1984 Australian federal election explained

Election Name:1984 Australian federal election
Country:Australia
Type:parliamentary
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:Results of the 1983 Australian federal election (House of Representatives)
Previous Year:1983
Next Election:Results of the 1987 Australian federal election (House of Representatives)
Next Year:1987
Outgoing Members:Members of the Australian House of Representatives, 1983–1984
Elected Members:Members of the Australian House of Representatives, 1984–1987
Registered:9,869,217
Turnout:9,295,421 (94.19%)
(0.45 pp)
Seats For Election:All 148 seats in the House of Representatives
75 seats were needed for a majority in the House
46 (of the 76) seats in the Senate
Vote Type:First preference
Leader1:Bob Hawke
Leader Since1:
Party1:Australian Labor Party
Leaders Seat1:Wills (Vic.)
Last Election1:75 seats
Seats1:82 seats
Seat Change1: 7
Popular Vote1:4,120,130
Percentage1:47.55%
Swing1: 1.93%
Leader2:Andrew Peacock
Leader Since2:
Party2:Liberal/National coalition
Leaders Seat2:Kooyong (Vic.)
Last Election2:50 seats
Seats2:66 seats
Seat Change2: 16
Popular Vote2:3,900,042
Percentage2:45.01%
Swing2: 1.40%
1Blank:TPP
1Data1:51.77%
1Data2:48.23%
2Blank:TPP swing
2Data1: 1.46%
2Data2: 1.46%
Map Size:350px
Prime Minister
Before Election:Bob Hawke
Before Party:Australian Labor Party
Posttitle:Subsequent Prime Minister
After Election:Bob Hawke
After Party:Australian Labor Party

The 1984 Australian federal election was held in Australia on 1 December 1984. All 148 seats in the House of Representatives (24 of them newly created) and 46 of 76 seats in the Senate (12 of them newly created) were up for election. The incumbent Labor Party led by Prime Minister Bob Hawke defeated the opposition Liberal–National coalition, led by Andrew Peacock.

The election was held in conjunction with two referendum questions, neither of which was carried.

Background and issues

The election had a long campaign and a high rate of informal voting for the House of Representatives, but decreased rate in the Senate (due to the introduction of the Group voting ticket). Although a House election was not due until 1986, Hawke opted to call an election 18 months early in part to bring the elections for the House and Senate back into line following the double dissolution election of 1983.

The legislated increase in the size of the House by 24 seats and the Senate by 12 seats came into effect at the 1984 election. Prior to 1984 the electoral commission did not undertake a full distribution of preferences for statistical purposes. The stored ballot papers for the previous election were put through this process prior to their destruction – therefore the figures from 1983 onwards show the actual result based on full distribution of preferences.

Results

Senate

Seats changing hands

SeatPre-1984SwingPost-1984
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Farrer, NSW LiberalWal Fife7.4N/A13.0Tim FischerNational 
Flinders, Vic LaborBob Chynoweth0.31.51.2Peter ReithLiberal 
Forde, Qld Labornotional – new seat2.72.70.0David WatsonLiberal 
Gilmore, NSW Labornotional – new seat0.51.71.2John SharpNational 
Hinkler, Qld Labornotional – new seat0.60.80.2Bryan ConquestNational 
Hume, NSW NationalStephen LusherN/AN/A7.7Wal FifeLiberal 
Macquarie, NSW LaborRoss Free0.51.91.4Alasdair WebsterLiberal 
Northern Territory, NT LaborJohn Reeves1.93.31.4Paul EveringhamCountry Liberal 
Petrie, Qld LaborDean Wells1.52.10.6John HodgesLiberal 
Riverina-Darling, NSW Labornotional – new seat1.35.94.6Noel HicksNational 
  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.

Analysis

The results of the election surprised most analysts; the expectation had been that Bob Hawke – who had been polling a record ACNielsen approval rating of 75 percent[1] on the eve of the election – would win by a significantly larger margin. Labor instead suffered a 2-point swing against it and had its majority cut from 25 to 16. Hawke blamed the result on the changes to Senate vote cards, which he believed confused people regarding their House of Representatives votes and contributed to the relatively high informal vote, the majority of which apparently was Labor votes.[2] However, analysis by the Australian Electoral Commission found that informal voting only slightly reduced Labor's primary vote and did not change the result in any division.[3]

Andrew Peacock did well from a good performance in the one leaders' debate, held on 26 November 1984,[4] which was the first televised leaders' debate in Australia.[5]

See also

References

Notes and References

  1. News: The biggest hammering in history. Coorey . Phil . The Sydney Morning Herald. 20 May 2008. 2008-05-20 .
  2. Book: Hawke, RJL. The Hawke Memoirs. Bob Hawke. 1996. Mandarin. Port Melbourne. 275–276. "Attracted to the simplicity of the Senate ballot, a number of voters thought they could mark their Lower House ballot in exactly the same way. Unfortunately for both them and us the informal vote for the House of Representatives swelled from 2 per cent to nearly 7 per cent. On the best surmise the bulk of the informals were Labor votes."
  3. News: Past Research on the Intended Party Vote of Informal Ballot Papers . Green . Antony . ABC News . 11 January 2013 . 2023-07-23 .
  4. Book: Fraser, Bryce. The Macquarie Reference Series: Government in Australia. 1998. The Macquarie Library Pty Ltd. Sydney. 1-876429-02-X. 44.
  5. Web site: 1984 Federal Election . AustralianPolitics.com . 2016-07-30.