a net total of 25 seats, it still held onto its majority in the House of Representatives with a margin of 19 seats. This was due to the inequitable districting practices in Japan at the time, as individual voters in rural districts tend to both favour the LDP and also be disproportionately influential. However, the LDP did see losses among rural voters in the 1989 elections, and as a result the party pivoted away from their commitment to liberal import policies and back into a more protectionist rhetoric, declaring that "not one grain of foreign rice will be imported into Japan." The LDP also acquiesced by revising the consumption tax law to allow for exceptions; moreover, public resistance to the new tax had slightly decreased since the 1989 Upper House election. Although party leadership tends to have only minor influence on Japanese elections, positive cabinet approval ratings for the LDP bounced back from Noboru Takeshita's low of 10% to the reform-minded Toshiki Kaifu's 33%. In addition, the LDP also made sure to field an ample amount of candidates and to informally support independents, who increased by 12 in this election.

The clear winner in the elections was the Japan Socialist Party, whose number of seats rose by 51 and whose popular vote rose by 7.12% from the last election. This was the JSP's strongest performance in a general election since 1967, and left it as the only party to gain any seats. Meanwhile, the other three main opposition parties (Komeito, the JCP, and the DSP) lost 11, 10, and 12 seats respectively, and all of them also saw reductions in their popular vote. According to surveys, however, the shift in support for the JSP was more to do with the familiar Japanese tendency to cast protest votes against the LDP rather than expressions of support for all of the opposition's platform. Moreover, the JSP continued to suffer from factional infighting and a relative lack of fund-raising when compared to the LDP, and thus its fortunes would only wind up being in the short-term.

Notes and References

  1. http://archive.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/arc/2161_90.htm Elections held in 1990
  2. Donnelly. Michael W.. 1990. No Great Reversal in Japan: Elections for the House of Representatives in 1990. Pacific Affairs. 63. 3. 303–320. 10.2307/2759521. 2759521.