1928 United States presidential election in North Carolina explained

See main article: 1928 United States presidential election.

Election Name:1928 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Country:North Carolina
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:1924 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Previous Year:1924
Next Election:1932 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Next Year:1932
Election Date:November 6, 1928
Nominee1:Herbert Hoover
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Home State1:California
Running Mate1:Charles Curtis
Electoral Vote1:12
Popular Vote1:348,923
Percentage1:54.94%
Nominee2:Al Smith
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Home State2:New York
Running Mate2:Joseph T. Robinson
Electoral Vote2:0
Popular Vote2:286,227
Percentage2:45.06%
Map Size:400px
President
Before Election:Calvin Coolidge
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Herbert Hoover
After Party:Republican Party (United States)

The 1928 United States presidential election in North Carolina was held on November 6, 1928. North Carolina voters chose twelve electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

As a former Confederate state, North Carolina had a history of Jim Crow laws, disfranchisement of its African-American population and dominance of the Democratic Party in state politics. However, unlike the Deep South, the Republican Party had sufficient historic Unionist White support from the mountains and northwestern Piedmont to gain a stable one-third of the statewide vote total in most general elections,[1] where turnout was higher than elsewhere in the former Confederacy due substantially to the state’s early abolition of the poll tax in 1920.[2] A rapid move following disenfranchisement to a completely “lily-white” state GOP also helped maintain Republican support amongst the state’s voters.[3] Like Virginia, Tennessee and Oklahoma, the relative strength of Republican opposition meant that North Carolina did not have statewide White primaries, although certain counties did use the White primary.[4]

At the beginning of October, polls were suggesting that despite the divide in the state’s Democrats, Smith would carry the state, and he visited Raleigh in mid-October.[5] This prediction of a Smith victory despite Protestant opposition to his Catholicism and his anti-Prohibition views seemed confirmed in the days before the poll.[6] However, with late counting, it became apparent that Smith had lost the state alongside Virginia, Florida and Texas.[7]

Hoover’s victory was due to a combination of anti-Catholicism – at its strongest in the fishing communities of the Outer Banks, where he carried several counties that had gone to John W. Davis in 1924 by four- or five-to-one margins – with increasing middle-class Republican voting in such cities as Charlotte, Durham and Greensboro.[8] Although the state’s Black Belt remained extremely loyal to Smith,[9] this was not enough to come close to holding the state against traditional Appalachian Republicanism alongside urban and Outer Banks trends against him. Overall, Hoover won North Carolina by 9.88 percent, which made it his second-best state in the former Confederacy after Florida, and the only occasion between 1876 and 1964 in which North Carolina would vote Republican. The state would subsequently vote solidly Democratic until Richard Nixon won it in 1968.

, this is the last election in which Orange County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.[10]

Results

Results by county

1928 United States presidential election in North Carolina by county[11] ! style="width:10%;" rowspan="2"
CountyHerbert Clark Hoover
Republican
Alfred Emmanuel Smith
Democratic
Margin
%%%
Avery89.35%3,27310.65%39078.71%2,883
Yadkin83.60%3,87816.40%76167.19%3,117
Madison81.38%4,77618.62%1,09362.75%3,683
Mitchell80.60%3,43619.40%82761.20%2,609
Wilkes73.59%7,80826.41%2,80247.18%5,006
Davie73.17%2,95926.83%1,08546.34%1,874
Sampson70.94%5,57929.06%2,28541.89%3,294
Forsyth66.63%13,25833.37%6,63933.27%6,619
Durham66.06%8,72333.94%4,48232.12%4,241
Surry65.79%7,01534.21%3,64731.59%3,368
Stokes65.61%3,75934.39%1,97031.23%1,789
Brunswick65.48%1,93134.52%1,01830.96%913
Caldwell64.74%4,20735.26%2,29129.49%1,916
Burke63.94%5,10836.06%2,88127.88%2,227
Randolph63.90%7,41436.10%4,18827.81%3,226
Davidson63.19%8,96036.81%5,22026.38%3,740
Cherokee62.89%3,23937.11%1,91125.79%1,328
Guilford62.62%16,54137.38%9,87225.25%6,669
Rowan62.46%7,95737.54%4,78324.91%3,174
Henderson62.33%5,21037.67%3,14924.66%2,061
Rockingham62.08%5,58537.92%3,41124.17%2,174
Alamance61.52%6,81038.48%4,26023.04%2,550
New Hanover60.62%4,24839.38%2,76021.23%1,488
Catawba60.58%7,55639.42%4,91621.17%2,640
Stanly60.51%4,59739.49%3,00021.02%1,597
Carteret60.51%3,13339.49%2,04521.01%1,088
Johnston60.42%7,69639.58%5,04120.84%2,655
Alexander60.20%2,60539.80%1,72220.41%883
Gaston59.14%9,70240.86%6,70218.29%3,000
Swain59.04%2,48440.96%1,72318.09%761
Orange58.77%2,56441.23%1,79917.53%765
Rutherford58.16%5,76241.84%4,14616.31%1,616
Iredell58.12%6,71241.88%4,83616.25%1,876
Jones57.52%65842.48%48615.03%172
Lincoln57.43%3,93042.57%2,91314.86%1,017
Cabarrus57.35%6,54842.65%4,86914.71%1,679
Buncombe57.22%16,59042.78%12,40514.43%4,185
Harnett57.15%4,74042.85%3,55414.30%1,186
Macon56.99%2,90343.01%2,19113.98%712
Washington56.85%1,18343.15%89813.70%285
Montgomery56.82%2,65343.18%2,01613.64%637
Graham56.68%1,26043.32%96313.36%297
Pender56.57%1,30043.43%99813.14%302
Transylvania55.70%2,16544.30%1,72211.40%443
Ashe55.64%4,33744.36%3,45811.28%879
Pamlico55.59%1,09944.41%87811.18%221
Moore55.49%3,29044.51%2,63910.98%651
Mecklenburg55.41%12,04144.59%9,69010.82%2,351
Chatham55.32%3,31844.68%2,68010.64%638
Columbus55.32%3,53344.68%2,85410.63%679
Bladen55.18%1,91144.82%1,55210.37%359
Clay55.05%1,10644.95%90310.10%203
Watauga54.94%3,15945.06%2,5919.88%568
Onslow53.89%1,25346.11%1,0727.78%181
Wayne53.85%4,34046.15%3,7207.69%620
Polk53.68%1,87346.32%1,6167.37%257
Hyde53.62%68246.38%5907.23%92
Jackson52.55%3,51247.45%3,1715.10%341
Duplin52.37%2,91147.63%2,6474.75%264
Yancey52.27%2,71247.73%2,4764.55%236
Cumberland51.73%3,53448.27%3,2973.47%237
Haywood51.73%4,47248.27%4,1733.46%299
Tyrrell51.53%50548.47%4753.06%30
McDowell49.95%3,42350.05%3,430-0.10%-7
Perquimans49.63%60050.37%609-0.74%-9
Gates49.38%55850.62%572-1.24%-14
Cleveland49.24%4,76650.76%4,914-1.53%-148
Alleghany49.17%1,36850.83%1,414-1.65%-46
Dare47.97%81452.03%883-4.07%-69
Person47.63%1,12352.37%1,235-4.75%-112
Craven47.28%2,23752.72%2,494-5.43%-257
Union46.29%2,44853.71%2,840-7.41%-392
Lee45.23%1,41654.77%1,715-9.55%-299
Caswell44.45%74955.55%936-11.10%-187
Wake41.84%6,72058.16%9,341-16.32%-2,621
Beaufort41.64%2,52158.36%3,533-16.72%-1,012
Richmond40.74%2,04559.26%2,975-18.53%-930
Vance37.70%1,44962.30%2,395-24.61%-946
Robeson36.91%2,76763.09%4,730-26.18%-1,963
Lenoir35.68%1,31164.32%2,363-28.63%-1,052
Wilson35.35%1,93364.65%3,535-29.30%-1,602
Nash32.72%2,06667.28%4,249-34.57%-2,183
Greene31.46%54268.54%1,181-37.09%-639
Pasquotank29.52%81470.48%1,943-40.95%-1,129
Camden28.19%24571.81%624-43.61%-379
Hertford27.62%39372.38%1,030-44.76%-637
Chowan27.33%35272.67%936-45.34%-584
Scotland25.03%58874.97%1,761-49.94%-1,173
Pitt23.09%1,39576.91%4,646-53.82%-3,251
Granville22.46%85877.54%2,962-55.08%-2,104
Hoke21.23%31178.77%1,154-57.54%-843
Northampton20.93%45679.07%1,723-58.15%-1,267
Franklin20.48%72979.52%2,831-59.04%-2,102
Anson19.77%72680.23%2,947-60.47%-2,221
Edgecombe18.93%97781.07%4,184-62.14%-3,207
Bertie15.75%37484.25%2,000-68.49%-1,626
Warren15.69%37984.31%2,037-68.63%-1,658
Halifax15.42%89084.58%4,882-69.16%-3,992
Martin12.73%41187.27%2,818-74.54%-2,407
Currituck11.70%16688.30%1,253-76.60%-1,087

Analysis

With all other prominent Democrats sitting the election out,[12] the party nominated Alfred E. Smith, four-term Governor of New York as its nominee for 1928, with little opposition. The response in the South was one of anger, because Smith was a devout Catholic, opposed to Prohibition, linked with New York City's Tammany Hall political machine, and the son of Irish and Italian immigrants. Whilst it is generally thought that the South would have accepted a man possessing one of those characteristics,[13] the combination proved a bitter dose for many of North Carolina's loyal Democrats. Bishop James M. Cannon summoned a meeting of church leaders in Asheville on July 18 toAt this Asheville assembly Bishop Horace DuBose said that Smith’s candidacy posed

The loyalties of the state Democratic Party – less factionalized than other southern parties because of the consistent Republican opposition[14] – became further strained when long-serving Senator Furnifold McLendel Simmons refused to support the New York Governor. He argued firstly that Smith’s nomination would be extremely dangerous because it would produce a “vexatious” campaign unreasonably focused on religion and Prohibition, and secondly that Smith’s followers wanted to eliminate him.[15] With the aid of Frank R. McNich[16] and church leaders, Simmons created the “Anti-Smith Democrats”, who became opposed by other leading Democrats such as Josiah W. Bailey (who would unseat Simmons from his Senate seat) and Josephus Daniels.[15] The state’s press was equally split over Smith, with The Charlotte Observer and Charlotte News especially unwilling to endorse him against Republican nominee, Secretary of Commerce Herbert Hoover.

Notes and References

  1. [Kevin Phillips (political commentator)|Phillips, Kevin P.]
  2. [Valdimer Orlando Key|Key, Valdimer Orlando]
  3. Book: Heersink. Boris. Jenkins. Jeffery A.. Republican Party Politics and the American South, 1865–1968. 48–50, 239–243. 9781316663950.
  4. Klarman. Michael J.. The White Primary Rulings: A Case Study in the Consequences of Supreme Court Decision-Making. Florida State University Law Review. 29. 2001. 55–107.
  5. News: Merrill. Charles. Raleigh Will Give Smith Warm Welcome Today: North Carolina Seems Safe For Governor Unless Simmons Comes Out For Hoover, Says Merrill. Daily Boston Globe. October 11, 1928. 16.
  6. News: State Forecasts Lean to Hoover: Reports From Close States Take View That He Is Stronger Than Smith. The New York Times. November 4, 1928. 33.
  7. News: Hoover’s Plurality 5,000,000, Congress Safely Republican: Late Returns Add to Republican Nominee's Hold On 40 States and Electoral Vote of 444. Daily Boston Globe. November 8, 1928. 1.
  8. Phillips; The Emerging Republican Majority, pp. 212-215
  9. Phillips, The Emerging Republican Majority, p. 303
  10. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  11. Web site: Our Campaigns. NC US President Race, November 06, 1928.
  12. Book: Warren, Kenneth F.. Encyclopedia of U.S. campaigns, elections, and electoral behavior: A-M, Volume 1. 620. 1412954894.
  13. Book: Kennedy. David M.. Cohen. Elizabeth. The American Pageant, Volume 2. 739. 1111831432.
  14. Grayson. A.G.. North Carolina and Harry Truman, 1944-1948. Journal of American Studies. 3. December 1975. 283–300.
  15. Watson jr.. Richard L.. A Political Leader Bolts: F.M. Simmons in the Presidential Election of 1928. North Carolina Historical Review. 37. 4. October 1960. 516–543.
  16. News: Oulahan. Richard V.. "Tar Heel" Press Split Over Smith: Some Democratic Papers Follow Senator Simmons – Others Openly Laud Hoover. Special to The New York Times. September 22, 1928. 3.