1984 Basque regional election explained

Election Name:1984 Basque regional election
Country:Basque Country
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1980 Basque regional election
Previous Year:1980
Next Election:1986 Basque regional election
Next Year:1986
Seats For Election:All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
Majority Seats:38
Opinion Polls:
  1. Opinion polls
Registered:1,584,540 1.9%
Turnout:1,085,304 (68.5%)
8.7 pp
Election Date:26 February 1984
Leader1:Carlos Garaikoetxea
Party1:Basque Nationalist Party
Leader Since1:April 1977
Leaders Seat1:Guipúzcoa
Last Election1:25 seats, 38.0%
Seats1:32
Seat Change1:7
Popular Vote1:451,178
Percentage1:41.8%
Swing1:3.8 pp
Leader2:Txiki Benegas
Party2:PSE–PSOE
Leader Since2:26 February 1978
Leaders Seat2:Biscay
Last Election2:9 seats, 14.2%
Seats2:19
Seat Change2:10
Popular Vote2:247,786
Percentage2:23.0%
Swing2:8.8 pp
Leader3:
Party3:Herri Batasuna
Leader Since3:
Leaders Seat3:
Last Election3:11 seats, 16.5%
Seats3:11
Seat Change3:0
Popular Vote3:157,389
Percentage3:14.6%
Swing3:1.9 pp
Leader4:Jaime Mayor Oreja
Party4:AP–PDP–UL
Leader Since4:1984
Leaders Seat4:Guipúzcoa
Last Election4:2 seats, 4.8%
Seats4:7
Seat Change4:5
Popular Vote4:100,581
Percentage4:9.3%
Swing4:4.5 pp
Leader5:Mario Onaindia
Party5:Euskadiko Ezkerra
Leader Since5:1982
Leaders Seat5:Álava
Last Election5:6 seats, 9.8%
Seats5:6
Seat Change5:0
Popular Vote5:85,671
Percentage5:7.9%
Swing5:1.9 pp
Map Size:325px
Lehendakari
Before Election:Carlos Garaikoetxea
Before Party:Basque Nationalist Party
After Election:Carlos Garaikoetxea
After Party:Basque Nationalist Party

The 1984 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 26 February 1984, to elect the 2nd Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.

The Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) won 32 seats, the Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE) came second with 19 seats, People's Unity (HB) came third with 11 seats, the People's Coalition (APPDPUL) won 7 seats, and Basque Country Left (EE) won 6 seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[1] [2]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 500 electors in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2] [3]

Election date

The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. An election was required to take place within from thirty-six and forty-five days from the date of expiry of parliament. The previous election was held on 9 March 1980, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 9 March 1984. The election was required to be held no later than the forty-fifth day from dissolution, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Monday, 23 April 1984.[1] [2]

After legal amendments in 1981, the lehendakari was granted the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[4]

Opinion polls

The tables below lists opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament (31 until 11 December 1983).

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred Lehendakari

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Lehendakari.

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 26 February 1984 Basque Parliament election results →
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)451,178 41.81 +3.8632 +7
Socialist Party of the Basque Country (PSE–PSOE)247,786 22.96 +8.8019 +10
Popular Unity (HB)157,389 14.59 –1.8911 ±0
People's Coalition (APPDPUL)1100,581 9.32 +4.567 +5
Basque Country Left (EE)85,671 7.94 –1.846 ±0
Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK)14,985 1.39 –2.620 –1
Neighborhood Labor (Auzolan)210,714 0.99 –0.760 ±0
Left Socialist Candidacy (CSI)2,507 0.23 New0 ±0
Workers' Socialist Party (PST)2,173 0.20 –0.030 ±0
Communist Party of Spain (Marxist–Leninist) (PCE (m–l))1,044 0.10 New0 ±0
Union of the Democratic Centre (UCD)n/a n/a –8.490 –6
Blank ballots5,029 0.47 +0.08
Total1,079,057 75 +15
Valid votes1,079,057 99.42 +0.41
Invalid votes6,247 0.58 –0.41
Votes cast / turnout1,085,304 68.49 +8.73
Abstentions499,236 31.51 –8.73
Registered voters1,584,540
Sources[18] [19]

Distribution by constituency

ConstituencyPNVPSEHBCPEE
data-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"Sdata-sort-type="number"%data-sort-type="number"S
Álava35.5925.1710.8316.247.72
Biscay43.81223.1612.939.427.42
Guipúzcoa40.81122.1618.756.818.92
Total41.83223.01914.6119.377.96
Sources

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →11 April 198412 April 1984
Required majority →38 out of 75Simple
Sources

References

Opinion poll sources
Other

Notes and References

  1. Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco] ]. Organic Law . 3 . es . 18 December 1979 . 17 July 2017.
  2. Ley 28/1983, de 25 de noviembre, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco . Law . 28 . es . 25 November 1983 . 8 August 2017.
  3. Real Decreto-ley 20/1977, de 18 de marzo, sobre Normas Electorales . Royal Decree-Law . 20 . es . 18 March 1977 . 1 July 2020.
  4. Government Law of 1981 . Law . 7 . es . 30 June 1981 . 17 July 2017.
  5. Web site: Preelectoral País Vasco 1984 (V) (Estudio nº 1.400. Febrero 1984) . es . CIS . 20 February 1984.
  6. Web site: El PNV alcanza la mayoría absoluta en Euskadi, con un 23% de votantes indecisos . es . El País . 19 February 1984.
  7. Web site: Probable mayoría absoluta del PNV en las elecciones del próximo domingo en Euskadi . es . El País . 19 February 1984.
  8. Web site: Ficha técnica del sondeo . es . El País . 19 February 1984.
  9. Web site: Alianza Popular confía conseguir en Cataluña el 14 por ciento de los votos . es . La Vanguardia . 31 January 1984.
  10. Web site: Los partidos vascos ven muy difícil un pacto de Gobierno tras las elecciones . es . ABC . 22 January 1984.
  11. Web site: PNV se mantiene y PSOE baja, según una encuesta relativa a las próximas elecciones autonómicas . es . Diario de Navarra . 2 January 1984.
  12. Web site: Socialistas y EE pueden desbancar a Herri Batasuna en unas próximas elecciones . es . Diario de Navarra . 25 August 1982.
  13. Web site: Preelectoral País Vasco 1984 (IV) (Estudio nº 1393. Febrero 1984) . es . CIS . 10 February 1984.
  14. Web site: Sondeo pre-electoral País Vasco (Febrero 1984. E. 1.388) . es . CIS . 1 February 1984.
  15. Web site: Sondeo preelectoral País Vasco (Enero 1984. E. 1387) . es . CIS . 27 January 1984.
  16. Web site: Estudio 1.378 ("País Vasco". Diciembre 1983) . es . CIS . 1 November 1983.
  17. Web site: Resultados sondeo País Vasco. Estudio nº 1367 . es . CIS . 1 September 1983.
  18. Web site: Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (1980 - 2020) . es . Historia Electoral.com . 24 September 2017.
  19. Web site: Election Results Archive . es . euskadi.eus . Basque Government . 24 September 2017.