1952 United States presidential election in Virginia explained

See main article: 1952 United States presidential election.

Election Name:1952 United States presidential election in Virginia
Country:Virginia
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1948 United States presidential election in Virginia
Previous Year:1948
Next Election:1956 United States presidential election in Virginia
Next Year:1956
Election Date:November 4, 1952
Image1:Dwight David Eisenhower 1952 crop.jpg
Nominee1:Dwight D. Eisenhower
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:New York[1]
Running Mate1:Richard Nixon
Electoral Vote1:12
Popular Vote1:349,037
Percentage1:56.32%
Nominee2:Adlai Stevenson
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:Illinois
Running Mate2:John Sparkman
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:268,677
Percentage2:43.36%
Map Size:435px
President
Before Election:Harry S. Truman
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:Dwight D. Eisenhower
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 1952 United States presidential election in Virginia took place on November 4, 1952. Voters chose twelve representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

For the previous five decades Virginia had almost completely disenfranchised its black and poor white populations through the use of a cumulative poll tax and literacy tests.[2] So restricted was suffrage in this period that it has been calculated that a third of Virginia's electorate during the first half of the twentieth century comprised state employees and officeholders.[2]

This limited electorate allowed Virginian politics to be controlled for four decades by the Byrd Organization, as progressive “antiorganization” factions were rendered impotent by the inability of almost all their potential electorate to vote.[3] Historical fusion with the “Readjuster” Democrats,[4] defection of substantial proportions of the Northeast-aligned white electorate of the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia over free silver,[5] and an early move towards a “lily white” Jim Crow party[4] meant Republicans retained a small but permanent number of legislative seats and local offices in the western part of the state.[6] In 1928 a combination of growing middle-class Republicanism in the cities and anti-Catholicism against Al Smith in the Tidewater[7] allowed the GOP to carry Virginia and elect three Congressmen, including one representing the local district of emerging machine leader Byrd.[8] However, from 1932 with the state severely affected by the Depression, Republican strength declined below its low pre-1928 level, although Byrd himself became highly critical of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal policies as early as 1940.[9]

Largely because of fear of losing several seats in the House to resurgent Republicans, Virginia's federal officeholders, although all firmly opposed to Harry S. Truman’s civil rights bills, did not endorse Strom Thurmond in 1948.[10] However, Byrd became almost completely opposed to the Truman administration’s policies during the ensuing presidential term,[11] and after initially preferred nominee Richard Russell Jr. called for repealing the Taft–Hartley Act, the Byrd Organization refused to endorse any Democratic nominee,[11] explicitly rejecting eventual nominees Illinois Governor Adlai Stevenson II and Alabama Senator John Sparkman.[12]

Background

Following the end of Reconstruction Virginia voted for every Democratic presidential nominee except for Al Smith in the 1928 election.

Campaign

U.S. Senator Harry F. Byrd opposed President Harry S. Truman's support for civil rights and chose to remain neutral in presidential elections. This allowed his political machine to support Republican presidential candidates while voting for Democratic candidates down ballot.

Following this election Virginia would support every Republican presidential nominee from 1952-2008 except for the victory of Lyndon B. Johnson in the 1964 election. In 2008, the state voted for Democrat Barack Obama and has since remained a Democratic-leaning state, largely due to the huge growth of Northern Virginia and the D.C. suburbs.[13] By 2020, Joe Biden became the first Democrat to post a double-digit victory since Roosevelt himself in 1944. Virginia was the only southern state that Democratic nominee Jimmy Carter failed to win in the 1976 election.

Polls

SourceRatingAs of
Lansing State Journal[14] September 17, 1952
The Salt Lake Tribune[15] October 24, 1952
Lubbock Morning Avalanche[16] October 24, 1952
The Greeneville Sun[17] October 25, 1952
The New York Times[18] October 25, 1952
The Modesto Bee[19] October 27, 1952
The New York Times[20] October 27, 1952

Results

Despite polls being uncertain, Virginia would be comfortably won by Republican nominees, Columbia University President Dwight D. Eisenhower, running with California Senator Richard Nixon.

1952 United States presidential election in Virginia[21]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanDwight Eisenhower349,03756.32%12
DemocraticAdlai Stevenson268,67743.36%0
Socialist LaborEric Hass1,1600.19%0
Social DemocratDarlington Hoopes5040.08%0
ProgressiveVincent Hallinan3110.05%0
Totals619,689100.00%12

Results by county or independent city

County/City[22] Dwight D. Eisenhower
Republican
Adlai Stevenson
Democratic
Eric Hass
Socialist Labor
Darlington Hoopes
Social Democrat
Vincent Hallinan
Progressive
MarginTotal votes cast
%%%%%%
Accomack2,62653.99%2,22045.64%120.25%40.08%20.04%4068.35%4,864
Albemarle2,52360.32%1,64239.25%80.19%80.19%20.05%88121.07%4,183
Alexandria8,57956.92%6,47142.93%80.15%30.06%10.02%2,10813.99%15,072
Alleghany2,56452.88%2,27446.90%70.14%20.04%20.04%2905.98%4,849
Amelia83253.64%70345.33%80.52%50.32%30.19%1298.31%1,551
Amherst1,40740.20%2,07859.37%110.31%30.09%10.03%-671-19.17%3,500
Appomattox92949.13%95750.61%30.16%20.11%00.00%-28-1.48%1,891
Arlington22,15860.91%14,03238.57%1570.43%50.01%280.08%8,12622.34%36,380
Augusta3,41469.97%1,45329.78%60.15%20.05%40.10%1,96140.19%4,879
Bath76562.65%45136.94%20.16%30.25%00.00%31425.71%1,221
Bedford2,91654.47%2,42645.32%40.07%50.09%20.04%4909.15%5,353
Bland1,00057.21%74342.51%20.11%10.06%20.11%25714.70%1,748
Botetourt2,02161.50%1,26438.47%10.03%00.00%00.00%75723.03%3,286
Bristol1,57452.31%1,43247.59%120.45%80.30%00.00%1424.72%3,009
Brunswick1,09839.97%1,63559.52%50.18%90.33%00.00%-537-19.55%2,747
Buchanan2,33038.65%3,61359.93%691.14%110.18%60.10%-1,283-21.28%6,029
Buckingham81146.58%91952.79%50.29%40.23%20.11%-108-6.21%1,741
Buena Vista51356.62%39243.27%90.06%70.05%60.04%12113.35%906
Campbell2,44747.26%2,71352.39%140.27%20.04%20.04%-266-5.13%5,178
Caroline85847.01%95452.27%120.66%10.05%00.00%-96-5.26%1,825
Carroll3,77468.68%1,71131.14%70.13%10.02%20.04%2,06337.54%5,495
Charles City34240.24%49257.88%80.94%50.59%30.35%-150-17.64%850
Charlotte94936.56%1,63062.79%80.31%70.27%20.08%-681-26.23%2,596
Charlottesville3,29260.14%2,17439.72%10.03%20.07%00.00%1,11820.42%5,474
Chesterfield4,48255.70%3,54644.07%90.11%50.06%40.05%93611.63%8,046
Clarke80952.88%71646.80%40.26%10.07%00.00%936.08%1,530
Clifton Forge93653.46%81146.32%10.11%00.00%00.00%1257.14%1,751
Colonial Heights89651.73%83548.21%20.04%50.09%10.02%613.52%1,732
Craig42546.45%49053.55%00.00%00.00%00.00%-65-7.10%915
Culpeper1,50760.33%98739.51%10.04%20.08%10.04%52020.82%2,498
Cumberland69554.42%57444.95%30.23%50.39%00.00%1219.47%1,277
Danville4,76558.49%3,32340.79%30.17%10.06%00.00%1,44217.70%8,146
Dickenson2,91347.41%3,21052.25%170.28%30.05%10.02%-297-4.84%6,144
Dinwiddie98339.77%1,46259.14%110.44%110.44%50.20%-479-19.37%2,472
Essex61052.45%54546.86%60.52%20.17%00.00%655.59%1,163
Fairfax13,02060.90%8,32938.96%70.03%70.03%160.07%4,69121.94%21,379
Falls Church1,38659.82%93040.14%10.06%00.00%00.00%45619.68%2,317
Fauquier2,06856.27%1,59743.46%80.22%20.05%00.00%47112.81%3,675
Floyd1,62671.69%61927.29%170.75%20.09%40.18%1,00744.40%2,268
Fluvanna72457.74%51941.39%50.40%50.40%10.08%20516.35%1,254
Franklin1,97649.08%2,01249.98%130.32%200.50%50.12%-36-0.90%4,026
Frederick1,80357.53%1,32642.31%40.13%10.03%00.00%47715.22%3,134
Fredericksburg1,53661.20%97038.65%260.32%260.32%60.07%56622.55%2,510
Giles1,93552.94%1,71746.98%30.08%00.00%00.00%2185.96%3,655
Gloucester1,07352.44%96146.97%60.29%40.20%20.10%1125.47%2,046
Goochland71446.12%82052.97%100.65%40.26%00.00%-106-6.85%1,548
Grayson4,44961.78%2,73437.97%100.14%50.07%30.04%1,71523.81%7,201
Greene53767.80%25031.57%30.38%20.25%00.00%28736.23%792
Greensville98843.47%1,25955.39%150.66%60.26%50.22%-271-11.92%2,273
Halifax2,27440.70%3,29658.99%100.18%60.11%10.02%-1,022-18.29%5,587
Hampton5,50552.52%4,94647.19%10.04%00.00%00.00%5595.33%10,481
Hanover2,25759.76%1,51840.19%20.05%00.00%00.00%73919.57%3,777
Harrisonburg2,23877.82%63522.08%20.08%20.08%00.00%1,60355.74%2,876
Henrico10,68266.62%5,33933.30%40.02%70.04%30.02%5,34333.32%16,035
Henry1,87144.34%2,32355.05%170.40%80.19%10.02%-452-10.71%4,220
Highland69662.25%41937.48%20.18%10.09%00.00%27724.77%1,118
Hopewell1,64049.58%1,65750.09%150.14%90.09%60.06%-17-0.51%3,308
Isle of Wight99644.52%1,22754.85%90.40%40.18%10.04%-231-10.33%2,237
James City52760.23%34639.54%20.23%00.00%00.00%18120.69%875
King and Queen41551.23%38747.78%30.37%30.37%20.25%283.45%810
King George57752.94%50346.15%50.46%30.28%20.18%746.79%1,090
King William73057.39%53341.90%70.55%20.16%00.00%19715.49%1,272
Lancaster1,22861.49%75337.71%100.50%60.30%00.00%47523.78%1,997
Lee4,62251.99%4,24247.71%160.18%40.04%70.08%3804.28%8,891
Loudoun2,54054.86%2,07544.82%90.19%30.06%30.06%46510.04%4,630
Louisa1,13552.26%1,02547.19%60.28%40.18%20.09%1105.07%2,172
Lunenburg83735.27%1,52864.39%40.17%30.13%10.04%-691-29.12%2,373
Lynchburg7,09064.75%3,84835.14%20.07%10.03%00.00%3,24229.61%10,949
Madison1,01264.96%54034.66%30.19%10.06%20.13%47230.30%1,558
Martinsville1,77255.83%1,39143.82%50.15%30.09%30.09%38112.01%3,174
Mathews95163.87%53335.80%40.27%10.07%00.00%41828.07%1,489
Mecklenburg1,89142.46%2,52556.69%200.45%150.34%30.07%-634-14.23%4,454
Middlesex70557.74%50741.52%50.41%30.25%10.08%19816.22%1,221
Montgomery3,88170.68%1,60029.14%70.13%20.04%10.02%2,28141.54%5,491
Nansemond1,16832.87%2,36066.42%120.34%120.34%10.03%-1,192-33.55%3,553
Nelson74037.56%1,22262.03%50.25%20.10%10.05%-482-24.47%1,970
New Kent45552.78%40046.40%50.58%10.12%10.12%556.38%862
Newport News2,76940.46%4,05159.20%60.05%20.02%30.03%-1,282-18.74%6,843
Norfolk5,61445.30%6,76654.60%80.06%30.02%10.01%-1,152-9.30%12,392
Norfolk City14,16654.33%11,86245.49%60.19%30.09%20.06%2,3048.84%26,074
Northampton1,30750.12%1,28949.42%60.23%60.23%00.00%180.70%2,608
Northumberland1,23068.11%57331.73%10.06%10.06%10.06%65736.38%1,806
Nottoway1,45451.02%1,38148.46%70.25%40.14%40.14%732.56%2,850
Orange1,52562.17%91637.34%50.20%50.20%20.08%60924.83%2,453
Page2,64964.59%1,44135.14%100.24%10.02%00.00%1,20829.45%4,101
Patrick1,31445.75%1,55454.11%40.14%00.00%00.00%-240-8.36%2,872
Petersburg2,82254.49%2,34245.22%120.18%50.07%60.09%4809.27%5,179
Pittsylvania2,89341.93%3,97657.62%160.23%100.14%50.07%-1,083-15.69%6,900
Portsmouth3,62136.74%6,18862.79%160.06%130.05%170.07%-2,567-26.05%9,855
Powhatan55852.49%49846.85%290.29%100.10%70.07%605.64%1,063
Prince Edward1,35959.34%92640.44%40.38%10.09%20.19%43318.90%2,290
Prince George54146.40%61252.49%20.09%20.09%10.04%-71-6.09%1,166
Prince William1,61949.14%1,65350.17%110.94%20.17%00.00%-34-1.03%3,295
Princess Anne3,18051.04%3,03748.75%140.42%30.09%60.18%1432.29%6,230
Pulaski2,81562.03%1,71537.79%40.06%50.08%40.06%1,10024.24%4,538
Radford1,52357.73%1,10842.00%90.17%50.10%10.02%41515.73%2,638
Rappahannock61954.35%51845.48%60.13%10.02%10.02%1018.87%1,139
Richmond72768.91%32630.90%20.18%00.00%00.00%40138.01%1,055
Richmond City29,30060.28%19,23539.57%10.04%40.15%20.08%10,06520.71%48,610
Roanoke6,01768.95%2,68930.82%10.09%10.09%00.00%3,32838.13%8,726
Roanoke City15,67366.00%8,04233.87%310.06%220.05%220.05%7,63132.13%23,747
Rockbridge2,06865.90%1,05933.75%90.10%50.06%60.07%1,00932.15%3,138
Rockingham4,35073.11%1,59126.74%90.29%10.03%10.03%2,75946.37%5,950
Russell2,93747.33%3,25352.42%40.07%30.05%20.03%-316-5.09%6,206
Scott4,70361.13%2,99038.87%110.18%30.05%20.03%1,71322.26%7,693
Shenandoah4,28471.12%1,73428.78%00.00%00.00%00.00%2,55042.34%6,024
Smyth3,69464.98%1,97234.69%30.05%20.03%10.02%1,72230.29%5,685
South Norfolk1,09837.90%1,78261.51%140.06%70.03%110.05%-684-23.61%2,897
Southampton1,16636.70%2,00062.95%150.26%20.04%20.04%-834-26.25%3,177
Spotsylvania1,17448.98%1,19449.81%110.38%30.10%30.10%-20-0.83%2,397
Stafford1,41156.35%1,07743.01%50.16%40.13%20.06%33413.34%2,504
Staunton2,57873.07%94526.79%40.11%10.03%00.00%1,63346.28%3,528
Suffolk1,62257.17%1,20942.62%20.07%30.11%10.04%41314.55%2,837
Surry41441.15%57256.86%210.88%50.21%30.13%-158-15.71%1,006
Sussex88847.97%95651.65%90.36%40.16%30.12%-68-3.68%1,851
Tazewell3,23255.83%2,52743.65%90.89%111.09%00.00%70512.18%5,789
Virginia Beach1,31059.79%88140.21%00.00%00.00%00.00%42919.58%2,191
Warren1,88857.90%1,36241.77%50.27%10.05%10.05%52616.13%3,261
Warwick3,30754.00%2,80645.82%30.05%50.08%30.05%5018.18%6,124
Washington3,81057.74%2,77842.10%220.38%30.05%50.09%1,03215.64%6,599
Waynesboro1,68069.62%73030.25%20.08%10.04%00.00%95039.37%2,413
Westmoreland1,11759.51%75440.17%80.25%30.09%00.00%36319.34%1,877
Williamsburg79762.12%48337.65%10.08%20.16%00.00%31424.47%1,283
Winchester2,37569.20%1,05530.74%10.03%10.03%00.00%1,32038.46%3,432
Wise3,91145.16%4,72954.61%100.15%10.02%00.00%-818-9.45%8,660
Wythe3,58068.24%1,65431.53%40.21%20.11%00.00%1,92636.71%5,246
York1,33550.53%1,28748.71%140.16%40.05%20.02%481.82%2,642
Totals349,03756.32%268,67743.36%1,1600.19%5040.08%3110.05%80,36012.96%619,689

Analysis

Eisenhower won Virginia by a 12.97 point margin, making this the first time Virginia voted for a Republican since it was won by Herbert Hoover in 1928, and the best Republican performance in Virginia to this point. Virginia was Eisenhower's strongest state state in the old Confederacy, marking a shift from Virginia being previously regarded as a safe blue state to more of a red state. Eisenhower ultimately won the national election with 55.18 percent of the vote, making Virginia two points more Republican than the nation at-large. This was the first occasion any Confederate State voted more Republican than the nation since Virginia itself in 1888 voted 0.30 points more Republican while its blacks remained enfranchised and large numbers of white Readjusters had joined the GOP.[4]

The key to Eisenhower's win was gains from the large in-migration to Northern Virginia, where the many new voters were not tied to the Democratic Party as Virginia's older generation was, with the result that Eisenhower gained four-fifths of approximately two hundred thousand new voters since 1948.[12] Like the rest of the former Confederacy, Eisenhower also gained from transfer of 1948 Thurmond votes and from increasing upper-class Republican voting in cites such as Richmond.[23] Nevertheless, the basis of Republican strength remained the old Readjuster and pro-gold standard regions of the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia.[23]

This was also the first election after Colonial Heights was incorporated as an independent city. Eisenhower won Colonial Heights by a close margin of roughly three points. In the decades since, Colonial Heights has established itself as one of the most Republican leaning independent cities in Virginia, and has yet to be won by a Democratic presidential candidate. Eisenhower's 1952 and 1956 victories in Colonial Heights of three points and four points remain the two lowest margins of victory for a Republican presidential candidate .

Works cited

Notes and References

  1. Web site: U.S. presidential election, 1952 . Facts on File . October 24, 2013 . Eisenhower, born in Texas, considered a resident of New York, and headquartered at the time in Paris, finally decided to run for the Republican nomination . https://web.archive.org/web/20131029195323/http://www.fofweb.com/History/HistRefMain.asp?iPin=EAPPE0334&SID=2&DatabaseName=American+History+Online&InputText=%22presidential+election+1952%22&SearchStyle=&dTitle=U.S.+presidential+election%2C+1952&TabRecordType=Subject+Entry&BioCountPass=0&SubCountPass=1&DocCountPass=0&ImgCountPass=0&MapCountPass=0&FedCountPass=&MedCountPass=0&NewsCountPass=0&RecPosition=1&AmericanData=Set . October 29, 2013 . dead .
  2. Book: Kousser, J. Morgan. The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910. Yale University Press. 178–181. 0-300-01696-4.
  3. Book: Key, Valdimer Orlando. Southern Politics in State and Nation. 1949. 20–25.
  4. Book: Heersink. Boris. Jenkins. Jeffrey A.. Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865-1968. 217–221. 1107158435.
  5. Moger. Allen. The Rift in Virginia Democracy in 1896. The Journal of Southern History. 4. 3. 295–317.
  6. Book: [[Kevin Phillips (political commentator)|Phillips]], Kevin P.. The Emerging Republican Majority. 193, 219. 1969. 0870000586.
  7. Phillips. The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 195
  8. Hawkes (junior). Robert T.. The Emergence of a Leader: Harry Flood Byrd, Governor of Virginia, 1926-1930. July 1974. 82. 3. The Virginia Magazine of History and Biography. 259–281.
  9. Book: Davidson. Chandler. Grofman. Bernard. 1994. Quiet revolution in the South: the impact of the Voting rights act, 1965-1990. 275–276. 0691032475.
  10. Guthrie. Paul Daniel. The Dixiecrat Movement of 1948. 179-181. Bowling Green State University. 144207. 1955.
  11. Sweeney. J.R.. 1978. Old Dominion University. Revolt in Virginia: Harry Byrd and the 1952 presidential election. Virginia Magazine of History and Biography. 86. 2. 180–195.
  12. Grant Jr.. Philip A.. Eisenhower and the 1952 Republican Invasion of the South: The Case of Virginia. Presidential Studies Quarterly. Spring 1990. 20. 2. Eisenhower Centennial Issue. 285–293.
  13. Web site: Skelley . Geoffrey . 2017-07-13 . The New Dominion: Virginia’s Ever-Changing Electoral Map . 2024-06-07 . Sabato's Crystal Ball . en-US.
  14. News: Cornell. Douglas B.. September 17, 1952. Ike Given 50–50 Chance To Break into Solid South. 7, 16. Lansing State Journal. Lansing, Michigan.
  15. News: Cornell. Douglas B.. October 24, 1952. Journalists Bet 50–50 Ike Will Dent South. 1–2. The Salt Lake Tribune. Salt Lake City.
  16. News: Cornell. Douglas B.. Most Southern States Continue to Back Demos Despite Sizeable Republican Inroads — GOP Has Even Chance to Carry Virginia, Texas, Florida. Lubbock Morning Avalanche. Lubbock, Texas. 1952-10-24. 11.
  17. News: October 25, 1952 . US Poll Shows — Eisenhower Leading Stevenson in Electoral Votes, but Governor Has More States in His Column. 1, 8. The Greeneville Sun. Greeneville, Tennessee. Princeton Research Service.
  18. News: White. William S.. October 25, 1952. Eisenhower Edge Seen in Virginia, With Allegiance to Byrd Big Factor . Special to the New York Times. 1, 64. The New York Times.
  19. News: October 27, 1952. NY Times Survey Indicates Close Election Tuesday. 8. The Modesto Bee. Modesto, California.
  20. News: White. William S.. October 27, 1952. Stevenson Likely To Win in Virginia: Second Survey Finds States’ Rights Bloc and Powell's Activity Hurt G.O.P. — Farmers Are Angry; Negro Votes Switching; Incident Widely Used A Subway in Jersey. Special to the New York Times. 1, 13. The New York Times.
  21. Web site: Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 4, 1952 . Clerk of the House of Representatives . 45.
  22. Web site: VA US President Race, November 04, 1952. Our Campaigns.
  23. Strong. Donald S.. The Presidential Election in the South, 1952. The Journal of Politics. August 1955. 17. 3. 343–389. The University of Chicago Press.